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Brewers @ Cubs [ -118 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 3, 2024, 1:20 pm
Brewers | 94-71 (57%), Joe Ross (R) | 3-6 (33.33%)
Cubs | 83-79 (51.2%), Hayden Wesneski (R) | 3-6 (33.33%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cubs
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Brewers Situational Notes

Cubs Situational Notes

Brewers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/4CHCJameson Taillon (R)MIL +112
CHC -132		8.5MILTobias Myers (R)
5/3CHCHayden Wesneski (R)MIL -100
CHC -118		7.5MILJoe Ross (R)
5/1MIL [ 7 ]Colin Rea (R)MIL -108
TBR -108		8.5TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)
4/30MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -178
TBR +150		7.5TBR [ 2 ]Tyler Alexander (L)
4/29MIL [ 0 ]Bryse Wilson (R)MIL -112
TBR -104		8TBR [ 1 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
4/28MIL [ 5 ]Tobias Myers (R)MIL +116
NYY -136		8.5NYY [ 15 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
4/27MIL [ 3 ]Joe Ross (R)MIL -102
NYY -116		8.5NYY [ 15 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
4/26MIL [ 7 ]Colin Rea (R)MIL +114
NYY -134		8.5NYY [ 6 ]Luis Gil (R)
4/25PIT [ 5 ]Mitch Keller (R)MIL -138
PIT +118		6.5MIL [ 7 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
4/24PIT [ 2 ]Josh Fleming (L)MIL -122
PIT +104		8.5MIL [ 3 ]Bryse Wilson (R)

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/4CHCJameson Taillon (R)CHC -132
MIL +112		8.5MILTobias Myers (R)
5/3CHCHayden Wesneski (R)CHC -118
MIL -100		7.5MILJoe Ross (R)
5/2NYM [ 7 ]Adrian Houser (R)CHC -102
NYM -116		8CHC [ 6 ]Ben Brown (R)
5/1NYM [ 0 ]Jose Butto (R)CHC -122
NYM +104		7CHC [ 1 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
4/30NYM [ 4 ]Sean Manaea (L)CHC +104
NYM -122		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Javier Assad (R)
4/29NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)CHC +120
NYM -142		7.5CHC [ 3 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
4/28BOS [ 5 ]Tanner Houck (R)CHC +124
BOS -146		9.5CHC [ 4 ]Hayden Wesneski (R)
4/27BOS [ 17 ]Josh Winckowski (R)CHC -118
BOS -100		9CHC [ 0 ]Ben Brown (R)
4/26BOS [ 1 ]Kutter Crawford (R)CHC -110
BOS -106		7.5CHC [ 7 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
4/25CHC [ 3 ]Javier Assad (R)CHC +122
HOU -144		7.5HOU [ 1 ]Justin Verlander (R)

Joe Ross Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
4/27MIL [ 3 ]NYY [ 15 ]-1028.55538167Carlos Rodon (L)
4/22PIT [ 4 ]MIL [ 2 ]1307.55.33416112Jared Jones (R)
4/15MIL [ 3 ]SDP [ 7 ]-1128.54.67429067Joe Musgrove (R)
4/9CIN [ 5 ]MIL [ 9 ]1169.56.33715023Frankie Montas (R)
4/3MIL [ 3 ]MIN [ 7 ]-1068.53.67352000Chris Paddack (R)
54.62.460.433.8

Hayden Wesneski Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
4/28BOS [ 5 ]CHC [ 4 ]1249.54315012Tanner Houck (R)
4315012


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

BrewersCubs
162TG162
4.8R/G4.5
177HR170
0.248AVG0.242
217SB143
42CS30
BrewersCubs
0.155ISO0.151
0.305BABIP0.291
0.326OBP0.317
0.403SLG0.393
0.319wOBA0.311
104wRC+101
BrewersCubs
9.7BB%8.9
23.6K%22.3
0.41BB/K0.4
7.2Barrel%7.8
38.3HardHit%38.1
27.2WAR22.5

Pitching Matchup

Joe RossHayden Wesneski
25G28
10GS7
74IP67.2
3IP/G2.4
3W3
6L6
72.7LOB%67.5
Joe RossHayden Wesneski
8.03K/98.91
3.53BB/92.79
11.5K/BB%16.3
41GB%44.8
41.9FB%40.1
0.85HR/91.6
7.5HR/FB%15.6
Joe RossHayden Wesneski
0.298BABIP0.243
3.77ERA3.86
3.86xERA4.16
3.83FIP4.51
4.5xFIP3.93
1.36WHIP1.14
4.38SIERA3.75
0.9WAR0.2

Bullpen Matchup

BrewersCubs
3.2BPU/G3.06
4IP/G3.5
51W37
28L35
53SV38
19BS26
78.1LOB%73.5
BrewersCubs
8.81K/99.25
3.06BB/93.76
15.5K/BB%14.4
42.8GB%42.4
37.9FB%38.4
0.99HR/90.99
10.7HR/FB%10.6
BrewersCubs
0.266BABIP0.288
3.11ERA3.81
3.78FIP3.94
3.9xFIP4.09
1.16WHIP1.29
3.65SIERA3.8
5.9WAR2.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ross F52-2-2 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-2 (100%)
Joe Ross2-4 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Hayden Wesneski F50-1-1 (0%)0-0-1 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Hayden Wesneski0-2 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ross F53-3-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Joe Ross4-2-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)2-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Hayden Wesneski F50-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Hayden Wesneski0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F513-7-6 (65%)3-2-1 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-2-1 (33.3%)6-1-4 (85.7%)
Brewers vs. RHP17-9 (65.4%)4-2 (66.7%)3-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)8-3 (72.7%)
Cubs vs. RHP F512-9-6 (57.1%)1-2-2 (33.3%)3-1-0 (75%)4-2-0 (66.7%)4-4-4 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP17-10 (63%)3-2 (60%)3-1 (75%)5-1 (83.3%)6-6 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F514-12-0 (53.8%)1-5-0 (16.7%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-1-0 (75%)7-4-0 (63.6%)
Brewers vs. RHP16-10-0 (61.5%)2-4-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-0-0 (100%)7-4-0 (63.6%)
Cubs vs. RHP F513-12-0 (52%)2-1-0 (66.7%)2-2-0 (50%)4-2-0 (66.7%)5-7-0 (41.7%)
Cubs vs. RHP10-17-0 (37%)2-3-0 (40%)2-2-0 (50%)2-4-0 (33.3%)4-8-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ross2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Brewers14-15 (48.3%)2-5 (28.6%)2-3 (40%)1-4 (20%)9-3 (75%)
Hayden Wesneski1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Cubs22-11 (66.7%)4-4 (50%)2-2 (50%)5-1 (83.3%)11-4 (73.3%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ross3-3 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)
Brewers17-14 (54.8%)3-4 (42.9%)2-3 (40%)4-1 (80%)7-5 (58.3%)
Hayden Wesneski1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Cubs15-18 (45.5%)3-5 (37.5%)1-3 (25%)5-1 (83.3%)6-9 (40%)