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Twins @ Red Sox [ +122 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 22, 2024, 12:35 pm
Twins | 82-80 (50.6%), Pablo Lopez (R) | 15-10 (60%)
Red Sox | 81-80 (50.3%), Nick Pivetta (R) | 6-12 (33.33%)

Last updated: September 24, 2024 2:09 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Red Sox
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Twins Situational Notes

Red Sox Situational Notes

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/24MINBailey Ober (R)MIN -245
MIA +200		8MIARyan Weathers (L)
9/22BOSNick Pivetta (R)MIN -144
BOS +122		7.5MINPablo Lopez (R)
9/22BOSKutter Crawford (R)MIN -120
BOS +102		8MINZebby Matthews (R)
9/21BOS [ 0 ]Kutter Crawford (R)MIN -132
BOS +132		8MIN [ 0 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
9/20BOS [ 2 ]Richard Fitts (R)MIN -116
BOS -100		9MIN [ 4 ]David Festa (R)
9/19CLE [ 3 ]Joey Cantillo (L)MIN -110
CLE -106		8MIN [ 2 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
9/18CLE [ 5 ]Tanner Bibee (R)MIN +102
CLE -130		7.5MIN [ 4 ]Bailey Ober (R)
9/17CLE [ 1 ]Gavin Williams (R)MIN +108
CLE -136		8.5MIN [ 4 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
9/16CLE [ 4 ]Matthew Boyd (L)MIN -118
CLE -100		7.5MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
9/15MIN [ 9 ]David Festa (R)MIN -174
CIN +146		8.5CIN [ 2 ]Rhett Lowder (R)

Red Sox Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/23TORChris Bassitt (R)BOS -104
TOR -116		8BOSTanner Houck (R)
9/22BOSNick Pivetta (R)BOS +122
MIN -144		7.5MINPablo Lopez (R)
9/22BOSKutter Crawford (R)BOS +102
MIN -120		8MINZebby Matthews (R)
9/21BOS [ 0 ]Kutter Crawford (R)BOS +112
MIN -156		8MIN [ 0 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
9/20BOS [ 2 ]Richard Fitts (R)BOS -102
MIN -118		9MIN [ 4 ]David Festa (R)
9/19TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)BOS -112
TBR -104		8BOS [ 0 ]Brayan Bello (R)
9/18TBR [ 1 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)BOS -102
TBR -110		7.5BOS [ 2 ]Tanner Houck (R)
9/17TBR [ 8 ]Shane Baz (R)BOS -106
TBR +110		7.5BOS [ 3 ]Nick Pivetta (R)
9/15NYY [ 5 ]Carlos Rodon (L)BOS +146
NYY -174		8.5BOS [ 2 ]Kutter Crawford (R)
9/14NYY [ 1 ]Gerrit Cole (R)BOS +154
NYY -196		8.5BOS [ 7 ]Brayan Bello (R)

Pablo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/21BOS [ 0 ]MIN [ 0 ]-13280000000Kutter Crawford (R)
9/16CLE [ 4 ]MIN [ 3 ]-1187.56.33428022Matthew Boyd (L)
9/10MIN [ 10 ]LAA [ 5 ]-260871018104Griffin Canning (R)
9/5TBR [ 3 ]MIN [ 4 ]-14276.67917033Taj Bradley (R)
8/30MIN [ 2 ]TOR [ 0 ]-1887.57.67306000Kevin Gausman (R)
5.535.20.85.80.211.8

Nick Pivetta Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/17TBR [ 8 ]BOS [ 3 ]-1067.54.67605344Shane Baz (R)
9/11BOS [ 5 ]BAL [ 3 ]-1189.56914111Dean Kremer (R)
9/6BOS [ 3 ]CHW [ 1 ]-2758.56635011Davis Martin (R)
8/31DET [ 2 ]BOS [ 1 ]1307.56616022Tarik Skubal (L)
8/20HOU [ 5 ]BOS [ 6 ]-1048.55236255Ronel Blanco (R)
5.535.81.65.21.22.62.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

TwinsRed Sox
162TG162
4.6R/G4.6
183HR194
0.246AVG0.252
65SB144
23CS44
TwinsRed Sox
0.165ISO0.171
0.289BABIP0.314
0.315OBP0.319
0.411SLG0.423
0.316wOBA0.321
107wRC+104
TwinsRed Sox
7.7BB%8
21.3K%25.4
0.36BB/K0.31
7.7Barrel%8.9
38.1HardHit%40.8
23WAR20.3

