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Phillies @ Mets [ +104 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 14, 2024, 1:10 pm
Phillies | 96-70 (57.8%), Aaron Nola (R) | 14-8 (63.64%)
Mets | 94-75 (55.6%), Jose Butto (R) | 7-3 (70%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Mets
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Phillies Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Mets Situational Notes
Game off extra innings
Game off demoralizing loss (led after 8th)

Phillies Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/15PHIRanger Suarez (L)PHI -205
NYM +172		7.5NYMJoey Lucchesi (L)
5/14NYMJose Butto (R)PHI -122
NYM +104		7.5PHIAaron Nola (R)
5/13NYM [ 4 ]Sean Manaea (L)PHI -102
NYM -116		7PHI [ 5 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
5/12MIA [ 7 ]Braxton Garrett (L)PHI -200
MIA +168		7PHI [ 6 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
5/11MIA [ 3 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)PHI -126
MIA +108		8PHI [ 8 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
5/10MIA [ 2 ]Trevor Rogers (L)PHI -194
MIA +162		7.5PHI [ 8 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
5/8PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)PHI -168
TOR +142		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
5/7PHI [ 10 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)PHI -116
TOR -102		8TOR [ 1 ]Jose Berrios (R)
5/6PHI [ 6 ]Zack Wheeler (R)PHI -230
SFG +190		7.5SFG [ 1 ]Mason Black (R)
5/5PHI [ 5 ]Taijuan Walker (R)PHI -106
SFG -110		8SFG [ 4 ]Logan Webb (R)

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/15PHIRanger Suarez (L)NYM +172
PHI -205		7.5NYMJoey Lucchesi (L)
5/14NYMJose Butto (R)NYM +104
PHI -122		7.5PHIAaron Nola (R)
5/13NYM [ 4 ]Sean Manaea (L)NYM -116
PHI -102		7PHI [ 5 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
5/12NYM [ 4 ]Luis Severino (R)NYM -110
ATL -106		7.5ATL [ 3 ]Bryce Elder (R)
5/11NYM [ 1 ]Christian Scott (R)NYM +136
ATL -162		7ATL [ 4 ]Max Fried (L)
5/10NYM [ 2 ]Jose Quintana (L)NYM +126
ATL -148		7.5ATL [ 4 ]Charlie Morton (R)
5/7STL [ 5 ]Miles Mikolas (R)NYM +108
STL -126		8.5NYM [ 7 ]Jose Butto (R)
5/6STL [ 3 ]Kyle Gibson (R)NYM +112
STL -132		8NYM [ 4 ]Sean Manaea (L)
5/5TBR [ 7 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)NYM -108
TBR -108		7NYM [ 6 ]Luis Severino (R)
5/4TBR [ 3 ]Zack Littell (R)NYM -108
TBR -108		7.5NYM [ 1 ]Christian Scott (R)

Aaron Nola Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/8PHI [ 3 ]TOR [ 5 ]-1688.55.67709044Chris Bassitt (R)
5/3PHI [ 4 ]SFG [ 3 ]-1747.54444022Jordan Hicks (R)
4/26SDP [ 3 ]PHI [ 9 ]-1127.581017133Joe Musgrove (R)
4/21PHI [ 8 ]CHW [ 2 ]-2907.58714122Nick Nastrini (R)
4/15PHI [ 2 ]COL [ 1 ]-2708.57.33914111Cal Quantrill (R)
6.67.41.45.60.62.42.4

Jose Butto Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/7STL [ 5 ]NYM [ 7 ]1088.55335133Miles Mikolas (R)
5/1NYM [ 0 ]CHC [ 1 ]10476624011Shota Imanaga (L)
4/26NYM [ 2 ]STL [ 4 ]-1307.55.67434244Miles Mikolas (R)
4/20LAD [ 4 ]NYM [ 6 ]1469.54.33653022Gavin Stone (R)
4/14NYM [ 2 ]KCR [ 1 ]-1128.56912000Cole Ragans (L)
5.45.62.83.60.622


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PhilliesMets
162TG162
4.8R/G4.7
198HR207
0.257AVG0.246
148SB106
30CS22
PhilliesMets
0.168ISO0.169
0.306BABIP0.291
0.325OBP0.319
0.425SLG0.415
0.325wOBA0.32
108wRC+109
PhilliesMets
8.4BB%8.3
22.2K%22.4
0.38BB/K0.37
7.7Barrel%8.8
39.7HardHit%41
27WAR25.8

Pitching Matchup

Aaron NolaJose Butto
33G30
33GS7
199.1IP74
6IP/G2.5
14W7
8L3
79LOB%83.3
Aaron NolaJose Butto
8.89K/99.61
2.26BB/94.62
17.9K/BB%13.9
44.5GB%41.5
33.9FB%40.9
1.35HR/90.73
15.6HR/FB%8.6
Aaron NolaJose Butto
0.294BABIP0.211
3.57ERA2.55
3.75xERA3.51
3.94FIP3.83
3.44xFIP4.21
1.2WHIP1.07
3.68SIERA4.11
3.2WAR1

Bullpen Matchup

PhilliesMets
3.19BPU/G3.18
3.3IP/G3.4
30W39
24L28
37SV39
19BS25
72.5LOB%69.9
PhilliesMets
9.71K/910.61
3.24BB/94.11
16.8K/BB%17
42.9GB%44.7
36.7FB%36.9
1.07HR/91.02
11.8HR/FB%12.1
PhilliesMets
0.298BABIP0.291
3.94ERA4.03
3.83FIP3.86
3.81xFIP3.81
1.27WHIP1.28
3.49SIERA3.51
5.8WAR3.8

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola F55-1-3 (83.3%)2-0-2 (100%)3-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)
Aaron Nola7-2 (77.8%)3-1 (75%)4-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)
Jose Butto F51-4-2 (20%)0-2-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-1 (100%)
Jose Butto4-3 (57.1%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola F54-4-1 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)1-2-1 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Aaron Nola3-6-0 (33.3%)1-3-0 (25%)1-3-0 (25%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Jose Butto F52-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Jose Butto2-5-0 (28.6%)0-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F521-2-3 (91.3%)10-1-2 (90.9%)6-1-1 (85.7%)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)
Phillies vs. RHP20-6 (76.9%)10-3 (76.9%)6-2 (75%)1-1 (50%)3-0 (100%)
Mets vs. RHP F510-16-7 (38.5%)3-8-3 (27.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)5-5-3 (50%)
Mets vs. RHP15-18 (45.5%)7-7 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-3 (0%)7-6 (53.8%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F513-8-3 (61.9%)7-5-0 (58.3%)3-2-3 (60%)1-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Phillies vs. RHP12-14-0 (46.2%)7-6-0 (53.8%)2-6-0 (25%)2-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Mets vs. RHP F515-12-1 (55.6%)4-6-0 (40%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-1 (50%)8-4-0 (66.7%)
Mets vs. RHP15-18-0 (45.5%)3-11-0 (21.4%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)9-4-0 (69.2%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola4-5 (44.4%)1-3 (25%)3-1 (75%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)
Phillies24-19 (55.8%)9-9 (50%)9-7 (56.3%)2-2 (50%)4-1 (80%)
Jose Butto3-4 (42.9%)0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)2-0 (100%)
Mets17-22 (43.6%)6-13 (31.6%)2-0 (100%)1-4 (20%)8-5 (61.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola4-5 (44.4%)1-3 (25%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Phillies19-24 (44.2%)9-9 (50%)5-11 (31.3%)3-1 (75%)2-3 (40%)
Jose Butto2-5 (28.6%)0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)
Mets15-26 (36.6%)5-14 (26.3%)1-1 (50%)1-4 (20%)6-7 (46.2%)