Author: Austin Wang

NBA and NFL Money Baller Report – Sunday, January 26

Posted on by Austin Wang

NBA: Thunder @ Blazers

Key Stats & Systems:

  • Thunder: 29-14-2 ATS
  • 4 Baller Systems Active favoring the Thunder.
  • Turnover Edge: Thunder rank 1st in turnover rate allowed, while the Blazers are a sloppy 28th in turnover rate.
  • Mid-Range Dominance: Thunder excel at mid-range shooting (3rd in FG%), while the Blazers struggle defensively in this area (28th in FG% allowed).
  • 3 Baller Systems Active on the Over


TMB Thoughts:
The Thunder are in a strong bounce-back spot after a disappointing outright loss to the Mavericks. Their advantage in taking care of the ball and efficient mid-range shooting should be pivotal against a Blazers squad that is struggling defensively and prone to turnovers. On the other hand, the Blazers are in a let-down spot returning home off a three-game road trip off a win. With plenty of systems backing both the Thunder, this is a great spot to trust OKC to rebound. We’re backing the Thunder -14. The Over 226 is another play to consider with 3 systems on the over.


NFL: Bills @ Chiefs

  • Chiefs in Revenge Spots: 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in same-season revenge games since 2019.
  • Playoff Dominance vs. Bills: Chiefs are 3-0 SU and ATS against the Bills in playoff matchups (2020, 2021, 2023).
  • Rest Advantage: Chiefs enter this game with a rest advantage.
  • Historical System: Teams coming off a playoff win as road underdogs with less rest are just 5-24 SU since 2013.


TMB Thoughts:
The Chiefs-Bills rivalry adds another chapter in the postseason, marking their fourth playoff clash in five seasons. However, this “rivalry” has been decisively one-sided, with the Chiefs controlling every playoff meeting.

This matchup strongly favors Kansas City. Their success in revenge spots and postseason games against the Bills is undeniable, and their rest advantage sets them up for another commanding performance. Historical trends also highlight the difficulty for teams like the Bills in similar situations.

This is a prime opportunity to back Chiefs -1.5.

Money Baller NBA Report – Mon, Jan 20, 2025 

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello Ballers! A disappointing Sunday to end the weekend with 0-3 on the play. Monday is a new day with a nice NBA slate on Martin Luther King Day.

Published: Monday, Jan 20, 12:15 AM CST


Click for NBA Matchup Pages


Timberwolves @ Grizzlies

  • Timberwolves: 5-0 1H ATS as road underdogs
  • Grizzlies: 28-14 ATS overall
  • Timberwolves: 16-26 ATS overall

TMB thoughts: The systems favor the Timberwolves in this spot, fading the Grizzlies after an unsustainably strong shooting performance (19 threes, 56.7% from the field). Returning home after a 4-game road trip and having played 9 of their last 11 games on the road, fatigue will likely be a factor for the Grizzlies.

While the Grizzlies have been trending positively in terms of covering the spread compared to the Timberwolves, we’re trusting the systems here. Timberwolves +3.5 is the play.



Hawks @ Knicks

  • 3 Baller Systems active on the Knicks, fading the Hawks
  • Hawks: 3-7 ATS with less rest than their opponent
  • Knicks: 3-1-1 ATS in the first game of a B2B

TMB Thoughts: The Knicks are well-positioned here, backed by strong systems fading the Hawks after an emotional overtime upset against the defending champion Celtics. This marks the Hawks’ eighth road game in their last nine—a grueling stretch that has made January a road-weary month for Atlanta.

With the Hawks likely dealing with fatigue and the Knicks’ scrappy play style, we’re backing Knicks -6.5 to take advantage of this spot.



Suns @ Cavaliers

  • Cavs: 28-13 ATS overall; 27-14 O/U
  • Suns: 14-26-1 ATS

TMB Thoughts: Trends point to the Cavs, but I don’t find enough evidence to back them. We’re passing on this game.


Celtics @ Warriors

  • Celtics: 5-12 O/U as road favorites

TMB Thoughts: We’re backing the Celtics -7.5 in this matchup, fueled by a strong revenge angle and a bounce-back narrative after their loss as a home favorite. We expect the Celtics to deliver a focused effort against the Warriors.


Bulls @ Clippers

  • Bulls: 1-6 ATS on the second game of a B2B
  • Clippers: 9-2 ATS as home favorites

TMB Thoughts: While there are favorable signs pointing to the Clippers, including their strong record as home favorites and the Bulls’ struggles on back-to-backs, we don’t see enough compelling reasons to back a side in this game.