Category: Betting

The Chicago Bulls are poised for a strong showing against the Golden State Warriors, building on a recent history of success in similar situations. Chicago has thrived as road underdogs, particularly when facing opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back, winning each of their last six such games. Meanwhile, Golden State has faltered in comparable circumstances, losing their last three games as home favorites against Central Division teams and struggling to cover spreads when playing with a rest disadvantage, failing to do so in seven of their last eight attempts. The Bulls enter this matchup with momentum after snapping a six-game losing streak in a commanding 112-99 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. Zach LaVine led the way with an impressive 35-point performance, while Josh Giddey contributed across the board with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists. Chicago’s offense has been a bright spot this season, ranking fifth in the league by averaging 117.1 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc.

Golden State, on the other hand, continues to battle inconsistency. With a 21-21 record, they find themselves sitting eleventh in the Western Conference after losing three of their last five games, including a lopsided 125-85 defeat against the Boston Celtics. In that game, Steph Curry led the Warriors with just 18 points, while Moses Moody added 13 points and 5 assists. The Warriors have struggled offensively this season, managing 110.8 points per game on 44.6% shooting overall and 36.2% from deep. Defensively, they rank tenth in the league with a 112.9 rating, but their offense has been a consistent issue.

While both teams have experienced recent struggles, the Bulls’ offensive efficiency sets them apart. Zach LaVine’s scoring ability and Chicago’s balanced attack make them well-positioned to secure a victory on the road against a Golden State squad that has struggled to find its footing.

🏀Unrested favorites coming off a loss in which they had a double digit lead at halftime are 38-62-5 ATS (38%).

📊Bulls have won 6 of their last 7 road games when they are facing a team in their 2nd game of a back-to-back.

🕢10:00 PM EST

📉Warriors are 1-5 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.

📉Warriors has failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games on a back-to-back.

🎯Patrick Williams had over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists in 13 of the 17 games he played on the road this season averaging 6.5 per game. Golden State has allowed over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists to starting PFs in 37 of their 43 games this season.

🖥️Score prediction: 121-117 Chicago Bulls

⏪Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Chicago Bulls (Line went from +5.0 to +1.5 despite the Warriors receiving 64% of public bets and 47% of the money).

💯Grade “C+” RLM

✅Active on Chicago Bulls +1.5 (ATS)

---

Manhattan’s offense has been productive this season, averaging 75.3 points per game. However, their defense has struggled, allowing 77 points per game. This combination has resulted in high-scoring contests, with their games averaging a total of 152.3 points. On the other side, Fairfield scores an average of 68.5 points per game while conceding 72.9. While Fairfield’s games tend to be slightly lower-scoring, averaging 141.4 total points, Manhattan’s defensive vulnerabilities could create opportunities for Fairfield’s offense to thrive.

Recent performances from both teams add to the case for a high-scoring outcome. Manhattan has consistently played in high-total games, with matchups frequently surpassing the 147.5-point mark. Fairfield, though less consistent, has shown a recent trend toward increased scoring, particularly when facing teams with similar defensive inefficiencies to Manhattan.

Head-to-head matchups between these teams further bolster the argument for a high total. Last season, their January matchup ended with a total of 157 points, while their February meeting produced 145 points. These precedents highlight a pattern of offensive success when these teams face each other, driven by fast-paced play and defensive lapses on both sides.

With Manhattan’s high-scoring offense, leaky defense, and Fairfield’s ability to capitalize on defensive weaknesses, all signs point toward a game that will likely exceed the 146.5 total points line. Bettors assessing the over/under should consider these dynamics, as the conditions are favorable for a high-scoring contest.

🏀Fairfield are 12-0 to the OVER when their spread is more than -4.0 following a loss as a favorite in which they attempted more field goals than their opponent.
This shows that after tough losses, Fairfield tends to play with a faster pace and a more aggressive offensive style, leading to higher-scoring games.

📊Manhattan are 9-0 to the OVER following an ATS win, in a game where they had multiple days of rest. They covered the over by an average of +18.4 points per game in those situations.

