Cubs @ Mets [ Mets -130 / 8 ]

Cubs | 20-15 (57.1%) Matthew Boyd (L) | 3-2 | WHIP: 1.30 | ERA: 2.78
Mets | 25-15 (62.5%) Griffin Canning (R) | 5-1 | WHIP: 1.26 | ERA: 2.36

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Cubs
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Mets
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Cubs Situational Notes

Mets Situational Notes

Cubs Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12CHC [ 5 ]Colin Rea (R)CHC -255
MIA +210		8MIA [ 2 ]Cal Quantrill (R)
5/11NYM [ 6 ]Griffin Canning (R)CHC +110
NYM -130		8CHC [ 2 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
5/10NYM [ 5 ]Tylor Megill (R)CHC +130
NYM -162		8.5CHC [ 6 ]Brad Keller (R)
5/9NYM [ 7 ]Clay Holmes (R)CHC +130
NYM -142		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/7CHC [ 1 ]Ben Brown (R)CHC -164
SFG +138		7.5SFG [ 3 ]Robbie Ray (L)
5/6CHC [ 5 ]Colin Rea (R)CHC -148
SFG +126		8SFG [ 14 ]Justin Verlander (R)
5/5CHC [ 9 ]Matthew Boyd (L)CHC -172
SFG +144		7.5SFG [ 2 ]Landen Roupp (R)
5/4MIL [ 4 ]Freddy Peralta (R)CHC -110
MIL -106		7.5CHC [ 0 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/3MIL [ 2 ]Jose Quintana (L)CHC -110
MIL -110		9CHC [ 6 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/2MIL [ 0 ]Tyler Alexander (L)CHC -122
MIL +104		9CHC [ 10 ]Ben Brown (R)
Mets Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12NYM [ 4 ]David Peterson (L)NYM -138
PIT +140		7PIT [ 3 ]Paul Skenes (R)
5/11NYM [ 6 ]Griffin Canning (R)NYM -130
CHC +110		8CHC [ 2 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
5/10NYM [ 5 ]Tylor Megill (R)NYM -154
CHC +136		8.5CHC [ 6 ]Brad Keller (R)
5/9NYM [ 7 ]Clay Holmes (R)NYM -154
CHC +120		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/7ARI [ 1 ]Merrill Kelly (R)NYM -116
ARI -102		9NYM [ 7 ]Kodai Senga (R)
5/6ARI [ 5 ]Zac Gallen (R)NYM -104
ARI -112		9NYM [ 1 ]David Peterson (L)
5/5ARI [ 4 ]Ryne Nelson (R)NYM -102
ARI -116		10NYM [ 5 ]Griffin Canning (R)
5/4STL [ 5 ]Andre Pallante (R)NYM -162
STL +136		7.5NYM [ 4 ]Tylor Megill (R)
5/4STL [ 6 ]Erick Fedde (R)NYM -120
STL +102		8.5NYM [ 5 ]Blade Tidwell (R)
5/4STL [ 0 ]Andre Pallante (R)NYM -150
STL +125		8NYM [ 0 ]Tylor Megill (R)

