Author: Giulio Lavini

Red Sox vs. Rays: Expect fireworks in Tampa

Posted on by Giulio Lavini

Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: September 17, 2024
Time: 6:50 PM ET

Red Sox: Nick Pivetta (R)
Rays: Shane Baz (R)


The Red Sox and Rays kick off their series tonight with a total set at 7.5, which opens up a promising betting opportunity.

Key Trends (since 2024 unless otherwise noted):

  • When two teams are coming off road losses and facing each other in the first game of a series with a total of 7.5 or less, the over has hit in 9 out of 10 games (9-1).
  • The Red Sox are 7-2 to the over in the first game of a series when playing as road favorites.
  • The Rays have a 7-4 record to the over at home in the first game of a series following a loss.
  • In divisional matchups, when the Rays are underdogs with a total of 7.5 or less, they are 5-0-1 to the over.
  • Divisional matchups between two teams coming off losses are 7-3 to the over when the total is set at 7.5.


These trends suggest a strong lean towards the over in tonight’s game, given the recent performance patterns of both teams in similar situations.


Pick: Over 7.5

Steelers vs. Broncos: Expect Low-Scoring matchup

Posted on by Giulio Lavini

The Money Baller team would like to introduce Giulio Lavini as a contributor to the team! Giulio has been engaging with us and providing awesome stats and insights and wanted to share that with the rest of you. Here’s a little bit about him:

My name is Giulio—a technical handicapper who leverages data, trends, and numbers to make informed betting decisions. I use SDQL to dive deep into analytics, but I also actively watch and follow the sports I bet on, including staying up-to-date with player and team news. By combining statistical insights with real-time information, I aim to stay ahead of the game.


Click here for the Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page


Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos
Date: September 15, 2024
Time: 4:25 PM ET



We have a notably low total for this game, and for good reason.


Trends (since 2018 unless noted):

• Low Totals Favor the Under: When the total is set at 36.5 or less, the under has hit in 30 out of 40 games (30-9-1 record).


• Home Underdogs in Specific Situations: The under is 22-6-1 when the home underdog is receiving 2.5 points or fewer, coming off a road loss, and the total is less than 43.


• Non-Divisional Games with Low Totals: In non-divisional games where the total is 36.5 or less and the home team is getting 2.5 points or fewer, the under has a 12-5 record.


• Steelers’ Recent Trends: Pittsburgh is 12-4 to the under as a road favorite (6-1-1 to the under after covering their previous game).


• Broncos as Home Underdogs: Denver is 14-8 to the under when playing as a home underdog. Given these strong defensive trends and the historical data supporting low-scoring outcomes in similar situations, the under appears to be the favorable play for this matchup.


• One Baller System active on the UNDER: For Baller Access members, you can see this active on the Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page.



Pick: Under 36.5