- Date: Saturday, July 20, 2024
- Game: Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
- Start Time: 01:05 PM ET
Editor’s Note: I am happy to introduce a talented contributor to our team: Dominic Tremblay. Dominic has been a capper for 15+ years and is a die-hard sports fan who loves to share his passion for numbers and statistics. He is an SDQL expert that shares many amazing stats on his ‘X’ account: @dominic_0404.
– Austin
In today’s matchup between the Rays and the Yankees, home/away splits will play a big role as Taj Bradley will be facing Nestor Cortes in Yankee Stadium in an afternoon game (1:05 PM ET first pitch). Let’s dive into each starter’s splits and stats.
The Rays will send Taj Bradley in the bump. He is not the same pitcher when starting on the road with a 6.20 ERA and a .309 OBA compared to 1.50 ERA and a .160 OBA at home. Bradley is 0-6 SU F5 as an underdog in his short career and 0-4 SU F5 as an away dog this season. He is also due for negative regression suggested by his 3.88 xERA compared to a 2.90 ERA. Also, the fact that he’ll face a good lineup in a home run-friendly park, where his 2.7 HR/9 and 42.4% fly ball rate on the road should play against him.
On the other side, Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees, and he’s been excellent at home with a 1.81 ERA, a .190 OBA and a 0.8 HR/9.
Yankees are ranked 3rd with 3.13 F5 runs scored at home and 3rd in F5 runs allowed this season. In comparison, the Rays are 24th with 2.09 F5 runs scored on the road. The Rays are struggling with RISP lately as they are dead last in MLB, batting just .103 in this situation over the last 2 weeks.
