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Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.
Blue Jays | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Tigers | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/27 | CHW | Nick Nastrini (R) | TOR -200 CHW +168 | 9 | TOR | Chris Bassitt (R) |
5/26 | DET | Casey Mize (R) | TOR -132 DET +112 | 8 | TOR | Yusei Kikuchi (L) |
5/25 | DET [ 2 ] | Reese Olson (R) | TOR -102 DET -116 | 8.5 | TOR [ 1 ] | Jose Berrios (R) |
5/24 | DET [ 6 ] | Kenta Maeda (R) | TOR -112 DET -104 | 8.5 | TOR [ 2 ] | Alek Manoah (R) |
5/23 | DET [ 1 ] | Jack Flaherty (R) | TOR -108 DET -108 | 7.5 | TOR [ 9 ] | Kevin Gausman (R) |
5/22 | TOR [ 9 ] | Chris Bassitt (R) | TOR -250 CHW +205 | 8 | CHW [ 2 ] | Nick Nastrini (R) |
5/21 | TOR [ 0 ] | Yusei Kikuchi (L) | TOR -196 CHW +164 | 7 | CHW [ 5 ] | Garrett Crochet (L) |
5/20 | TOR [ 9 ] | Jose Berrios (R) | TOR -198 CHW +166 | 7.5 | CHW [ 3 ] | Erick Fedde (R) |
5/19 | TOR [ 5 ] | Alek Manoah (R) | TOR -118 TBR -100 | 8 | TBR [ 2 ] | Aaron Civale (R) |
5/18 | TOR [ 4 ] | Kevin Gausman (R) | TOR -142 TBR +120 | 7.5 | TBR [ 5 ] | Zach Eflin (R) |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/29 | DET | Keider Montero (R) | DET -146 PIT +124 | 6.5 | PIT | Paul Skenes (R) |
5/29 | DET | Tarik Skubal (L) | DET +114 PIT -134 | 7.5 | PIT | Jared Jones (R) |
5/26 | DET | Casey Mize (R) | DET +112 TOR -132 | 8 | TOR | Yusei Kikuchi (L) |
5/25 | DET [ 2 ] | Reese Olson (R) | DET -116 TOR -102 | 8.5 | TOR [ 1 ] | Jose Berrios (R) |
5/24 | DET [ 6 ] | Kenta Maeda (R) | DET -104 TOR -112 | 8.5 | TOR [ 2 ] | Alek Manoah (R) |
5/23 | DET [ 1 ] | Jack Flaherty (R) | DET -108 TOR -108 | 7.5 | TOR [ 9 ] | Kevin Gausman (R) |
5/22 | KCR [ 8 ] | Cole Ragans (L) | DET -116 KCR -102 | 7 | DET [ 3 ] | Tarik Skubal (L) |
5/21 | KCR [ 10 ] | Alec Marsh (R) | DET -104 KCR -112 | 9 | DET [ 3 ] | Casey Mize (R) |
5/20 | KCR [ 8 ] | Michael Wacha (R) | DET -106 KCR -110 | 8.5 | DET [ 3 ] | Reese Olson (R) |
5/19 | ARI [ 6 ] | Jordan Montgomery (L) | DET +122 ARI -144 | 9 | DET [ 4 ] | Matt Manning (R) |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/21 | TOR [ 0 ] | CHW [ 5 ] | -196 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Garrett Crochet (L) |
5/15 | BAL [ 3 ] | TOR [ 2 ] | 116 | 7 | 4.33 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Kyle Bradish (R) |
5/10 | TOR [ 2 ] | MIN [ 3 ] | -116 | 7.5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Joe Ryan (R) |
5/3 | WSN [ 9 ] | TOR [ 3 ] | -200 | 8.5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Patrick Corbin (L) |
4/27 | TOR [ 2 ] | LAD [ 4 ] | 128 | 7.5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | Tyler Glasnow (R) |
6.07 | 5.6 | 1 | 6 | 0.4 | 2 | 2.2 |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/21 | KCR [ 10 ] | DET [ 3 ] | -104 | 9 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 6 | Alec Marsh (R) |
5/15 | DET [ 0 ] | MIA [ 2 ] | -162 | 8.5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Trevor Rogers (L) |
5/10 | DET [ 2 ] | HOU [ 5 ] | 126 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Framber Valdez (L) |
5/4 | NYY [ 5 ] | DET [ 3 ] | 142 | 7.5 | 5.33 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | Clarke Schmidt (R) |
4/27 | DET [ 6 ] | KCR [ 5 ] | -112 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Brady Singer (R) |
4.8 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
162 | TG | 162 |
4.1 | R/G | 4.2 |
156 | HR | 162 |
0.241 | AVG | 0.234 |
72 | SB | 76 |
16 | CS | 24 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
0.148 | ISO | 0.151 |
0.283 | BABIP | 0.288 |
0.313 | OBP | 0.3 |
0.389 | SLG | 0.385 |
0.307 | wOBA | 0.299 |
101 | wRC+ | 95 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
