Betting - The Money Baller

🏀Lipscomb is 11-0 ATS when favored by less than 8.5 points with a total under 154.5. They are also 11-0 SU in this scenario, winning by an average of +12.5 PPG.
❓Lower totals usually indicate a more controlled game pace, where efficiency and execution matter. Lipscomb excels in these matchups, likely because they can dictate tempo and take advantage of favorable offensive matchups.

📊North Alabama is 0-11 ATS as an underdog against teams averaging more than 7.7 made threes per game when the total is below 152.5. They are also 0-11 SU in this spot, losing by an average of -17 PPG.
❓When facing teams with strong outside shooting, North Alabama likely fails to keep up offensively. The lower total suggests a game with fewer possessions, making it even harder for them to close scoring gaps against teams that capitalize on three-point efficiency.

🕢2:00 PM EST

✅Active on Lipscomb Bisons -4.5

🏒The Seattle Kraken are 0-8 SU since April 2024 playing as underdogs, while on a back-to-back (no rest). They have lost those games by an average of -2.5 goals per game.

🕢3:30 PM EST

📉Seattle are 0-9 SU this season playing with no rest.

🥅Joey Daccord (12) / Charlie Lindgren (100)

✅Active on Washington Capitals ML

🏒The Minnesota Wild are 10-0 SU since 2016 playing daytime home game vs a below .550 team on a 2+ game losing streak.

📊The Minnesota Wild are 10-0 SU this season as favorites vs below .430 opponents playing on better or equal rest.

🕢3:30 PM EST

🥅Alex Nedeljkovic (37) / M-A Fleury (81)
– Nedeljkovic has posted a .866 save percentage over his last five starts, and has registered a 3.89 GAA during that stretch.

✅Active on Minnesota Wild ML

🏀 The San Antonio Spurs are 15-0 ATS as a rested underdog of more than 8 points on non-neutral courts.

🏀 The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-0-2 to the UNDER against conference opponents who exceeded their scoring average by more than 20 points in their previous game.

🏀 The New Orleans Pelicans are 0-11 ATS in revenge games with a spread under 10.5, after allowing more than 16 three-pointers in their previous game.

🏀 The Portland Trail Blazers are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents when the spread is under 8.5 points.

🏀 The Los Angeles Clippers are 10-0 to the UNDER with fewer than two days of rest, following a win in which they scored fewer than 14 fast-break points.

🏀 The Philadelphia 76ers are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

🏀 The Cleveland Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS against conference opponents after playing a game decided by three points or fewer.

🏀 The Phoenix Suns are 7-0 to the OVER as a favorite of more than -12.5 points when facing a team they lost to in the previous matchup.

🏀 Tulsa is 0-11-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3.5 points with fewer than six days of rest, after a game where they shot better than 20.8% from three-point range. (vs Wichita State)

🏀 Iowa is 0-11 ATS as an underdog following a game where their assist-to-turnover ratio was greater than 1.5. (vs Nebraska)

🏀 Temple is 10-0 to the OVER when the total is under 151.5. (vs North Texas)

🏀 Oregon is 0-9 ATS as a road favorite against teams they defeated in a previous matchup when the total is under 147.5. (vs Washington)

🏀 Tulane is 0-8 ATS as an underdog with fewer than 10 days of rest against teams that average fewer than 7.1 made three-pointers per game. (vs UAB)

🏀 Charlotte is 0-8 ATS as a favorite against teams they defeated in a previous matchup. (vs UTSA)

🏀 Minnesota is 7-0 to the UNDER as an underdog of fewer than 15.5 points. (vs Rutgers)

❓ RLM are identified at a certain time during the day. While I report these plays later in the day, some lines may have already moved back. The key takeaway is the early sharp movement which focuses on understanding where the sharp money hit, even if the line has since adjusted. These can still be considered, even if the numbers changed.

