Today’s WNBA Betting trends. The featured plays went 1-2 yesterday. Mystics 1H and Aces ATS were a loss, but the Sky came through with a clutch cover to prevent a disaster.
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Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream
- Dream: 0-8 1H ATS as home underdogs.
- Dream: 1-7 Team Total O/U as home underdogs.
Our base model favors the Sun, and there are multiple Baller Systems active that also support playing on the Sun. Given the Dream’s poor performance in the first half as home underdogs, we’re backing the Sun 1H -4.5 (-110, Caesars) today.
Los Angeles Sparks @ Las Vegas Aces
- Aces: 3-11 1H O/U as home favorites.
- Teams on the second game of B2B are 14-3 O/U this season.
Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back, a situation that historically favors the over. We’ve seen defenses struggle with fatigue in these spots, leading to higher scoring. The total has already steamed higher on Sunday morning, and we think LA/LVA over 171.5 is worth considering.
Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever
- Fever: 18-9 O/U.
The Fever have consistently hit the over, while the Storm have been more of an under team. With a Baller System active on the under, we’re opting to pass on this game.
Chicago Sky @ Phoenix Mercury
- Sky: 6-2 1H ATS as road underdogs.
- Teams on the second game of B2B are 14-3 O/U this season.
Two angles stand out here. First, the Sky are on the second game of a back-to-back, a scenario that has been a strong indicator for the over. Additionally, there’s a Baller System active on the over for rematches within a week where the total has increased from the previous game. The last game closed at 162.5 and went well under; yet, this game’s total being set at 166 is telling. Chennedy Carter’s presence will be a boost for the Sky’s offense, but expect their defense to struggle in the second game of a B2B. We think the CHI/PHX over 167 is an interesting look.
Furthermore, there are two Baller Systems active on the Sky. Our observation is that the Sky have been a much better first-half team. They are 6-2 1H ATS as road underdogs, and being on the second game of a B2B, we like the Sky 1H +4.5 (-110, Caesars) before fatigue sets in during the second half.