📊Manhattan are 7-0 to the OVER this season when they are facing a team with multiple days of rest and coming off a game in which they shot less than 50% from the field. They covered the over by an average of +18.8 points per game in those situations.
This could be attributed to their ability to adjust and exploit defensive lapses after rest.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Manhattan are 2-0 to the OVER with lines between 144.0 & 149.0

📈Manhattan are 4-1 to the OVER vs teams averaging 67.0 to 72.0 points per game.

📈Manhattan are 5-1 to the OVER vs teams allowing less than 72.0 points per game.

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Manhattan averaging 75.3 points per game, which is the best in the MAAC. Fairfield has also been able to score, averaging 68.5 points per game. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, betting on the total points to go over seems like a solid option.

✅Active on Fairfield @ Manhattan OVER 146.5

---

Karel Vejmelka is set to return to the crease for Utah on Thursday night as they head to the Xcel Energy Center for a matchup against the Minnesota Wild. Vejmelka has struggled in his last two starts, allowing nine goals on 51 shots for an underwhelming .824 save percentage, leaving him with a 2.54 goals-against average and .910 save percentage across 28 appearances this season. Utah, sitting at 20-19-7, comes into the contest as road underdogs, facing a Minnesota squad that will welcome back two key pieces, Kirill Kaprizov and Jared Spurgeon, both returning from multi-game injury absences.

This marks Utah’s first road game since January 4, following a lengthy homestand where consistency proved elusive. Although they managed an impressive 5-2 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Monday, stringing together back-to-back wins has been an ongoing challenge. With top defenseman Mikhail Sergachev questionable after missing multiple games, Utah’s defensive depth faces another test as they embark on a back-to-back set. Clayton Keller remains the offensive catalyst, continuing to drive Utah’s attack with speed and playmaking, but the team’s defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency against stronger opponents remain concerns.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has been thriving as favorites in recent weeks, winning eight of their last nine matchups against Western Conference teams. Their 28-15-4 record is a testament to their resilience, even during Kaprizov’s absence. Matt Boldy has been instrumental in keeping the offense productive, stepping up alongside Mats Zuccarello and Marco Rossi. The Wild also boast a strong home-ice advantage and have been efficient in shutting down opposing offenses with disciplined defensive play and solid goaltending.

With Kaprizov, Minnesota’s leading scorer and a former Hart Trophy contender, rejoining the lineup alongside their captain and top defenseman Spurgeon, the Wild are poised to elevate their game further. Their ability to control the neutral zone and limit Utah’s chances, particularly from Keller, could be the deciding factor. Utah’s road form and defensive gaps present an uphill battle against a Wild team that has been profitable in their favorite role and efficient in closing out games.

Although Utah has the potential to make this competitive, the Wild’s combination of defensive structure, home-ice advantage, and the return of key players tilts the balance in their favor.

🏒Home favorites of -130 or less are 33-3 SU (92%) this season when playing a divisional opponent that scores less goals than the league average and the total is set at exactly 6.0

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Wild are 12-4 SU vs teams below .450

📉Utah HC are 3-11 SU when their line is set between +116 & +146

📉Utah HC are 1-3 SU vs teams allowing between 2.6 & 2.9 goals per game.

🥅Karel Vejmelka (36) / Filip Gustavsson (90)

🎯Mats Zuccarello has a point in 9 straight divisional games as favorite.

🖥️Score prediction: 4-3 Minnesota Wild

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Wild are favored to win this game, and they have a solid home record of 17-5-3. Despite some recent inconsistency, they are coming off a strong 3-1 victory against the Colorado Avalanche. Minnesota’s depth and home-ice advantage should help them secure the win.

✅Active on Minnesota Wild ML

---

⭐️🏀The Dallas Mavericks are 13-0 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back vs teams who shoot over 45%.

⭐️🏀The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-17 ATS with rest when the total is below 224.0 and they are coming off a win in which they scored less points than expected.

⭐️🏀The Washington Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings against the Clippers.

⭐️🏀The San Antonio Spurs are 10-0 to the OVER vs rested opponents following a road game in which they allowed 17+ threes.

