Pistons @ Knicks [ Knicks -7.5 / 220.5 ]

Pistons | 44-38 (53.7%)
Knicks | 51-31 (62.2%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Knicks (-7.5) a 49.8-49% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 220.5 around 43.2-46.8% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Knicks have a 52.7% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 42.2% chance of going over the total.

Pistons Situational Notes
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Coming off an Overtime game

Baller Systems
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Knicks Situational Notes
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge

Baller Systems
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Pistons Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/21NYK-
-		-DET---
4/19NYKDET +7.5
NYK -7.5
220.5DET---
4/13MIL [ 140 ]DET -9
MIL +9
222.5DET [ 133 ]-7-16+50.5
4/11DET [ 119 ]DET -4.5
MIL +4.5
229.5MIL [ 125 ]-6-10.5+14.5
4/10DET [ 115 ]DET -3.5
NYK +3.5
228.5NYK [ 106 ]+9+5.5-7.5
4/7DET [ 117 ]DET -5.5
SAC +5.5
231SAC [ 127 ]-10-15.5+13
4/5DET [ 103 ]DET +1
MEM -1
239MEM [ 109 ]-6-5-27
4/4TOR [ 105 ]DET -10
TOR +10
226DET [ 117 ]+12+2-4
4/2OKC [ 119 ]DET +12.5
OKC -12.5
233.5DET [ 103 ]-16-3.5-11.5
3/30MIN [ 123 ]DET +8
MIN -8
224.5DET [ 104 ]-19-11+2.5
Knicks Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/21NYK-
-		-DET---
4/19NYKNYK -7.5
DET +7.5
220.5DET---
4/13BKN [ 105 ]NYK -4.5
BKN +4.5
210NYK [ 113 ]+8+3.5+8
4/11NYK [ 102 ]NYK -3.5
CLE +3.5
223.5CLE [ 108 ]-6-9.5-13.5
4/10DET [ 115 ]NYK +3.5
DET -3.5
228.5NYK [ 106 ]-9-5.5-7.5
4/8NYK [ 117 ]NYK +2
BOS -2
224.5BOS [ 119 ]-20+11.5
4/6NYK [ 112 ]NYK -9.5
PHO +9.5
226PHO [ 98 ]+14+4.5-16
4/5ATL [ 105 ]NYK -1.5
ATL +1.5
235.5NYK [ 121 ]+16+14.5-9.5
4/2CLE [ 124 ]NYK +10.5
CLE -10.5
230.5NYK [ 105 ]-19-8.5-1.5
4/1NYK [ 105 ]NYK -13
PHI +13
219PHI [ 91 ]+14+1-23
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginPaceOrtgDrtgNetTot
4/21NYK-
-		-DET----
-
-
-
-
4/19NYKNYK -7.5
DET +7.5
220.5DET----
-
-
-
-
4/10DET [ 115 ]NYK +3.5
DET -3.5
228.5NYK [ 106 ]-9-5.5-7.594
112.8
122.3
-9.6
221
1/13NYK [ 119 ]NYK -8.5
DET +8.5
225DET [ 124 ]-5-13.5+1897.5
122.1
127.2
-5.1
243
12/7NYK [ 111 ]NYK -8
DET +8
223DET [ 120 ]-9-17+899.3
111.8
120.9
-9.1
231
11/1DET [ 98 ]NYK -6
DET +6
218NYK [ 128 ]+30+24+898.5
130
99.5
30.5
226
3/25NYK [ 124 ]NYK -16.5
DET +16.5
209DET [ 99 ]+25+8.5+1498.8
125.5
100.2
25.3
223
2/26DET [ 111 ]NYK -11
DET +11
223NYK [ 113 ]+2-9+196.1
117.6
115.5
2.1
224
11/30NYK [ 118 ]NYK -15
DET +15
219.5DET [ 112 ]+6-9+10.598
120.4
114.2
6.1
230
1/15DET [ 104 ]NYK -9
DET +9
225NYK [ 117 ]+13+4-489.7
130.4
115.9
14.5
221
11/29DET [ 110 ]NYK -5
DET +5
226.5NYK [ 140 ]+30+25+23.599.4
140.8
110.7
30.2
250

Efficiency
Pistons
(81 game/s)		 Knicks
(81 game/s)
0.54 (14)Win Percentage0.62 (5)
0.54 (8)ATS Win%0.47 (22)
0.5 (21)OU%0.52 (18)
-Strength of Schedule-
114.48 (17)Offensive Rating117.83 (5)
112.77 (10)Defensive Rating114.69 (16)
100.06 (9)Pace96.87 (25)
1.77 (20)A/TO Ratio2.07 (7)