🏀Utah Jazz ML (+210)
22% of bets 🎟️ / 40% of money 💵
18% Spread
💲Smart Money detected coming in on Utah Jazz ML

🏀Los Angeles Clippers -6.0 (-110): 41% of public 💲
Sacramento +6.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +5.5 to +6.0

🏀Cleveland Cavaliers -8.0 (-110): 36% of public 💲
Milwaukee +8.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +6.5 to +8.0

🏒Columbus Blue Jackets ML (+110): 22% of public 💲
New York Rangers ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -142 to -135

🏒Anaheim Ducks ML (-105): 42% of public 💲
New York Isl. ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -130 to -117

🏒Vancouver Canucks ML (+120)
23% of bets 🎟️ / 59% of money 💵
36% Spread

🏒Winnipeg Jets ML (+110)
50% of bets 🎟️ / 81% of money 💵
31% Spread

🏒Anaheim Ducks ML (-105)
42% of bets 🎟️ / 63% of money 💵
21% Spread

🔪LA CLIPPERS -6.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪CLE/MIL o239.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪ANA DUCKS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪VAN/DAL u6.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

NBA Money Baller Report – Saturday, March 8

Posted on March 8, 2025March 8, 2025 by Austin Wang

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📊Active Systems for March 6th

Posted on March 6, 2025March 8, 2025 by Dominic Tremblay

🏀The Orlando Magic are 13-0 SU since 2019 as home favorites against Central division opponents when their line is -5.5 or bigger. Those games have been won by an average of +14.9 points per game.

🏀 The Orlando Magic are 8-0 ATS when they are not at a rest disadvantage against a team they previously beat by 8 or more points and scored 10 or more points above their average in that meeting. (+12.9 PPG)

📊Favorites of more than 7 points who are on a losing streak of at least 3 games have covered the spread at a 66.4% rate (72-37-2 ATS) when facing opponents they scored 110 or more points against in their last matchup.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Orlando has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games vs Chicago.

#️⃣ORL are 1st in OREB% allowed / CHI are 28th in OREB%
#️⃣ORL are 2nd in pts allowed/poss. / CHI are 20th in pts/poss.
#️⃣ORL are 2nd in TOV% allowed / CHI are 18th in TOV%

🎯Paolo Banchero has 27+ points in 4 straight games vs Central Division as favorite.

🚨SDQL-based score prediction: Orlando 114 – Chicago 100

✅Active on Orlando Magic -7.5

💎Best bet: Orlando Magic -7.5 (-110)

🏀Michigan State is 12-0 to the UNDER against teams with 3+ days of rest, when coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 77 points and gave up 4 or more made threes. These games have stayed under the total by an average of -13.2 points per game.
❓Well-rested opponents tend to start slower, which lowers overall scoring pace. Michigan State’s defense tightens up even more after games where they allow some perimeter success, adjusting their scheme to limit open threes. This combination of slower tempo, strong defense, and tighter perimeter coverage keeps scoring down, making the UNDER highly profitable.

📊Additionally, teams averaging game totals above 160.5 who have gone UNDER in back-to-back games have hit the UNDER at a 62.5% clip in database history, when facing teams that force at least 11 turnovers per game and allow fewer than 73 points per game.
❓After two consecutive games that stayed UNDER the total, sportsbooks may overestimate the team’s offensive ability, or the team itself shifts into a more conservative style of play. When these teams face strong defensive teams who disrupt their offense with turnovers and solid half-court defense, it further suppresses scoring, making the UNDER even more likely.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📉Michigan State is 5-15 to the UNDER when the total is above 145.0

#️⃣Michigan State are 279th in pace / Iowa are 18th in pace

⏪The total is staying still at 152.9 despite 92% of the tickets being placed on the OVER

✅Active on Michigan State @ Iowa UNDER 152.5
💲Smart Money detected coming in on the UNDER

💎Best bet: Michigan State @ Iowa UNDER 152.5 (-110)

🏒The Florida Panthers are 11-0 SU since 2021 when they face the Blue Jackets after a win.

📊The Columbus Blue Jackets are 0-12 SU since 2023 as away underdogs with rest disadvantage facing a team above .500

🕢7:00 PM EST

#️⃣Panthers are 7th in goals scored/g vs a goalie with a matchup rating of 11.
#️⃣Panthers are 13th in PP% and CLB are 26th in PK%

🥅Elvis Merzlikins (11) *confirmed / Sergei Bobrovsky (77) *confirmed
– Bobrovsky has posted a .945 save percentage over his last five starts, and has registered a 1.42 GAA over that span.
– Merzlikins has posted a .903 save percentage over his last five starts, and has registered a 3.46 GAA during that stretch.

🚨SDQL-based score prediction: Panthers 5 – Jackets 2

✅Active on Florida Panthers ML

💎Best bet: Florida Panthers -1.5 (-105)

🏒The Carolina Hurricanes are 7-0 SU this season as home favorites of at least -211 facing a conference opponent.

