Sky @ Fever [ Fever +1.5 / 167.5 ]
Sky | 3-3 (50%)Fever | 1-8 (11.1%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model gives the Fever (+1.5) a 21.2-33.1% chance of covering as an underdog, and projects the game going over 167.5 around 52.7-52.7% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Fever have a 12.3% chance of covering as an underdog at home, and the game has a 57% chance of going over the total.
Baller Systems
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Baller Systems
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| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 6/4 | CHI | CHI +8 NYL -8 | 165.5 | NYL | - | - | - |
| 6/1 | IND | CHI -1.5 IND +1.5 | 167.5 | CHI | - | - | - |
| 5/30 | CHI [ 83 ] | CHI -4.5 LAS +4.5 | 160 | LAS [ 73 ] | +10 | +5.5 | -4 |
| 5/28 | CHI [ 68 ] | CHI +2 SEA -2 | 165 | SEA [ 77 ] | -9 | -7 | -20 |
| 5/25 | CHI [ 82 ] | CHI +5 CON -5 | 160.5 | CON [ 86 ] | -4 | +1 | +7.5 |
| 5/23 | NYL [ 81 ] | CHI +15.5 NYL -15.5 | 165 | CHI [ 90 ] | +9 | +24.5 | +6 |
| 5/18 | DAL [ 74 ] | CHI +5 DAL -5 | 164 | CHI [ 83 ] | +9 | +14 | -7 |
| 5/15 | DAL [ 87 ] | CHI +7.5 DAL -7.5 | 162 | CHI [ 79 ] | -8 | -0.5 | +4 |
| 9/17 | LVA [ 92 ] | CHI +18 LVA -18 | 170.5 | CHI [ 70 ] | -22 | -4 | -8.5 |
| 9/13 | LVA [ 87 ] | CHI +16.5 LVA -16.5 | 172 | CHI [ 59 ] | -28 | -11.5 | -26 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 6/2 | NYL | IND +14.5 NYL -14.5 | 169 | IND | - | - | - |
| 6/1 | IND | IND +1.5 CHI -1.5 | 167.5 | CHI | - | - | - |
| 5/30 | IND [ 88 ] | IND +5.5 SEA -5.5 | 166.5 | SEA [ 103 ] | -15 | -9.5 | +24.5 |
| 5/28 | IND [ 82 ] | IND -5.5 LAS +5.5 | 164.5 | LAS [ 88 ] | -6 | -11.5 | +5.5 |
| 5/25 | LVA [ 99 ] | IND +16 LVA -16 | 174.5 | IND [ 80 ] | -19 | -3 | +4.5 |
| 5/24 | LAS [ 73 ] | IND -1.5 LAS +1.5 | 165 | IND [ 78 ] | +5 | +3.5 | -14 |
| 5/22 | SEA [ 85 ] | IND +5.5 SEA -5.5 | 165.5 | IND [ 83 ] | -2 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| 5/20 | IND [ 84 ] | IND +5.5 CON -5.5 | 163.5 | CON [ 88 ] | -4 | +1.5 | +8.5 |
| 5/18 | NYL [ 91 ] | IND +14 NYL -14 | 169 | IND [ 80 ] | -11 | +3 | +2 |
| 5/16 | IND [ 66 ] | IND +8 NYL -8 | 170 | NYL [ 102 ] | -36 | -28 | -2 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 8/30 | CHI | IND -7 CHI +7 | 163.5 | IND | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/23 | CHI | IND +2 CHI -2 | 169.5 | IND | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/16 | IND | IND -2.5 CHI +2.5 | 170 | CHI | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/1 | IND | IND +1.5 CHI -1.5 | 167.5 | CHI | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/5 | IND [ 69 ] | IND -1 CHI +1 | 164.5 | CHI [ 96 ] | -27 | -28 | +0.5 | 96.8 | 85.5 | 119 | -33.5 | 165 |
| 7/2 | IND [ 87 ] | IND -3 CHI +3 | 159.5 | CHI [ 89 ] | -2 | -5 | +16.5 | 94.8 | 110.1 | 112.7 | -2.5 | 176 |
| 6/15 | CHI [ 90 ] | IND -1.5 CHI +1.5 | 157 | IND [ 92 ] | +2 | +0.5 | +25 | 86.8 | 127.1 | 124.4 | 2.8 | 182 |
| 6/6 | CHI [ 108 ] | IND +5 CHI -5 | 157 | IND [ 103 ] | -5 | 0 | +54 | 91 | 123.1 | 129 | -6 | 191.1 |
| 7/7 | IND [ 84 ] | IND +9 CHI -9 | 167.5 | CHI [ 93 ] | -9 | 0 | +9.5 | 98.5 | 102.3 | 113.3 | -11 | 177 |
| 6/19 | IND [ 89 ] | IND +8 CHI -8 | 172 | CHI [ 87 ] | +2 | +10 | +4 | 100.9 | 105.8 | 103.5 | 2.4 | 176 |
| 5/24 | CHI [ 95 ] | IND +13.5 CHI -13.5 | 162.5 | IND [ 90 ] | -5 | +8.5 | +22.5 | 102.4 | 105.4 | 111.3 | -5.9 | 185 |
| Sky ( games) |
Fever ( games) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Strength of Schedule | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Sky ( games) |
Fever ( games) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Sky ( games) |
Fever ( games) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Sky ( games) |
Fever ( games) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Sky ( games) |
Fever ( games) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |
| Fever | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |