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Mets @ Nationals [ -106 / 9.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 4, 2024, 11:05 am
Mets | 92-74 (55.4%), Jose Quintana (L) | 10-10 (50%)
Nationals | 72-91 (44.2%), Jake Irvin (R) | 10-14 (41.67%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mets
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Nationals
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Mets Situational Notes

Nationals Situational Notes

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/5PITPaul Skenes (R)NYM +120
PIT -142		8NYMLuis Severino (R)
7/4WSNJake Irvin (R)NYM -110
WSN -106		9.5NYMJose Quintana (L)
7/3WSN [ 7 ]Mitchell Parker (L)NYM -126
WSN +108		9NYM [ 5 ]Christian Scott (R)
7/2WSN [ 2 ]DJ Herz (L)NYM -142
WSN +120		9NYM [ 7 ]Sean Manaea (L)
7/1WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)NYM -116
WSN -102		8.5NYM [ 9 ]David Peterson (L)
6/30NYM [ 5 ]Luis Severino (R)NYM -126
HOU +108		9HOU [ 10 ]Shawn Dubin (R)
6/29NYM [ 6 ]Tylor Megill (R)NYM -118
HOU -100		8.5HOU [ 9 ]Framber Valdez (L)
6/28NYM [ 7 ]Jose Quintana (L)NYM -112
HOU -104		8.5HOU [ 2 ]Ronel Blanco (R)
6/26NYM [ 12 ]Sean Manaea (L)NYM +108
NYY -126		8.5NYY [ 2 ]Luis Gil (R)
6/25NYM [ 9 ]David Peterson (L)NYM +122
NYY -144		8.5NYY [ 7 ]Gerrit Cole (R)

Nationals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/5WSNPatrick Corbin (L)WSN +138
STL -164		8.5STLSonny Gray (R)
7/4WSNJake Irvin (R)WSN -106
NYM -110		9.5NYMJose Quintana (L)
7/3WSN [ 7 ]Mitchell Parker (L)WSN +108
NYM -126		9NYM [ 5 ]Christian Scott (R)
7/2WSN [ 2 ]DJ Herz (L)WSN +120
NYM -142		9NYM [ 7 ]Sean Manaea (L)
7/1WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)WSN -102
NYM -116		8.5NYM [ 9 ]David Peterson (L)
6/30TBR [ 5 ]Taj Bradley (R)WSN +158
TBR -188		8WSN [ 0 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
6/29TBR [ 1 ]Aaron Civale (R)WSN +112
TBR -142		7.5WSN [ 8 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/28TBR [ 3 ]Zach Eflin (R)WSN +146
TBR -174		7.5WSN [ 1 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
6/26SDP [ 8 ]Dylan Cease (R)WSN +158
SDP -188		7.5WSN [ 5 ]DJ Herz (L)
6/25SDP [ 9 ]Adam Mazur (R)WSN -124
SDP +106		7.5WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)

Jose Quintana Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/28NYM [ 7 ]HOU [ 2 ]-1128.54736122Ronel Blanco (R)
6/21CHC [ 1 ]NYM [ 11 ]13286.33814001Shota Imanaga (L)
6/15NYM [ 5 ]SDP [ 1 ]-1368.56622111Adam Mazur (R)
6/9PHI [ 5 ]NYM [ 6 ]12411.53.67126033Taijuan Walker (R)
6/2NYM [ 4 ]ARI [ 5 ]-10684434233Brandon Pfaadt (R)
4.85.22.24.40.81.82

Jake Irvin Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/29TBR [ 1 ]WSN [ 8 ]1127.56531111Aaron Civale (R)
6/23COL [ 1 ]WSN [ 2 ]-13210.561013111Kyle Freeland (L)
6/18WSN [ 0 ]ARI [ 5 ]-12695248144Slade Cecconi (R)
6/12DET [ 5 ]WSN [ 7 ]1067.56516111Reese Olson (R)
6/7WSN [ 2 ]ATL [ 1 ]1727.56424000Chris Sale (L)
5.85.22.24.40.81.41.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MetsNationals
162TG162
4.7R/G4.1
207HR135
0.246AVG0.243
106SB223
22CS73
MetsNationals
0.169ISO0.132
0.291BABIP0.288
0.319OBP0.309
0.415SLG0.375
0.32wOBA0.3
109wRC+92
MetsNationals
8.3BB%7.6
22.4K%20.4
0.37BB/K0.37
8.8Barrel%5.6
41HardHit%36.6
25.8WAR10