🏒The Carolina Hurricanes are 9-0 SU since 2023 when their line is between -256 & -290.

📊The Boston Bruins are 0-10 SU since November as away underdogs following a game in which they scored 2+ goals.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Carolina is 2-0 SU when their line is between -251 & -281.

#️⃣Hurricanes are 11th in goals scored/g vs a backup goalie with a matchup rating of 27.
#️⃣Hurricanes are 2nd in PK% which should not give much chance for BOS 29th PP% to score.

🥅Joonas Korpisalo (27) *likely / Pyotr Kochetkov (100) *likely
– Kochetkov has won three of his last four starts, going 3-1-0 with a 2.50 GAA and an .890 save percentage in that span.

🎯Sebastian Aho has 1+ goals in 4 straight games.

🚨SDQL-based score prediction: Hurricanes 5 – Bruins 2

✅Active on Carolina Hurricanes ML

💎Best bet: Carolina Hurricanes Reg. Win (-170) + S. Aho 1+ point (-260) = SGP (-105)

🏀The Orlando Magic are 13-0 SU since 2019 as home favorites against Central division opponents when their line is -5.5 or bigger. (vs Chicago)

🏀The Philadelphia 76ers are 0-13 SU in 2025 vs Eastern conference teams with totals below 229.5. (vs Boston)

🏀The Brooklyn Nets are 0-11 SU since 2021 at home on a Thursday vs teams above .500 (vs Golden State)

🏀The Indiana Pacers are 6-0 SU as favorites vs the Atlanta Hawks with total above 222.0 (vs Atlanta)

✅Parlay: Orlando (-280) + Boston (-900) + Golden State (-525) + Indiana (-160)

💎Best bet: 4-team ML parlay (+191)

🏒The San Jose Sharks are 0-17 SU as underdogs since December, facing a Western conference opponent.

🏒The San Jose Sharks are 0-6 SU since 2016 facing the Avalanche in Denver following a win on the road.

🏀 The New Orleans Pelicans are 0-13 ATS when the total is under 239.5 and they are coming off a game where their defensive points allowed differential was greater than 10 and they gave up 14 or more fast-break points.

🏀 The Houston Rockets are 12-0 to the OVER in road games against teams coming off a loss of 12 or more points. (+18.0 PPG)

🏀 The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-10 ATS as a favorite of more than -12.5, following a game where they scored 134 or more points.

🏀 The Boston Celtics are 10-0 ATS at home when the total is under 228.5 and they are unrested. (+25.6 PPG)

🏀 The Brooklyn Nets are 10-0 to the UNDER with rest, following a game where they made fewer than 19 free throws. (-15.1 PPG)

🏀 The Atlanta Hawks are 8-0 ATS as an underdog, following a home game where they allowed 122 or more points. (8-0 SU)

🏀 Tulane is 0-13 ATS as an underdog, following a game where they made 9 or more free throws as a favorite. (vs East Carolina)

🏀 Pacific is 0-12-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 4 points when the total is under 159. (vs San Diego)

🏀 Michigan State is 12-0 to the UNDER against teams with 3 or more days rest, following a game where they allowed fewer than 77 points and gave up 4 or more made three-pointers. (vs Iowa)

🏀 Illinois State is 10-0 to the OVER as a favorite of fewer than 11.5 points. (vs Missouri State)

🏀 Illinois Chicago is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games. (vs Valparaiso)

🏀 Lipscomb is 8-0 ATS as a favorite against teams that allow fewer than 73.5 points per game, who have covered the spread in consecutive games. (vs Queens University of Charlotte)

🏀 Iowa is 0-10 ATS, following a game where they allowed fewer than 12 made three-pointers. (vs Michigan)

🏀 Iowa is 0-8 ATS as an underdog against ranked opponents. (vs Michigan)

🏀Atlanta Hawks ML (+135): 33% of public 💲
Indiana Pacers ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -164 to -155
💲Smart Money detected coming in on Atlanta ML

🏀PHI/BOS u219.5 (-110): 5% of public 💲
Over 219.5 is the most popular side and the line dropped from 225.0 to 219.5

🏀East Carolina -4.5 (-110): 42% of public 💲
Tulane +4.5 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +3.5 to +4.5

🏒Utah HC ML (-135): 39% of public 💲
Detroit ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -118 to +116

