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Nationals @ Braves [ -196 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 25, 2024, 12:05 pm
Nationals | 69-85 (44.8%), DJ Herz (L) | 4-8 (33.33%)
Braves | 83-70 (54.2%), Reynaldo Lopez (R) | 8-5 (61.54%)

Last updated: August 27, 2024 11:48 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Nationals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Braves
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Nationals Situational Notes

Braves Situational Notes

Nationals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/26WSNMitchell Parker (L)WSN +154
NYY -190		9NYYNestor Cortes (L)
8/25ATLReynaldo Lopez (R)WSN +164
ATL -196		8.5WSNDJ Herz (L)
8/24ATL [ 4 ]Charlie Morton (R)WSN +146
ATL -166		8.5WSN [ 2 ]Jake Irvin (R)
8/23ATL [ 3 ]Chris Sale (L)WSN +225
ATL -260		7.5WSN [ 2 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
8/22WSN [ 8 ]Patrick Corbin (L)WSN -156
COL +132		8.5COL [ 3 ]Cal Quantrill (R)
8/21WSN [ 6 ]Mitchell Parker (L)WSN -158
COL +134		8.5COL [ 1 ]Tanner Gordon (R)
8/20WSN [ 1 ]DJ Herz (L)WSN -162
COL +136		8COL [ 3 ]Austin Gomber (L)
8/18PHI [ 4 ]Taijuan Walker (R)WSN +150
PHI -158		9.5WSN [ 6 ]Jake Irvin (R)
8/17PHI [ 5 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)WSN +172
PHI -230		8.5WSN [ 1 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
8/16PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)WSN +220
PHI -275		9WSN [ 2 ]Patrick Corbin (L)

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/26MINBailey Ober (R)ATL -100
MIN -118		8ATLMax Fried (L)
8/25ATLReynaldo Lopez (R)ATL -196
WSN +164		8.5WSNDJ Herz (L)
8/24ATL [ 4 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -174
WSN +140		8.5WSN [ 2 ]Jake Irvin (R)
8/23ATL [ 3 ]Chris Sale (L)ATL -275
WSN +215		7.5WSN [ 2 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
8/22ATL [ 3 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -110
PHI -102		8PHI [ 2 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
8/21ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)ATL -112
PHI -104		7.5PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)
8/20ATL [ 3 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)ATL +128
PHI -152		8.5PHI [ 1 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
8/18LAA [ 1 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)ATL -184
LAA +154		9.5ATL [ 3 ]Charlie Morton (R)
8/17LAA [ 3 ]Griffin Canning (R)ATL -240
LAA +194		8ATL [ 11 ]Chris Sale (L)
8/16LAA [ 3 ]Jose Soriano (R)ATL -162
LAA +136		8ATL [ 2 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)

DJ Herz Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/20WSN [ 1 ]COL [ 3 ]-16285.67726023Austin Gomber (L)
8/14BAL [ 4 ]WSN [ 1 ]1448.56524122Dean Kremer (R)
8/8WSN [ 5 ]SFG [ 9 ]1028.52.67444022Kyle Harrison (L)
8/3WSN [ 6 ]MIL [ 4 ]-1009.55612001Aaron Civale (R)
7/28STL [ 4 ]WSN [ 3 ]1288.55813122Miles Mikolas (R)
4.87623.80.41.62

Reynaldo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/20ATL [ 3 ]PHI [ 1 ]1288.551015011Zack Wheeler (R)
7/28NYM [ 2 ]ATL [ 9 ]-10483213000David Peterson (L)
7/22ATL [ 1 ]CIN [ 4 ]-1427.56527144Hunter Greene (R)
7/13SDP [ 4 ]ATL [ 0 ]1147.562011033Dylan Cease (R)
7/7ATL [ 6 ]PHI [ 0 ]-1648.56632000Michael Mercado (R)
5.251.45.60.21.61.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

NationalsBraves
153TG153
4.1R/G4.4
128HR199
0.243AVG0.242
215SB64
71CS19
NationalsBraves
0.134ISO0.172
0.287BABIP0.29
0.309OBP0.308
0.376SLG0.414
0.301wOBA0.313
93wRC+99
NationalsBraves
7.7BB%8
20.3K%24.1
0.38BB/K0.33
5.6Barrel%10.1
36.4HardHit%42.4
9.5WAR16.6

