Author: Austin Wang

FREE PREVIEW – Top MLB Betting Trends | Mon, August 26

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello Ballers! Featured MLB Betting Trends went 3-1-1 yesterday – Royals took a huge dump on our ‘8’ Baller Matchup Rating, but a good day otherwise. I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:


Featured MLB Betting Trends:

  • Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
  • In L30 days, Twins: 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.
    • With both teams trending under and two strong pitchers (Max Fried: 3.57 ERA, Bailey Ober: 3.54 ERA), we’re targeting the under 4 at -115.

  • Guardians: 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 O/U as home favorites).
  • In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.
    • Given these aligning trends and two shaky pitchers (Alec Marsh: 4.71 ERA, Logan Allen: 5.56 ERA) on the mound, we’re backing the over 8.5 (-110, BetRivers) in Game 2 of the doubleheader.





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Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:


Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 1)

  • Royals: 13-3 ML as road favorites vs. RHP (6-0 ML in L30 days).
  • Guardians: 27-10 ML vs. LHP.



Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 2)

  • Guardians: 14-4-1 F5 O/U and 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 F5 and full game O/U as home favorites).
  • In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.


Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

  • Phillies: 10-2 F5 ML as home favorites when Zach Wheeler starts.
  • Phillies: 27-7-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • Astros: 6-15-2 F5 O/U when Ronel Blanco starts.
  • In L30 days, Astros: 5-14-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.


Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Cubs: 15-6-1 F5 O/U when Jameson Taillon starts.
  • In L30 days, Pirates: 5-15-1 F5 ML vs. RHP.


New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals

  • In L30 days, Nationals: 1-6 ML vs. LHP.


Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

  • Blue Jays: 8-20-6 F5 ML as a road underdog vs. RHP.
  • In L30 days, Blue Jays: 0-5 ML when Yariel Rodriguez starts.
  • In L30 days, Red Sox: 15-6-1 O/U vs. RHP.
  • Red Sox: 17-8-1 F5 O/U when Kutter Crawford starts.


Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

  • Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
  • In L30 days, Twins: 4-0-1 F5 ML and 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.


San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals

  • In L30 days, Cardinals: 5-0 O/U when Kyle Gibson starts.


Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

  • In L30 days, Tigers: 5-14-2 F5 O/U vs. RHP.
  • In L30 days, White Sox: 1-9 ML as a home underdog vs. RHP.


Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

  • In L30 days, Marlins: 19-7 YRFI.


Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

  • Mariners: 25-14 ML as home favorites.
  • Mariners: 14-23-2 O/U as home favorites.
  • Rays: 27-13 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs.
  • In L30 days, Rays: 5-14-2 F5 ML vs. RHP.
  • Rays: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.


Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game)

Top MLB Betting Trends & Insights | Monday, August 19

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello everyone! Welcome to our ‘Free Preview’ day. To check out the different terms and memberships we offer, visit this link: Memberships – The Money Baller

The featured trends went 1-0-1 yesterday, and the matchups with strong Baller Matchup Ratings all came through (Braves, Giants). I am not counting the Astros as I went out of my way to not endorse them at -405, but they won and covered, nonetheless. Back on the winning track – let’s keep it going!

I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:


Featured Trends:

  • Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP
  • In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts
  • In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 O/U vs. LHP
    • These trends point towards an under in the pitchers’ park at AT&T Park in San Francisco. With the Chicago White Sox sporting the worst offense in the league, we’re not expecting many runs. We’re favoring the Under 8 (-115, DraftKings).



Here are the rest of today’s trends:


Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

  • No starting pitchers announced and thus, no interesting trends to note at the moment.


Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays

  • Blue Jays: 18-6 O/U when Kevin Gausman starts.


Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets

  • Mets: 10-3 ML when David Peterson starts.
  • Mets: 32-15 NRFI as home favorites.
  • Orioles: 11-20-2 F5 O/U vs. LHP.


Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers

  • Pirates: 32-15 NRFI as road underdogs.


Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros

  • Yusei Kikuchi’s teams are 0-10 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.
  • Red Sox: 25-10-1 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
  • In L30 days, Red Sox: 0-5 ML when Tanner Houck starts.


Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals

  • Royals: 20-9 ML and 17-5-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.


Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics

  • Rays: 4-13 O/U when Taj Bradley starts.
  • 2 Baller Systems active on the Rays.


Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

  • In L30 days, Padres: 4-0 F5 and full game ML when Michael King starts.
  • In L30 days, Padres: 13-4 ML (5-0 ML as home favorites) vs. RHP.


Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants

  • In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 F5 and full game O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts.
  • White Sox: 7-17-1 O/U as road underdogs vs LHP.
  • In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 F5 and full game O/U vs. LHP.
  • Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP.


Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Mariners: 10-3-2 F5 ML when Bryan Woo starts.
  • Mariners: 5-14 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
  • In L14 days, Dodgers: 9-2-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.


Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)

WNBA Betting Trends and Insights – Sunday, August 18

Posted on by Austin Wang

Today’s WNBA Betting trends. The featured plays went 1-2 yesterday. Mystics 1H and Aces ATS were a loss, but the Sky came through with a clutch cover to prevent a disaster.

Click here for our WNBA Matchup pages



Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream

  • Dream: 0-8 1H ATS as home underdogs.
  • Dream: 1-7 Team Total O/U as home underdogs.


Our base model favors the Sun, and there are multiple Baller Systems active that also support playing on the Sun. Given the Dream’s poor performance in the first half as home underdogs, we’re backing the Sun 1H -4.5 (-110, Caesars) today.

The above screenshot is included in our matchup pages for Baller Access members. Click here for plans



Los Angeles Sparks @ Las Vegas Aces

  • Aces: 3-11 1H O/U as home favorites.
  • Teams on the second game of B2B are 14-3 O/U this season.


Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back, a situation that historically favors the over. We’ve seen defenses struggle with fatigue in these spots, leading to higher scoring. The total has already steamed higher on Sunday morning, and we think LA/LVA over 171.5 is worth considering.



Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever

  • Fever: 18-9 O/U.


The Fever have consistently hit the over, while the Storm have been more of an under team. With a Baller System active on the under, we’re opting to pass on this game.


Chicago Sky @ Phoenix Mercury

  • Sky: 6-2 1H ATS as road underdogs.
  • Teams on the second game of B2B are 14-3 O/U this season.


Two angles stand out here. First, the Sky are on the second game of a back-to-back, a scenario that has been a strong indicator for the over. Additionally, there’s a Baller System active on the over for rematches within a week where the total has increased from the previous game. The last game closed at 162.5 and went well under; yet, this game’s total being set at 166 is telling. Chennedy Carter’s presence will be a boost for the Sky’s offense, but expect their defense to struggle in the second game of a B2B. We think the CHI/PHX over 167 is an interesting look.

Furthermore, there are two Baller Systems active on the Sky. Our observation is that the Sky have been a much better first-half team. They are 6-2 1H ATS as road underdogs, and being on the second game of a B2B, we like the Sky 1H +4.5 (-110, Caesars) before fatigue sets in during the second half.