NFL Systems | themoneyballer.com

ID	Rec Cur	Rec 365	Rec All	Updated	Description	Link	Syntax
42	(100%)	(100%)	(60.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:42am	Bounce back after being shut out.	https://killersports.com/query?token=eNorsCrIz8wrKVawVTBQSy6ozE6ttDVNDM1xyo0IzDAoNwIAtm4K3Q%3D%3D&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	p:points = 0
43	(100%)	(100%)	(69.2%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:43am	Bet on teams who are on the road after a shutout.	https://killersports.com/query?token=eNpzVEjMS1EosCrIz8wrKVawVTBQSy6ozE6ttDVNDM1xyo0IzDAoNwIA8tAMkQ%3D%3D&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	A and p:points = 0
44	(80%)	(80%)	(53.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:43am	Back a team who was a double digit dog and didn't cover, and is now a double digit dog again.	https://killersports.com/query?token=eNrLycxLVbCzVTA0UEjMS1EosMpBF0gsKVbITSxKz8xTsFEwUEsuqMxOrbQ1TQzNccqNCMwwKDcCAMZmFT0%3D&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	line >= 10 and p:line >= 10 and p:ats margin < 0
21	(66.7%)	(66.7%)	(62%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:36am	Fade an underdog who won their last game w/ more than 2 Rushing TD	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=op%3Arushing%20touchdowns%3E%3D2%20and%20op%3ADW%20and%20o%3AD%20and%20playoffs%3D0%20and%20season%3E%3D2017&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	op:rushing touchdowns>=2 and op:DW and o:D and playoffs=0
35	(66.7%)	(66.7%)	(54.6%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:40am	Week 3: Back 0-2 team who lost as a favorite last game	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=week%3D3%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20pp%3AL%20and%20D%20and%20%28p%3AF%20or%20pp%3AF%29&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	week=3 and p:L and pp:L and D and (p:F or pp:F)
40	(66.7%)	(66.7%)	(47.6%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:42am	Unders system: home dogs with next game on Thursday	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2019%20and%20day%3D%27Sunday%27%20and%20n%3Aday%3D%27Thursday%27%20and%20DH&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2019 and day='Sunday' and n:day='Thursday' and DH
46	(66.7%)	(66.7%)	(62.8%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:44am	Betting on underdogs coming off a 30+ point loss when they were also a dog.		p:margin <= -30 and p:D and D
47	(66.7%)	(66.7%)	(80%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:44am	Play dogs of less than 7 points who are on a 3+ game losing streak vs teams on a 3+ game winning streak.		line > 0 and line <= 6.5 and streak <= -3 and o:streak >= 3
23	(60%)	(60%)	(62.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:37am	Back road team off loss more than a TD	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=p%3Amargin%3C-7%20and%20week%3C%3D5%20and%20season%3E%3D2018%20and%20A&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	p:margin<-7 and week<=5 and season>=2018 and A
45	(60%)	(60%)	(79.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:43am	Good defense coming back home after performing well.		season>=2022 and po:touchdowns<2 and po:field goals = 0 and H
36	(57.1%)	(57.1%)	(66.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:41am	Back divisional road team with above average passing vs poor pass defefnse	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=tA%28passing%20yards%2Fpasses%29%3EAverage%28passing%20yards%2Fpasses%40season%29%20and%20oA%28o%3Apassing%20yards%2Fo%3Apasses%29%3CAverage%28o%3Apassing%20yards%2Fo%3Apasses%29%20and%20season%3E%3D2018%20and%20A%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	tA(passing yards/passes)>Average(passing yards/passes@season) and oA(o:passing yards/o:passes)<Average(o:passing yards/o:passes) and season>=2018 and A and division=o:division
31	(54.6%)	(54.6%)	(68.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:39am	Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2019%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%20and%20P%3AW%20and%20PP%3AW%20and%20D%20and%20line%3C%3D6&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2019 and division=o:division and P:W and PP:W and D and line<=6
20	(52%)	(52%)	(53.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:36am	Fade home favorites off a loss	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=AD%20and%20op%3AL%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20season%3E%3D2018&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	AD and op:L and p:W and season>=2018
32	(51.1%)	(51.1%)	(58.4%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:39am	Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=%20F%20and%20p%3AF%20and%202%20%3C%3D%20p%3Aturnovers%20and%20season%3E%3D2021&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	F and p:F and 2 <= p:turnovers and season >= 2021
34	(50%)	(50%)	(66.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:40am	Week 3: Back 0-2 team in a division game	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=week%20%3D%203%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20pp%3AL%20and%20DIV%20and%20season%3E%3D2006&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	week=3 and p:L and pp:L and division=o:division and season>=2006
39	(46.2%)	(46.2%)	(43.1%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:41am	Unders system: playoff rematch	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=P%3Aplayoffs%20%3D%201%20and%20P%3AL%20and%20season%3E%3D2017%20and%20playoffs%3D0&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	P:playoffs = 1 and P:L and season>=2017 and playoffs=0
41	(45.7%)	(45.7%)	(40.4%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:42am	Unders system: based on team with consecutive road games and a higher than average total	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2017%20and%20p%3AA%20and%20A%20and%2014%3E%3Dline%3E%3D-10%20and%20op%3Aou%20margin%3C%3D24%20and%20p%3Atotal%3E%3D44&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2017 and p:A and A and 14>=line>=-10 and op:ou margin<=24 and p:total>=44
38	(44.2%)	(44.2%)	(38.9%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:41am	Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2015%20and%20tA%28points%2Bo%3Apoints%29-total%3E1%20and%20oA%28points%2Bo%3Apoints%29-total%3E1%20and%20total%3Cp%3Atotal%20and%20H&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2015 and tA(points+o:points)-total>1 and oA(points+o:points)-total>1 and total<p:total and H
26	(40%)	(40%)	(56.9%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:37am	Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=AD%20and%20week%3C%3D4%20and%20P%3AW%20and%20P%3Aseason%21%3Dseason%20and%20season%3E%3D2016%20and%20line%3C%3D3.5&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	AD and week<=6 and P:W and P:season!=season and season>=2016 and line<=3.5
27	(40%)	(40%)	(65.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:38am	Back early season road underdogs who's opponent lost last game	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2017%20and%20week%3C%3D6%20and%20op%3AL%20and%20AD%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20day%21%3D%27Monday%27&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2017 and week<=6 and op:L and AD and p:L and day!='Monday'
19	(37.5%)	(37.5%)	(63.9%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:36am	Fade home team whose next game is on Thursday	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=week%3C%3D6%20and%20on%3Aday%3D%27Thursday%27%20and%20A&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	week<=6 and on:day='Thursday' and A
30	(36.4%)	(36.4%)	(46.2%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:39am	Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2015%20and%20week%3C%3D8%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%20and%20DH%20and%20on%3Adivision%3Ddivision&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2015 and week<=8 and division=o:division and DH and on:division=division
29	(33.3%)	(33.3%)	(56.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:38am	Back road underdogs between two winless teams	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=tA%28W%29%3D0%20and%20oA%28W%29%3D0%20and%20DA%20and%20season%3E%3D2016&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	tA(W)=0 and oA(W)=0 and DA and season>=2016
28	(0%)	(0%)	(45.5%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:38am	Week 1: Back road dog when next game is on the road	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=rest%3E10%20and%20no%3Arest%3E10%20and%20F&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2010 and week=1 and AD and n:A
33	(0%)	(0%)	(33.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:40am	Back favorites when both teams are off a bye	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=rest%3E10%20and%20no%3Arest%3E10%20and%20F&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	rest>10 and no:rest>10 and F
22		(0%)	(75%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:37am	Fade team off loss with 2+ interceptions and opponents covered in previous game	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E%3D2015%20and%20division%3Do%3Adivision%20and%20op%3Ainterceptions%3E%3D2%20and%20op%3AL%20and%20p%3Aats%20margin%3E0%20and%20o%3Aline%3C%3D1&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	season>=2015 and division=o:division and op:interceptions>=2 and op:L and p:ats margin>0 and o:line<=1
25		(0%)	(61.1%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:37am	Back early season divisional dogs who won last matchup	https://killersports.com/query?sdql=D%20and%20week%3C%3D6%20and%20P%3AW%20and%20P%3Aseason%21%3Dseason%20and%20season%3E%3D2016%20and%20line%3C%3D5.5%20and%20DIV&filter=NFL&_qt=games&init=1	D and week<=6 and P:W and P:season!=season and 2022>=season>=2016 and line<=5.5 and division=o:division

