Category: Commentary

Published: Sunday, March 2, 11:30 AM CT

We’re back with another round of NBA betting insights after going 2-0 on Saturday’s featured plays. With Sunday’s slate, we dive into key matchups, betting trends, and our best leans for the night.

Bulls @ Pacers

• Baller System favoring the Pacers and fading the Bulls off an OT win vs. Raptors (As shown below, this system has gone 27-15-1 ATS this season).
• Pacers: Bounce-back spot after losing outright as a favorite vs. Heat

TMB Thoughts: The Bulls just emptied the tank in an overtime thriller against Toronto, and now they have to drag themselves into Indiana against a Pacers squad itching to respond after a tough loss. Expect an up-tempo, attacking approach from Tyrese Haliburton and company, exposing a gassed Chicago defense late. The number is hefty, but we like Pacers -10.5

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Pelicans @ Jazz

• 4 Baller Systems aligned on the Pelicans
• Key angles:
  • Fade an opponent on the first leg of a back-to-back
  • Back road favorites between two bad teams
  • Fade teams off a close win by a small margin
  • Back late-season medium road favorites
• Pelicans: C.J. McCollum and Zion Williamson expected to play

TMB Thoughts: The Jazz are in full-on ‘let’s get to the lottery’ mode, and it’s showing in their effort level. Meanwhile, New Orleans is getting healthy, and that’s bad news for a Utah team that’s running out of reasons to compete. The Pelicans should impose their will from the jump, and Zion’s ability to dominate the paint should prove to be the difference. As noted in Dominic Tremblay’s article, sharp money is already piling in on New Orleans, and we’re riding the wave with Pelicans -7.5.