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Updated: 12/12/25 2:07 p.m.

7:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Hornets

Bulls: 9-14 (39.1%)

Hornets: 7-17 (29.2%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Hornets_Bulls
Teams: Hornets (Home) vs Bulls (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Bulls

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Back road favorite between two bad teams

Hornets

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Notable Trends

The Hornets are 25% (3-9) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 25% (5-15) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 10% (1-9) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hornets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 72.7% (8-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Hornets are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 9.1% (1-10) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 0% (0-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bulls are 9.1% (1-10-1) against the spread as a fav

The Bulls are 0% (0-6) against the spread as an away fav

The Bulls are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) against the spread

The Bulls are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread away

The Bulls are 0% (0-10) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Bulls are 0% (0-6) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Bulls are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Hornets (Home)

The Hornets are 50% (12-12) against the spread

The Hornets are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 55% (11-9) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 60% (6-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 33.3% (8-16) to the over/under

The Hornets are 25% (3-9) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 25% (5-15) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 10% (1-9) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hornets are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Hornets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 72.7% (8-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Hornets are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 9.1% (1-10) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 0% (0-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Bulls (Away)

The Bulls are 40.9% (9-13-1) against the spread

The Bulls are 33.3% (4-8) against the spread away

The Bulls are 9.1% (1-10-1) against the spread as a fav

The Bulls are 0% (0-6) against the spread as an away fav

The Bulls are 47.8% (11-12) to the over/under

The Bulls are 58.3% (7-5) to the over/under away

The Bulls are 33.3% (4-8) to the over/under as a fav

The Bulls are 50% (3-3) to the over/under as an away fav

The Bulls are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) against the spread

The Bulls are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread away

The Bulls are 0% (0-10) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Bulls are 0% (0-6) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Bulls are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Bulls are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Bulls are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Bulls are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/28/25	2025	Hornets	123	Home	Bulls	116	+3.0	249.0	-7	239
04/06/25	2024	Hornets	117	Home	Bulls	131	+8.0	230.5	+14	248
01/17/25	2024	Hornets	125	Away	Bulls	123	+4.5	235.5	-2	248
12/30/24	2024	Hornets	108	Home	Bulls	115	+4.5	223.5	+7	223
12/13/24	2024	Hornets	95	Away	Bulls	109	+6.0	233.5	+14	204
01/31/24	2023	Hornets	110	Home	Bulls	117	+4.0	218.0	+7	227
01/08/24	2023	Hornets	112	Home	Bulls	119	+6.5	216.0	+7	231
01/05/24	2023	Hornets	91	Away	Bulls	104	+9.0	218.0	+13	195
12/06/23	2023	Hornets	100	Away	Bulls	111	+5.0	220.0	+11	211
Hornets as Home (5 games)			114.0	-	-	119.6	+5.2	227.4	+5.6	233.6
All Games Avg (9 games)			109.0	-	-	116.1	+5.6	227.1	+7.1	225.1

Schedules

Bulls Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Bulls	-	away	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
12/17/25	2025	Bulls	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Bulls	-	away	Hornets	-	-3.0	229.5	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Bulls	91	home	Warriors	123	+1.5	229.5	+32	214
12/05/25	2025	Bulls	105	home	Pacers	120	-4.5	234.5	+15	225
12/03/25	2025	Bulls	103	home	Nets	113	-7.5	231.5	+10	216
12/01/25	2025	Bulls	120	away	Magic	125	+9.5	239.5	+5	245
11/29/25	2025	Bulls	101	away	Pacers	103	-2.5	240.0	+2	204
11/28/25	2025	Bulls	116	away	Hornets	123	-3.0	249.0	+7	239
11/24/25	2025	Bulls	130	away	Pelicans	143	-5.5	243.5	+13	273
11/22/25	2025	Bulls	121	home	Wizards	120	-13.0	246.0	-1	241
11/21/25	2025	Bulls	107	home	Heat	143	-2.5	250.5	+36	250
11/19/25	2025	Bulls	122	away	Trailblazers	121	-3.5	245.5	-1	243
Away Games Avg (5 games)			117.8	-	-	123.0	-1.0	243.5	+5.2	240.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.6	-	-	123.4	-3.1	241.0	+11.8	235.0

