Tag: nba

Money Baller Betting Report – NBA – Friday, November 22

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello Ballers! 2-1 on Wednesday’s featured trends. Sorry for the delayed submission today, we are in the middle of a move. As always, NFL Newsletter will be released tomorrow. Here’s today’s Money Baller Report with a breakdown of all of our favorite trends and systems on today’s slate:

Published: Friday, November 22, 2024 5:38 PM CT


Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers

  • Nets: 12-3 1H ATS (10-1 1H ATS as a dog)
  • 76ers: 3-11 ATS (1-5 ATS at home)
    • TMB thoughts: If you’re backing the Nets, targeting a 1H +2.5 play aligns well with these trends.




Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards

  • Wizards: 2-11 1H ATS (0-6 1H ATS at home)
    • TMB thoughts: Celtics haven’t been the dominant 1H team as years past, but one thing is for sure: Wizards are an excellent 1H fade. The line is 1H -10, one that is a bit rich for our blood.



Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks

  • Pacers: 5-1 O/U as an underdog
  • Baller System on the over: Over system based on recent high scoring
    • TMB thoughts: With the Pacers hitting the over in five of six games as underdogs and a Baller System supporting the over due to recent high-scoring performances, this matchup has all the signals for a shootout. Both teams have potent offenses, and we like this game to go Over 237.



Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans

  • Overall, Pelicans are 4-12 ATS this season, but are 6-0 1H ATS as a home underdog
  • Warriors: 3-10 1H O/U
    • TMB thoughts: While the Pelicans have struggled overall this season, they’ve been surprisingly strong in the 1H as home underdogs. No action here for now, but these trends are worth noting for those considering early-game plays.


Portland Trail Blazers @ Houston Rockets

  • Rockets hold their opponents’ team total 2-13-1 to the under
    • TMB thoughts: The Rockets’ elite defense (3rd in Defensive Rating) has been a key factor this season, holding opponents’ team totals to the under in 13 of 16 games (2-13-1). Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers rank 29th in Offensive Rating, further supporting a low-scoring outlook for their offense. We’re backing Blazers Team Total Under 105.5 as the play here.


Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets

  • Mavericks: 6-0 1H O/U on the road
  • Nuggets: 10-3 1H O/U
    • TMB thoughts: Interesting 1H total trends here supporting this matchup, convincing us to consider 1H Over 115.5 if Jokic is ruled in.


Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers

  • TMB thoughts: The Kings have multiple Baller Systems backing them, highlighting favorable situational spots, including revenge and bounce-back potential. With DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis back in the lineup, the Kings are positioned to exploit the Clippers’ vulnerabilities. We like the Kings to cover -3.5 in this matchup.

Money Baller Betting Report – NBA – Sunday, November 10

Posted on by Austin Wang

Welcome to today’s “Free Preview” article! We went 1-1 on our featured trends yesterday, with the Raptors coming through for us. Unfortunately, the Hawks/Bulls game didn’t hit the over by the hook after a disappointing 50-point fourth quarter. If this is your first time checking us out, we want to extend a big thank you for joining our community!

If you’re interested in more of our exclusive insights, check out our membership plans and join the Ballers community today! Thanks again for being here!

Published: Sunday, November 10, 2024 10:05 AM CT



Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks

  • TMB thoughts: Situationally, the Bucks have the edge here, entering a revenge spot against a Celtics team coming off an exhausting OT win against the Nets—prime conditions for a potential letdown. Yet, can we really trust the Bucks in this matchup? Our Baller Exclusive base model still leans toward the Celtics, creating some conflicting signals. With these factors at play, we’re passing on this game.



Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic

  • Wizards: 0-7 1H ATS and 1H Team Total O/U
  • Wizards: 1-5-1 1H O/U
  • Baller System on the Under: Under system based on falling line
    • TMB thoughts: The Wizards’ first-half struggles have continued with an 0-7 ATS record and a trend toward lower-scoring first halves at 1-5-1 on 1H O/U. With Paolo Banchero out, the Magic’s offensive production takes a significant hit—on/off numbers reveal a 14.8-point drop in their Offensive Rating per 100 possessions, along with a slower Pace by 2.7 possessions. The Baller System under signal based on a falling line further supports taking the 1H Under 112.5 as a strong play in this matchup.




Charlotte Hornets @ Philadelphia 76ers

  • TMB thoughts: Indicators lean towards the under in this matchup, particularly with LaMelo Ball listed as questionable. However, with his status still uncertain, it’s prudent to hold off until more clarity is available.



Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Warriors: 6-0 1H ATS on the road
  • Warriors: 7-2 ATS this season
  • Warriors: 1-7-1 1H O/U this season
  • Thunder: 7-2 ATS this season
    • TMB thoughts: No play here, as conflicting factors make this matchup a tough call. The Thunder have been dominant, and the initial read leans toward them potentially prevailing at home. However, the Warriors’ resilience and tendency to outperform market expectations add uncertainty. With these mixed signals, this one is a stay-away game for now.


Sacramento Kings @ Phoenix Suns

  • Suns: 1-4 ATS at home
    • TMB thoughts: The Suns are in a potential letdown situation, coming off a tight win against the rival Mavericks. With Kevin Durant sidelined, the Suns’ depth will be tested, which further boosts confidence in the Kings’ ability to cover the spread here. The indicators align strongly for Kings -1 in this one.


Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers

  • Grizzlies: 8-2 1H ATS
  • Baller System active on Grizzlies: Back road favorite (on road trip) vs. home team w/ next game at home (complacent)
    • TMB thoughts: Grizzlies 1H has been a solid bet this season, while the Trail Blazers are returning home from a 4-game road trip, a spot where we’ve seen team have a let-down spot. We are going Grizzlies 1H ML -110.


Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers

TMB thoughts: There are multiple signals pointing to the over in this matchup between two fast-paced teams. The Raptors rank 8th and the Lakers 7th in pace, which should lead to a high number of possessions. Both teams also have poor defensive ratings, with the Raptors sitting 29th and the Lakers 25th. With the Baller System active for the over and their most recent matchup seeing 256 total points, we’re comfortable backing the over 236 here.