Pitching Matchup

DJ HerzReynaldo Lopez
18G24
18GS24
83.2IP128.2
4.6IP/G5.3
4W8
8L5
69.4LOB%87.5
DJ HerzReynaldo Lopez
11.08K/99.58
3.55BB/92.94
19.4K/BB%18.2
37.8GB%39.2
42.9FB%38.3
1.18HR/90.7
11.8HR/FB%7.8
DJ HerzReynaldo Lopez
0.294BABIP0.291
4.3ERA2.03
3.33xERA4.09
3.71FIP3.08
3.68xFIP3.59
1.27WHIP1.15
3.64SIERA3.73
1.6WAR3.1

Bullpen Matchup

NationalsBraves
3.5BPU/G2.95
3.6IP/G3.3
27W30
28L26
40SV37
21BS20
70LOB%74.9
NationalsBraves
8.17K/99.74
3.03BB/92.9
13.3K/BB%18.3
43.7GB%42.7
35FB%37.8
1.03HR/90.93
11.1HR/FB%10.2
NationalsBraves
0.309BABIP0.295
4.22ERA3.34
3.96FIP3.44
4.04xFIP3.63
1.34WHIP1.2
3.86SIERA3.34
4.1WAR5.7

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
DJ Herz F56-4-2 (60%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)3-1-1 (75%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
DJ Herz5-7 (41.7%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-3 (40%)1-3 (25%)
Reynaldo Lopez F511-6-5 (64.7%)7-3-2 (70%)2-2-2 (50%)0-0-1 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Reynaldo Lopez13-9 (59.1%)7-5 (58.3%)3-3 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
DJ Herz F54-7-1 (36.4%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)0-3-1 (0%)
DJ Herz6-5-1 (54.5%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)4-0-1 (100%)1-3-0 (25%)
Reynaldo Lopez F53-15-2 (16.7%)3-7-1 (30%)0-5-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-1 (0%)
Reynaldo Lopez3-17-2 (15%)2-10-0 (16.7%)0-5-1 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. RHP F534-48-9 (41.5%)4-7-0 (36.4%)2-2-0 (50%)13-16-4 (44.8%)15-22-5 (40.5%)
Nationals vs. RHP41-50 (45.1%)5-6 (45.5%)2-2 (50%)16-17 (48.5%)17-25 (40.5%)
Braves vs. LHP F523-12-4 (65.7%)9-7-1 (56.3%)8-4-3 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)5-1-0 (83.3%)
Braves vs. LHP26-13 (66.7%)12-5 (70.6%)8-7 (53.3%)0-0 (-)5-1 (83.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. RHP F544-40-7 (52.4%)6-4-1 (60%)3-1-0 (75%)16-14-3 (53.3%)18-21-3 (46.2%)
Nationals vs. RHP46-42-3 (52.3%)6-5-0 (54.5%)3-1-0 (75%)17-15-1 (53.1%)20-21-1 (48.8%)
Braves vs. LHP F516-19-3 (45.7%)7-9-1 (43.8%)6-7-1 (46.2%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-1 (40%)
Braves vs. LHP18-20-1 (47.4%)5-12-0 (29.4%)10-5-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-1 (40%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
DJ Herz6-6 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-3 (40%)2-2 (50%)
Nationals72-57 (55.8%)8-7 (53.3%)2-4 (33.3%)25-22 (53.2%)37-24 (60.7%)
Reynaldo Lopez11-11 (50%)5-7 (41.7%)3-3 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Braves58-72 (44.6%)24-38 (38.7%)21-24 (46.7%)1-1 (50%)12-9 (57.1%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
DJ Herz7-5 (58.3%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)2-3 (40%)3-1 (75%)
Nationals51-80 (38.9%)6-9 (40%)2-4 (33.3%)17-30 (36.2%)26-35 (42.6%)
Reynaldo Lopez7-15 (31.8%)6-6 (50%)0-6 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)
Braves59-72 (45%)36-26 (58.1%)17-28 (37.8%)1-1 (50%)4-17 (19%)