Hornets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Hornets	-	away	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Hornets	-	home	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Hornets	-	home	Bulls	-	+3.0	229.5	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Hornets	106	home	Nuggets	115	+10.5	235.5	+9	221
12/05/25	2025	Hornets	111	away	Raptors	86	+6.5	230.5	-25	197
12/03/25	2025	Hornets	104	away	Knicks	119	+9.0	235.5	+15	223
12/01/25	2025	Hornets	103	away	Nets	116	-4.5	227.5	+13	219
11/29/25	2025	Hornets	118	home	Raptors	111	+7.0	234.0	-7	229
11/28/25	2025	Hornets	123	home	Bulls	116	+3.0	249.0	-7	239
11/26/25	2025	Hornets	101	home	Knicks	129	+6.5	242.5	+28	230
11/23/25	2025	Hornets	110	away	Hawks	113	+8.0	228.5	+3	223
11/22/25	2025	Hornets	116	home	Clippers	131	-1.0	228.5	+15	247
11/19/25	2025	Hornets	118	away	Pacers	127	-1.5	238.5	+9	245
Home Games Avg (5 games)			112.8	-	-	120.4	+5.2	237.9	+7.6	233.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.0	-	-	116.3	+4.4	235.0	+5.3	227.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons

Hawks: 14-11 (56.0%)

Pistons: 19-5 (79.2%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Pistons_Hawks
Teams: Pistons (Home) vs Hawks (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Pistons

53.28% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Lean Pistons
Cover Summary	Pistons
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Pistons \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

0.5x

Pistons

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Notable Trends

The Pistons are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Hawks are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Hawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Hawks are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Hawks are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

The Pistons are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread

The Pistons are 50% (6-6) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 47.4% (9-10) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 54.2% (13-11) to the over/under

The Pistons are 58.3% (7-5) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 52.6% (10-9) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 55.6% (5-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pistons are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) against the spread

The Pistons are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 33.3% (4-8) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Pistons are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 58.3% (7-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Hawks (Away)

The Hawks are 56% (14-11) against the spread

The Hawks are 66.7% (10-5) against the spread away

The Hawks are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Hawks are 56% (14-11) to the over/under

The Hawks are 60% (9-6) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 53.8% (7-6) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 42.9% (3-4) to the over/under as an away dog

The Hawks are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) against the spread

The Hawks are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Hawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Hawks are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Hawks are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/01/25	2025	Pistons	99	Home	Hawks	98	-9.5	232.5	-1	197
11/18/25	2025	Pistons	120	Away	Hawks	112	-1.5	226.5	-8	232
02/23/25	2024	Pistons	148	Away	Hawks	143	-3.0	240.5	-5	291
02/03/25	2024	Pistons	130	Home	Hawks	132	-4.5	236.5	+2	262
01/22/25	2024	Pistons	114	Away	Hawks	104	+4.0	233.0	-10	218
11/08/24	2024	Pistons	122	Home	Hawks	121	-2.5	229.0	-1	243
04/03/24	2023	Pistons	113	Away	Hawks	121	+11.5	223.0	+8	234
12/18/23	2023	Pistons	124	Away	Hawks	130	+12.0	247.0	+6	254
11/14/23	2023	Pistons	120	Home	Hawks	126	+4.5	225.5	+6	246
Pistons as Home (4 games)			117.8	-	-	119.3	-3.0	230.9	+1.5	237.0
All Games Avg (9 games)			121.1	-	-	120.8	+1.2	232.6	-0.3	241.9

Schedules

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Hawks	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Hawks	-	away	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Hawks	-	away	Pistons	-	+7.0	232.5	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Hawks	131	away	Wizards	116	-9.5	237.5	-15	247
12/05/25	2025	Hawks	133	home	Nuggets	134	+3.5	238.5	+1	267
12/03/25	2025	Hawks	92	home	Clippers	115	-1.5	225.5	+23	207
12/01/25	2025	Hawks	98	away	Pistons	99	+9.5	232.5	+1	197
11/30/25	2025	Hawks	142	away	Seventysixers	134	+3.0	232.5	-8	276
11/28/25	2025	Hawks	130	home	Cavaliers	123	+6.5	236.5	-7	253
11/25/25	2025	Hawks	113	away	Wizards	132	-11.0	238.5	+19	245
11/23/25	2025	Hawks	113	home	Hornets	110	-8.0	228.5	-3	223
11/22/25	2025	Hawks	115	away	Pelicans	98	-10.0	231.0	-17	213
11/20/25	2025	Hawks	126	away	Spurs	135	+1.5	233.5	+9	261
Away Games Avg (6 games)			120.8	-	-	119.0	-2.8	234.3	-1.8	239.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.3	-	-	119.6	-1.6	233.5	+0.3	238.9

