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Mets @ Pirates [ -120 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 8, 2024, 12:35 pm
Mets | 92-74 (55.4%), Christian Scott (R) | 0-3 (0%)
Pirates | 76-87 (46.6%), Mitch Keller (R) | 11-12 (47.83%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mets
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Mets Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/9NYMJose Quintana (L)NYM -134
WSN +116		8.5WSNJake Irvin (R)
7/8PITMitch Keller (R)NYM +102
PIT -120		8.5NYMChristian Scott (R)
7/7PIT [ 2 ]Luis Ortiz (R)NYM -126
PIT +108		9NYM [ 3 ]Sean Manaea (L)
7/6PIT [ 2 ]Bailey Falter (L)NYM -132
PIT +112		9.5NYM [ 5 ]David Peterson (L)
7/5PIT [ 14 ]Paul Skenes (R)NYM +120
PIT -142		8NYM [ 2 ]Luis Severino (R)
7/4WSN [ 1 ]Jake Irvin (R)NYM -110
WSN -106		9.5NYM [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)
7/3WSN [ 7 ]Mitchell Parker (L)NYM -126
WSN +108		9NYM [ 5 ]Christian Scott (R)
7/2WSN [ 2 ]DJ Herz (L)NYM -142
WSN +120		9NYM [ 7 ]Sean Manaea (L)
7/1WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)NYM -116
WSN -102		8.5NYM [ 9 ]David Peterson (L)
6/30NYM [ 5 ]Luis Severino (R)NYM -126
HOU +108		9HOU [ 10 ]Shawn Dubin (R)

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/9MILColin Rea (R)PIT +136
MIL -162		8.5PITJosh Fleming (L)
7/8PITMitch Keller (R)PIT -120
NYM +102		8.5NYMChristian Scott (R)
7/7PIT [ 2 ]Luis Ortiz (R)PIT +108
NYM -126		9NYM [ 3 ]Sean Manaea (L)
7/6PIT [ 2 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT +112
NYM -132		9.5NYM [ 5 ]David Peterson (L)
7/5PIT [ 14 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -142
NYM +120		8NYM [ 2 ]Luis Severino (R)
7/4PIT [ 2 ]Martin Perez (L)PIT -106
STL -110		9STL [ 3 ]Andre Pallante (R)
7/3PIT [ 5 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -126
STL +108		8.5STL [ 4 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
7/2PIT [ 4 ]Mitch Keller (R)PIT -124
STL +106		8STL [ 7 ]Kyle Gibson (R)
6/30ATL [ 2 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)PIT +160
ATL -190		9PIT [ 4 ]Bailey Falter (L)
6/29ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)PIT +124
ATL -146		7.5PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)

Christian Scott Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/3WSN [ 7 ]NYM [ 5 ]-12695.67226144Mitchell Parker (L)
5/30NYM [ 3 ]ARI [ 2 ]10875414022Zac Gallen (R)
5/24NYM [ 7 ]SFG [ 8 ]-1427.56412122Kyle Harrison (L)
5/17MIA [ 8 ]NYM [ 0 ]-1227.54317144Jesus Luzardo (L)
5/11NYM [ 1 ]ATL [ 4 ]13676826133Max Fried (L)
5.334.21.450.833

Mitch Keller Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/2PIT [ 4 ]STL [ 7 ]-12485509256Kyle Gibson (R)
6/25CIN [ 5 ]PIT [ 9 ]11095.67636034Hunter Greene (R)
6/19PIT [ 1 ]CIN [ 0 ]-1367.57722000Hunter Greene (R)
6/13STL [ 4 ]PIT [ 3 ]-1168.56408244Lance Lynn (R)
6/7PIT [ 3 ]MIN [ 0 ]11086827000Joe Ryan (R)
5.9361.46.40.82.42.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MetsPirates
162TG162
4.7R/G4.1
207HR160
0.246AVG0.234
106SB106
22CS19
MetsPirates
0.169ISO0.137
0.291BABIP0.291
0.319OBP0.301
0.415SLG0.371
0.32wOBA0.295
109wRC+86
MetsPirates
8.3BB%8
22.4K%24.7
0.37BB/K0.32
8.8Barrel%8.2
41HardHit%39.9
25.8WAR6.9