Pitching Matchup

Jose QuintanaJake Irvin
31G33
31GS33
170.1IP187.2
5.5IP/G5.7
10W10
10L14
78.2LOB%70.1
Jose QuintanaJake Irvin
7.13K/97.48
3.33BB/92.49
10K/BB%13.5
47.4GB%43.9
35FB%36.7
1.16HR/91.39
12.6HR/FB%14.3
Jose QuintanaJake Irvin
0.263BABIP0.273
3.75ERA4.41
4.49xERA4.31
4.56FIP4.41
4.44xFIP4.04
1.25WHIP1.2
4.58SIERA4.21
1WAR1.8

Bullpen Matchup

MetsNationals
3.18BPU/G3.51
3.4IP/G3.6
39W28
28L30
39SV40
25BS22
69.9LOB%70.1
MetsNationals
10.61K/98.09
4.11BB/93.02
17K/BB%13.2
44.7GB%44.2
36.9FB%34.7
1.02HR/91.01
12.1HR/FB%10.9
MetsNationals
0.291BABIP0.304
4.03ERA4.14
3.86FIP3.93
3.81xFIP4.03
1.28WHIP1.32
3.51SIERA3.86
3.8WAR4.3

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana F56-8-3 (42.9%)1-3-1 (25%)1-0-1 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-3-1 (50%)
Jose Quintana9-8 (52.9%)4-1 (80%)0-2 (0%)0-3 (0%)5-2 (71.4%)
Jake Irvin F56-8-4 (42.9%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-4-1 (20%)5-2-3 (71.4%)
Jake Irvin8-10 (44.4%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)2-4 (33.3%)5-5 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana F55-10-1 (33.3%)0-4-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Jose Quintana6-10-1 (37.5%)1-4-0 (20%)0-1-1 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Jake Irvin F56-11-1 (35.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-3-1 (40%)4-6-0 (40%)
Jake Irvin6-12-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-4-0 (33.3%)4-6-0 (40%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F523-26-10 (46.9%)6-10-5 (37.5%)3-2-1 (60%)5-6-0 (45.5%)8-8-3 (50%)
Mets vs. RHP30-29 (50.8%)11-10 (52.4%)3-3 (50%)5-6 (45.5%)11-8 (57.9%)
Nationals vs. LHP F515-8-2 (65.2%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)5-5-1 (50%)8-2-1 (80%)
Nationals vs. LHP13-12 (52%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)4-7 (36.4%)6-5 (54.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F525-28-1 (47.2%)5-12-0 (29.4%)4-2-0 (66.7%)5-5-1 (50%)10-8-0 (55.6%)
Mets vs. RHP28-30-1 (48.3%)7-14-0 (33.3%)3-2-1 (60%)5-6-0 (45.5%)12-7-0 (63.2%)
Nationals vs. LHP F58-16-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-6-0 (40%)4-7-0 (36.4%)
Nationals vs. LHP8-15-2 (34.8%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-5-2 (44.4%)4-7-0 (36.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana10-7 (58.8%)4-1 (80%)0-2 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)5-2 (71.4%)
Mets38-45 (45.8%)9-22 (29%)7-8 (46.7%)7-8 (46.7%)15-7 (68.2%)
Jake Irvin10-8 (55.6%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)3-3 (50%)7-3 (70%)
Nationals49-37 (57%)4-3 (57.1%)2-4 (33.3%)18-15 (54.5%)25-15 (62.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana9-8 (52.9%)1-4 (20%)1-1 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)5-2 (71.4%)
Mets35-50 (41.2%)9-22 (29%)6-9 (40%)6-9 (40%)12-10 (54.5%)
Jake Irvin7-11 (38.9%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)2-4 (33.3%)4-6 (40%)
Nationals26-61 (29.9%)4-3 (57.1%)2-4 (33.3%)7-26 (21.2%)13-27 (32.5%)