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Pistons	-	home	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Pistons	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Pistons	-	home	Hawks	-	-7.0	232.5	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Pistons	124	home	Bucks	112	-12.5	223.5	-12	236
12/05/25	2025	Pistons	122	home	Trailblazers	116	-8.5	236.5	-6	238
12/03/25	2025	Pistons	109	away	Bucks	113	-4.5	228.5	+4	222
12/01/25	2025	Pistons	99	home	Hawks	98	-9.5	232.5	-1	197
11/29/25	2025	Pistons	138	away	Heat	135	+3.5	238.5	-3	273
11/28/25	2025	Pistons	109	home	Magic	112	-3.5	230.5	+3	221
11/26/25	2025	Pistons	114	away	Celtics	117	-1.5	233.5	+3	231
11/24/25	2025	Pistons	122	away	Pacers	117	-9.5	236.5	-5	239
11/22/25	2025	Pistons	129	away	Bucks	116	-8.0	225.5	-13	245
11/18/25	2025	Pistons	120	away	Hawks	112	-1.5	226.5	-8	232
Home Games Avg (4 games)			113.5	-	-	109.5	-8.5	230.8	-4.0	223.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.6	-	-	114.8	-5.6	231.2	-3.8	233.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

Pacers: 6-18 (25.0%)

Seventysixers: 13-10 (56.5%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Seventysixers_Pacers
Teams: Seventysixers (Home) vs Pacers (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Seventysixers

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Seventysixers
Cover Summary	Seventysixers
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Seventysixers \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Seventysixers

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Under system based on low totals

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Notable Trends

The Seventysixers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread at home

The Seventysixers are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pacers are 18.2% (2-9) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 10% (1-9) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pacers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Seventysixers (Home)

The Seventysixers are 59.1% (13-9-1) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 42.9% (6-8) against the spread at home

The Seventysixers are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread as a fav

The Seventysixers are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 52.2% (12-11) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 50% (7-7) to the over/under at home

The Seventysixers are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) to the over/under as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread at home

The Seventysixers are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Seventysixers are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Seventysixers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Pacers (Away)

The Pacers are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread

The Pacers are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread away

The Pacers are 55% (11-9) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 50% (5-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Pacers are 37.5% (9-15) to the over/under

The Pacers are 18.2% (2-9) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 40% (8-12) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 10% (1-9) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pacers are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Pacers are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Pacers are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Pacers are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Pacers are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/14/25	2024	Seventysixers	100	Home	Pacers	112	+13.0	233.0	+12	212
01/18/25	2024	Seventysixers	102	Away	Pacers	115	+10.5	225.5	+13	217
12/13/24	2024	Seventysixers	107	Home	Pacers	121	-7.0	227.5	+14	228
10/27/24	2024	Seventysixers	118	Away	Pacers	114	+8.5	230.5	-4	232
01/25/24	2023	Seventysixers	122	Away	Pacers	134	-5.5	237.5	+12	256
11/14/23	2023	Seventysixers	126	Home	Pacers	132	-6.5	241.5	+6	258
11/12/23	2023	Seventysixers	137	Home	Pacers	126	-6.5	237.5	-11	263
Seventysixers as Home (4 games)			117.5	-	-	122.8	-1.8	234.9	+5.3	240.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			116.0	-	-	122.0	+0.9	233.3	+6.0	238.0

Schedules

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Pacers	-	away	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Pacers	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Pacers	-	away	Seventysixers	-	+7.0	224.5	-	-
12/08/25	2025	Pacers	116	home	Kings	105	-4.0	232.0	-11	221
12/05/25	2025	Pacers	120	away	Bulls	105	+4.5	234.5	-15	225
12/03/25	2025	Pacers	120	home	Nuggets	135	+8.5	238.5	+15	255
12/01/25	2025	Pacers	119	home	Cavaliers	135	+4.5	230.5	+16	254
11/29/25	2025	Pacers	103	home	Bulls	101	+2.5	240.0	-2	204
11/28/25	2025	Pacers	119	home	Wizards	86	-6.0	240.5	-33	205
11/26/25	2025	Pacers	95	away	Raptors	97	+9.5	233.5	+2	192
11/24/25	2025	Pacers	117	home	Pistons	122	+9.5	236.5	+5	239
11/21/25	2025	Pacers	109	away	Cavaliers	120	+13.5	242.0	+11	229
11/19/25	2025	Pacers	127	home	Hornets	118	+1.5	238.5	-9	245
Away Games Avg (3 games)			108.0	-	-	107.3	+9.2	236.7	-0.7	215.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.5	-	-	112.4	+4.4	236.7	-2.1	226.9

