Brewers @ Rays [ Rays -142 / 9 ]

Brewers | 19-21 (47.5%) Chad Patrick (R) | 2-3 | WHIP: 1.25 | ERA: 3.19
Rays | 18-21 (46.2%) Drew Rasmussen (R) | 1-4 | WHIP: 1.05 | ERA: 3.38

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Brewers
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Team Batting:
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Rays
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Brewers Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Rays Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win

Brewers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12CLE [ 5 ]Ben Lively (R)MIL -130
CLE +102		8MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
5/11TBR [ 2 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)MIL +120
TBR -142		9MIL [ 4 ]Chad Patrick (R)
5/10TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)MIL +110
TBR -118		9.5MIL [ 2 ]Tobias Myers (R)
5/9TBR [ 4 ]Zack Littell (R)MIL -116
TBR -100		9.5MIL [ 3 ]Jose Quintana (L)
5/7MIL [ 1 ]Quinn Priester (R)MIL +116
HOU -136		7.5HOU [ 9 ]Framber Valdez (L)
5/6MIL [ 4 ]Chad Patrick (R)MIL -122
HOU +104		8HOU [ 3 ]Hayden Wesneski (R)
5/5MIL [ 5 ]Tobias Myers (R)MIL -108
HOU -108		8.5HOU [ 1 ]Ronel Blanco (R)
5/4MIL [ 4 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -106
CHC -110		7.5CHC [ 0 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/3MIL [ 2 ]Jose Quintana (L)MIL -110
CHC -110		9CHC [ 6 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/2MIL [ 0 ]Tyler Alexander (L)MIL +104
CHC -122		9CHC [ 10 ]Ben Brown (R)
Rays Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/13TOR [ 0 ]Jose Berrios (R)TBR +108
TOR -126		8TBR [ 0 ]Shane Baz (R)
5/11TBR [ 2 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)TBR -142
MIL +120		9MIL [ 4 ]Chad Patrick (R)
5/10TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)TBR -130
MIL -100		9.5MIL [ 2 ]Tobias Myers (R)
5/9TBR [ 4 ]Zack Littell (R)TBR -102
MIL -118		9.5MIL [ 3 ]Jose Quintana (L)
5/8TBR [ 6 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)TBR +134
PHI -158		8.5PHI [ 7 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
5/7TBR [ 0 ]Shane Baz (R)TBR +114
PHI -166		8.5PHI [ 7 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
5/6TBR [ 4 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)TBR +110
PHI -130		7.5PHI [ 8 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
5/4NYY [ 5 ]Will Warren (R)TBR +140
NYY -166		8.5TBR [ 7 ]Taj Bradley (R)
5/3NYY [ 2 ]Ryan Yarbrough (L)TBR +154
NYY -200		9.5TBR [ 3 ]Zack Littell (R)
5/2NYY [ 3 ]Max Fried (L)TBR +168
NYY -240		8.5TBR [ 0 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)