---

🔪MIA Heat +6.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪POR/ORL o212.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪CAL-BAPTIST -3.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪FAIR/MANH o146.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪OTT SENATORS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪MIN/UTA o5.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

---

Come post your slips or just chat about the games HERE 💬

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have put together an extraordinary season, finishing with a 14-1 record while compiling an even more impressive 13-2 mark against the spread. They’ve covered 11 consecutive games, including all three playoff matchups, showcasing their ability to outperform expectations on the biggest stages. Meanwhile, the Ohio State Buckeyes stand at 13-2 with a 9-6 ATS record, though their recent form has been transformative. Following their November 30th loss to Michigan, Ohio State has elevated its play, delivering three dominant playoff performances that justified their role as substantial favorites in this championship matchup. The game’s defining battle will pit Ohio State’s top-ranked defense, which allows just 251 yards per game, against Notre Dame’s potent ground attack, averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Ohio State also boasts the best scoring defense in the nation, surrendering only 12.2 points per game, while Notre Dame ranks just behind them, allowing 14.3. This clash of elite units will set the tone, though the Buckeyes’ defense has been particularly imposing during the postseason, racking up 16 sacks across their three playoff victories. Ohio State’s quarterback Will Howard and star receiver Jeremiah Smith have been especially lethal against man-to-man coverage this season. Howard has thrown nine touchdowns without an interception against man defenses, which spells trouble for a Notre Dame unit that employs man coverage on 57% of its snaps, more than any other team in the country. On the other side of the ball, the Irish will face a daunting challenge with their injury-depleted offensive line. Left tackle Anthonie Knapp is sidelined, and right guard Rocco Spindler is playing through an ankle issue, leaving Notre Dame’s offense vulnerable against Ohio State’s aggressive defensive front and versatile linebackers.

Despite Notre Dame’s success this season, including their impressive streak of ATS covers, their playoff opponents have exposed a favorable path. Wins over Indiana, Georgia, and Penn State came against teams with glaring weaknesses, from Indiana’s inexperience to Georgia’s backup quarterback and Penn State’s lack of receiving threats. Ohio State, in contrast, has encountered and defeated tougher competition, shaking off any residual doubts following their loss to Michigan. Their postseason dominance has reaffirmed why they’re considered the most talented team in the nation.

While Notre Dame’s resilience has been admirable, this matchup appears to be a step too far. The Buckeyes have answered every challenge during the playoffs, and their talent, depth, and momentum should carry them to a decisive victory. It’s difficult to envision a scenario where the Irish keep it close beyond the third quarter. Ohio State’s quest for a third National Championship of the 2000s seems well within reach, with a multiple-score win likely to cement their place atop college football.

🏈Ranked matchups when the spread is between -7.0 & -17.0 in the playoffs are 19-2 ATS since 2015 when the opponent averages less than 45 points per game and the home team is above .670

📊Ohio State are 24-6-2 ATS when they are priced between +4.0 & -1.0 vs 4+ ranked opponent with a total below 64.0

🕢7:30 PM EST

📈Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs teams above .700

#️⃣Notre Dame has gained 2,912 yards on 272 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season – T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season – 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

#️⃣Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 2,915 passing yards in 15 games (just 194.3 YPG) this season – 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 161.1 passing yards per game this season – best among P5 defenses.

🖥️Score prediction: 27-21 Ohio State Buckeyes

✅Active on Ohio State Buckeyes -8.5 (ATS)

✋🏻My play is Ohio State ML + Q. Judkins TD + W. Howard 200+ passing yards (+140)

The Los Angeles Clippers are finding their stride at the right time, coming off wins against the Trail Blazers and Lakers and now gearing up for matchups against the Celtics, Wizards, and Bucks. This team has been efficient on both ends of the court, averaging 109.7 points per game on 47 percent shooting while holding opponents to 106.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Norman Powell has been a key offensive weapon, putting up 23.7 points per game, while James Harden is contributing 21.4 points and 5.8 rebounds. Ivica Zubac has provided consistent support as the third double-digit scorer, and the Clippers are also shooting a solid 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and converting 78.2 percent of their free throws. Defensively, they’ve been strong, allowing just 34 percent shooting from deep while pulling down 44.2 rebounds per contest.