Seventysixers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
12/19/25	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Pacers	-	-7.0	224.5	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Seventysixers	108	home	Lakers	112	+2.5	233.5	+4	220
12/05/25	2025	Seventysixers	116	away	Bucks	101	-1.0	221.5	-15	217
12/04/25	2025	Seventysixers	99	home	Warriors	98	-4.0	224.0	-1	197
12/02/25	2025	Seventysixers	121	home	Wizards	102	-13.5	234.5	-19	223
11/30/25	2025	Seventysixers	134	home	Hawks	142	-3.0	232.5	+8	276
11/28/25	2025	Seventysixers	115	away	Nets	103	-7.0	222.0	-12	218
11/25/25	2025	Seventysixers	103	home	Magic	144	+5.0	229.0	+41	247
11/23/25	2025	Seventysixers	117	home	Heat	127	+1.0	241.0	+10	244
11/20/25	2025	Seventysixers	123	away	Bucks	114	-2.5	223.5	-9	237
11/19/25	2025	Seventysixers	112	home	Raptors	121	+2.5	232.5	+9	233
Home Games Avg (7 games)			113.4	-	-	120.9	-1.4	232.4	+7.4	234.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.8	-	-	116.4	-2.0	229.4	+1.6	231.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Washington Wizards

Cavaliers: 14-11 (56.0%)

Wizards: 3-19 (13.6%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Wizards_Cavaliers
Teams: Wizards (Home) vs Cavaliers (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Cavaliers

57.19% probability

Total Recommendation

Over

58.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Cavaliers
Defensive Differentials	Cavaliers
Broad Feature	Cavaliers
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	Cavaliers
Pace Focused	Over
Total Summary	Over
OVERALL	Cavaliers \| Over

Spread Net Units

Cavaliers

Total Net Units

Over

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Wizards

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Over system based on well-rested teams

Notable Trends

The Wizards are 27.3% (6-16) against the spread

The Wizards are 20% (2-8) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 30% (6-14) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 25% (2-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 80% (8-2) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as a home dog

The Wizards are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

View All Records

Wizards (Home)

The Wizards are 27.3% (6-16) against the spread

The Wizards are 20% (2-8) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 30% (6-14) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 25% (2-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 63.6% (14-8) to the over/under

The Wizards are 80% (8-2) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 60% (12-8) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as a home dog

The Wizards are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) against the spread

The Wizards are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 38.5% (5-8) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Wizards are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 61.5% (8-5) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 32% (8-17) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 40% (4-6) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 31.8% (7-15) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 44% (11-14) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 45.5% (10-12) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 36.4% (4-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 36.4% (4-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 100% (2-0) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/07/25	2025	Wizards	114	Home	Cavaliers	148	+13.5	240.5	+34	262
02/07/25	2024	Wizards	124	Home	Cavaliers	134	+17.5	239.0	+10	258
12/13/24	2024	Wizards	105	Away	Cavaliers	115	+17.5	233.0	+10	220
12/03/24	2024	Wizards	87	Away	Cavaliers	118	+16.0	234.5	+31	205
10/26/24	2024	Wizards	116	Home	Cavaliers	135	+9.5	226.5	+19	251
02/25/24	2023	Wizards	105	Home	Cavaliers	114	+12.5	234.5	+9	219
02/07/24	2023	Wizards	106	Home	Cavaliers	114	+11.5	234.0	+8	220
01/05/24	2023	Wizards	90	Away	Cavaliers	114	+10.5	240.0	+24	204
01/03/24	2023	Wizards	101	Away	Cavaliers	140	+9.5	239.5	+39	241
Wizards as Home (5 games)			113.0	-	-	129.0	+12.9	234.9	+16.0	242.0
All Games Avg (9 games)			105.3	-	-	125.8	+13.1	235.7	+20.4	231.1