🏒Seattle Kraken ML (+105): 28% of public 💲
Nashville ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -142 to -132
💲Smart Money detected coming in on Seattle ML

🏒Philadelphia Flyers ML (+120): 20% of public 💲
Winnipeg ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -152 to -143

🏒Montreal Canadiens ML (+205): 14% of public 💲
Edmonton ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -300 to -251

🏒SJS/COL u6.0 (+100): 9% of public 💲
Over 6.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from 6.5 to 6.0

🏒Calgary Flames ML (+210): 8% of public 💲
Dallas ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -275 to -254

🏀Alabama A&M ML (+180)
9% of bets 🎟️ / 70% of money 💵
61% Spread

🏀California Riverside ML (+100)
10% of bets 🎟️ / 60% of money 💵
50% Spread

🏀UTEP ML (+115)
21% of bets 🎟️ / 55% of money 💵
34% Spread

🏀Sacred Heart +2.5 (-110)
34% of bets 🎟️ / 59% of money 💵
25% Spread

🏀East Carolina -4.5 (-110)
42% of bets 🎟️ / 65% of money 💵
23% Spread

🏀Cal State Bakersfield ML (-130)
54% of bets 🎟️ / 77% of money 💵
23% Spread

🏀Charlotte +14.5 (-110)
58% of bets 🎟️ / 79% of money 💵
21% Spread

🏒Seattle Kraken ML (+105)
28% of bets 🎟️ / 57% of money 💵
29% Spread

🏒Montreal Canadiens ML (+205)
14% of bets 🎟️ / 41% of money 💵
27% Spread

🏒Utah HC ML (-135)
39% of bets 🎟️ / 61% of money 💵
22% Spread

🏀Orlando Magic -7.5 (1.5u)
🏀Michigan State @ Iowa UNDER 152.5 (1.0u)
🏒Carolina Hurricanes Reg. Win + S. Aho 1+ point (1.0u)
🏒Florida Panthers -1.5 (0.5u)

📊 Additional games with matching Trends & Stats
The following games are not official personal plays, but rather match multiple qualifying trends, systems, or sharp money indicators that align with profitable historical patterns.
These are provided to help you make more informed decisions and identify games where the data leans strongly in a certain direction.
*As always, use your own judgment, consider line movement, injury reports, and personal analysis before locking anything in. These are tools, not guarantees.

1️⃣ Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers

✅The Atlanta Hawks are 8-0 against the spread (ATS) as underdogs following a home game where they allowed 122 or more points, with an 8-0 straight-up record in these situations.
✅ The Atlanta Hawks’ moneyline has seen smart money movement, with 33% of the public betting on them, yet the line moved in their favor.

Recommendation: Consider betting on the Atlanta Hawks to cover the spread or win outright.

2️⃣ East Carolina vs. Tulane

✅ Tulane is 0-13 ATS as an underdog following a game where they made 9 or more free throws as a favorite.
✅ East Carolina -4.5 has 42% of public bets, but 65% of the money, indicating sharp action on East Carolina.

Recommendation: Consider betting on East Carolina to cover the spread.

3️⃣ Seattle Kraken vs Nashville Predators

✅ Public Betting: 28% of bets on Seattle ML; Nashville ML is the most popular side.
✅ Line Movement: Changed from +118 to +110 despite Nashville receiving the most bets.
✅ Smart Money: Detected on Seattle ML.

Recommendation: Consider betting on Seattle Kraken ML.

YESTERDAY’S RECAP

❌Detroit Piston ML + J.Duren 10+ rebounds
💰Central Connecticut State Blue Devils -13.5
❌Tennessee @ Ole Miss u139.5
💰Washington Capitals ML + C. McMichael 1+ SOG
💰Vancouver Canucks ML + E. Pettersson 2+ SOG
❌CLE Cavaliers + OKC Thunder + DET Pistons
❌George Mason + Cincinnati + Wisconsin + Tennessee
❌Charlotte Hornets +8.0
💰Louisville Cardinals -14.0
💰Wisconsin @ Minnesota o140.5
💰Maryland ML (+112)
💰Oklahoma Sooners +5.0
💰Texas Tech @ Colorado o141.5
❌Florida @ Alabama u178.5

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

📊Active Systems for March 5th

Posted on March 5, 2025March 5, 2025 by Dominic Tremblay

🏀The Detroit Pistons are 9-0 ATS since January 2025 after a game as a favorite, where their assist-to-turnover ratio was under 3.
❓This is a classic correction trend, poor ball movement games expose issues, but teams (especially young or improving ones like Detroit) are more focused and play cleaner the following game.

