Published: Friday, May 9, 10:32 PM CT
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Celtics @ Knicks – Game 3
📊 Matchup Notes:
- 4 Baller Systems active on the Celtics
- 3 Baller Systems active on the Under
✅ Play: Celtics -5.5
Breakdown:
This one checks every box of a textbook zig-zag spot. Boston enters desperate, down 0-2, and the pressure is on – both from the scoreboard and the media. Jayson Tatum’s performance has been under fire, and we’re banking on a big-time response from the Celtics’ leader.
Historically, Boston thrives in this kind of spot:
- 11-4 ATS this season as favorites of 2.5 to 7 points
- Road teams have been covering well in this year’s playoffs 32-25-1 ATS (w/ Thunder/Nuggets Game 3 pending).
- The Knicks are 0-4-1 ATS as home underdogs
- This postseason: Knicks are 2-6 1H ATS and 6-2 ATS – we think the 1st half angle is another one to tackle – Celtics 1H -4.
Meanwhile, the Knicks’ offense is due for some regression, and with three systems also pointing to the under, this could be a grind-it-out type of battle.
Warriors @ Timberwolves – Game 3
📊 Matchup Notes:
- 1 Baller System on the Under
- Warriors: 1-8 1H O/U as a home underdog
- Timberwolves: 7-18 1H O/U as a road favorite
✅ Play: 1H Under 97
Breakdown:
This isn’t the same Warriors team we’re used to seeing – and with Stephen Curry still out, Golden State is relying more on defense and slowing the pace. That plays directly into the 1H Under.
Add in a supporting Baller System supporting the under, and we’re locking in on the 1H Under 97. Expect a slower, defensive grind early before things potentially open up late.
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