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
12/17/25	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Wizards	-	-15.0	245.0	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Cavaliers	94	home	Warriors	99	-8.5	230.0	+5	193
12/05/25	2025	Cavaliers	130	home	Spurs	117	-5.0	239.5	-13	247
12/03/25	2025	Cavaliers	110	home	Trailblazers	122	-10.0	243.5	+12	232
12/01/25	2025	Cavaliers	135	away	Pacers	119	-4.5	230.5	-16	254
11/30/25	2025	Cavaliers	115	home	Celtics	117	-7.0	235.0	+2	232
11/28/25	2025	Cavaliers	123	away	Hawks	130	-6.5	236.5	+7	253
11/24/25	2025	Cavaliers	99	away	Raptors	110	+2.0	231.5	+11	209
11/23/25	2025	Cavaliers	120	home	Clippers	105	-7.0	229.5	-15	225
11/21/25	2025	Cavaliers	120	home	Pacers	109	-13.5	242.0	-11	229
11/19/25	2025	Cavaliers	104	home	Rockets	114	+1.5	233.5	+10	218
Away Games Avg (3 games)			119.0	-	-	119.7	-3.0	232.8	+0.7	238.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.0	-	-	114.2	-5.9	235.2	-0.8	229.2

Wizards Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Wizards	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
12/17/25	2025	Wizards	-	away	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Wizards	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+15.0	245.0	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Wizards	116	home	Hawks	131	+9.5	237.5	+15	247
12/04/25	2025	Wizards	101	home	Celtics	146	+10.5	231.0	+45	247
12/02/25	2025	Wizards	102	away	Seventysixers	121	+13.5	234.5	+19	223
12/01/25	2025	Wizards	129	home	Bucks	126	+10.5	232.5	-3	255
11/28/25	2025	Wizards	86	away	Pacers	119	+6.0	240.5	+33	205
11/25/25	2025	Wizards	132	home	Hawks	113	+11.0	238.5	-19	245
11/22/25	2025	Wizards	120	away	Bulls	121	+13.0	246.0	+1	241
11/21/25	2025	Wizards	110	away	Raptors	140	+14.0	239.0	+30	250
11/19/25	2025	Wizards	109	away	Timberwolves	120	+16.5	239.5	+11	229
11/16/25	2025	Wizards	106	home	Nets	129	-3.0	231.0	+23	235
Home Games Avg (5 games)			116.8	-	-	129.0	+7.7	234.1	+12.2	245.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.1	-	-	126.6	+10.2	237.0	+15.5	237.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies

Jazz: 8-15 (34.8%)

Grizzlies: 11-13 (45.8%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Grizzlies_Jazz
Teams: Grizzlies (Home) vs Jazz (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Grizzlies

53.28% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Lean Grizzlies
Cover Summary	Grizzlies
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Grizzlies \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

0.5x

Grizzlies

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Jazz

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Over system based on recent totals

Notable Trends

The Grizzlies are 80% (8-2) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 30% (3-7) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Jazz are 30% (3-7) against the spread away

The Jazz are 25% (2-6) against the spread as an away dog

The Jazz are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Jazz are 100% (4-0) (L14) to the over/under away

View All Records

Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 45.8% (11-13) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 50% (6-6) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 80% (8-2) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (8-16) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (4-8) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 30% (3-7) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (2-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 100% (2-0) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 0% (0-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Jazz (Away)

The Jazz are 52.2% (12-11) against the spread

The Jazz are 30% (3-7) against the spread away

The Jazz are 47.4% (9-10) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 25% (2-6) against the spread as an away dog

The Jazz are 56.5% (13-10) to the over/under

The Jazz are 40% (4-6) to the over/under away

The Jazz are 52.6% (10-9) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 37.5% (3-5) to the over/under as an away dog

The Jazz are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Jazz are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Jazz are 41.7% (5-7) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 0% (0-3) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Jazz are 100% (4-0) (L14) to the over/under away

The Jazz are 66.7% (8-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 100% (3-0) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/25/25	2024	Grizzlies	140	Away	Jazz	103	-11.5	241.5	-37	243
03/12/25	2024	Grizzlies	122	Home	Jazz	115	-10.5	247.5	-7	237
01/25/25	2024	Grizzlies	125	Home	Jazz	103	-11.5	248.0	-22	228
10/23/24	2024	Grizzlies	126	Away	Jazz	124	-2.5	229.0	-2	250
11/29/23	2023	Grizzlies	105	Home	Jazz	91	-3.5	223.5	-14	196
11/10/23	2023	Grizzlies	121	Home	Jazz	127	-5.0	230.5	+6	248
11/01/23	2023	Grizzlies	109	Away	Jazz	133	+1.5	225.5	+24	242
Grizzlies as Home (4 games)			118.3	-	-	109.0	-7.6	237.4	-9.3	227.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			121.1	-	-	113.7	-6.1	235.1	-7.4	234.9