📊The Los Angeles Clippers are 0-7 ATS & 0-7 SU since January 2025 when their line is set between -3.5 & +4.5
❓Close spreads mean competitive games, and the Clippers are underperforming in these high-leverage situations recently, either due to poor clutch play, chemistry issues, injuries, or matchups that expose their weaknesses in tight finishes.

🕢10:30 PM EST

📈Detroit are 6-0 ATS as road favorites of at least -3.0 points.

📉LAC are 4-8 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back.

#️⃣DET are 10th in pts allowed/poss. / LAC are 21st in pts/poss.
#️⃣DET are 11th in TOV% / LAC are 25th in TOV%
#️⃣DET are 4th in OREB% allowed / LAC are 20th in OREB%

🩹K. Leonard – N. Powell – B. Simmons – D. Jones Jr. are all ruled OUT of tonight’s game for LAC.

🎯Jalen Duren has 12+ rebounds in 4 straight games vs LAC and averaged 15.4/G.
*He caught 19 rebounds in the last matchup 9 days ago.

✅Active on Detroit Pistons -4.5

💎Best bet: Detroit Piston ML (-190) + J.Duren 10+ rebounds (-320) = SGP (-110)

🏀Central Connecticut is 11-0 ATS against teams that average more than 13 turnovers per game, when the total is over 127.5, and they are coming off a game where they shot less than 35.5% from three.
❓Teams that commit more turnovers generally have a harder time maintaining possession and executing their offense. When a team like Central Connecticut gets a chance to capitalize on these turnovers and put up points, they tend to outperform the spread. Additionally, the poor shooting performance from their previous game might motivate them to focus on better execution, improving their chances of covering the spread.

📊LeMoyne is 0-13 ATS against teams that allow less than 43% shooting, when they have fewer than 4 days of rest. In this situation, LeMoyne is also 0-13 SU, losing by an average of -17.9 points per game.
❓The key to this trend is the combination of facing strong defensive teams (who allow less than 43% shooting) and LeMoyne being on short rest. Teams that are well-rested and facing tough defenses tend to struggle to execute their offense effectively. The added fatigue of playing on less than four days of rest makes it even harder for LeMoyne to compete in these situations, leading to consistent losses against these teams.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Central Connecticut is 12-4 ATS vs teams allowing more than 72 points per game.

#️⃣CCST -0.84 NetRating / Le Moyne -20.42 NetRating
#️⃣CCST 5.07 Adjusted Eff. Margin / Le Moyne -16.81 Adjusted Eff. Margin

✅Active on Central Connecticut State Blue Devils -13.5

💎Best bet: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils -13.5 (-110)

🏀Tennessee is 19-0 to the UNDER with less than 5 days of rest, following a single-digit win. In these games, the total has gone UNDER by an average of -13.8 points per game.
❓After a close win, Tennessee may play a more conservative, slower-paced game to avoid another close contest, which results in fewer points being scored. Short rest further contributes to fatigue, slowing down the tempo and reducing scoring opportunities, thus making the UNDER more likely in these situations.

📊Ole Miss is 12-0 to the UNDER as a single-digit underdog, when the total is less than 140, and they’re coming off a game as a favorite of 3+ points. These games have gone UNDER by an average of -12.2 points per game.
❓When Ole Miss is a single-digit underdog, they tend to play in a lower-scoring game, possibly focusing on defense and trying to slow down the pace to stay competitive. Coming off a game where they were favored might also mean that they did not play their best offensive game (which can lead to slower, lower-scoring matches next). The lower total (less than 140) also naturally limits the number of points scored, making the UNDER even more likely.

🕢9:00 PM EST

📉Ole Miss is 4-0 to the UNDER at home vs teams allowing less than 67 points per game.

📉Tennessee is 10-3 to the UNDER on the road.

✅Active on Tennessee Volunteers @ Ole Miss Rebels UNDER 138.5

💎Best bet: Tennessee @ Ole Miss u139.5 (-110)

🏒The Washington Capitals are 6-0 SU this season on the road vs a division opponent when their line is below +156.

📊The New York Rangers are 1-10 SU this season when priced smaller than -170 vs teams above .550 playing on equal rest.