Matthew Boyd Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/5CHC [ 9 ]SFG [ 2 ]-1727.56705122Landen Roupp (R)
4/30PIT [ 4 ]CHC [ 3 ]-1748.55636022Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
4/23CHC [ 7 ]LAD [ 6 ]-126964110236Ben Casparius (R)
4/16SDP [ 4 ]CHC [ 2 ]-1087.55.33326022Nick Pivetta (R)
4/11LAD [ 3 ]CHC [ 0 ]1508.56734133Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
5.675.41.86.20.82.43
Griffin Canning Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/5ARI [ 4 ]NYM [ 5 ]-102105616111Ryne Nelson (R)
4/28WSN [ 5 ]NYM [ 19 ]-1769.55534000Trevor Williams (R)
4/22NYM [ 5 ]PHI [ 1 ]11685517011Cristopher Sanchez (L)
4/17NYM [ 4 ]STL [ 1 ]-1367.56823011Andre Pallante (R)
4/11ATH [ 6 ]NYM [ 7 ]-1269.55.33337144JP Sears (L)
5.275.425.40.41.41.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Matthew Boyd F55-1-1 (83.3%)3-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-1 (100%)
Matthew Boyd3-4 (42.9%)3-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Griffin Canning F55-2-0 (71.4%)1-1-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)
Griffin Canning6-1 (85.7%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Matthew Boyd F54-3-0 (57.1%)3-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Matthew Boyd4-3-0 (57.1%)3-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Griffin Canning F51-6-0 (14.3%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)
Griffin Canning2-5-0 (28.6%)0-2-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F518-8-5 (69.2%)7-2-2 (77.8%)3-1-1 (75%)2-0-0 (100%)6-2-2 (75%)
Cubs vs. RHP18-13 (58.1%)7-4 (63.6%)3-2 (60%)2-0 (100%)6-4 (60%)
Mets vs. LHP F55-1-0 (83.3%)2-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Mets vs. LHP4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F518-10-2 (64.3%)7-2-1 (77.8%)3-2-0 (60%)1-1-0 (50%)5-4-1 (55.6%)
Cubs vs. RHP18-12-1 (60%)7-4-0 (63.6%)2-3-0 (40%)2-0-0 (100%)6-3-1 (66.7%)
Mets vs. LHP F52-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Mets vs. LHP3-3-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Matthew Boyd2-4 (33.3%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Cubs20-18 (52.6%)7-7 (50%)4-3 (57.1%)2-1 (66.7%)7-5 (58.3%)
Griffin Canning5-2 (71.4%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)
Mets22-17 (56.4%)8-7 (53.3%)6-8 (42.9%)3-0 (100%)5-2 (71.4%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Matthew Boyd1-6 (14.3%)0-3 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Cubs16-24 (40%)6-8 (42.9%)4-3 (57.1%)1-2 (33.3%)4-8 (33.3%)
Griffin Canning2-5 (28.6%)0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Mets15-25 (37.5%)6-9 (40%)6-8 (42.9%)1-2 (33.3%)1-6 (14.3%)


Batting Matchup
CubsMets
42TG42
5.7R/G4.8
61HR51
0.253AVG0.255
50SB31
10CS5
CubsMets
0.189ISO0.178
0.287BABIP0.292
0.33OBP0.334
0.441SLG0.433
0.339wOBA0.337
118wRC+118
CubsMets
9.9BB%9.4
20.5K%19.8
0.48BB/K0.47
9.6Barrel%9.8
40.2HardHit%45.4
9.4WAR8.6

Pitching Matchup
Matthew BoydGriffin Canning
8G8
8GS8
45.1IP42
5.6IP/G5.3
3W5
2L1
82.5LOB%88.6
Matthew BoydGriffin Canning
8.93K/99
2.58BB/93.43
16.7K/BB%14.9
35.2GB%53.9
42.2FB%28.7
0.99HR/90.86
9.3HR/FB%12.1
Matthew BoydGriffin Canning
0.331BABIP0.295
2.78ERA2.36
3.55xERA3.55
3.75FIP3.49
4xFIP3.37
1.3WHIP1.26
3.74SIERA3.66
0.8WAR0.7

Bullpen Matchup
CubsMets
3.45BPU/G3.24
3.7IP/G3.7
7W8
9L5
10SV11
7BS7
66LOB%74.6
CubsMets
7.71K/99.06
4.27BB/93.15
8.8K/BB%15.8
42.3GB%42.5
37.2FB%37.8
0.82HR/90.69
8.3HR/FB%7.5
CubsMets
0.291BABIP0.281
4.68ERA3.1
4.14FIP3.26
4.51xFIP3.72
1.41WHIP1.18
4.25SIERA3.4
0.5WAR2.2