Schedules

Jazz Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Jazz	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Jazz	-	home	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Jazz	-	away	Grizzlies	-	+7.0	243.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Jazz	101	home	Thunder	131	+11.5	233.5	+30	232
12/05/25	2025	Jazz	112	away	Knicks	146	+16.0	243.0	+34	258
12/04/25	2025	Jazz	123	away	Nets	110	-5.0	231.0	-13	233
12/01/25	2025	Jazz	133	home	Rockets	125	+11.5	235.5	-8	258
11/30/25	2025	Jazz	101	home	Rockets	129	+11.5	233.5	+28	230
11/28/25	2025	Jazz	128	home	Kings	119	-2.5	242.0	-9	247
11/24/25	2025	Jazz	117	away	Warriors	134	+13.5	239.5	+17	251
11/23/25	2025	Jazz	106	home	Lakers	108	+9.0	245.0	+2	214
11/21/25	2025	Jazz	112	home	Thunder	144	+16.5	234.5	+32	256
11/18/25	2025	Jazz	126	away	Lakers	140	+12.5	239.5	+14	266
Away Games Avg (4 games)			119.5	-	-	132.5	+9.3	238.3	+13.0	252.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.9	-	-	128.6	+9.5	237.7	+12.7	244.5

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
12/17/25	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Jazz	-	-7.0	243.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Grizzlies	119	home	Trailblazers	96	-1.5	232.5	-23	215
12/05/25	2025	Grizzlies	107	home	Clippers	98	+2.0	223.0	-9	205
12/02/25	2025	Grizzlies	119	away	Spurs	126	+5.0	232.5	+7	245
11/30/25	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Kings	107	-3.0	233.5	-8	222
11/28/25	2025	Grizzlies	112	away	Clippers	107	+6.5	224.5	-5	219
11/26/25	2025	Grizzlies	133	away	Pelicans	128	-3.5	236.5	-5	261
11/24/25	2025	Grizzlies	115	home	Nuggets	125	+6.5	235.5	+10	240
11/22/25	2025	Grizzlies	102	away	Mavericks	96	-1.0	229.5	-6	198
11/20/25	2025	Grizzlies	137	home	Kings	96	-3.5	234.5	-41	233
11/18/25	2025	Grizzlies	101	away	Spurs	111	+6.5	234.5	+10	212
Home Games Avg (4 games)			119.5	-	-	103.8	+0.9	231.4	-15.8	223.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.0	-	-	109.0	+1.4	231.7	-7.0	225.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Dallas Mavericks

Nets: 6-17 (26.1%)

Mavericks: 9-16 (36.0%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Mavericks_Nets
Teams: Mavericks (Home) vs Nets (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Notable Trends

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Nets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Nets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Nets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Nets are 23.1% (3-10) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

The Mavericks are 50% (12-12-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Mavericks are 40% (10-15) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 40% (6-9) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 0% (0-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Mavericks are 53.8% (7-6-1) (L14) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 0% (0-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-1) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Mavericks are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 50% (4-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Nets (Away)

The Nets are 45.5% (10-12-1) against the spread

The Nets are 60% (6-4-1) against the spread away

The Nets are 42.9% (9-12-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 60% (6-4-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 39.1% (9-14) to the over/under

The Nets are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under away

The Nets are 40.9% (9-13) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nets are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Nets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Nets are 46.2% (6-7) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Nets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Nets are 23.1% (3-10) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/31/25	2024	Mavericks	109	Home	Nets	113	-9.5	219.0	+4	222
03/24/25	2024	Mavericks	120	Away	Nets	101	-3.0	218.0	-19	221
02/06/24	2023	Mavericks	119	Away	Nets	107	-3.5	236.5	-12	226
10/27/23	2023	Mavericks	125	Home	Nets	120	-6.0	230.0	-5	245
Mavericks as Home (2 games)			117.0	-	-	116.5	-7.8	224.5	-0.5	233.5
All Games Avg (4 games)			118.3	-	-	110.3	-5.5	225.9	-8.0	228.5