Four Factors
Pistons
(81 game/s)		 Knicks
(81 game/s)
54.67 (16)EFG%55.66 (9)
53.68 (10)EFG% Allowed54.83 (22)
24.97 (11)FT Rate23.1 (25)
27.61 (27)FT Rate Allowed22.17 (4)
26.18 (10)OReb%26.02 (12)
24.02 (9)OReb% Allowed25.61 (21)
14.77 (19)TO Rate13.51 (7)
14.92 (11)TO Rate Forced14.82 (13)

Scoring
Pistons
(81 game/s)		 Knicks
(81 game/s)
115.28 (11)PPG115.81 (9)
113.27 (14)PPG Allowed111.77 (9)
18.9 (6)Pts off TO19.21 (4)
17.67 (18)Pts off TO Allowed15.73 (3)
14.83 (10)2nd Chance Pts14.37 (13)
14.58 (18)2nd Chance Pts Allowed12.84 (5)
18.73 (2)Fast Break Pts15.73 (14)
14.44 (9)Fast Break Pts Allowed14.49 (10)

Inside the Arc
Pistons
(81 game/s)		 Knicks
(81 game/s)
45.75 (7)Paint Attempts45.05 (8)
41.98 (10)Paint Attempts Allowed43.22 (19)
57.56 (14)Paint FG%58.54 (8)
55.09 (5)Paint FG% Allowed58.1 (23)
8.6 (15)Mid-Range Attempts10.21 (6)
8.81 (17)Mid-Range Attempts Allowed8.99 (21)
40.6 (21)Mid-Range FG%44.14 (5)
43 (23)Mid-Range FG% Allowed38.32 (2)

Three Point Shooting
Pistons
(81 game/s)		 Knicks
(81 game/s)
8.74 (23)Corner 3 Attempts10.16 (12)
9.73 (18)Corner 3 Attempts Allowed9.14 (9)
37.71 (22)Corner 3 FG%38.15 (19)
36.68 (2)Corner 3 FG% Allowed40.95 (28)
26.3 (20)ATB3 Attempts23.6 (30)
27.28 (11)ATB3 Attempts Allowed26.38 (6)
36.29 (11)ATB3 FG%36.66 (8)
36.52 (27)ATB3 FG% Allowed35.42 (18)


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h39-38-410-10-110-9-111-4-18-15-19-6-08-7-09-9-38-9-0
Pistons 44-3714-78-1212-410-1411-46-911-109-8
Knicks 1h49-29-325-10-13-2-014-11-27-6-010-3-210-4-111-7-211-7-1
Knicks 50-3127-90-519-84-911-46-911-98-11

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h46-35-010-11-012-8-010-6-014-10-09-6-08-7-012-9-09-8-0
Pistons 43-37-18-13-011-9-011-5-013-10-110-4-19-6-011-9-110-7-0
Knicks 1h43-37-121-15-03-2-012-14-17-6-09-6-09-6-011-9-010-9-0
Knicks 36-41-419-15-20-4-112-14-15-8-08-6-12-12-110-9-14-14-1

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h49-29-315-6-011-9-08-6-215-8-17-6-29-6-016-5-09-8-0
Pistons 40-40-111-9-19-11-07-9-013-11-06-9-07-7-110-11-06-11-0
Knicks 1h33-48-013-23-00-5-013-14-07-6-07-8-08-7-06-14-08-11-0
Knicks 41-38-218-17-14-1-014-13-05-7-14-10-19-6-08-11-18-11-0

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h50-31-012-9-010-10-012-4-016-8-011-4-010-5-014-7-09-8-0
Pistons 46-35-011-10-010-10-012-4-013-11-07-8-010-5-010-11-010-7-0
Knicks 1h39-42-017-19-02-3-011-16-09-4-08-7-09-6-011-9-08-11-0
Knicks 39-42-019-17-02-3-014-13-04-9-06-9-08-7-08-12-07-12-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h40-39-212-9-08-12-07-7-213-11-07-7-17-7-111-9-18-8-1
Pistons 36-45-012-9-08-12-05-11-011-13-05-10-07-8-08-13-06-11-0
Knicks 1h37-44-017-19-02-3-014-13-04-9-07-8-07-8-09-11-09-10-0
Knicks 38-41-215-21-04-0-115-12-04-8-14-11-010-5-011-8-110-9-0


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Pistons0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)
Knicks0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)