12	(61.1%)	(61.1%)	(56.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:33am	Lookahead to bye week		n:date-date>11
5	(55.6%)	(55.6%)	(46.3%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:31am	Extended rest: Off a bye week		date-p:date>11
6	(55.1%)	(55.1%)	(49.6%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:31am	Rest Advantage		date-p:date>o:date-op:date
1	(52.8%)	(52.8%)	(48.8%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:30am	Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)		n:date-date=4
15	(51.1%)	(51.1%)	(53.6%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:34am	Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)		p:FL
13	(51%)	(51%)	(50%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:34am	In-season revenge		P:L and P:season=season
14	(50%)	(50%)	(51.1%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:34am	In-season revenge (2 TDs+)		P:margin<=-14 and P:season=season
18	(49.7%)	(49.7%)	(47.2%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:35am	Lookahead: next game versus division rival		no:division=division
4	(48.8%)	(48.8%)	(52.2%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:31am	Extended rest: Non-bye week		date-p:date>=8 and date-p:date<=11
2	(48.7%)	(48.7%)	(49.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:30am	Short rest: 3 days (TNF)		date-p:date=4
10	(48.6%)	(48.6%)	(50%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:33am	First game home off 2+ game road trip		p:A and pp:A and H
8	(47.8%)	(47.8%)	(54.4%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:32am	West Coast team traveling East		time zone='P' and A and o:time zone='E'
9	(46.7%)	(46.7%)	(48.8%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:32am	East Coast team traveling West		time zone='E' and A and o:time zone='P'
7	(45%)	(45%)	(50.4%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:32am	Rest Disadvantage		date-p:date<o:date-op:date
17	(43.3%)	(43.3%)	(52.2%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:35am	Coming off an Overtime game		p:overtime>0
3	(42.9%)	(42.9%)	(50%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:31am	Short rest: 4 or 5 days		date-p:date<=6 and date-p:date>=5
16	(42.7%)	(42.7%)	(47.9%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:35am	Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)		p:WD
11	(25%)	(25%)	(38.7%)	Feb 12, 2026 2:33am	Third consecutive road game		p:A and pp:A and A

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