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Braves @ Orioles [ +120 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 11, 2024, 6:35 pm
Braves | 89-75 (54.3%), Max Fried (L) | 11-10 (52.38%)
Orioles | 91-73 (55.5%), Albert Suarez (R) | 9-7 (56.25%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Braves
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Orioles
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Bullpen:
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Braves Situational Notes
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Orioles Situational Notes

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/12BALCade Povich (L)ATL -100
BAL -118		8.5ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)
6/11BALAlbert Suarez (R)ATL -142
BAL +120		7.5ATLMax Fried (L)
6/9WSN [ 8 ]DJ Herz (L)ATL -172
WSN +144		9.5ATL [ 5 ]Hurston Waldrep (R)
6/8WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)ATL -134
WSN +114		8.5ATL [ 3 ]Charlie Morton (R)
6/7WSN [ 2 ]Jake Irvin (R)ATL -205
WSN +172		7.5ATL [ 1 ]Chris Sale (L)
6/6WSN [ 2 ]Mitchell Parker (L)ATL -164
WSN +138		8.5ATL [ 5 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
6/5BOS [ 9 ]Nick Pivetta (R)ATL -104
BOS -112		10ATL [ 0 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
6/4BOS [ 3 ]Kutter Crawford (R)ATL -164
BOS +138		8ATL [ 8 ]Max Fried (L)
6/2ATL [ 3 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -250
OAK +205		8.5OAK [ 1 ]Luis Medina (R)
6/1ATL [ 9 ]Chris Sale (L)ATL -330
OAK +265		7.5OAK [ 11 ]Aaron Brooks (R)

Orioles Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/12BALCade Povich (L)BAL -118
ATL -100		8.5ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)
6/11BALAlbert Suarez (R)BAL +120
ATL -142		7.5ATLMax Fried (L)
6/10TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)BAL -138
TBR +118		7BAL [ 5 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
6/9TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)BAL -146
TBR +124		7.5BAL [ 9 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)
6/8TBR [ 0 ]Taj Bradley (R)BAL -136
TBR +116		8BAL [ 5 ]Kyle Bradish (R)
6/7TBR [ 3 ]Aaron Civale (R)BAL -106
TBR -110		8.5BAL [ 6 ]Cole Irvin (L)
6/6TOR [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)BAL +110
TOR -130		8.5BAL [ 5 ]Cade Povich (L)
6/5TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)BAL -104
TOR -112		8BAL [ 2 ]Albert Suarez (R)
6/4TOR [ 1 ]Trevor Richards (R)BAL -148
TOR +126		8BAL [ 10 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
6/3TOR [ 2 ]Kevin Gausman (R)BAL -116
TOR -102		7.5BAL [ 7 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)

Max Fried Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/4BOS [ 3 ]ATL [ 8 ]-164871314123Kutter Crawford (R)
5/28ATL [ 2 ]WSN [ 0 ]-2558.58617000Jake Irvin (R)
5/22CHC [ 2 ]ATL [ 9 ]-1348.59903012Justin Steele (L)
5/17ATL [ 1 ]SDP [ 3 ]-21584.33239033Matt Waldron (R)
5/11NYM [ 1 ]ATL [ 4 ]-16277530000Christian Scott (R)
7.0771.64.60.21.21.6

Albert Suarez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/5TOR [ 3 ]BAL [ 2 ]-10485415022Jose Berrios (R)
5/31BAL [ 3 ]TBR [ 1 ]-14285524011Aaron Civale (R)
5/25CHW [ 3 ]BAL [ 5 ]-17284322000Erick Fedde (R)
4/28BAL [ 6 ]OAK [ 7 ]-2108.54617144Paul Blackburn (R)
4/22LAA [ 2 ]BAL [ 4 ]-1088.55.67524000Reid Detmers (L)
4.734.61.64.40.21.41.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

