Baltimore Ravens | AFC North

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Head Coach: John Harbaugh (17th season)

Key Additions:

• Derrick Henry (RB)
• Nate Wiggins (CB) – draft

Key Departures:

• Odell Beckham Jr. (WR)
• Gus Edwards (RB)
• JK Dobbins (RB)
• Jadeveon Clowney (LB)
• Kevin Zeitler (OG)
• John Simpson (OG)
• Morgan Moses (RT)

Last Season’s Results and Interesting Trends (2023):

• Overall Record: 13-4
• ATS Record: 11-6
• O/U Record: 8-9
  
  
• Ravens: 7-2 SU and ATS vs. teams with a 55% win percentage or greater
• Ravens: 14-4 1H ATS in 2023

Last Season’s Ranks (2023):

• EPA/play (offense): 6th
• Rush EPA (offense): 3rd
• Pass EPA (offense): 6th
  
  
• EPA/play allowed (defense): 2nd
• Rush EPA (defense): 16th
• Pass EPA (defense): 2nd
  
  
• Plays per game: 16th
• Seconds per snap (lowest to highest): 23rd

2024 Season Schedule:

• Week 1: Kansas City Chiefs (Away)
• Week 2: Las Vegas Raiders (Home)
• Week 3: Dallas Cowboys (Away)
• Week 4: Buffalo Bills (Home)
• Week 5: Cincinnati Bengals (Away)
• Week 6: Washington Commanders (Home)
• Week 7: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Away)
• Week 8: Cleveland Browns (Away)
• Week 9: Denver Broncos (Home)
• Week 10: Cincinnati Bengals (Home)
• Week 11: Pittsburgh Steelers (Away)
• Week 12: Los Angeles Chargers (Away)
• Week 13: Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
• Week 14: BYE
• Week 15: New York Giants (Away)
• Week 16: Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
• Week 17: Houston Texans (Away)
• Week 18: Cleveland Browns (Home)

Commentary: Last season, the Ravens dominated the regular season but fell short against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. They added Derrick Henry to bolster an already-stout running game; however, they lost many key players in free agency. They are still elite on both sides of the ball with an excellent head coach, but they have an insanely tough schedule with the Chiefs, Cowboys, Bills, and Bengals in four of their first five games. They were dominant against the first half spread last season – a league leading 14-4 1H ATS, so that is an angle to keep your eye on this season.

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Atlanta Falcons | NFC South

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Head Coach:

• Raheem Morris (1st season)

Key Additions:

• Raheem Morris (Coach)
• Kirk Cousins (QB)
• Michael Penix Jr. (QB) -draft
• Rondale Moore (WR)
• Darnell Mooney (WR)

Key Departures:

• Cordarrelle Patterson (WR/RB)
• Desmond Ridder (QB)
• Van Jefferson (WR)
• Bud Dupree (LB)
• Calais Campbell (DE)

Last Season’s Results and Interesting Trends (2023):

• Overall Record: 7-10 ATS
• Record: 5-12 ATS
• O/U Record: 7-10 O/U
  
• Falcons: 1-7 SU and ATS vs. teams with a winning percentage of 45% or below.
• Falcons: 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS off a win.

Last Season’s Ranks (2023):

• EPA/play (offense): 27th
• Rush EPA (offense): 28th
• Pass EPA (offense): 22nd
  
  
• EPA/play allowed (defense): 12th
• Rush EPA (defense): 1st
• Pass EPA (defense): 21st
  
  
• Plays per game: 13th
• Seconds per snap (lowest to highest): 6th

2024 Season Schedule:

• Week 1: Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
• Week 2: Philadelphia Eagles (Away)
• Week 3: Kansas City Chiefs (Home)
• Week 4: New Orleans Saints (Home)
• Week 5: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
• Week 6: Carolina Panthers (Away)
• Week 7: Seattle Seahawks (Home)
• Week 8: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Away)
• Week 9: Dallas Cowboys (Home)
• Week 10: New Orleans Saints (Away)
• Week 11: Denver Broncos (Away)
• Week 12: Bye
• Week 13: Los Angeles Chargers (Home)
• Week 14: Minnesota Vikings (Away)
• Week 15: Las Vegas Raiders (Away)
• Week 16: New York Giants (Home)
• Week 17: Washington Commanders (Away)
• Week 18: Carolina Panthers (Home)

Commentary:

The Atlanta Falcons aim to bounce back from a challenging 7-10 season in 2023. The team has a new coach (Morris) and QB (Cousins). The Falcons’ defense showed improvement last season, ranking 12th in EPA/play allowed (1st in rush ERA/allowed), and they look to build on that with their new additions. With an improved balanced offensive attack and decent defensive lineup, the Falcons have the potential to make significant strides in the NFC South this year.

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