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Pirates @ Cubs [ -100 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 17, 2024, 1:20 pm
Pirates | 76-87 (46.6%), Paul Skenes (R) | 11-3 (78.57%)
Cubs | 83-79 (51.2%), Kyle Hendricks (R) | 4-12 (25%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cubs
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Pirates Situational Notes

Cubs Situational Notes

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/18CHCShota Imanaga (L)PIT +172
CHC -205		8.5PITBailey Falter (L)
5/17CHCKyle Hendricks (R)PIT -118
CHC -100		7.5PITPaul Skenes (R)
5/16CHC [ 4 ]Justin Steele (L)PIT +104
CHC -122		8PIT [ 5 ]Jared Jones (R)
5/15MIL [ 10 ]Robert Gasser (L)PIT +128
MIL -152		8.5PIT [ 2 ]Martin Perez (L)
5/14MIL [ 4 ]Joe Ross (R)PIT +134
MIL -158		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Quinn Priester (R)
5/13MIL [ 6 ]Colin Rea (R)PIT +120
MIL -142		8.5PIT [ 8 ]Mitch Keller (R)
5/12PIT [ 4 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT -102
CHC -116		9CHC [ 5 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
5/11PIT [ 10 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -100
CHC -118		7CHC [ 9 ]Justin Steele (L)
5/10PIT [ 2 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -130
CHC +110		7CHC [ 7 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/8PIT [ 4 ]Martin Perez (L)PIT -138
LAA +118		9LAA [ 5 ]Jose Soriano (R)

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/18CHCShota Imanaga (L)CHC -205
PIT +172		8.5PITBailey Falter (L)
5/17CHCKyle Hendricks (R)CHC -100
PIT -118		7.5PITPaul Skenes (R)
5/16CHC [ 4 ]Justin Steele (L)CHC -122
PIT +104		8PIT [ 5 ]Jared Jones (R)
5/15ATL [ 1 ]Charlie Morton (R)CHC +154
ATL -184		8.5CHC [ 7 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/14ATL [ 7 ]Chris Sale (L)CHC +166
ATL -198		7.5CHC [ 0 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/13ATL [ 2 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)CHC +118
ATL -138		8CHC [ 0 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/12PIT [ 4 ]Bailey Falter (L)CHC -116
PIT -102		9CHC [ 5 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
5/11PIT [ 10 ]Paul Skenes (R)CHC -118
PIT -100		7CHC [ 9 ]Justin Steele (L)
5/10PIT [ 2 ]Jared Jones (R)CHC +110
PIT -130		7CHC [ 7 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/8CHC [ 0 ]Hayden Wesneski (R)CHC +114
SDP -134		7.5SDP [ 3 ]Dylan Cease (R)

Paul Skenes Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/11PIT [ 10 ]CHC [ 9 ]-10074726133Justin Steele (L)
4726133

Kyle Hendricks Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/12PIT [ 4 ]CHC [ 5 ]-11695542111Bailey Falter (L)
4/21CHC [ 3 ]MIA [ 6 ]-1248.54506144Edward Cabrera (R)
4/16ARI [ 12 ]CHC [ 11 ]102104.33335277Tommy Henry (L)
4/10SDP [ 10 ]CHC [ 2 ]13485209277Dylan Cease (R)
4/5CHC [ 9 ]LAD [ 7 ]1607.54428155Bobby Miller (R)
4.473.81.861.44.84.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PiratesCubs
162TG162
4.1R/G4.5
160HR170
0.234AVG0.242
106SB143
19CS30
PiratesCubs
0.137ISO0.151
0.291BABIP0.291
0.301OBP0.317
0.371SLG0.393
0.295wOBA0.311
86wRC+101
PiratesCubs
8BB%8.9
24.7K%22.3
0.32BB/K0.4
8.2Barrel%7.8
39.9HardHit%38.1
6.9WAR22.5

Pitching Matchup

Paul SkenesKyle Hendricks
23G29
23GS24
133IP130.2
5.8IP/G4.5
11W4
3L12
85.6LOB%64.2
Paul SkenesKyle Hendricks
11.5K/95.99
2.17BB/92.96
26.8K/BB%7.8
51.3GB%44.5
30.9FB%34.1
0.68HR/91.45
10.6HR/FB%14.3
Paul SkenesKyle Hendricks
0.284BABIP0.305
1.96ERA5.92
2.5xERA4.8
2.44FIP4.98
2.54xFIP4.59
0.95WHIP1.45
2.71SIERA4.83
4.3WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup

PiratesCubs
3.17BPU/G3.06
3.6IP/G3.5
33W37
33L35
43SV38
27BS26
67.6LOB%73.5
PiratesCubs
9.06K/99.25
3.97BB/93.76
12.9K/BB%14.4
41.4GB%42.4
38.7FB%38.4
0.85HR/90.99
8.6HR/FB%10.6
PiratesCubs
0.305BABIP0.288
4.49ERA3.81
3.95FIP3.94
4.38xFIP4.09
1.38WHIP1.29
3.98SIERA3.8
3.4WAR2.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Paul Skenes F52-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Paul Skenes2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Kyle Hendricks F52-5-0 (28.6%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)0-3-0 (0%)
Kyle Hendricks2-5 (28.6%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)0-3 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Paul Skenes F52-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Paul Skenes2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Kyle Hendricks F56-1-0 (85.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)
Kyle Hendricks6-0-1 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. RHP F510-15-5 (40%)3-4-3 (42.9%)2-3-0 (40%)3-4-0 (42.9%)2-4-2 (33.3%)
Pirates vs. RHP11-19 (36.7%)3-7 (30%)2-3 (40%)3-4 (42.9%)3-5 (37.5%)
Cubs vs. RHP F516-13-9 (55.2%)3-3-3 (50%)3-2-0 (60%)5-4-0 (55.6%)5-4-6 (55.6%)
Cubs vs. RHP22-16 (57.9%)5-4 (55.6%)3-2 (60%)6-3 (66.7%)8-7 (53.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. RHP F514-15-0 (48.3%)5-4-0 (55.6%)4-1-0 (80%)2-5-0 (28.6%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Pirates vs. RHP12-16-2 (42.9%)4-5-1 (44.4%)2-3-0 (40%)2-4-1 (33.3%)4-4-0 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP F518-18-0 (50%)3-4-0 (42.9%)3-2-0 (60%)5-4-0 (55.6%)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Cubs vs. RHP16-22-0 (42.1%)5-4-0 (55.6%)3-2-0 (60%)3-6-0 (33.3%)5-10-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Paul Skenes2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Pirates24-21 (53.3%)4-9 (30.8%)3-4 (42.9%)6-2 (75%)11-6 (64.7%)
Kyle Hendricks2-5 (28.6%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)
Cubs25-21 (54.3%)4-8 (33.3%)2-4 (33.3%)6-3 (66.7%)13-6 (68.4%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Paul Skenes0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)
Pirates17-29 (37%)7-6 (53.8%)3-4 (42.9%)3-5 (37.5%)4-13 (23.5%)
Kyle Hendricks2-5 (28.6%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)0-3 (0%)
Cubs22-24 (47.8%)5-7 (41.7%)2-4 (33.3%)6-3 (66.7%)9-10 (47.4%)