BravesOrioles
162TG162
4.3R/G4.9
213HR235
0.243AVG0.25
69SB98
20CS25
BravesOrioles
0.172ISO0.186
0.291BABIP0.288
0.309OBP0.315
0.415SLG0.435
0.315wOBA0.324
100wRC+115
BravesOrioles
8BB%7.9
24K%22
0.33BB/K0.36
10Barrel%8.9
42.5HardHit%42.2
18.4WAR28.8

Pitching Matchup

Max FriedAlbert Suarez
29G32
29GS24
174.1IP133.2
6IP/G4.2
11W9
10L7
72.5LOB%78.8
Max FriedAlbert Suarez
8.57K/97.27
2.94BB/92.9
15.3K/BB%11.5
58.8GB%33.9
23.2FB%42.6
0.67HR/91.14
11.7HR/FB%9.9
Max FriedAlbert Suarez
0.282BABIP0.287
3.25ERA3.7
3.64xERA4.14
3.33FIP4.24
3.33xFIP4.53
1.16WHIP1.29
3.61SIERA4.56
3.4WAR1.4

Bullpen Matchup

BravesOrioles
2.97BPU/G3.37
3.3IP/G3.5
33W29
27L22
40SV46
22BS21
75.3LOB%67.8
BravesOrioles
9.92K/99.17
2.87BB/93.35
18.9K/BB%15.3
42.7GB%44.4
38.1FB%37.7
0.95HR/91.03
10.5HR/FB%11
BravesOrioles
0.294BABIP0.279
3.32ERA4.22
3.41FIP3.88
3.56xFIP3.96
1.18WHIP1.23
3.27SIERA3.66
6.1WAR3.5

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Max Fried F55-5-3 (50%)1-2-1 (33.3%)4-3-2 (57.1%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Max Fried9-4 (69.2%)3-1 (75%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Albert Suarez F54-2-1 (66.7%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)
Albert Suarez5-2 (71.4%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Max Fried F53-9-1 (25%)1-3-0 (25%)2-6-1 (25%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Max Fried5-7-1 (41.7%)1-3-0 (25%)4-4-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Albert Suarez F51-6-0 (14.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Albert Suarez1-5-1 (16.7%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-1 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Braves vs. RHP F520-17-6 (54.1%)11-7-3 (61.1%)7-7-2 (50%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-1 (40%)
Braves vs. RHP23-20 (53.5%)12-9 (57.1%)9-7 (56.3%)0-0 (-)2-4 (33.3%)
Orioles vs. LHP F511-6-2 (64.7%)3-4-0 (42.9%)3-1-2 (75%)2-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Orioles vs. LHP14-5 (73.7%)5-2 (71.4%)4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Braves vs. RHP F515-22-3 (40.5%)9-9-2 (50%)4-9-1 (30.8%)0-0-0 (-)2-4-0 (33.3%)
Braves vs. RHP11-29-3 (27.5%)7-14-0 (33.3%)3-10-3 (23.1%)0-0-0 (-)1-5-0 (16.7%)
Orioles vs. LHP F56-12-1 (33.3%)5-2-0 (71.4%)1-5-0 (16.7%)0-1-1 (0%)0-3-0 (0%)
Orioles vs. LHP8-9-2 (47.1%)2-3-2 (40%)4-2-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Max Fried7-6 (53.8%)2-2 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves32-33 (49.2%)14-17 (45.2%)14-14 (50%)0-0 (-)4-2 (66.7%)
Albert Suarez5-1 (83.3%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)
Orioles39-26 (60%)17-14 (54.8%)13-10 (56.5%)2-1 (66.7%)7-1 (87.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Max Fried6-7 (46.2%)2-2 (50%)4-5 (44.4%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves29-36 (44.6%)19-12 (61.3%)9-19 (32.1%)0-0 (-)1-5 (16.7%)
Albert Suarez1-6 (14.3%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)
Orioles22-45 (32.8%)16-15 (51.6%)5-18 (21.7%)0-3 (0%)1-7 (12.5%)