Pitching Matchup

Christian ScottMitch Keller
9G31
9GS31
47.1IP178
5.2IP/G5.7
0W11
3L12
73.2LOB%73.1
Christian ScottMitch Keller
7.42K/98.39
2.28BB/92.53
13.7K/BB%15
32.4GB%39.4
50.7FB%36.8
1.52HR/91.16
11.1HR/FB%11.6
Christian ScottMitch Keller
0.272BABIP0.306
4.56ERA4.25
4.43xERA4.31
4.6FIP4.08
4.71xFIP4.08
1.2WHIP1.3
4.48SIERA4.08
0.4WAR2.2

Bullpen Matchup

MetsPirates
3.18BPU/G3.17
3.4IP/G3.6
39W33
28L33
39SV43
25BS27
69.9LOB%67.6
MetsPirates
10.61K/99.06
4.11BB/93.97
17K/BB%12.9
44.7GB%41.4
36.9FB%38.7
1.02HR/90.85
12.1HR/FB%8.6
MetsPirates
0.291BABIP0.305
4.03ERA4.49
3.86FIP3.95
3.81xFIP4.38
1.28WHIP1.38
3.51SIERA3.98
3.8WAR3.4

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Christian Scott F52-4-1 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Christian Scott1-6 (14.3%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Mitch Keller F510-6-2 (62.5%)3-2-1 (60%)0-2-1 (0%)3-0-0 (100%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Mitch Keller12-6 (66.7%)4-2 (66.7%)0-3 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)6-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Christian Scott F52-4-1 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-1 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Christian Scott4-3-0 (57.1%)1-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Mitch Keller F58-7-2 (53.3%)2-3-1 (40%)3-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-2-1 (50%)
Mitch Keller9-9-0 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)0-3-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-1-0 (83.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F523-28-11 (45.1%)6-10-5 (37.5%)3-2-2 (60%)5-6-0 (45.5%)8-10-3 (44.4%)
Mets vs. RHP31-31 (50%)11-10 (52.4%)4-3 (57.1%)5-6 (45.5%)11-10 (52.4%)
Pirates vs. RHP F526-24-12 (52%)9-5-5 (64.3%)3-3-3 (50%)6-7-2 (46.2%)8-9-2 (47.1%)
Pirates vs. RHP30-32 (48.4%)9-10 (47.4%)5-4 (55.6%)8-7 (53.3%)8-11 (42.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F526-30-1 (46.4%)5-12-0 (29.4%)4-3-0 (57.1%)5-5-1 (50%)11-9-0 (55%)
Mets vs. RHP30-31-1 (49.2%)7-14-0 (33.3%)3-3-1 (50%)5-6-0 (45.5%)14-7-0 (66.7%)
Pirates vs. RHP F530-28-3 (51.7%)10-8-0 (55.6%)5-4-0 (55.6%)5-10-0 (33.3%)10-6-3 (62.5%)
Pirates vs. RHP25-35-2 (41.7%)9-9-1 (50%)2-7-0 (22.2%)5-9-1 (35.7%)9-10-0 (47.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Christian Scott1-5 (16.7%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Mets39-48 (44.8%)9-22 (29%)8-9 (47.1%)7-8 (46.7%)15-9 (62.5%)
Mitch Keller11-7 (61.1%)3-3 (50%)0-3 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)6-0 (100%)
Pirates48-42 (53.3%)8-17 (32%)5-8 (38.5%)15-6 (71.4%)20-11 (64.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Christian Scott2-5 (28.6%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)0-1 (0%)
Mets35-54 (39.3%)9-22 (29%)6-11 (35.3%)6-9 (40%)12-12 (50%)
Mitch Keller7-11 (38.9%)2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)
Pirates30-61 (33%)12-13 (48%)5-8 (38.5%)6-15 (28.6%)7-24 (22.6%)