Recent trends favor the Clippers in this matchup. They’ve dominated Central Division opponents with losing records, winning 21 of their last 22 such games. Meanwhile, the Bulls are struggling, dropping their last five games, including embarrassing losses as favorites against weaker teams like the Trail Blazers, Hornets, and Pelicans. The Bulls have also failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

The Clippers are in a rhythm, covering the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites. They’ll have the added advantage of playing at home without the travel fatigue their opponent is dealing with on the second leg of a back-to-back. On the other hand, Chicago has been dismal, ranking last in the league in opponent field goal attempts per game (95.5) and struggling offensively with a turnover percentage of 14.6, which ranks 29th in the NBA.

Despite missing Kawhi Leonard, the Clippers have shown resilience, notching four straight wins and covers. They are clicking at the right time, while the Bulls are sliding further into mediocrity. With momentum, home-court advantage, and a superior matchup on both ends of the floor, the Clippers are poised to take care of business against a team heading in the wrong direction.

🏀The Los Angeles Clippers are 10-0 ATS as home favorites vs teams with less than 2 days rest.

📊Road underdogs of less than 5 points who are coming off a 2+ games homestand are 20-48 ATS (29.4%) when facing teams they beat in a previous meeting in which they made more threes.

🕢10:30 PM EST

📈Clippers are 10-2 ATS as home favorites.

📈Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

📉Bulls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

📉Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against LA Clippers.

🎯James Harden has 6+ rebounds in 8 straight games vs CHI.

🎯James Harden has 10+ assists in 7 straight games vs CHI.

🖥️Score prediction: 121-111 Los Angeles Clippers

✅Active on Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 (ATS)

✋🏻My play is LA Clippers ML + J. Harden 7+ assists + J. Harden 3+ rebounds (-115)

The Jets have been on a roll as road favorites, showcasing their ability to perform consistently against Central Division opponents. Utah, meanwhile, has struggled to maintain momentum, particularly at the Delta Center, where they’ve faltered in seven of their last eight games following a win. Despite a recent victory over the Blues, Utah’s inconsistent play at home this season has been a glaring issue. Their inability to cover the puck line in four straight home games following a win underscores a pattern of underwhelming performances when expectations rise.

On the other hand, the Jets bring a decisive edge into this matchup. The last meeting between these two teams, a dominant 3-0 Winnipeg shutout back in early November, set the tone for what to expect. With the standings reinforcing Winnipeg’s position as a favorite, the road team appears poised to take care of business once again. Adding to their advantage is the stellar play of Connor Hellebuyck, who has been nothing short of exceptional this season, posting a 1.97 GAA and a .929 save percentage alongside 28 wins. Hellebuyck’s consistency in net provides a rock-solid foundation for Winnipeg’s success. Offensively, the Jets boast firepower that few teams can match. Kyle Connor, with 60 points on the season, and Mark Scheifele, leading the team with 27 goals, form a formidable duo. Winnipeg’s power play is a lethal weapon, converting at an elite 32.1% rate, complementing an overall offensive output of 3.51 goals per game, one of the best in the league. Even with injuries to key players like Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg’s depth continues to shine, allowing them to maintain a high level of play on both ends of the ice.

Utah’s struggles, particularly on offense, paint a stark contrast. With just 2.82 goals per game and an inconsistent supporting cast behind Clayton Keller, their scoring options are limited. The team’s 21.3% power play conversion rate further highlights the gap in offensive efficiency between these two teams. While Karel Vejmelka has been reliable in net with a 2.54 GAA and a .910 save percentage, the lack of consistent defensive support and the challenges of a backup goaltender like Connor Ingram put additional pressure on their efforts. Injuries to key contributors such as Dylan Guenther and Robert Bortuzzo only exacerbate their issues.