Pitching Matchup

Pablo LopezNick Pivetta
32G27
32GS26
185.1IP145.2
5.8IP/G5.4
15W6
10L12
72.2LOB%75.5
Pablo LopezNick Pivetta
9.62K/910.63
1.99BB/92.22
20.3K/BB%22.9
42.9GB%33.5
36.2FB%48.3
1.26HR/91.73
13.8HR/FB%15.1
Pablo LopezNick Pivetta
0.309BABIP0.279
4.08ERA4.14
3.7xERA3.59
3.65FIP4.07
3.36xFIP3.5
1.19WHIP1.13
3.46SIERA3.31
3.2WAR2

Bullpen Matchup

TwinsRed Sox
3.3BPU/G3.3
3.6IP/G3.8
35W34
31L30
43SV40
19BS27
68.7LOB%66.8
TwinsRed Sox
9.6K/98.54
3.26BB/93.05
16.5K/BB%14.1
43.8GB%42.2
36.8FB%37.7
0.92HR/91.17
10.1HR/FB%11.6
TwinsRed Sox
0.296BABIP0.305
4.12ERA4.39
3.65FIP4.11
3.84xFIP4.11
1.26WHIP1.34
3.52SIERA3.81
5.9WAR3.6

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez F518-12-1 (60%)8-5-1 (61.5%)7-3-0 (70%)0-0-0 (-)1-4-0 (20%)
Pablo Lopez18-13 (58.1%)9-5 (64.3%)7-3 (70%)0-0 (-)1-4 (20%)
Nick Pivetta F512-10-3 (54.5%)4-4-1 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)3-3-2 (50%)
Nick Pivetta14-11 (56%)5-4 (55.6%)4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)3-5 (37.5%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez F520-9-1 (69%)9-4-0 (69.2%)6-4-0 (60%)0-0-0 (-)4-1-0 (80%)
Pablo Lopez17-12-2 (58.6%)8-5-1 (61.5%)4-5-1 (44.4%)0-0-0 (-)3-2-0 (60%)
Nick Pivetta F513-12-0 (52%)4-5-0 (44.4%)3-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)4-4-0 (50%)
Nick Pivetta11-14-0 (44%)2-7-0 (22.2%)4-2-0 (66.7%)2-0-0 (100%)3-5-0 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F548-48-16 (50%)24-21-7 (53.3%)11-13-6 (45.8%)2-2-2 (50%)9-12-1 (42.9%)
Twins vs. RHP60-52 (53.6%)28-24 (53.8%)19-11 (63.3%)3-3 (50%)9-13 (40.9%)
Red Sox vs. RHP F557-40-15 (58.8%)25-11-5 (69.4%)8-7-1 (53.3%)7-7-1 (50%)16-12-8 (57.1%)
Red Sox vs. RHP61-51 (54.5%)21-20 (51.2%)11-5 (68.8%)7-8 (46.7%)21-15 (58.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F552-52-5 (50%)25-22-4 (53.2%)15-14-0 (51.7%)2-4-0 (33.3%)9-12-0 (42.9%)
Twins vs. RHP57-52-3 (52.3%)27-23-2 (54%)17-12-1 (58.6%)3-3-0 (50%)8-14-0 (36.4%)
Red Sox vs. RHP F552-54-5 (49.1%)16-24-1 (40%)6-8-1 (42.9%)9-3-3 (75%)18-18-0 (50%)
Red Sox vs. RHP55-52-5 (51.4%)17-23-1 (42.5%)11-5-0 (68.8%)8-6-1 (57.1%)16-17-3 (48.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez13-16 (44.8%)7-7 (50%)5-5 (50%)0-0 (-)1-4 (20%)
Twins69-83 (45.4%)25-36 (41%)19-25 (43.2%)6-7 (46.2%)19-15 (55.9%)
Nick Pivetta12-13 (48%)4-5 (44.4%)1-5 (16.7%)2-0 (100%)5-3 (62.5%)
Red Sox73-77 (48.7%)18-35 (34%)10-12 (45.5%)11-11 (50%)34-19 (64.2%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez15-16 (48.4%)7-7 (50%)3-7 (30%)0-0 (-)4-1 (80%)
Twins78-78 (50%)32-29 (52.5%)20-24 (45.5%)7-6 (53.8%)17-17 (50%)
Nick Pivetta12-13 (48%)1-8 (11.1%)4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)5-3 (62.5%)
Red Sox80-75 (51.6%)24-29 (45.3%)12-10 (54.5%)18-4 (81.8%)24-29 (45.3%)