8.4 | BB% | 7.9 |
20.3 | K% | 24.3 |
0.41 | BB/K | 0.33 |
7.2 | Barrel% | 7.5 |
36.5 | HardHit% | 37.5 |
22.8 | WAR | 19.2 |
Yusei Kikuchi | Casey Mize | |
32 | G | 22 |
32 | GS | 20 |
175.2 | IP | 102.1 |
5.5 | IP/G | 4.6 |
9 | W | 2 |
10 | L | 6 |
71.9 | LOB% | 69.5 |
Yusei Kikuchi | Casey Mize | |
10.55 | K/9 | 6.86 |
2.25 | BB/9 | 2.55 |
22 | K/BB% | 10.8 |
42.6 | GB% | 49 |
38.6 | FB% | 29.6 |
1.28 | HR/9 | 0.97 |
13.5 | HR/FB% | 10.9 |
Yusei Kikuchi | Casey Mize | |
0.309 | BABIP | 0.331 |
4.05 | ERA | 4.49 |
3.75 | xERA | 4.71 |
3.46 | FIP | 3.95 |
3.2 | xFIP | 4.04 |
1.2 | WHIP | 1.47 |
3.3 | SIERA | 4.33 |
3.5 | WAR | 1.3 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
3.39 | BPU/G | 3.11 |
3.5 | IP/G | 4.3 |
23 | W | 46 |
27 | L | 36 |
36 | SV | 45 |
23 | BS | 26 |
69 | LOB% | 71.6 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
7.99 | K/9 | 8.09 |
3.63 | BB/9 | 2.72 |
11.3 | K/BB% | 14.5 |
42.4 | GB% | 43.5 |
37.5 | FB% | 37.5 |
1.46 | HR/9 | 0.99 |
14.8 | HR/FB% | 10.3 |
Blue Jays | Tigers | |
0.276 | BABIP | 0.262 |
4.82 | ERA | 3.55 |
4.84 | FIP | 3.84 |
4.39 | xFIP | 4.03 |
1.34 | WHIP | 1.14 |
4.14 | SIERA | 3.75 |
-2.6 | WAR | 3.6 |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Yusei Kikuchi F5 | 4-6-1 (40%) | 1-3-0 (25%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-1-1 (50%) |
Yusei Kikuchi | 3-8 (27.3%) | 1-3 (25%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-2 (33.3%) |
Casey Mize F5 | 3-7-0 (30%) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 1-4-0 (20%) |
Casey Mize | 6-4 (60%) | 1-1 (50%) | 0-0 (-) | 2-1 (66.7%) | 3-2 (60%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Yusei Kikuchi F5 | 1-9-1 (10%) | 0-4-0 (0%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 0-0-1 (-) | 0-3-0 (0%) |
Yusei Kikuchi | 3-8-0 (27.3%) | 1-3-0 (25%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-3-0 (0%) |
Casey Mize F5 | 3-4-1 (42.9%) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 2-0-1 (100%) |
Casey Mize | 5-5-0 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 3-2-0 (60%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Blue Jays vs. RHP F5 | 18-18-6 (50%) | 10-4-1 (71.4%) | 4-4-0 (50%) | 0-2-1 (0%) | 2-8-4 (20%) |
Blue Jays vs. RHP | 20-22 (47.6%) | 9-6 (60%) | 4-4 (50%) | 0-3 (0%) | 5-9 (35.7%) |
Tigers vs. LHP F5 | 5-5-2 (50%) | 1-1-1 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-3-1 (25%) |
Tigers vs. LHP | 6-6 (50%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 3-2 (60%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Blue Jays vs. RHP F5 | 17-20-3 (45.9%) | 7-7-0 (50%) | 4-2-2 (66.7%) | 1-1-1 (50%) | 4-9-0 (30.8%) |
Blue Jays vs. RHP | 18-23-1 (43.9%) | 7-8-0 (46.7%) | 3-5-0 (37.5%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 6-8-0 (42.9%) |
Tigers vs. LHP F5 | 4-6-0 (40%) | 0-3-0 (0%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) |
Tigers vs. LHP | 6-6-0 (50%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 3-2-0 (60%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Yusei Kikuchi | 3-8 (27.3%) | 0-4 (0%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-1 (0%) | 2-1 (66.7%) |
Blue Jays | 22-28 (44%) | 9-11 (45%) | 4-6 (40%) | 0-3 (0%) | 9-8 (52.9%) |
Casey Mize | 5-5 (50%) | 0-2 (0%) | 0-0 (-) | 2-1 (66.7%) | 3-2 (60%) |
Tigers | 23-29 (44.2%) | 4-15 (21.1%) | 1-5 (16.7%) | 4-3 (57.1%) | 14-6 (70%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Yusei Kikuchi | 3-8 (27.3%) | 1-3 (25%) | 0-3 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 1-2 (33.3%) |
Blue Jays | 22-30 (42.3%) | 6-14 (30%) | 5-5 (50%) | 2-1 (66.7%) | 9-8 (52.9%) |
Casey Mize | 6-4 (60%) | 2-0 (100%) | 0-0 (-) | 0-3 (0%) | 4-1 (80%) |
Tigers | 25-28 (47.2%) | 10-9 (52.6%) | 2-4 (33.3%) | 2-5 (28.6%) | 11-9 (55%) |