This matchup is one where the disparity in quality is evident. The Jets’ combination of offensive firepower, elite goaltending, and special teams proficiency should prove too much for Utah to handle. Winnipeg is well-positioned to control possession, capitalize on opportunities, and exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of their opponent. With their current form and the momentum they carry, Winnipeg appears primed for another strong performance on the road.

🏒Winning record teams having lost their last game facing a losing record team having won their last game are 16-2 SU since 2021 when they have more rest than the opponent and their line is set between -170 & +115

📊Away favorites of less than -110 holding a win record above .480 and having played their last 3+ games at home while losing the last one are 29-6 SU since 2020 when playing against a division opponent.

📊The Winnipeg Jets are 10-0 SU when they are priced between -129 & -159

🕢9:30 PM EST

📈Jets are 10-1 SU as road favorites.

📈Jets are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against Utah.

📉Utah are 2-8 SU as home underdogs.

📉Utah are 1-7 SU vs teams allowing less than 2.6 goals per game.

🥅Connor Hellebuyck (88) / Karel Vejmelka (55)

🎯Gabriel Vilardi has a point in 6 straight road games.

🖥️Score prediction: 3-2 Winnipeg Jets

✅Active on Winnipeg Jets ML

✋🏻My play is Winnipeg Jets +1.5 + G. Vilardi o0.5 points (-115)

🏈 Most Bet Player Props – Ohio State vs Notre Dame

1st TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+450)
• Jeremiyah Love (+900)
• Quinshon Judkins (+500)
• TreVeyon Henderson (+500)
• Emeka Egbuka (+650)

Anytime TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (-140)
• Jeremiyah Love (+130)
• TreVeyon Henderson (-140)
• Quinshon Judkins (-135)
• Riley Leonard (+120)

2+ TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+425)
• Jeremiyah Love (+950)
• TreVeyon Henderson (+425)
• Quinshon Judkins (+450)
• Riley Leonard (+850)

3+ TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+2000)
• Riley Leonard (+4000)
• Mitchell Evans (Notre Dame) (+16000)
• Emeka Egbuka (+3500)
• Jeremiyah Love (+4000)

Most Bet Player Props Overall

• Will Howard: Passing Yards 225+ (-205)
• Will Howard: Passing Yards 200+ (-450)
• Riley Leonard: Rushing Yards 25+ (-310)
• Will Howard: Passing Touchdowns 2+ (-170)
• TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards 40+ (-330)

🏈 100% Props ALT Lines – ND vs. Ohio St.

• R. Leonard (ND): 25+ Rush Yards (13/L13 Games)
• J. Love (ND): 5+ 1Q Rush Yards (8/L8 Games)
• E. Egbuka (OSU): 40+ Rec Yards (5/L5 Games)
• J. Faison (ND): 25+ Rec Yards (3/L3 Games)
• T. Henderson (OSU): 40+ Rush Yards (3/L3 Games)
• W. Howard (OSU): 200+ Pass Yards (3/L3 Games)
• Q. Judkins (OSU): 5+ 1Q Rush Yards (3/L3 Games)
• M. Evans (ND): 3+ Receptions (2/L2 Games)
• J. Greathouse (ND): 2+ Receptions (2/L2 Games)
• J. Price (ND): 25+ Rush Yards (6/L7 Games)
• J. Smith (OSU): 50+ Rec Yards (12/L15 Games)
• C. Tate (OSU): 25+ Rec Yards (10/L14 Games)

Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Championship Prop Bets Analysis

• We dive into the prop bets for the Notre Dame vs. Ohio State championship game. Here’s a quick rundown of some of the key prop bets:
• Riley Leonard is expected to throw over 0.5 passing touchdowns, with a strong historical performance of 100% over the last 5 games and 90% over the last 10.
• Will Howard has a high chance of throwing over 0.5 interceptions, with an 80% success rate over both the last 5 and 10 games.
• Jaden Greathouse is likely to have a reception longer than 14.5 yards, with an 80% and 40% success rate over the last 5 and 10 games respectively. However, he’s also expected to have under 25.5 receiving yards with an 80% and 60% success rate.
• Riley Leonard to attempt under 27.5 passes, with consistent performance at 80% over the last 5 games and 70% over the last 10.
• Aneyas Williams is expected to have under 21.5 receiving yards, with an 80% rate over both time frames.
• Emeka Egbuka: Over 4.5 receptions, with an 80% success rate over the last 5 games but drops to 50% over the last 10.
• Jadarian Price is likely to rush for over 24.5 yards, with an impressive 80% success rate over both periods.
• Jeremiyah Love and TreVeyon Henderson are both favored to score over 0.5 touchdowns, with Love at 80% over the last 5 and 90% over the last 10, and Henderson at 80% over both time frames.

