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Red Sox @ Yankees [ -178 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 6, 2024, 1:05 pm
Red Sox | 81-80 (50.3%), Josh Winckowski (R) | 4-2 (66.67%)
Yankees | 95-68 (58.3%), Gerrit Cole (R) | 8-5 (61.54%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Red Sox
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Yankees
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Red Sox Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Yankees Situational Notes
Game off extra innings
Game off demoralizing loss (led after 8th)

Red Sox Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/7NYYLuis Gil (R)BOS +106
NYY -134		8.5BOSKutter Crawford (R)
7/6NYYGerrit Cole (R)BOS +150
NYY -178		8.5BOSJosh Winckowski (R)
7/5NYY [ 3 ]Nestor Cortes (L)BOS +122
NYY -144		8BOS [ 5 ]Tanner Houck (R)
7/4MIA [ 5 ]Kyle Tyler (R)BOS -162
MIA +136		8BOS [ 6 ]Nick Pivetta (R)
7/3MIA [ 2 ]Trevor Rogers (L)BOS -132
MIA +112		7.5BOS [ 7 ]Brayan Bello (R)
7/2MIA [ 3 ]Valente Bellozo (R)BOS -164
MIA +138		8BOS [ 8 ]Kutter Crawford (R)
6/30BOS [ 4 ]Josh Winckowski (R)BOS -112
SDP -104		10SDP [ 1 ]Matt Waldron (R)
6/29BOS [ 1 ]Tanner Houck (R)BOS -138
SDP +118		8.5SDP [ 11 ]Michael King (R)
6/28BOS [ 2 ]Nick Pivetta (R)BOS -158
SDP +134		9.5SDP [ 9 ]Randy Vasquez (R)
6/26BOS [ 0 ]Kutter Crawford (R)BOS -152
TOR +128		9.5TOR [ 0 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)

Yankees Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/7NYYLuis Gil (R)NYY -134
BOS +106		8.5BOSKutter Crawford (R)
7/6NYYGerrit Cole (R)NYY -178
BOS +150		8.5BOSJosh Winckowski (R)
7/5NYY [ 3 ]Nestor Cortes (L)NYY -144
BOS +122		8BOS [ 5 ]Tanner Houck (R)
7/4NYY [ 4 ]Marcus Stroman (R)NYY -184
CIN +154		9.5CIN [ 8 ]Frankie Montas (R)
7/3NYY [ 2 ]Carlos Rodon (L)NYY -184
CIN +154		8.5CIN [ 3 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
7/2NYY [ 4 ]Luis Gil (R)NYY -215
CIN +180		8.5CIN [ 5 ]Graham Ashcraft (R)
6/30TOR [ 1 ]Kevin Gausman (R)NYY -118
TOR -100		8NYY [ 8 ]Gerrit Cole (R)
6/29TOR [ 9 ]Chris Bassitt (R)NYY -124
TOR +106		8NYY [ 3 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
6/28TOR [ 5 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)NYY -110
TOR -106		8.5NYY [ 16 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
6/27TOR [ 9 ]Jose Berrios (R)NYY -134
TOR +114		8.5NYY [ 2 ]Carlos Rodon (L)

Josh Winckowski Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/30BOS [ 4 ]SDP [ 1 ]-112105104000Matt Waldron (R)
5/2BOS [ 1 ]SFG [ 3 ]-1189.54.33022111Kyle Harrison (L)
4/27BOS [ 17 ]CHC [ 0 ]-10093103000Ben Brown (R)
4/21PIT [ 1 ]BOS [ 6 ]1347.53.33103011Martin Perez (L)
3.910.750.530.250.50.5

Gerrit Cole Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/30TOR [ 1 ]NYY [ 8 ]-11885613011Kevin Gausman (R)
6/25NYM [ 9 ]NYY [ 7 ]-1448.54047466David Peterson (L)
6/19NYY [ 6 ]BAL [ 7 ]-1487.54513022Cade Povich (L)
4.333.6724.331.3333


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

Red SoxYankees
162TG162
4.6R/G5
194HR237
0.252AVG0.248
144SB88
44CS26
Red SoxYankees
0.171ISO0.181
0.314BABIP0.283
0.319OBP0.333
0.423SLG0.429
0.321wOBA0.331
104wRC+117
Red SoxYankees
8BB%10.8
25.4K%21.2
0.31BB/K0.51
8.9Barrel%10.5
40.8HardHit%42.3
20.3WAR33.7

Pitching Matchup

Josh WinckowskiGerrit Cole
40G17
6GS17
76IP95
1.9IP/G5.6
4W8
2L5
69.1LOB%76.8
Josh WinckowskiGerrit Cole
7.11K/99.38
3.08BB/92.75
10.1K/BB%17.9
51.5GB%38.7
28.6FB%44.1
1.18HR/91.04
14.5HR/FB%9.7
Josh WinckowskiGerrit Cole
0.301BABIP0.273
4.14ERA3.41
4.34xERA3.59
4.48FIP3.69
4.14xFIP3.99
1.41WHIP1.13
4.13SIERA3.79
0.2WAR1.8

Bullpen Matchup

Red SoxYankees
3.3BPU/G3.22
3.8IP/G3.6
34W29
30L20
40SV45
27BS21
66.8LOB%72.6
Red SoxYankees
8.54K/99.15
3.05BB/93.5
14.1K/BB%14.8
42.2GB%47.6
37.7FB%33.9
1.17HR/91.01
11.6HR/FB%12
Red SoxYankees
0.305BABIP0.276
4.39ERA3.62
4.11FIP3.96
4.11xFIP3.92
1.34WHIP1.24
3.81SIERA3.67
3.6WAR3.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Josh Winckowski F53-1-1 (75%)1-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)
Josh Winckowski3-2 (60%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Gerrit Cole F52-2-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Gerrit Cole2-2 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Josh Winckowski F53-2-0 (60%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)
Josh Winckowski2-3-0 (40%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)
Gerrit Cole F54-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Gerrit Cole4-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Red Sox vs. RHP F533-23-7 (58.9%)10-6-3 (62.5%)7-4-1 (63.6%)5-4-0 (55.6%)10-7-3 (58.8%)
Red Sox vs. RHP36-27 (57.1%)10-9 (52.6%)10-2 (83.3%)4-5 (44.4%)11-9 (55%)
Yankees vs. RHP F543-19-7 (69.4%)21-5-2 (80.8%)15-6-3 (71.4%)0-0-2 (-)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Yankees vs. RHP46-23 (66.7%)20-8 (71.4%)15-9 (62.5%)1-1 (50%)10-5 (66.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Red Sox vs. RHP F529-29-4 (50%)7-12-0 (36.8%)4-6-1 (40%)5-1-3 (83.3%)10-10-0 (50%)
Red Sox vs. RHP32-28-3 (53.3%)8-11-0 (42.1%)8-4-0 (66.7%)4-4-1 (50%)9-9-2 (50%)
Yankees vs. RHP F532-26-8 (55.2%)17-9-2 (65.4%)12-6-4 (66.7%)0-1-1 (0%)3-10-1 (23.1%)
Yankees vs. RHP37-30-2 (55.2%)18-9-1 (66.7%)14-10-0 (58.3%)1-1-0 (50%)4-10-1 (28.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Josh Winckowski3-2 (60%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Red Sox40-44 (47.6%)7-21 (25%)8-8 (50%)7-6 (53.8%)18-9 (66.7%)
Gerrit Cole2-2 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Yankees50-41 (54.9%)19-21 (47.5%)17-15 (53.1%)2-0 (100%)12-5 (70.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Josh Winckowski4-1 (80%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)
Red Sox43-45 (48.9%)10-18 (35.7%)9-7 (56.3%)11-2 (84.6%)11-16 (40.7%)
Gerrit Cole4-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Yankees49-43 (53.3%)19-21 (47.5%)19-13 (59.4%)0-2 (0%)10-7 (58.8%)