Nuggets @ Lakers [ Lakers -1 / 217.5 ]

Nuggets | 59-25 (70.2%)
Lakers | 49-37 (57%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our modell will run after the first two weeks of the season.

Nuggets Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Lakers Situational Notes
In-season revenge

Baller Systems
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Nuggets Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/27LALDEN -3.5
LAL +3.5
220.5DEN---
4/25LALDEN +1
LAL -1
217.5DEN---
4/22DEN [ 101 ]DEN -7
LAL +7
223LAL [ 99 ]+2-5-23
4/20DEN [ 114 ]DEN -6.5
LAL +6.5
227LAL [ 103 ]+11+4.5-10
4/14MEM [ 111 ]DEN -14
MEM +14
216.5DEN [ 126 ]+15+1+20.5
4/12SAS [ 121 ]DEN -11.5
SAS +11.5
223.5DEN [ 120 ]-1-12.5+17.5
4/10DEN [ 116 ]DEN -6
MIN +6
212.5MIN [ 107 ]+9+3+10.5
4/9UTA [ 95 ]DEN -15
UTA +15
225.5DEN [ 111 ]+16+1-19.5
4/6DEN [ 142 ]DEN -11
ATL +11
222.5ATL [ 110 ]+32+21+29.5
4/4LAC [ 102 ]DEN -3.5
LAC +3.5
220.5DEN [ 100 ]-2-5.5-18.5
Lakers Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/27LALLAL +3.5
DEN -3.5
220.5DEN---
4/25LALLAL -1
DEN +1
217.5DEN---
4/22DEN [ 101 ]LAL +7
DEN -7
223LAL [ 99 ]-2+5-23
4/20DEN [ 114 ]LAL +6.5
DEN -6.5
227LAL [ 103 ]-11-4.5-10
4/16NOP [ 106 ]LAL +1
NOP -1
225.5LAL [ 110 ]+4+5-9.5
4/14NOP [ 108 ]LAL +3
NOP -3
230.5LAL [ 124 ]+16+19+1.5
4/12MEM [ 120 ]LAL -16
MEM +16
226LAL [ 123 ]+3-13+17
4/9LAL [ 120 ]LAL -2.5
GSW +2.5
235GSW [ 134 ]-14-16.5+19
4/7LAL [ 117 ]LAL +2.5
MIN -2.5
218MIN [ 127 ]-10-7.5+26
4/6LAL [ 116 ]LAL -5
CLE +5
229CLE [ 97 ]+19+14-16
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginPaceOrtgDrtgNetTot
3/19LAL-
-		-DEN----
-
-
-
-
3/14DEN-
-		-LAL----
-
-
-
-
2/22DEN-
-		-LAL----
-
-
-
-
11/23LAL-
-		-DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/29DENLAL +7.5
DEN -7.5
217LAL----
-
-
-
-
4/27LALLAL +3.5
DEN -3.5
220.5DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/25LALLAL -1
DEN +1
217.5DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/22DEN [ 101 ]LAL +7
DEN -7
223LAL [ 99 ]-2+5-2392.9
106.6
108.8
-2.2
200
4/20DEN [ 114 ]LAL +6.5
DEN -6.5
227LAL [ 103 ]-11-4.5-1091.3
112.8
124.9
-12.1
217
3/2LAL [ 114 ]LAL +1
DEN -1
229DEN [ 124 ]-10-9+993.2
122.3
133.1
-10.7
238
2/8LAL [ 106 ]LAL +3.5
DEN -3.5
229.5DEN [ 114 ]-8-4.5-9.594
112.8
121.3
-8.5
220



** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.


Efficiency
Nuggets
(82 games)		 Lakers
(82 games)
0.68 (4)Win Percentage0.55 (18)
47.44 (21)ATS Win%49.38 (18)
43.75 (27)OU%58.02 (1)
-Strength of Schedule-
117.56 (8)Offensive Rating116.38 (15)
113.18 (7)Defensive Rating116.25 (20)
96.58 (27)Pace100.66 (4)
2.26 (3)A/TO Ratio2.12 (6)

Four Factors
Nuggets
(82 games)		 Lakers
(82 games)
55.46 (14)EFG%56.42 (6)
52.91 (3)EFG% Allowed55.24 (20)
23.12 (22)FT Rate27.24 (4)
24.57 (17)FT Rate Allowed19.34 (2)
25.6 (6)OReb%19.81 (30)
24.01 (17)OReb% Allowed23.73 (12)
13.18 (9)TO Rate13.27 (12)
12.75 (26)TO Rate Forced12.83 (25)

Scoring
Nuggets
(82 games)		 Lakers
(82 games)
113.98 (16)PPG117.89 (6)
109.73 (7)PPG Allowed117.76 (23)
15.45 (24)Pts off TO15.67 (22)
15.87 (14)Pts off TO Allowed16.23 (17)
13.45 (17)2nd Chance Pts10.78 (30)
13.07 (8)2nd Chance Pts Allowed14.23 (23)
15.06 (11)Fast Break Pts17.16 (3)
14.22 (15)Fast Break Pts Allowed17.29 (29)

Inside the Arc
Nuggets
(82 games)		 Lakers
(82 games)
45.16 (9)Paint Attempts46.16 (5)
45.74 (26)Paint Attempts Allowed45.32 (25)
57.9 (12)Paint FG%60.08 (5)
55.77 (5)Paint FG% Allowed57.62 (18)
12.07 (4)Mid-Range Attempts9.83 (15)
9.65 (14)Mid-Range Attempts Allowed10.56 (24)
0.45 (7)Mid-Range FG%0.39 (21)
0.4 (6)Mid-Range FG% Allowed0.42 (19)

Three Point Shooting
Nuggets
(82 games)		 Lakers
(82 games)
7.83 (26)Corner 3 Attempts8.04 (25)
8.1 (8)Corner 3 Attempts Allowed9 (16)
37.54 (23)Corner 3 FG%40.21 (10)
36.6 (5)Corner 3 FG% Allowed39.16 (17)
22.89 (26)ATB3 Attempts23.5 (24)
24.4 (7)ATB3 Attempts Allowed28.34 (27)
37.83 (5)ATB3 FG%37.16 (9)
34.98 (8)ATB3 FG% Allowed36.92 (22)


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Nuggets 0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
Lakers 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Nuggets 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Nuggets 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Nuggets 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Nuggets 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 1h0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Lakers 0-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Nuggets3-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)9-4-0 (69.2%)7-7-0 (50%)19-14-0 (57.6%)9-10-0 (47.4%)8-7-1 (53.3%)
Lakers1-2-1 (33.3%)4-11-0 (26.7%)17-10-1 (63%)10-4-0 (71.4%)11-13-3 (45.8%)2-2-1 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)