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Twins @ Blue Jays [ -148 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 11, 2024, 3:07 pm
Twins | 82-80 (50.6%), Simeon Woods Richardson (R) | 5-5 (50%)
Blue Jays | 73-88 (45.3%), Kevin Gausman (R) | 14-11 (56%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Team Batting:
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Blue Jays
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Twins Situational Notes

Blue Jays Situational Notes

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12TORAlek Manoah (R)MIN -120
TOR +102		8MINBailey Ober (R)
5/11TORKevin Gausman (R)MIN +126
TOR -148		7.5MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)
5/10TOR [ 2 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)MIN -102
TOR -116		7.5MIN [ 3 ]Joe Ryan (R)
5/9MIN [ 11 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -118
SEA -100		7SEA [ 1 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
5/8MIN [ 6 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -108
SEA -108		7.5SEA [ 3 ]George Kirby (R)
5/7MIN [ 6 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -162
SEA +136		8SEA [ 10 ]Emerson Hancock (R)
5/6MIN [ 3 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN +106
SEA -124		8SEA [ 1 ]Luis Castillo (R)
5/5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -184
BOS +154		7.5BOS [ 9 ]Cooper Criswell (R)
5/4MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -178
BOS +150		7.5BOS [ 1 ]Brennan Bernardino (L)
5/3MIN [ 5 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -124
BOS +106		7.5BOS [ 2 ]Tanner Houck (R)

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/12TORAlek Manoah (R)TOR +102
MIN -120		8MINBailey Ober (R)
5/11TORKevin Gausman (R)TOR -148
MIN +126		7.5MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)
5/10TOR [ 2 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -116
MIN -102		7.5MIN [ 3 ]Joe Ryan (R)
5/8PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)TOR +142
PHI -168		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
5/7PHI [ 10 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)TOR -102
PHI -116		8TOR [ 1 ]Jose Berrios (R)
5/5WSN [ 11 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)TOR -104
WSN -112		8.5TOR [ 8 ]Alek Manoah (R)
5/4WSN [ 3 ]Jake Irvin (R)TOR -174
WSN +146		7.5TOR [ 6 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
5/3WSN [ 9 ]Patrick Corbin (L)TOR -200
WSN +168		8.5TOR [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
5/1TOR [ 1 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -142
KCR +120		8KCR [ 6 ]Seth Lugo (R)
4/30TOR [ 1 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -130
KCR +110		7.5KCR [ 4 ]Cole Ragans (L)

Simeon Woods Richardson Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/6MIN [ 3 ]SEA [ 1 ]10686811000Luis Castillo (R)
4/30CHW [ 5 ]MIN [ 6 ]-1788.53.67227012Michael Soroka (R)
4/25MIN [ 6 ]CHW [ 3 ]-21085617022Michael Soroka (R)
4/13DET [ 1 ]MIN [ 4 ]1168.56512011Matt Manning (R)
5.175.251.254.25011.25

Kevin Gausman Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/4WSN [ 3 ]TOR [ 6 ]-1747.55.33823000Jake Irvin (R)
4/28TOR [ 3 ]LAD [ 1 ]-1128.57505111Michael Grove (R)
4/23KCR [ 3 ]TOR [ 2 ]-1228.56.67217003Michael Wacha (R)
4/17TOR [ 4 ]NYY [ 6 ]-1188.55634011Marcus Stroman (R)
4/12TOR [ 4 ]COL [ 12 ]-23083.674010066Ryan Feltner (R)
5.5351.25.80.21.62.2


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

TwinsBlue Jays
162TG162
4.6R/G4.1
183HR156
0.246AVG0.241
65SB72
23CS16
TwinsBlue Jays
0.165ISO0.148
0.289BABIP0.283
0.315OBP0.313
0.411SLG0.389
0.316wOBA0.307
107wRC+101
TwinsBlue Jays
7.7BB%8.4
21.3K%20.3
0.36BB/K0.41
7.7Barrel%7.2
38.1HardHit%36.5
23WAR22.8

Pitching Matchup

Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin Gausman
28G31
28GS31
133.2IP181
4.8IP/G5.8
5W14
5L11
73.6LOB%70.3
Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin Gausman
7.88K/98.06
3.23BB/92.78
12.1K/BB%14
35.3GB%38.3
44.3FB%42.2
1.08HR/90.99
9.1HR/FB%8.9
Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin Gausman
0.283BABIP0.281
4.17ERA3.83
4.08xERA4.77
4.12FIP3.77
4.55xFIP4.22
1.29WHIP1.22
4.51SIERA4.24
1.8WAR2.9

Bullpen Matchup

TwinsBlue Jays
3.3BPU/G3.39
3.6IP/G3.5
35W23
31L27
43SV36
19BS23
68.7LOB%69
TwinsBlue Jays
9.6K/97.99
3.26BB/93.63
16.5K/BB%11.3
43.8GB%42.4
36.8FB%37.5
0.92HR/91.46
10.1HR/FB%14.8
TwinsBlue Jays
0.296BABIP0.276
4.12ERA4.82
3.65FIP4.84
3.84xFIP4.39
1.26WHIP1.34
3.52SIERA4.14
5.9WAR-2.6

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson F53-2-0 (60%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)
Simeon Woods Richardson4-1 (80%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Kevin Gausman F54-4-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Kevin Gausman4-4 (50%)2-2 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson F52-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Simeon Woods Richardson3-2-0 (60%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Kevin Gausman F55-2-1 (71.4%)2-2-0 (50%)2-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Kevin Gausman6-2-0 (75%)3-1-0 (75%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F512-15-2 (44.4%)5-7-0 (41.7%)0-4-2 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Twins vs. RHP16-13 (55.2%)6-6 (50%)5-1 (83.3%)2-1 (66.7%)2-5 (28.6%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F512-14-5 (46.2%)6-4-1 (60%)4-2-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)1-6-4 (14.3%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP15-16 (48.4%)6-5 (54.5%)4-2 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)4-7 (36.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F514-10-2 (58.3%)5-4-2 (55.6%)3-2-0 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-3-0 (50%)
Twins vs. RHP16-13-0 (55.2%)6-6-0 (50%)5-1-0 (83.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F512-14-3 (46.2%)4-6-0 (40%)2-2-2 (50%)1-0-1 (100%)4-6-0 (40%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP13-17-1 (43.3%)4-7-0 (36.4%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)6-5-0 (54.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson3-2 (60%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Twins19-18 (51.4%)6-8 (42.9%)5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)6-5 (54.5%)
Kevin Gausman5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Blue Jays16-22 (42.1%)6-8 (42.9%)4-4 (50%)0-2 (0%)6-8 (42.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson2-3 (40%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)2-0 (100%)
Twins22-17 (56.4%)7-7 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)7-4 (63.6%)
Kevin Gausman5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Blue Jays20-19 (51.3%)6-8 (42.9%)5-3 (62.5%)2-0 (100%)7-7 (50%)