Phillies @ Guardians [ Guardians +144 / 7.5 ]

Phillies | 23-16 (59%) Zack Wheeler (R) | 4-1 | WHIP: 0.91 | ERA: 2.95
Guardians | 23-16 (59%) Luis Ortiz (R) | 2-4 | WHIP: 1.36 | ERA: 4.78

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Phillies
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Guardians
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Phillies Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Phillies Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12PHI [ 2 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)PHI -180
STL +152		8.5STL [ 3 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)
5/11CLE [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)PHI -172
CLE +144		7.5PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
5/10CLE [ 1 ]Tanner Bibee (R)PHI -124
CLE +112		7.5PHI [ 7 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
5/9CLE [ 6 ]Gavin Williams (R)PHI -124
CLE -102		7.5PHI [ 0 ]Aaron Nola (R)
5/8TBR [ 6 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)PHI -158
TBR +134		8.5PHI [ 7 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
5/7TBR [ 0 ]Shane Baz (R)PHI -134
TBR +140		8.5PHI [ 7 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
5/6TBR [ 4 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)PHI -130
TBR +110		7.5PHI [ 8 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
5/4PHI [ 9 ]Ranger Suarez (L)PHI -148
ARI +126		9ARI [ 11 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
5/3PHI [ 7 ]Aaron Nola (R)PHI -125
ARI +105		9.5ARI [ 2 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
5/2PHI [ 3 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)PHI -148
ARI +128		9ARI [ 2 ]Merrill Kelly (R)
Guardians Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12CLE [ 5 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE +110
MIL -120		8MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
5/11CLE [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)CLE +144
PHI -172		7.5PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
5/10CLE [ 1 ]Tanner Bibee (R)CLE +106
PHI -132		7.5PHI [ 7 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
5/9CLE [ 6 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE +106
PHI -116		7.5PHI [ 0 ]Aaron Nola (R)
5/7WSN [ 6 ]Michael Soroka (R)CLE -126
WSN -108		9CLE [ 8 ]Logan Allen (L)
5/6WSN [ 1 ]Brad Lord (R)CLE -110
WSN -106		9.5CLE [ 9 ]Ben Lively (R)
5/6WSN [ 10 ]Jake Irvin (R)CLE -118
WSN -100		9CLE [ 9 ]Luis Ortiz (R)
5/6WSN [ 0 ]Brad Lord (R)CLE -127
WSN +108		9.5CLE [ 0 ]Ben Lively (R)
5/5WSN [ 0 ]Jake Irvin (R)CLE -120
WSN +102		9CLE [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)
5/4TOR [ 4 ]Bowden Francis (R)CLE -112
TOR -104		8.5CLE [ 5 ]Tanner Bibee (R)

Zack Wheeler Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/6TBR [ 4 ]PHI [ 8 ]-1307.57904122Drew Rasmussen (R)
4/29PHI [ 7 ]WSN [ 6 ]-1968.56.67715122MacKenzie Gore (L)
4/23NYM [ 4 ]PHI [ 3 ]-1167.56925122David Peterson (L)
4/18PHI [ 7 ]MIA [ 2 ]-240871305122Sandy Alcantara (R)
4/13STL [ 7 ]PHI [ 0 ]-16886317144Matthew Liberatore (L)
6.538.20.85.212.42.4
Luis Ortiz Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/6WSN [ 10 ]CLE [ 9 ]-11895.33435156Jake Irvin (R)
5/5WSN [ 0 ]CLE [ 0 ]-12090000000Jake Irvin (R)
4/30CLE [ 4 ]MIN [ 2 ]11276.33523000Pablo Lopez (R)
4/23CLE [ 1 ]NYY [ 5 ]1448.54.33855044Carlos Rodon (L)
4/18PIT [ 7 ]CLE [ 10 ]-1308.55834122Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
4.252.63.40.42.22.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Wheeler F55-2-1 (71.4%)3-0-0 (100%)1-2-1 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Zack Wheeler5-3 (62.5%)3-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)
Luis Ortiz F50-2-2 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)0-0-1 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Luis Ortiz1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Wheeler F53-4-1 (42.9%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-2-1 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Zack Wheeler5-3-0 (62.5%)2-1-0 (66.7%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Luis Ortiz F52-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Luis Ortiz2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F515-8-7 (65.2%)8-2-3 (80%)5-4-1 (55.6%)2-0-0 (100%)0-2-3 (0%)
Phillies vs. RHP20-10 (66.7%)9-4 (69.2%)7-3 (70%)2-0 (100%)2-3 (40%)
Guardians vs. RHP F513-13-6 (50%)3-2-2 (60%)2-2-2 (50%)3-2-2 (60%)5-6-0 (45.5%)
Guardians vs. RHP21-11 (65.6%)6-1 (85.7%)4-2 (66.7%)5-2 (71.4%)5-6 (45.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F511-17-1 (39.3%)7-6-0 (53.8%)3-6-1 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)0-4-0 (0%)
Phillies vs. RHP13-16-1 (44.8%)7-6-0 (53.8%)4-5-1 (44.4%)1-1-0 (50%)1-4-0 (20%)
Guardians vs. RHP F514-16-2 (46.7%)2-4-1 (33.3%)5-1-0 (83.3%)4-2-1 (66.7%)3-8-0 (27.3%)
Guardians vs. RHP18-13-1 (58.1%)2-5-0 (28.6%)6-0-0 (100%)4-3-0 (57.1%)5-5-1 (50%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Wheeler4-4 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)2-2 (50%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)
Phillies20-19 (51.3%)8-9 (47.1%)7-7 (50%)2-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Luis Ortiz1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
Guardians18-21 (46.2%)3-5 (37.5%)3-4 (42.9%)5-5 (50%)7-7 (50%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Wheeler3-5 (37.5%)2-1 (66.7%)0-4 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Phillies18-21 (46.2%)10-7 (58.8%)3-11 (21.4%)2-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Luis Ortiz3-1 (75%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Guardians17-23 (42.5%)4-4 (50%)5-2 (71.4%)4-6 (40%)4-10 (28.6%)


Batting Matchup
PhilliesGuardians
41TG41
4.7R/G4.1
42HR45
0.257AVG0.233
37SB35
8CS10
PhilliesGuardians
0.143ISO0.146
0.306BABIP0.271
0.335OBP0.307
0.4SLG0.379
0.326wOBA0.304
107wRC+96
PhilliesGuardians
9.8BB%9
20.8K%21.6
0.47BB/K0.42
8.6Barrel%7.5
44.1HardHit%36.4
5.4WAR4.4

Pitching Matchup
Zack WheelerLuis Ortiz
9G8
9GS8
58IP43.1
6.4IP/G5.4
4W2
1L4
82.2LOB%69.2
Zack WheelerLuis Ortiz
11.48K/910.18
1.71BB/94.36
28.3K/BB%14.9
39.3GB%42.4
40.7FB%40.7
1.24HR/91.25
14.5HR/FB%12.5
Zack WheelerLuis Ortiz
0.266BABIP0.286
2.95ERA4.78
2.36xERA5.18
3.02FIP4.1
2.58xFIP3.87
0.91WHIP1.36
2.48SIERA3.93
1.5WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup
PhilliesGuardians
3.2BPU/G3.51
3.3IP/G3.7
10W13
6L3
12SV13
8BS5
67LOB%72.5
PhilliesGuardians
9.45K/99.37
3.08BB/93.34
16.3K/BB%15.4
40.3GB%35.9
41.3FB%38.1
1.14HR/90.88
10.8HR/FB%8.9
PhilliesGuardians
0.313BABIP0.33
4.62ERA3.92
3.79FIP3.55
3.81xFIP3.84
1.34WHIP1.39
3.38SIERA3.49
1.5WAR1.4