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Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.
Red Sox | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Orioles | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/28 | BAL | Grayson Rodriguez (R) | BOS +150 BAL -178 | 8 | BOS | Brayan Bello (R) |
5/27 | BAL | Cole Irvin (L) | BOS +132 BAL -156 | 9 | BOS | Cooper Criswell (R) |
5/26 | BOS [ 2 ] | Tanner Houck (R) | BOS -142 MIL +120 | 8.5 | MIL [ 1 ] | Tobias Myers (R) |
5/25 | BOS [ 3 ] | Nick Pivetta (R) | BOS -148 MIL +126 | 9.5 | MIL [ 6 ] | Jared Koenig (L) |
5/24 | BOS [ 2 ] | Kutter Crawford (R) | BOS -134 MIL +114 | 9.5 | MIL [ 7 ] | Jared Koenig (L) |
5/22 | TBR [ 5 ] | Ryan Pepiot (R) | BOS +122 TBR -144 | 7.5 | BOS [ 8 ] | Brayan Bello (R) |
5/21 | TBR [ 2 ] | Zack Littell (R) | BOS +118 TBR -138 | 8.5 | BOS [ 5 ] | Cooper Criswell (R) |
5/20 | TBR [ 0 ] | Taj Bradley (R) | BOS +104 TBR -122 | 7.5 | BOS [ 5 ] | Tanner Houck (R) |
5/19 | STL [ 3 ] | Matthew Liberatore (L) | BOS -130 STL +110 | 8.5 | BOS [ 11 ] | Nick Pivetta (R) |
5/18 | STL [ 7 ] | Miles Mikolas (R) | BOS -118 STL -100 | 8.5 | BOS [ 2 ] | Kutter Crawford (R) |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/28 | BAL | Grayson Rodriguez (R) | BAL -178 BOS +150 | 8 | BOS | Brayan Bello (R) |
5/27 | BAL | Cole Irvin (L) | BAL -156 BOS +132 | 9 | BOS | Cooper Criswell (R) |
5/26 | CHW [ 1 ] | Garrett Crochet (L) | BAL -168 CHW +142 | 7 | BAL [ 4 ] | Kyle Bradish (R) |
5/25 | CHW [ 3 ] | Erick Fedde (R) | BAL -172 CHW +144 | 8 | BAL [ 5 ] | Albert Suarez (R) |
5/24 | CHW [ 4 ] | Chris Flexen (R) | BAL -250 CHW +205 | 7.5 | BAL [ 6 ] | Corbin Burnes (R) |
5/23 | CHW [ 6 ] | Mike Clevinger (R) | BAL -240 CHW +194 | 8 | BAL [ 8 ] | Grayson Rodriguez (R) |
5/22 | STL [ 5 ] | Kyle Gibson (R) | BAL -126 STL +108 | 9 | BAL [ 4 ] | John Means (L) |
5/21 | STL [ 3 ] | Lance Lynn (R) | BAL -162 STL +136 | 9 | BAL [ 1 ] | Kyle Bradish (R) |
5/20 | STL [ 6 ] | Sonny Gray (R) | BAL +102 STL -120 | 8 | BAL [ 3 ] | Dean Kremer (R) |
5/19 | BAL [ 6 ] | Corbin Burnes (R) | BAL -144 SEA +122 | 7 | SEA [ 3 ] | George Kirby (R) |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/21 | TBR [ 2 ] | BOS [ 5 ] | 118 | 8.5 | 5.33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Zack Littell (R) |
5/16 | BOS [ 5 ] | TBR [ 7 ] | -108 | 7.5 | 3.67 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | Zack Littell (R) |
5/11 | BOS [ 4 ] | WSN [ 2 ] | -158 | 8.5 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Jake Irvin (R) |
5/5 | MIN [ 2 ] | BOS [ 9 ] | 154 | 7.5 | 4.33 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Joe Ryan (R) |
4/30 | BOS [ 4 ] | SFG [ 0 ] | 114 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Logan Webb (R) |
4.67 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/10 | BAL [ 4 ] | ARI [ 2 ] | -132 | 7.5 | 5.67 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Brandon Pfaadt (R) |
5/3 | CIN [ 0 ] | BAL [ 3 ] | -102 | 9 | 6.33 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Hunter Greene (R) |
4/27 | BAL [ 7 ] | OAK [ 0 ] | -196 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | JP Sears (L) |
4/21 | KCR [ 0 ] | BAL [ 5 ] | -108 | 8.5 | 6.67 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Seth Lugo (R) |
4/15 | BAL [ 7 ] | MIN [ 4 ] | -132 | 9 | 4.67 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Louie Varland (R) |
6.07 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
162 | TG | 162 |
4.6 | R/G | 4.9 |
194 | HR | 235 |
0.252 | AVG | 0.25 |
144 | SB | 98 |
44 | CS | 25 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
0.171 | ISO | 0.186 |
0.314 | BABIP | 0.288 |
0.319 | OBP | 0.315 |
0.423 | SLG | 0.435 |
0.321 | wOBA | 0.324 |
104 | wRC+ | 115 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