Chad Patrick Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/6MIL [ 4 ]HOU [ 3 ]-12286.67614133Hayden Wesneski (R)
5/1CHW [ 8 ]MIL [ 0 ]-1628.55.67406033Sean Burke (R)
4/25STL [ 3 ]MIL [ 2 ]11084.33224022Matthew Liberatore (L)
4/19MIL [ 1 ]ATH [ 3 ]-1328.56707122Luis Severino (R)
4/12ARI [ 5 ]MIL [ 4 ]1509.54.33325000Corbin Burnes (R)
5.44.415.20.422
Drew Rasmussen Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/6TBR [ 4 ]PHI [ 8 ]1107.54.33225233Zack Wheeler (R)
4/30TBR [ 0 ]KCR [ 3 ]-1848.55316133Noah Cameron (L)
4/24ARI [ 4 ]TBR [ 7 ]1188.55515144Corbin Burnes (R)
4/18TBR [ 0 ]NYY [ 1 ]-10085.67733011Carlos Rodon (L)
4/12TBR [ 4 ]ATL [ 5 ]-1428.55714000AJ Smith-Shawver (R)
54.81.64.60.82.22.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Chad Patrick F54-2-1 (66.7%)3-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Chad Patrick3-4 (42.9%)3-1 (75%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Drew Rasmussen F52-4-1 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-1 (-)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Drew Rasmussen2-5 (28.6%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Chad Patrick F51-6-0 (14.3%)1-3-0 (25%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Chad Patrick1-6-0 (14.3%)1-3-0 (25%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Drew Rasmussen F52-5-0 (28.6%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)
Drew Rasmussen3-4-0 (42.9%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F515-8-6 (65.2%)7-1-1 (87.5%)1-2-3 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-2-2 (71.4%)
Brewers vs. RHP14-15 (48.3%)7-2 (77.8%)3-3 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)2-7 (22.2%)
Rays vs. RHP F510-13-3 (43.5%)6-7-1 (46.2%)1-0-1 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Rays vs. RHP12-14 (46.2%)7-7 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)4-3 (57.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F511-17-1 (39.3%)2-7-0 (22.2%)2-4-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-4-1 (50%)
Brewers vs. RHP11-16-2 (40.7%)2-6-1 (25%)3-3-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-4-1 (50%)
Rays vs. RHP F511-14-1 (44%)6-8-0 (42.9%)1-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)2-4-1 (33.3%)
Rays vs. RHP11-13-2 (45.8%)7-6-1 (53.8%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)3-4-0 (42.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Chad Patrick4-3 (57.1%)2-2 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Brewers20-21 (48.8%)5-8 (38.5%)4-3 (57.1%)2-4 (33.3%)9-6 (60%)
Drew Rasmussen3-4 (42.9%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)
Rays17-21 (44.7%)6-12 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)4-4 (50%)6-4 (60%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Chad Patrick2-5 (28.6%)1-3 (25%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Brewers20-23 (46.5%)5-8 (38.5%)5-2 (71.4%)3-3 (50%)6-9 (40%)
Drew Rasmussen3-4 (42.9%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Rays21-18 (53.8%)12-6 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)4-4 (50%)4-6 (40%)


Batting Matchup
BrewersRays
42TG40
4.4R/G3.8
35HR32
0.233AVG0.241
54SB47
12CS10
BrewersRays
0.12ISO0.119
0.28BABIP0.297
0.311OBP0.308
0.353SLG0.361
0.298wOBA0.299
88wRC+95
BrewersRays
9.2BB%8.6
21.3K%23
0.43BB/K0.38
5.9Barrel%6.9
38.3HardHit%39.4
3.7WAR3.9

Pitching Matchup
Chad PatrickDrew Rasmussen
9G8
8GS8
42.1IP40
4.7IP/G5
2W1
3L4
80.6LOB%81.5
Chad PatrickDrew Rasmussen
7.65K/97.88
2.98BB/92.25
12.6K/BB%15.8
26.2GB%49.1
47.5FB%33.6
0.85HR/91.35
6.9HR/FB%16.2
Chad PatrickDrew Rasmussen
0.292BABIP0.248
3.19ERA3.38
3.86xERA3.84
3.7FIP4.21
4.42xFIP3.57
1.25WHIP1.05
4.4SIERA3.65
1WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup
BrewersRays
3.57BPU/G3.3
3.8IP/G3.5
5W6
8L5
7SV11
3BS5
66.1LOB%79
BrewersRays
8.76K/98.27
4.3BB/92.91
11.5K/BB%14.4
42.5GB%45
39.6FB%34.8
0.89HR/91.16
9.1HR/FB%13.2
BrewersRays
0.283BABIP0.269
4.63ERA3.23
4.03FIP4.07
4.29xFIP3.78
1.35WHIP1.18
3.94SIERA3.51
1WAR0.5