🕢7:30 PM EST

📈Washington won both contest this season (5-3 & 7-4)

🥅Charlie Lindgren (70) *unconfirmed / Igor Shesterkin (60) *likely

🎯Aliaksei Protas has a point in 7 straight road games.

🎯Jakob Chychrun has a point in 6 straight divisional games as favorite.

🎯Connor McMichael has 2+ shots on goal in his last 6 games.

✅Active on Washington Capitals ML

💎Best bet: Washington Capitals ML + C. McMichael 1+ SOG (+105)

🏒The Vancouver Canucks are 4-0 SU this season when priced between -204 & -234

📊The Vancouver Canucks are also 4-0 SU since 2023 on 2+ days of rest following a loss, facing a team below .550 with no rest.

🕢10:30 PM EST

🥅John Gibson (40) *unconfirmed / Kevin Lankinen (80) *confirmed

🎯Elias Pettersson has 2+ shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. Anaheim are 32nd in the league for SOG allowed.

✅Active on Vancouver Canucks ML

💎Best bet: Vancouver Canucks ML + E. Pettersson 2+ SOG (+130)

🏀 Dallas Mavericks are 16-0 ATS when they are not at a rest disadvantage and are coming off a loss that stayed under the total, where they attempted at least 5 more free throws than their opponent.

🏀 Portland Trail Blazers are 12-0 ATS against Eastern Conference opponents.

🏀 Miami Heat are 10-0 to the OVER after a win where they made fewer than 14 three-pointers. (+18 PPG)

🏀 Oklahoma City Thunder are 10-0 to the OVER as a favorite of 6 or more points, when the total is above 229.

🏀 Denver Nuggets are 10-0 to the OVER against teams on a 3+ game winning streak, when the total is under 241.5. (+19.9 PPG)

🏀 Minnesota Timberwolves are 0-9 ATS as a regular season favorite against a rested opponent, when coming off a game where they committed at least 4 more turnovers than their opponent.

🏀 The matchup between the Detroit Pistons and Los Angeles Clippers fits a system where teams coming off a road loss as a favorite, in a game that went over the total where they shot better than 51.4% from the field, have gone 27-0 to the UNDER when the game-day total is under 228.

🏀 Tennessee Vols are 19-0 to the UNDER with fewer than 5 days rest, following a single-digit win. — (vs Ole Miss)

🏀 Wisconsin is 17-0 to the OVER against teams with fewer than 5 days rest, when the spread is greater than -8.5, the total is less than 162.5, and they are coming off a game where they scored fewer than 80 points. — (vs Minnesota)

🏀 Michigan is 0-12 ATS in revenge games at home, against teams who average less than 37.4% from three-point range. — (vs Maryland)

🏀 Clemson is 12-0 ATS as a favorite against teams with fewer than 5 days rest, following a game in which their opponent attempted fewer than 59 field goals. — (vs Boston College)

🏀 Marquette is 10-0-1 ATS as an underdog with totals under 150.5, following a game where they recorded 14 or more assists. — (vs UConn)

🏀 Texas Tech is 10-0 to the OVER, following a game in which they recorded fewer than 13 turnovers as an underdog. — (vs Colorado)

🏀 Louisville is 8-0 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 15.5 points, against teams who average fewer than 12 turnovers. — (vs California)

🏀 Florida is 7-0 to the UNDER as an underdog, following a game in which they made 10 or more three-pointers. — (vs Alabama)

🏀 Missouri is 0-7 ATS against teams on a 3+ game ATS winning streak, when the total is over 141.5. — (vs Oklahoma)

🏀MIA @ CLE u222.0 (-110): 7% of public 💲
Over 222.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from 225.5 to 222.0

🏀DAL @ MIL u225.0 (-110): 8% of public 💲
Over 225.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from 226.0 to 225.0

🏀Charlotte Hornets +8.0 (-105): 19% of public 💲
Minnesota -8.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from -9.0 to -8.0

🏀Washington Wizards -5.0 (-115): 42% of public 💲
Utah Jazz +5.0 is the most popular side and the line dropped from +4.0 to +5.0

🏒Anaheim Ducks ML (+165): 17% of public 💲
Vancouver ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -258 to -220

🏒St. Louis Blues ML (+135): 21% of public 💲
Kings ML is the most popular side and the line dropped from -180 to -162

