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Mariners @ Twins [ -118 / 7 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 9, 2024, 12:10 pm
Mariners | 85-77 (52.5%), Logan Gilbert (R) | 9-12 (42.86%)
Twins | 82-80 (50.6%), Pablo Lopez (R) | 15-10 (60%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Mariners
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Mariners Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Mariners Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/10SEABryan Woo (R)SEA -154
OAK +130		7.5OAKPaul Blackburn (R)
5/9MINPablo Lopez (R)SEA -100
MIN -118		7SEALogan Gilbert (R)
5/8MIN [ 6 ]Chris Paddack (R)SEA -108
MIN -108		7.5SEA [ 3 ]George Kirby (R)
5/7MIN [ 6 ]Bailey Ober (R)SEA +136
MIN -162		8SEA [ 10 ]Emerson Hancock (R)
5/6MIN [ 3 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)SEA -124
MIN +106		8SEA [ 1 ]Luis Castillo (R)
5/5HOU [ 4 ]Hunter Brown (R)SEA +112
HOU -132		8.5SEA [ 5 ]Bryce Miller (R)
5/4HOU [ 0 ]Framber Valdez (L)SEA +126
HOU -148		7.5SEA [ 5 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
5/3HOU [ 5 ]Ronel Blanco (R)SEA -100
HOU -118		8.5SEA [ 3 ]George Kirby (R)
5/1SEA [ 2 ]Emerson Hancock (R)SEA +158
ATL -188		7ATL [ 5 ]Chris Sale (L)
4/30SEA [ 3 ]Luis Castillo (R)SEA +106
ATL -124		6.5ATL [ 2 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/10TORYusei Kikuchi (L)MIN -102
TOR -116		7.5MINJoe Ryan (R)
5/9MINPablo Lopez (R)MIN -118
SEA -100		7SEALogan Gilbert (R)
5/8MIN [ 6 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -108
SEA -108		7.5SEA [ 3 ]George Kirby (R)
5/7MIN [ 6 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -162
SEA +136		8SEA [ 10 ]Emerson Hancock (R)
5/6MIN [ 3 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN +106
SEA -124		8SEA [ 1 ]Luis Castillo (R)
5/5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -184
BOS +154		7.5BOS [ 9 ]Cooper Criswell (R)
5/4MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -178
BOS +150		7.5BOS [ 1 ]Brennan Bernardino (L)
5/3MIN [ 5 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -124
BOS +106		7.5BOS [ 2 ]Tanner Houck (R)
5/1CHW [ 5 ]Chris Flexen (R)MIN -225
CHW +188		9MIN [ 10 ]Bailey Ober (R)
4/30CHW [ 5 ]Michael Soroka (R)MIN -178
CHW +150		8.5MIN [ 6 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)

Logan Gilbert Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/4HOU [ 0 ]SEA [ 5 ]1267.58642000Framber Valdez (L)
4/28SEA [ 2 ]ARI [ 3 ]-1366.56.33914122Brandon Pfaadt (R)
4/23TEX [ 0 ]SEA [ 4 ]-11696.67642000Dane Dunning (R)
4/16SEA [ 3 ]CIN [ 1 ]-14276.67613011Hunter Greene (R)
4/10TOR [ 1 ]SEA [ 6 ]-1008.57.67815111Yusei Kikuchi (L)
7.0772.23.20.40.80.8

Pablo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/4MIN [ 3 ]BOS [ 1 ]-1787.56815011Brennan Bernardino (L)
4/28LAA [ 5 ]MIN [ 11 ]-1087.55814244Reid Detmers (L)
4/23MIN [ 6 ]CHW [ 5 ]-29074624133Erick Fedde (R)
4/17BAL [ 4 ]MIN [ 2 ]1028.56702111Albert Suarez (R)
4/12DET [ 8 ]MIN [ 2 ]10274736155Tarik Skubal (L)
57.21.44.212.82.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MarinersTwins
162TG162
4.2R/G4.6
185HR183
0.224AVG0.246
140SB65
28CS23
MarinersTwins
0.152ISO0.165
0.284BABIP0.289
0.311OBP0.315
0.376SLG0.411
0.303wOBA0.316
104wRC+107
MarinersTwins
9.4BB%7.7
26.8K%21.3
0.35BB/K0.36
8.9Barrel%7.7
40.3HardHit%38.1
21.3WAR23

Pitching Matchup

Logan GilbertPablo Lopez
33G32
33GS32
208.2IP185.1
6.3IP/G5.8
9W15
12L10
69.5LOB%72.2
Logan GilbertPablo Lopez
9.49K/99.62
1.6BB/91.99
22.8K/BB%20.3
45.1GB%42.9
37.7FB%36.2
1.12HR/91.26
12.9HR/FB%13.8
Logan GilbertPablo Lopez
0.236BABIP0.309
3.23ERA4.08
3.1xERA3.7
3.27FIP3.65
3.11xFIP3.36
0.89WHIP1.19
3.19SIERA3.46
4.1WAR3.2

Bullpen Matchup

MarinersTwins
3.23BPU/G3.3
3IP/G3.6
26W35
27L31
34SV43
22BS19
72.5LOB%68.7
MarinersTwins
9.67K/99.6
3.38BB/93.26
16.9K/BB%16.5
39.8GB%43.8
39.9FB%36.8
1.12HR/90.92
11.9HR/FB%10.1
MarinersTwins
0.265BABIP0.296
3.71ERA4.12
3.91FIP3.65
3.87xFIP3.84
1.17WHIP1.26
3.52SIERA3.52
1.7WAR5.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Gilbert F55-2-1 (71.4%)2-0-1 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)
Logan Gilbert5-3 (62.5%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)
Pablo Lopez F54-4-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Pablo Lopez5-3 (62.5%)3-1 (75%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Gilbert F51-7-0 (12.5%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-3-0 (25%)
Logan Gilbert2-5-1 (28.6%)0-2-1 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)
Pablo Lopez F54-3-0 (57.1%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Pablo Lopez4-4-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. RHP F512-13-3 (48%)4-4-2 (50%)3-1-1 (75%)3-0-0 (100%)2-6-0 (25%)
Mariners vs. RHP13-15 (46.4%)5-5 (50%)3-2 (60%)3-0 (100%)2-6 (25%)
Twins vs. RHP F511-15-2 (42.3%)5-7-0 (41.7%)0-4-2 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-3-0 (50%)
Twins vs. RHP16-12 (57.1%)6-6 (50%)5-1 (83.3%)2-1 (66.7%)2-4 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. RHP F59-14-1 (39.1%)3-6-1 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Mariners vs. RHP10-15-3 (40%)2-6-2 (25%)1-4-0 (20%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-3-0 (62.5%)
Twins vs. RHP F513-10-2 (56.5%)5-4-2 (55.6%)3-2-0 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)2-3-0 (40%)
Twins vs. RHP15-13-0 (53.6%)6-6-0 (50%)5-1-0 (83.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-4-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Gilbert5-3 (62.5%)1-2 (33.3%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)3-1 (75%)
Mariners18-18 (50%)5-8 (38.5%)3-3 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)6-5 (54.5%)
Pablo Lopez3-4 (42.9%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Twins18-17 (51.4%)6-8 (42.9%)5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Logan Gilbert4-4 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)
Mariners13-25 (34.2%)5-8 (38.5%)3-3 (50%)1-5 (16.7%)3-8 (27.3%)
Pablo Lopez6-2 (75%)3-1 (75%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Twins20-17 (54.1%)7-7 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)2-2 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)