8 | BB% | 7.9 |
25.4 | K% | 22 |
0.31 | BB/K | 0.36 |
8.9 | Barrel% | 8.9 |
40.8 | HardHit% | 42.2 |
20.3 | WAR | 28.8 |
Cooper Criswell | Cole Irvin | |
26 | G | 29 |
18 | GS | 16 |
99.1 | IP | 111 |
3.8 | IP/G | 3.8 |
6 | W | 6 |
5 | L | 6 |
70.1 | LOB% | 67.7 |
Cooper Criswell | Cole Irvin | |
6.61 | K/9 | 6.32 |
2.81 | BB/9 | 2.35 |
9.9 | K/BB% | 10 |
50.3 | GB% | 38.9 |
33.3 | FB% | 40.5 |
0.91 | HR/9 | 1.46 |
9.6 | HR/FB% | 11.8 |
Cooper Criswell | Cole Irvin | |
0.307 | BABIP | 0.316 |
4.08 | ERA | 5.11 |
4.31 | xERA | 5.81 |
4.15 | FIP | 4.82 |
4.43 | xFIP | 4.78 |
1.35 | WHIP | 1.45 |
4.45 | SIERA | 4.66 |
1.1 | WAR | 0.3 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
3.3 | BPU/G | 3.37 |
3.8 | IP/G | 3.5 |
34 | W | 29 |
30 | L | 22 |
40 | SV | 46 |
27 | BS | 21 |
66.8 | LOB% | 67.8 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
8.54 | K/9 | 9.17 |
3.05 | BB/9 | 3.35 |
14.1 | K/BB% | 15.3 |
42.2 | GB% | 44.4 |
37.7 | FB% | 37.7 |
1.17 | HR/9 | 1.03 |
11.6 | HR/FB% | 11 |
Red Sox | Orioles | |
0.305 | BABIP | 0.279 |
4.39 | ERA | 4.22 |
4.11 | FIP | 3.88 |
4.11 | xFIP | 3.96 |
1.34 | WHIP | 1.23 |
3.81 | SIERA | 3.66 |
3.6 | WAR | 3.5 |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Cooper Criswell F5 | 4-3-1 (57.1%) | 0-0-1 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 2-2-0 (50%) |
Cooper Criswell | 6-2 (75%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-0 (-) | 2-0 (100%) | 3-1 (75%) |
Cole Irvin F5 | 5-2-1 (71.4%) | 4-1-0 (80%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-1-1 (0%) |
Cole Irvin | 7-1 (87.5%) | 4-1 (80%) | 0-0 (-) | 0-0 (-) | 2-0 (100%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Cooper Criswell F5 | 3-4-1 (42.9%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-0-1 (100%) | 1-3-0 (25%) |
Cooper Criswell | 4-4-0 (50%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 3-1-0 (75%) |
Cole Irvin F5 | 5-2-1 (71.4%) | 4-0-1 (100%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
Cole Irvin | 3-5-0 (37.5%) | 2-3-0 (40%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Red Sox vs. LHP F5 | 7-8-1 (46.7%) | 4-4-1 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 2-2-0 (50%) |
Red Sox vs. LHP | 6-10 (37.5%) | 3-6 (33.3%) | 2-0 (100%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-3 (25%) |
Orioles vs. RHP F5 | 20-12-4 (62.5%) | 13-4-2 (76.5%) | 6-5-1 (54.5%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-2-1 (0%) |
Orioles vs. RHP | 21-15 (58.3%) | 12-7 (63.2%) | 6-6 (50%) | 0-1 (0%) | 2-1 (66.7%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Red Sox vs. LHP F5 | 12-4-0 (75%) | 6-3-0 (66.7%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 3-1-0 (75%) |
Red Sox vs. LHP | 5-11-0 (31.3%) | 1-8-0 (11.1%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 1-3-0 (25%) |
Orioles vs. RHP F5 | 15-18-2 (45.5%) | 9-8-1 (52.9%) | 3-8-1 (27.3%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) |
Orioles vs. RHP | 19-13-4 (59.4%) | 11-8-0 (57.9%) | 5-3-4 (62.5%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Cooper Criswell | 6-1 (85.7%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-0 (-) | 2-0 (100%) | 3-1 (75%) |
Red Sox | 24-28 (46.2%) | 3-15 (16.7%) | 4-3 (57.1%) | 4-3 (57.1%) | 13-7 (65%) |
Cole Irvin | 6-1 (85.7%) | 4-1 (80%) | 0-0 (-) | 0-0 (-) | 2-0 (100%) |
Orioles | 27-24 (52.9%) | 14-12 (53.8%) | 8-10 (44.4%) | 1-1 (50%) | 4-1 (80%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Cooper Criswell | 4-4 (50%) | 0-1 (0%) | 0-0 (-) | 2-0 (100%) | 2-2 (50%) |
Red Sox | 24-30 (44.4%) | 6-12 (33.3%) | 3-4 (42.9%) | 6-1 (85.7%) | 8-12 (40%) |
Cole Irvin | 1-7 (12.5%) | 1-4 (20%) | 0-0 (-) | 0-0 (-) | 0-2 (0%) |
Orioles | 18-35 (34%) | 13-13 (50%) | 4-14 (22.2%) | 0-2 (0%) | 1-4 (20%) |