Author: Austin Wang

Hello Ballers – welcome to today’s top MLB Betting Trends! 3-2 yesterday with the featured trends – although the juice on the Twins and Phillies ate away at a lot of the profits.

Our NFL Team Previews and Matchup Pages are now live! Additionally, our Week 1 NFL Newsletter, packed with stats, trends, angles, and a few in-depth breakdowns, will be released later today. Stay tuned!

I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:

Featured MLB Betting Trends:

• Twins: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.
• Twins: 16-7 ML vs. road favorites vs. RHP.
  • While the line is close to a pick’em, making it difficult to consider the Twins strong favorites, their Baller Matchup Rating of 6 gives us confidence. We’re backing the Twins at ML -110.
    

• Royals: 20-5-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Guardians: 5-14-3 F5 ML vs. RHP.
  • Aligning F5 splits point to the Royals F5 ML -118 (FanDuel).
    
    
• Brewers: 24-10 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Brewers: 14-5 ML vs. RHP.
  • Brewers have thrived in this spot – we like taking a Brewers -1 RL (here is a Run Line calculator) that is averaging around -115.

Check out our Matchup Pages with ALL MLB Betting Trends

Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

• Brewers: 24-10 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• Brewers: 9-2-1 O/U as home favorites when Freddy Peralta starts.
• In L30 days, Brewers: 14-5 ML vs. RHP.

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

• White Sox: 2-23 ML when Chris Flexen starts.
• White Sox: 10-41 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

• Dodgers: 31-13 ML vs. LHP (13-3 ML as road favorites).
• In L30 days, Diamondbacks: 14-4 ML and 13-4-1 O/U vs. RHP.

Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds

• Astros: 5-15-2 O/U as road favorites vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Astros: 5-17 F5 O/U vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Astros: 6-0 F5 and full game ML as road favorites vs. RHP.

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

• Royals: 20-5-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• Guardians: 2-8-1 O/U when Gavin Williams starts.
• In L30 days, Guardians: 5-14-3 F5 ML vs. RHP.

Detroit Tigers @ San Diego Padres

• In L30 days, Tigers: 5-17-2 F5 O/U.

Minnesota Twins @ Tampa Bay Rays

• Rays: 6-14-3 F5 O/U when Zach Littel starts.
• Twins: 16-7 ML vs. road favorites vs. RHP.
• Twins: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.

Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics

• Athletics: 7-1 RL (+1.5) when Osvaldo Bido starts.
• Mariners: 7-19-1 F5 O/U when Logan Gilbert starts.

Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets

• Red Sox: 7-1 ML and 6-0-2 F5 ML as road underdogs when Brayan Bello starts.
• Red Sox: 8-0 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs when Bello starts.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs

• Cubs: 17-6-1 F5 O/U when Jameson Taillon starts.
• In L30 days, Pirates: 0-8 ML and 0-7-1 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers

• No interesting trends to note.

Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game)

Hello Ballers! Featured MLB Betting Trends went 3-1-1 yesterday – Royals took a huge dump on our ‘8’ Baller Matchup Rating, but a good day otherwise. I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:

Featured MLB Betting Trends:

• Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
• In L30 days, Twins: 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.
  • With both teams trending under and two strong pitchers (Max Fried: 3.57 ERA, Bailey Ober: 3.54 ERA), we’re targeting the under 4 at -115.
    
    

• Guardians: 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 O/U as home favorites).
• In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.
  • Given these aligning trends and two shaky pitchers (Alec Marsh: 4.71 ERA, Logan Allen: 5.56 ERA) on the mound, we’re backing the over 8.5 (-110, BetRivers) in Game 2 of the doubleheader.
    
    
    
    

Check out our Matchup Pages with ALL MLB Betting Trends

Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:


Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 1)

• Royals: 13-3 ML as road favorites vs. RHP (6-0 ML in L30 days).
• Guardians: 27-10 ML vs. LHP.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 2)

• Guardians: 14-4-1 F5 O/U and 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 F5 and full game O/U as home favorites).
• In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

• Phillies: 10-2 F5 ML as home favorites when Zach Wheeler starts.
• Phillies: 27-7-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• Astros: 6-15-2 F5 O/U when Ronel Blanco starts.
• In L30 days, Astros: 5-14-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

• Cubs: 15-6-1 F5 O/U when Jameson Taillon starts.
• In L30 days, Pirates: 5-15-1 F5 ML vs. RHP.

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals

• In L30 days, Nationals: 1-6 ML vs. LHP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

• Blue Jays: 8-20-6 F5 ML as a road underdog vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Blue Jays: 0-5 ML when Yariel Rodriguez starts.
• In L30 days, Red Sox: 15-6-1 O/U vs. RHP.
• Red Sox: 17-8-1 F5 O/U when Kutter Crawford starts.

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

• Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
• In L30 days, Twins: 4-0-1 F5 ML and 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals

• In L30 days, Cardinals: 5-0 O/U when Kyle Gibson starts.

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

• In L30 days, Tigers: 5-14-2 F5 O/U vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, White Sox: 1-9 ML as a home underdog vs. RHP.

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

• In L30 days, Marlins: 19-7 YRFI.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

• Mariners: 25-14 ML as home favorites.
• Mariners: 14-23-2 O/U as home favorites.
• Rays: 27-13 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs.
• In L30 days, Rays: 5-14-2 F5 ML vs. RHP.
• Rays: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.

Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game)