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/21/25	2025	Nets	-	home	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Nets	-	home	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Nets	-	away	Mavericks	-	+8.0	221.5	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Nets	119	home	Pelicans	101	-3.5	227.5	-18	220
12/04/25	2025	Nets	110	home	Jazz	123	+5.0	231.0	+13	233
12/03/25	2025	Nets	113	away	Bulls	103	+7.5	231.5	-10	216
12/01/25	2025	Nets	116	home	Hornets	103	+4.5	227.5	-13	219
11/29/25	2025	Nets	99	away	Bucks	116	+11.5	218.5	+17	215
11/28/25	2025	Nets	103	home	Seventysixers	115	+7.0	222.0	+12	218
11/24/25	2025	Nets	100	home	Knicks	113	+12.5	228.5	+13	213
11/23/25	2025	Nets	109	away	Raptors	119	+11.5	229.5	+10	228
11/21/25	2025	Nets	113	away	Celtics	105	+13.5	221.5	-8	218
11/18/25	2025	Nets	99	home	Celtics	113	+11.5	222.5	+14	212
Away Games Avg (4 games)			108.5	-	-	110.8	+11.0	225.3	+2.3	219.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.1	-	-	111.1	+8.1	226.0	+3.0	219.2

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Nets	-	-8.0	221.5	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Mavericks	122	home	Rockets	109	+6.5	221.5	-13	231
12/05/25	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Thunder	132	+15.5	229.0	+21	243
12/03/25	2025	Mavericks	118	home	Heat	108	+4.5	238.5	-10	226
12/01/25	2025	Mavericks	131	away	Nuggets	121	+11.5	235.5	-10	252
11/29/25	2025	Mavericks	114	away	Clippers	110	+9.5	224.5	-4	224
11/28/25	2025	Mavericks	119	away	Lakers	129	+10.0	232.5	+10	248
11/24/25	2025	Mavericks	102	away	Heat	106	+7.5	240.5	+4	208
11/22/25	2025	Mavericks	96	home	Grizzlies	102	+1.0	229.5	+6	198
11/21/25	2025	Mavericks	118	home	Pelicans	115	-3.5	234.0	-3	233
11/19/25	2025	Mavericks	111	home	Knicks	113	+8.5	233.5	+2	224
Home Games Avg (5 games)			113.0	-	-	109.4	+3.4	231.4	-3.6	222.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	114.5	+7.1	231.9	+0.3	228.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors

Timberwolves: 15-9 (62.5%)

Warriors: 13-12 (52.0%)

Line:

Total:

Bet Management

Loading existing bets...

Game ID: 2025-12-12_Warriors_Timberwolves
Teams: Warriors (Home) vs Timberwolves (Away)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Warriors

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)

Notable Trends

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

View All Records

Warriors (Home)

The Warriors are 52% (13-12) against the spread

The Warriors are 60% (6-4) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as a fav

The Warriors are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Warriors are 56% (14-11) to the over/under

The Warriors are 50% (5-5) to the over/under at home

The Warriors are 60% (9-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Warriors are 50% (4-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Warriors are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Warriors are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Warriors are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Warriors are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Warriors are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Warriors are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (8-16) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (4-8) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 45.8% (11-13) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 58.3% (7-5) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Timberwolves are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 0% (0-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Timberwolves are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/14/25	2024	Warriors	110	Away	Timberwolves	121	+9.5	203.0	+11	231
05/12/25	2024	Warriors	110	Home	Timberwolves	117	+4.5	201.5	+7	227
05/10/25	2024	Warriors	97	Home	Timberwolves	102	+5.5	201.5	+5	199
05/08/25	2024	Warriors	93	Away	Timberwolves	117	+11.0	202.0	+24	210
05/06/25	2024	Warriors	99	Away	Timberwolves	88	+6.0	210.0	-11	187
01/15/25	2024	Warriors	116	Away	Timberwolves	115	+7.0	217.0	-1	231
12/21/24	2024	Warriors	113	Away	Timberwolves	103	+4.0	218.0	-10	216
12/08/24	2024	Warriors	114	Home	Timberwolves	106	-1.5	215.5	-8	220
12/06/24	2024	Warriors	90	Home	Timberwolves	107	+1.5	219.5	+17	197
03/24/24	2023	Warriors	110	Away	Timberwolves	114	+2.0	220.0	+4	224
Warriors as Home (4 games)			102.8	-	-	108.0	+2.5	209.5	+5.3	210.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			105.2	-	-	109.0	+5.0	210.8	+3.8	214.2

Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
12/17/25	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Warriors	-	+4.0	229.0	-	-
12/08/25	2025	Timberwolves	105	home	Suns	108	-8.0	226.0	+3	213
12/06/25	2025	Timberwolves	109	home	Clippers	106	-8.5	227.5	-3	215
12/04/25	2025	Timberwolves	125	away	Pelicans	116	-11.5	233.5	-9	241
12/02/25	2025	Timberwolves	149	away	Pelicans	142	-12.5	229.5	-7	291
11/30/25	2025	Timberwolves	125	home	Spurs	112	-4.5	234.0	-13	237
11/29/25	2025	Timberwolves	119	home	Celtics	115	-6.0	229.5	-4	234
11/26/25	2025	Timberwolves	105	away	Thunder	113	+10.5	226.5	+8	218
11/24/25	2025	Timberwolves	112	away	Kings	117	-10.5	238.5	+5	229
11/21/25	2025	Timberwolves	113	away	Suns	114	-4.5	230.5	+1	227
11/19/25	2025	Timberwolves	120	home	Wizards	109	-16.5	239.5	-11	229
Away Games Avg (5 games)			120.8	-	-	120.4	-5.7	231.7	-0.4	241.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.2	-	-	115.2	-7.2	231.5	-3.0	233.4

Warriors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Warriors	-	home	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Warriors	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
12/12/25	2025	Warriors	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-4.0	229.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Warriors	123	away	Bulls	91	-1.5	229.5	-32	214
12/06/25	2025	Warriors	99	away	Cavaliers	94	+8.5	230.0	-5	193
12/04/25	2025	Warriors	98	away	Seventysixers	99	+4.0	224.0	+1	197
12/02/25	2025	Warriors	112	home	Thunder	124	+11.0	223.5	+12	236
11/29/25	2025	Warriors	104	home	Pelicans	96	-10.0	228.0	-8	200
11/26/25	2025	Warriors	100	home	Rockets	104	-3.5	224.5	+4	204
11/24/25	2025	Warriors	134	home	Jazz	117	-13.5	239.5	-17	251
11/21/25	2025	Warriors	123	home	Trailblazers	127	-10.5	237.0	+4	250
11/19/25	2025	Warriors	96	away	Heat	110	+10.5	234.5	+14	206
11/18/25	2025	Warriors	113	away	Magic	121	-2.5	223.5	+8	234
Home Games Avg (5 games)			114.6	-	-	113.6	-5.3	230.5	-1.0	228.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.2	-	-	108.3	-0.8	229.4	-1.9	218.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

NBA Season Algorithm Performance Analysis

Showing performance data for: From: October 21, 2025 To: December 11, 2025
Today's games are excluded to show only completed game results

Performance by Algorithm

Algorithm	High Confidence			Medium Confidence			Low Confidence			Total
Algorithm	Win%	Record	Units	Win%	Record	Units	Win%	Record	Units	Win%	Record	Units
Cover: Broad Feature (ID: 21)	-	-	-	58.5%	38-27	+7.58	-	-	-	58.5%	38-27	+7.58
Cover: Defensive Differentials (ID: 6)	-	-	-	60.5%	23-15	+5.93	-	-	-	60.5%	23-15	+5.93
Cover: Rating Differentials (ID: 5)	-	-	-	54.8%	51-42	+4.41	-	-	-	54.8%	51-42	+4.41
Cover: RMSE/MAE (ID: 30)	69.2%	18-8	+16.76	52.8%	28-25	+0.48	50.6%	41-40	-1.14	54.4%	87-73	+16.10
Total: Pace Focused (ID: 10)	-	-	-	55.6%	40-32	+4.40	-	-	-	55.6%	40-32	+4.40
OVERALL	69.2%	18-8	+16.76	56.1%	180-141	+22.80	50.6%	41-40	-1.14	55.8%	239-189	+38.42

7:00 p.m. Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Hornets

Bet Management

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Bulls

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Hornets

Situational Factor(s)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Hornets (Home)

Bulls (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Bulls Schedule

Hornets Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m. Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons

Bet Management

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

Hawks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Hawks Schedule

Pistons Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m. Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

Bet Management

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Seventysixers (Home)

Pacers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Pacers Schedule

Seventysixers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Washington Wizards

Bet Management

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Wizards

7:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Hornets

7:00 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons

7:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

7:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Washington Wizards

8:00 p.m.
Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies

8:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Dallas Mavericks

10:00 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors