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Pirates @ Brewers [ -152 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 15, 2024, 12:10 pm
Pirates | 76-87 (46.6%), Martin Perez (L) | 5-6 (45.45%)
Brewers | 94-71 (57%), Robert Gasser (L) | 2-0 (100%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Pirates
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Bullpen:
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Brewers
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Pirates Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/16CHCJustin Steele (L)PIT +104
CHC -122		8PITJared Jones (R)
5/15MILRobert Gasser (L)PIT +128
MIL -152		8.5PITMartin Perez (L)
5/14MIL [ 4 ]Joe Ross (R)PIT +134
MIL -158		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Quinn Priester (R)
5/13MIL [ 6 ]Colin Rea (R)PIT +120
MIL -142		8.5PIT [ 8 ]Mitch Keller (R)
5/12PIT [ 4 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT -102
CHC -116		9CHC [ 5 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
5/11PIT [ 10 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -100
CHC -118		7CHC [ 9 ]Justin Steele (L)
5/10PIT [ 2 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -130
CHC +110		7CHC [ 7 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/8PIT [ 4 ]Martin Perez (L)PIT -138
LAA +118		9LAA [ 5 ]Jose Soriano (R)
5/7PIT [ 0 ]Quinn Priester (R)PIT -132
LAA +112		7.5LAA [ 9 ]Patrick Sandoval (L)
5/6PIT [ 4 ]Mitch Keller (R)PIT -164
LAA +138		8LAA [ 1 ]Tyler Anderson (L)

Brewers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/17HOUHunter Brown (R)MIL -112
HOU -104		7.5MILFreddy Peralta (R)
5/15MILRobert Gasser (L)MIL -152
PIT +128		8.5PITMartin Perez (L)
5/14MIL [ 4 ]Joe Ross (R)MIL -158
PIT +134		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Quinn Priester (R)
5/13MIL [ 6 ]Colin Rea (R)MIL -142
PIT +120		8.5PIT [ 8 ]Mitch Keller (R)
5/12MIL [ 3 ]Bryse Wilson (R)MIL -154
STL +130		9STL [ 4 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
5/11MIL [ 5 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -190
STL +148		7.5STL [ 3 ]Kyle Gibson (R)
5/10MIL [ 11 ]Robert Gasser (L)MIL -126
STL +108		8.5STL [ 2 ]Lance Lynn (R)
5/9MIL [ 7 ]Tobias Myers (R)MIL +118
STL -138		7.5STL [ 1 ]Sonny Gray (R)
5/8KCR [ 6 ]Brady Singer (R)MIL +102
KCR -120		8.5MIL [ 4 ]Joe Ross (R)
5/7KCR [ 5 ]Seth Lugo (R)MIL +110
KCR -130		9MIL [ 6 ]Colin Rea (R)

Martin Perez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/8PIT [ 4 ]LAA [ 5 ]-13895508144Jose Soriano (R)
5/3PIT [ 2 ]COL [ 3 ]-18085.33408133Cal Quantrill (R)
4/27SFG [ 3 ]PIT [ 4 ]1287.56424001Jordan Hicks (R)
4/21PIT [ 1 ]BOS [ 6 ]-1587.54746044Josh Winckowski (R)
4/15NYM [ 6 ]PIT [ 3 ]1068.55.67126033Adrian Houser (R)
5.24.21.66.40.42.83

Robert Gasser Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/10MIL [ 11 ]STL [ 2 ]-1268.56402000Lance Lynn (R)
6402000


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PiratesBrewers
162TG162
4.1R/G4.8
160HR177
0.234AVG0.248
106SB217
19CS42
PiratesBrewers
0.137ISO0.155
0.291BABIP0.305
0.301OBP0.326
0.371SLG0.403
0.295wOBA0.319
86wRC+104
PiratesBrewers
8BB%9.7
24.7K%23.6
0.32BB/K0.41
8.2Barrel%7.2
39.9HardHit%38.3
6.9WAR27.2

Pitching Matchup

Martin PerezRobert Gasser
26G5
26GS5
135IP28
5.2IP/G5.6
5W2
6L0
76.9LOB%78.8
Martin PerezRobert Gasser
7.13K/95.14
3.27BB/90.32
9.8K/BB%13.2
44.4GB%43
35.7FB%34.4
1.47HR/90.64
14.5HR/FB%6.3
Martin PerezRobert Gasser
0.317BABIP0.283
4.53ERA2.57
5.38xERA2.92
4.9FIP3.38
4.48xFIP4.18
1.48WHIP1.04
4.64SIERA4.35
0.5WAR0.7

Bullpen Matchup

PiratesBrewers
3.17BPU/G3.2
3.6IP/G4
33W51
33L28
43SV53
27BS19
67.6LOB%78.1
PiratesBrewers
9.06K/98.81
3.97BB/93.06
12.9K/BB%15.5
41.4GB%42.8
38.7FB%37.9
0.85HR/90.99
8.6HR/FB%10.7
PiratesBrewers
0.305BABIP0.266
4.49ERA3.11
3.95FIP3.78
4.38xFIP3.9
1.38WHIP1.16
3.98SIERA3.65
3.4WAR5.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Martin Perez F54-2-3 (66.7%)2-1-1 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-2 (50%)
Martin Perez3-6 (33.3%)0-4 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)
Robert Gasser F52-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Robert Gasser2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Martin Perez F55-3-0 (62.5%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)
Martin Perez4-4-1 (50%)0-3-1 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)3-1-0 (75%)
Robert Gasser F52-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Robert Gasser2-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. LHP F57-6-2 (53.8%)1-1-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)3-4-1 (42.9%)
Pirates vs. LHP9-6 (60%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)4-4 (50%)
Brewers vs. LHP F55-2-0 (71.4%)2-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)
Brewers vs. LHP4-3 (57.1%)2-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. LHP F57-3-1 (70%)1-1-1 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)
Pirates vs. LHP8-7-0 (53.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)4-4-0 (50%)
Brewers vs. LHP F54-2-0 (66.7%)2-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Brewers vs. LHP3-4-0 (42.9%)2-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Martin Perez3-6 (33.3%)0-4 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)
Pirates22-21 (51.2%)4-9 (30.8%)2-4 (33.3%)6-2 (75%)10-6 (62.5%)
Robert Gasser2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Brewers21-20 (51.2%)5-8 (38.5%)2-4 (33.3%)2-4 (33.3%)12-4 (75%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Martin Perez3-6 (33.3%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-4 (0%)
Pirates16-28 (36.4%)7-6 (53.8%)3-3 (50%)3-5 (37.5%)3-13 (18.8%)
Robert Gasser0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Brewers22-21 (51.2%)5-8 (38.5%)2-4 (33.3%)5-1 (83.3%)9-7 (56.3%)