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Rays @ Brewers [ -108 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 1, 2024, 12:10 pm
Rays | 80-82 (49.4%), Zach Eflin (R) | 10-9 (52.63%)
Brewers | 94-71 (57%), Colin Rea (R) | 12-6 (66.67%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Rays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Brewers
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Matchup:
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Rays Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

Rays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/3TBRAaron Civale (R)TBR -146
NYM +124		8NYMJose Quintana (L)
5/1MILColin Rea (R)TBR -108
MIL -108		8.5TBRZach Eflin (R)
4/30MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)TBR +150
MIL -178		7.5TBR [ 2 ]Tyler Alexander (L)
4/29MIL [ 0 ]Bryse Wilson (R)TBR -104
MIL -112		8TBR [ 1 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
4/28CHW [ 4 ]Erick Fedde (R)TBR -138
CHW +118		8TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)
4/27CHW [ 8 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)TBR -200
CHW +168		8.5TBR [ 7 ]Aaron Civale (R)
4/26CHW [ 9 ]Chris Flexen (R)TBR -230
CHW +190		7.5TBR [ 4 ]Zach Eflin (R)
4/24TBR [ 7 ]Shawn Armstrong (R)TBR -104
DET -112		8DET [ 5 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
4/23TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)TBR -168
DET +142		8DET [ 4 ]Kenta Maeda (R)
4/22TBR [ 1 ]Zack Littell (R)TBR -110
DET -106		7.5DET [ 7 ]Tarik Skubal (L)

Brewers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/3CHCHayden Wesneski (R)MIL -100
CHC -118		7.5MILJoe Ross (R)
5/1MILColin Rea (R)MIL -108
TBR -108		8.5TBRZach Eflin (R)
4/30MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -178
TBR +150		7.5TBR [ 2 ]Tyler Alexander (L)
4/29MIL [ 0 ]Bryse Wilson (R)MIL -112
TBR -104		8TBR [ 1 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
4/28MIL [ 5 ]Tobias Myers (R)MIL +116
NYY -136		8.5NYY [ 15 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
4/27MIL [ 3 ]Joe Ross (R)MIL -102
NYY -116		8.5NYY [ 15 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
4/26MIL [ 7 ]Colin Rea (R)MIL +114
NYY -134		8.5NYY [ 6 ]Luis Gil (R)
4/25PIT [ 5 ]Mitch Keller (R)MIL -138
PIT +118		6.5MIL [ 7 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
4/24PIT [ 2 ]Josh Fleming (L)MIL -122
PIT +104		8.5MIL [ 3 ]Bryse Wilson (R)
4/23PIT [ 2 ]Bailey Falter (L)MIL -112
PIT -104		8.5MIL [ 1 ]Tobias Myers (R)

Zach Eflin Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
4/26CHW [ 9 ]TBR [ 4 ]-2307.56429145Chris Flexen (R)
4/20NYY [ 0 ]TBR [ 2 ]10496603000Nestor Cortes (L)
4/15TBR [ 3 ]LAA [ 7 ]-1668.56.33506000Patrick Sandoval (L)
4/8LAA [ 7 ]TBR [ 1 ]-1548.55509155Tyler Anderson (L)
4/2TBR [ 5 ]TEX [ 2 ]-1568.56.33515011Andrew Heaney (L)
5.9350.66.40.422.2

Colin Rea Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
4/26MIL [ 7 ]NYY [ 6 ]1148.56434355Luis Gil (R)
4/21STL [ 0 ]MIL [ 2 ]1327.55335000Sonny Gray (R)
4/14BAL [ 6 ]MIL [ 4 ]1848.55.67615233Corbin Burnes (R)
4/7MIL [ 12 ]SEA [ 4 ]-13496307012Emerson Hancock (R)
3/31NYM [ 1 ]MIL [ 4 ]12085225011Tylor Megill (R)
5.533.61.85.2122.2


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RaysBrewers
162TG162
3.7R/G4.8
147HR177
0.23AVG0.248
178SB217
53CS42
RaysBrewers
0.136ISO0.155
0.289BABIP0.305
0.302OBP0.326
0.366SLG0.403
0.294wOBA0.319
95wRC+104
RaysBrewers
8.2BB%9.7
24.7K%23.6
0.33BB/K0.41
7.4Barrel%7.2
36.5HardHit%38.3
16.1WAR27.2

Pitching Matchup

Zach EflinColin Rea
28G32
28GS27
165.1IP167.2
5.9IP/G5.2
10W12
9L6
75.2LOB%76.6
Zach EflinColin Rea
7.29K/97.25
1.31BB/92.31
16.1K/BB%12.9
42.7GB%38.8
37.5FB%40.7
1.2HR/91.56
11.3HR/FB%13.7
Zach EflinColin Rea
0.287BABIP0.282
3.59ERA4.29
3.62xERA4.87
3.77FIP4.75
3.81xFIP4.42
1.15WHIP1.26
3.97SIERA4.33
2.8WAR0.9

Bullpen Matchup

RaysBrewers
3.35BPU/G3.2
3.9IP/G4
42W51
32L28
51SV53
21BS19
73.7LOB%78.1
RaysBrewers
8.85K/98.81
3.13BB/93.06
15.2K/BB%15.5
42.1GB%42.8
40.9FB%37.9
1.17HR/90.99
11.5HR/FB%10.7
RaysBrewers
0.268BABIP0.266
3.73ERA3.11
4.1FIP3.78
4.12xFIP3.9
1.19WHIP1.16
3.7SIERA3.65
2.2WAR5.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zach Eflin F52-3-2 (40%)2-0-1 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-1 (-)
Zach Eflin2-5 (28.6%)1-2 (33.3%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Colin Rea F53-1-2 (75%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-2 (100%)
Colin Rea5-1 (83.3%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zach Eflin F52-5-0 (28.6%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Zach Eflin3-4-0 (42.9%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Colin Rea F53-3-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Colin Rea3-3-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F57-12-3 (36.8%)2-4-2 (33.3%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
Rays vs. RHP9-13 (40.9%)3-5 (37.5%)3-3 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-3 (25%)
Brewers vs. RHP F513-7-5 (65%)3-2-1 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-2-1 (33.3%)6-1-3 (85.7%)
Brewers vs. RHP16-9 (64%)4-2 (66.7%)3-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)7-3 (70%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F57-12-1 (36.8%)2-4-1 (33.3%)1-4-0 (20%)2-0-0 (100%)2-2-0 (50%)
Rays vs. RHP12-10-0 (54.5%)5-3-0 (62.5%)3-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)2-2-0 (50%)
Brewers vs. RHP F514-11-0 (56%)1-5-0 (16.7%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-1-0 (75%)7-3-0 (70%)
Brewers vs. RHP16-9-0 (64%)2-4-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-0-0 (100%)7-3-0 (70%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zach Eflin2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Rays11-19 (36.7%)3-10 (23.1%)3-6 (33.3%)2-1 (66.7%)3-2 (60%)
Colin Rea4-1 (80%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Brewers13-15 (46.4%)2-5 (28.6%)2-3 (40%)1-4 (20%)8-3 (72.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zach Eflin2-5 (28.6%)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)
Rays17-15 (53.1%)6-7 (46.2%)5-4 (55.6%)3-0 (100%)3-2 (60%)
Colin Rea4-2 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Brewers17-13 (56.7%)3-4 (42.9%)2-3 (40%)4-1 (80%)7-4 (63.6%)