NBA Betting | themoneyballer.com

10:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers

Mavericks: 19-34 (35.8%)

Lakers: 32-21 (60.4%)

Line:

Total:

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Manage Systems

Notable Trends

The Lakers are 70.8% (17-7) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

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Lakers (Home)

The Lakers are 52.9% (27-24-2) against the spread

The Lakers are 50% (11-11-2) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 65.5% (19-10-2) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 64.3% (9-5-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 56.6% (30-23) to the over/under

The Lakers are 70.8% (17-7) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 51.6% (16-15) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 62.5% (10-6) to the over/under as a home fav

The Lakers are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lakers are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Lakers are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Mavericks (Away)

The Mavericks are 45.3% (24-29-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 36.4% (8-14-1) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 51.4% (19-18-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 43.8% (7-9-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 44.4% (24-30) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 39.1% (9-14) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 50% (19-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 47.1% (8-9) to the over/under as an away dog

The Mavericks are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/24/26	2025	Lakers	116	Away	Mavericks	110	-4.0	234.0	-6	226
11/28/25	2025	Lakers	129	Home	Mavericks	119	-10.0	232.5	-10	248
04/09/25	2024	Lakers	112	Away	Mavericks	97	-4.5	227.0	-15	209
02/25/25	2024	Lakers	107	Home	Mavericks	99	-8.5	231.5	-8	206
01/07/25	2024	Lakers	97	Away	Mavericks	118	-6.5	218.0	+21	215
01/17/24	2023	Lakers	127	Home	Mavericks	110	-2.5	245.5	-17	237
12/12/23	2023	Lakers	125	Away	Mavericks	127	-3.0	236.0	+2	252
11/22/23	2023	Lakers	101	Home	Mavericks	104	+3.0	240.5	+3	205
03/17/23	2022	Lakers	110	Home	Mavericks	111	-3.5	228.5	+1	221
02/26/23	2022	Lakers	111	Away	Mavericks	108	+4.5	237.5	-3	219
Lakers as Home (5 games)			114.8	-	-	108.6	-4.3	235.7	-6.2	223.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.5	-	-	110.3	-3.5	233.1	-3.2	223.8

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/22/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Lakers	-	+6.5	237.5	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Suns	120	+8.5	229.5	+9	231
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	107	away	Rockets	111	+10.5	222.5	+4	218
01/29/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Hornets	123	+3.5	225.5	+2	244
01/28/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Timberwolves	118	+8.5	229.5	+13	223
01/25/26	2025	Mavericks	0	away	Bucks	0	+2.5	219.5	0	0
01/24/26	2025	Mavericks	110	home	Lakers	116	+4.0	234.0	+6	226
01/22/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Warriors	115	+6.5	234.5	-8	238
Away Games Avg (4 games)			85.8	-	-	92.3	+8.3	226.3	+6.5	178.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			102.5	-	-	108.6	+7.1	228.3	+6.1	211.1

Lakers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/22/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Mavericks	-	-6.5	237.5	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Lakers	108	home	Spurs	136	+13.5	226.5	+28	244
02/09/26	2025	Lakers	110	home	Thunder	119	+7.5	222.5	+9	229
02/07/26	2025	Lakers	105	home	Warriors	99	-2.5	219.5	-6	204
02/05/26	2025	Lakers	119	home	Seventysixers	115	-2.5	236.5	-4	234
02/03/26	2025	Lakers	125	away	Nets	109	-7.5	223.5	-16	234
02/01/26	2025	Lakers	100	away	Knicks	112	+5.5	227.5	+12	212
01/30/26	2025	Lakers	142	away	Wizards	111	-10.5	230.0	-31	253
01/28/26	2025	Lakers	99	away	Cavaliers	129	+3.5	233.5	+30	228
01/26/26	2025	Lakers	129	away	Bulls	118	-1.5	235.5	-11	247
01/24/26	2025	Lakers	116	away	Mavericks	110	-4.0	234.0	-6	226
Home Games Avg (4 games)			110.5	-	-	117.3	+4.0	226.3	+6.8	227.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.3	-	-	115.8	+0.2	228.9	+0.5	231.1

10:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Mavericks

Lakers

Notable Trends

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

Mavericks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Lakers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m. Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Mavericks

Lakers

Notable Trends

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

Mavericks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Lakers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers