NBA Betting | themoneyballer.com

9:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Utah Jazz

Trailblazers: 26-29 (47.3%)

Jazz: 18-37 (32.7%)

Line:

Total:

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Baller System(s)

Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss

Back late season medium road favorites

Fade team on back-to-back off win with minimal rest in recent games

Jazz

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Manage Systems

Trailblazers

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss

Back late season medium road favorites

Fade team on back-to-back off win with minimal rest in recent games

Jazz

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Notable Trends

The Jazz are 70.8% (17-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Jazz are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jazz are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 76.2% (16-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Trailblazers are 20% (1-4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

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Jazz (Home)

The Jazz are 56.4% (31-24) against the spread

The Jazz are 57.1% (16-12) against the spread at home

The Jazz are 54.2% (26-22) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread as a home dog

The Jazz are 56.4% (31-24) to the over/under

The Jazz are 67.9% (19-9) to the over/under at home

The Jazz are 56.3% (27-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 70.8% (17-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Jazz are 58.8% (10-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jazz are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jazz are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Jazz are 47.1% (8-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Jazz are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Jazz are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Trailblazers (Away)

The Trailblazers are 53.7% (29-25-1) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 48% (12-13-1) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 50% (10-10-1) against the spread as a fav

The Trailblazers are 44.4% (4-5-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 53.7% (29-25-1) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 44% (11-14-1) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 76.2% (16-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 60% (6-4) to the over/under as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Trailblazers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 57.1% (8-6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 20% (1-4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/05/26	2025	Jazz	117	Away	Trailblazers	137	+5.5	242.5	+20	254
10/29/25	2025	Jazz	134	Home	Trailblazers	136	+3.5	235.5	+2	270
04/09/25	2024	Jazz	133	Home	Trailblazers	126	+6.5	230.5	-7	259
02/24/25	2024	Jazz	112	Home	Trailblazers	114	+7.5	232.5	+2	226
12/26/24	2024	Jazz	120	Away	Trailblazers	122	+3.5	227.5	+2	242
12/06/24	2024	Jazz	141	Away	Trailblazers	99	+4.5	223.0	-42	240
12/14/23	2023	Jazz	122	Away	Trailblazers	114	+5.0	225.0	-8	236
12/02/23	2023	Jazz	118	Home	Trailblazers	113	-1.5	217.0	-5	231
11/22/23	2023	Jazz	105	Away	Trailblazers	121	-2.5	225.5	+16	226
11/14/23	2023	Jazz	115	Home	Trailblazers	99	-6.5	230.5	-16	214
Jazz as Home (5 games)			122.4	-	-	117.6	+1.9	229.2	-4.8	240.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			121.7	-	-	118.1	+2.6	229.0	-3.6	239.8

Schedules

Trailblazers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/22/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	home	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Jazz	-	-6.0	236.5	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Trailblazers	109	away	Timberwolves	133	+7.5	237.5	+24	242
02/09/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Seventysixers	118	-3.5	231.5	-17	253
02/07/26	2025	Trailblazers	122	home	Grizzlies	115	-9.5	228.5	-7	237
02/06/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Grizzlies	115	-8.5	235.5	-20	250
02/03/26	2025	Trailblazers	125	home	Suns	130	+2.5	218.5	+5	255
02/01/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	home	Cavaliers	130	+3.5	228.5	+19	241
01/30/26	2025	Trailblazers	97	away	Knicks	127	+6.5	224.0	+30	224
01/27/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	away	Wizards	115	-6.5	232.5	+4	226
01/26/26	2025	Trailblazers	94	away	Celtics	102	+8.5	223.0	+8	196
01/23/26	2025	Trailblazers	98	home	Raptors	110	+4.0	225.5	+12	208
Away Games Avg (4 games)			102.8	-	-	119.3	+4.0	229.3	+16.5	222.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.7	-	-	119.5	+0.5	228.5	+5.8	233.2

Jazz Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/23/26	2025	Jazz	-	away	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Jazz	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Jazz	-	home	Trailblazers	-	+6.0	236.5	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Jazz	121	home	Kings	93	-5.5	229.5	-28	214
02/09/26	2025	Jazz	115	away	Heat	111	+5.5	234.5	-4	226
02/07/26	2025	Jazz	117	away	Magic	120	+7.5	234.5	+3	237
02/05/26	2025	Jazz	119	away	Hawks	121	+8.5	245.5	+2	240
02/03/26	2025	Jazz	131	away	Pacers	122	-2.5	232.5	-9	253
02/01/26	2025	Jazz	100	away	Raptors	107	+10.5	234.5	+7	207
01/30/26	2025	Jazz	99	home	Nets	109	-3.5	227.0	+10	208
01/28/26	2025	Jazz	124	home	Warriors	140	+8.5	242.5	+16	264
01/27/26	2025	Jazz	103	home	Clippers	115	+8.5	234.5	+12	218
01/24/26	2025	Jazz	116	home	Heat	147	+6.5	245.0	+31	263
Home Games Avg (5 games)			112.6	-	-	120.8	+2.9	235.7	+8.2	233.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.5	-	-	118.5	+4.4	236.0	+4.0	233.0

9:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Utah Jazz

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Jazz

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Trailblazers

Jazz

Notable Trends

View All Records

Jazz (Home)

Trailblazers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Trailblazers Schedule

Jazz Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:00 p.m. Portland Trailblazers @ Utah Jazz

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Jazz

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Trailblazers

Jazz

Notable Trends

View All Records

Jazz (Home)

Trailblazers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Trailblazers Schedule

Jazz Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Utah Jazz