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Guardians @ Twins [ -164 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 9, 2024, 1:10 pm
Guardians | 88-65 (57.5%), Joey Cantillo (R) | 2-3 (40%)
Twins | 80-72 (52.6%), Bailey Ober (R) | 12-7 (63.16%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Guardians Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Back small road underdog with better record

Twins Situational Notes

Guardians Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/10MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)CLE -100
MIN -118		8.5CLEGavin Williams (R)
8/9MINLouie Varland (R)CLE -112
MIN -104		8CLEAlex Cobb (L)
8/9MINBailey Ober (R)CLE +138
MIN -164		8.5CLEJoey Cantillo (R)
8/7CLE [ 3 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)CLE -108
ARI -108		8ARI [ 5 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (R)
8/7CLE [ 3 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE -116
ARI -102		8.5ARI [ 7 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
8/6CLE [ 0 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE -116
ARI -102		8ARI [ 0 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8/5CLE [ 6 ]Logan Allen (L)CLE -100
ARI -118		8.5ARI [ 7 ]Zac Gallen (R)
8/4CLE [ 5 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE +108
BAL -126		7.5BAL [ 9 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
8/3CLE [ 4 ]Joey Cantillo (L)CLE -102
BAL -116		8.5BAL [ 7 ]Zach Eflin (R)
8/2CLE [ 8 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)CLE -104
BAL -112		9BAL [ 4 ]Dean Kremer (R)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/10MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -118
CLE -100		8.5CLEGavin Williams (R)
8/9MINLouie Varland (R)MIN -104
CLE -112		8CLEAlex Cobb (L)
8/9MINBailey Ober (R)MIN -164
CLE +138		8.5CLEJoey Cantillo (R)
8/7CHC [ 8 ]Javier Assad (R)MIN -142
CHC +120		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/6CHC [ 7 ]Shota Imanaga (L)MIN -106
CHC -110		6MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
8/5CHC [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)MIN -122
CHC +104		7.5MIN [ 3 ]David Festa (R)
8/4MIN [ 13 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -320
CHW +260		8.5CHW [ 7 ]Chris Flexen (R)
8/3MIN [ 6 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -260
CHW +215		8CHW [ 2 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
8/2MIN [ 10 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -330
CHW +265		8.5CHW [ 2 ]Davis Martin (R)
7/31NYM [ 3 ]Luis Severino (R)MIN -124
NYM +106		8.5MIN [ 8 ]Pablo Lopez (R)

Joey Cantillo Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/3CLE [ 4 ]BAL [ 7 ]-1028.54406033Zach Eflin (R)
7/28PHI [ 3 ]CLE [ 4 ]11093.33334233Kolby Allard (L)
3.663.51.55133

Bailey Ober Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/3MIN [ 6 ]CHW [ 2 ]-26087722122Garrett Crochet (L)
7/28DET [ 0 ]MIN [ 5 ]-1467.581121000Alex Faedo (R)
7/22MIN [ 7 ]PHI [ 2 ]-10287414122Ranger Suarez (L)
7/10CHW [ 3 ]MIN [ 1 ]-1628.56614133Erick Fedde (R)
7/9CHW [ 0 ]MIN [ 0 ]-15880000000Erick Fedde (R)
5.65.61.22.20.61.41.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

GuardiansTwins
153TG152
4.4R/G4.7
174HR178
0.238AVG0.249
143SB64
42CS22
GuardiansTwins
0.156ISO0.17
0.272BABIP0.292
0.308OBP0.318
0.394SLG0.419
0.306wOBA0.32
100wRC+109
GuardiansTwins
7.9BB%7.7
20.1K%21.5
0.39BB/K0.36
5.7Barrel%7.9
33.7HardHit%38.3
20.5WAR23.3

Pitching Matchup

Joey CantilloBailey Ober
7G29
6GS29
30.2IP168.2
4.3IP/G5.8
2W12
3L7
68.8LOB%70.9
Joey CantilloBailey Ober
9.1K/99.6
2.93BB/92.19
16.9K/BB%20.9
48.8GB%33.3
36.6FB%50.8
1.76HR/91.33
20HR/FB%11.3
Joey CantilloBailey Ober
0.26BABIP0.237
4.99ERA3.84
4.09xERA3.18
4.67FIP3.78
3.61xFIP3.84
1.17WHIP0.97
3.78SIERA3.57
0.2WAR2.9

Bullpen Matchup

GuardiansTwins
3.67BPU/G3.2
3.8IP/G3.5
40W33
11L28
51SV42
15BS19
77.9LOB%68.2
GuardiansTwins
9.42K/99.37
2.93BB/93.18
18K/BB%16.2
42.5GB%43.5
37.5FB%37
0.75HR/90.93
8.7HR/FB%10.1
GuardiansTwins
0.256BABIP0.291
2.67ERA4.14
3.28FIP3.69
3.66xFIP3.89
1.05WHIP1.24
3.37SIERA3.56
7.6WAR5.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joey Cantillo F50-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Joey Cantillo0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)
Bailey Ober F512-8-1 (60%)6-1-0 (85.7%)2-4-1 (33.3%)2-0-0 (100%)2-3-0 (40%)
Bailey Ober12-9 (57.1%)5-2 (71.4%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)2-3 (40%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joey Cantillo F51-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Joey Cantillo1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Bailey Ober F510-10-1 (50%)4-2-1 (66.7%)4-3-0 (57.1%)1-1-0 (50%)1-4-0 (20%)
Bailey Ober8-11-2 (42.1%)2-4-1 (33.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)1-1-0 (50%)1-3-1 (25%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Guardians vs. RHP F534-38-10 (47.2%)12-14-4 (46.2%)8-7-2 (53.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)10-11-3 (47.6%)
Guardians vs. RHP42-40 (51.2%)20-10 (66.7%)8-9 (47.1%)3-4 (42.9%)10-14 (41.7%)
Twins vs. RHP F535-35-12 (50%)18-15-4 (54.5%)8-10-5 (44.4%)2-1-2 (66.7%)6-9-1 (40%)
Twins vs. RHP46-36 (56.1%)20-17 (54.1%)16-7 (69.6%)3-2 (60%)6-10 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Guardians vs. RHP F539-33-6 (54.2%)15-11-3 (57.7%)9-6-1 (60%)5-0-1 (100%)8-14-1 (36.4%)
Guardians vs. RHP38-40-4 (48.7%)16-13-1 (55.2%)8-8-1 (50%)6-1-0 (85.7%)7-16-1 (30.4%)
Twins vs. RHP F538-37-4 (50.7%)18-14-4 (56.3%)10-12-0 (45.5%)2-3-0 (40%)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Twins vs. RHP40-41-1 (49.4%)19-17-1 (52.8%)13-10-0 (56.5%)2-3-0 (40%)5-11-0 (31.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joey Cantillo0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)
Guardians54-57 (48.6%)18-25 (41.9%)12-15 (44.4%)7-3 (70%)17-14 (54.8%)
Bailey Ober12-9 (57.1%)3-4 (42.9%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)4-1 (80%)
Twins55-57 (49.1%)18-26 (40.9%)18-15 (54.5%)6-4 (60%)13-12 (52%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joey Cantillo1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Guardians55-61 (47.4%)21-22 (48.8%)14-13 (51.9%)6-4 (60%)12-19 (38.7%)
Bailey Ober10-11 (47.6%)3-4 (42.9%)4-3 (57.1%)2-0 (100%)1-4 (20%)
Twins59-56 (51.3%)22-22 (50%)15-18 (45.5%)6-4 (60%)15-10 (60%)