🏀Utah Jazz ML (+165)
40% of bets 🎟️ / 63% of money 💵
23% Spread

🏀Maryland Terrapins ML (+112)
16% of bets 🎟️ / 76% of money 💵
60% Spread

🏀Louisville Cardinals -14.0 (-110)
57% of bets 🎟️ / 89% of money 💵
32% Spread

🏀Butler Bulldogs +3.5 (-110)
29% of bets 🎟️ / 59% of money 💵
30% Spread

🏒Toronto Maple Leafs ML (+136)
43% of bets 🎟️ / 77% of money 💵
34% Spread

🏀Detroit Piston ML + J.Duren 10+ rebounds (2u)
🏀Central Connecticut State Blue Devils -13.5 (1.5u)
🏀Tennessee @ Ole Miss u139.5 (1u)
🏒Washington Capitals ML + C. McMichael 1+ SOG (1u)
🏒Vancouver Canucks ML + E. Pettersson 2+ SOG (0.5u)

Double-Up NBA ML Parlay
🏀CLE Cavaliers + OKC Thunder + DET Pistons (+134) – (1u)

Double-Up NCAAB ML Parlay
🏀George Mason + Cincinnati + Wisconsin + Tennessee (+216) – (0.5u)

1️⃣ Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets

✅ Timberwolves are 0-9 ATS as a favorite against a rested opponent after committing 4+ more turnovers than their opponent.
✅ Hornets +8.0 (-105) fits a sharp reverse line movement (RLM): Public heavily on MIN, line dropped from -9 to -8.
✅ Hornets (19% public bets 💲) — extreme contrarian with line movement in their favor.

Suggested Play: Hornets +8.0 (Lean 0.5u)

2️⃣ Louisville Cardinals vs California Golden Bears

✅ Louisville is 8-0 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 15.5 points vs teams with fewer than 12 turnovers.
✅ Louisville -14.5 (-110): 57% of bets / 89% of money (sharp action indicator).
✅ RLM Confirmation: Louisville opened -13.5, moved to -14.5 despite only moderate bet % — money driven move.

Suggested Play: Louisville -14.0 (Lean 1u)

3️⃣ Wisconsin Badgers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

✅ Wisconsin 17-0 to the OVER vs teams on <5 days rest, spread >-8.5, total <162.5, after scoring <80 points.
✅ Wisconsin is part of your existing NCAAB ML parlay, so this is a correlated total angle.
✅ Minnesota is a weak defensive team (fits poorly vs Wisconsin system offense).

Suggested Play: Wisconsin/Minnesota OVER 140.5 (Lean 0.5u)

4️⃣ Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins

✅ Michigan is 0-12 ATS in revenge games at home vs teams shooting <37.4% from 3.
✅ Maryland ML (+112): 16% of bets 🎟️ / 76% of money 💵 (severe sharp action).
✅ Maryland’s defensive metrics (strong at disrupting perimeter shooters) fit into the above trend.

Suggested Play: Maryland ML (+112) (Lean 0.5u)

5️⃣ Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners

✅ Missouri is 0-7 ATS vs teams on 3+ ATS winning streaks when the total is >141.5.
✅ Oklahoma fits — they’re hot ATS and Missouri’s defense struggles in these situations.
✅ Oklahoma’s strong recent form (offense and defense) is backed by the 3+ ATS wins trend.

Suggested Play: Oklahoma +5.0 (Lean 0.5u)

6️⃣ Texas Tech vs Colorado

✅ Texas Tech 10-0 to the OVER after recording <13 turnovers as an underdog.
✅ Colorado’s fast pace and Texas Tech’s turnover vulnerability fit the script.
✅ Line opened 142.5, moved to 144.5 — matching with this over trend. (Moved back later on)

Suggested Play: Texas Tech/Colorado OVER 141.5 (Lean 0.5u)

7️⃣ Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide

✅ Florida 7-0 to the UNDER as an underdog after making 10+ threes.
✅ Alabama’s perimeter defense and fast tempo (could lead to lower efficiency shots).
✅ Florida’s reliance on threes in recent games (regression expected).

Suggested Play: Florida/Alabama UNDER 178.5 (Lean 0.5u)

YESTERDAY’S RECAP

❌Orlando Magic ML + Los Angeles Lakers ML (2u)
❌Orlando Magic -7.5 (1u)
💰Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 (0.5u)
💰Minnesota Wild ML (0.5u)

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