🔪UTA/NOP u229.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

The Akron Zips continued their impressive season with an 85-78 victory over Toledo in their most recent outing. Despite trailing 42-30 at halftime, Akron stormed back with a dominant second-half performance, outscoring Toledo 55-36 to secure the win. The Zips shot 46.7% from the field, hit 31% of their three-point attempts, and converted 66.7% of their free throws. Nate Johnson led the charge with a stellar performance, posting 28 points and nine rebounds, while Amani Lyles contributed 16 points and five boards to the effort. This victory extended Akron’s winning streak to four games, which also includes decisive wins over Eastern Michigan (105-81) and Central Michigan (87-71). Currently, the Zips sit as one of just three undefeated teams in conference play. Over the course of the season, Akron has averaged 82.3 points per game while allowing 73.6. The team has also demonstrated strength on the boards, averaging 40.6 rebounds per game alongside 17.9 assists. Key contributors like Nate Johnson, averaging 12.7 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game, and Tavari Johnson, with 11.8 points and 4.2 assists, have helped establish Akron’s rhythm on both ends of the floor. As a team, Akron is shooting 44.2% overall, 35.1% from beyond the arc, and 75.2% from the free-throw line. Akron’s ability to defend its home court is well-documented, having won 24 of its last 25 games at James A. Rhodes Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Ohio has struggled in this venue during night games, losing six of their last seven such matchups against non-AP-ranked teams. The Bobcats have also failed to secure the first-half lead in three of their last four games at this arena.

Both teams enter this contest undefeated in conference play, making it a crucial showdown near the top of the MAC standings. Ohio has been efficient offensively, shooting 48.2% from the field and scoring at least 86 points in four of their last five games. While the Bobcats are allowing 73.8 points per game, their potent offense has often been able to compensate. Akron, however, has shown balance on both sides of the ball. Though the Zips are shooting a modest 44.2% from the field, they have eclipsed 85 points in three consecutive games. Defensively, Akron has been slightly more consistent, holding opponents to 71 points or fewer in two of their last four contests.

This game promises to be a tightly contested battle between two high-caliber MAC programs, but the edge goes to Akron, especially with their dominance on the glass and home-court advantage.

🏀Road underdogs of less than 5.5 points who won 5 or more games in a row have gone 13-33 ATS since 2022 when facing teams that averages more points per game than them.

📊Akron are 7-0 ATS as a favorite of >-14.5 vs teams with less than 10 days of rest and who are on a better win streak than them.

📊Ohio are 0-6 ATS as an underdog following a game as a favorite. They lost ALL 9 GAMES by an average of 9.5 points.

🕢6:00 PM EST

📈Akron has won 24 of their last 25 home games.

📈Akron are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.

📉Ohio are 1-8 ATS on the road.

📉Ohio are 0-3 ATS as an underdog.

🎯Nate Johnson OVER 12.5 points

🖥️Score prediction: 82-74 Akron

🤖jaXon AI approved

✅Active on Akron Zips -3.5 (ATS)

The Indiana Hoosiers enter this game at 13-5 overall and 4-3 in conference play, coming off a humbling 94-69 defeat to Illinois. That game saw the Hoosiers fall behind 60-32 by halftime, though they managed a slight edge in the second half, outscoring the Illini 37-34. Shooting woes plagued Indiana, as they managed just 38.5% from the field and a dismal 22.2% from beyond the arc, despite hitting 83.3% of their free throws. Oumar Ballo stood out with a double-double, posting 16 points and 15 rebounds, while Luke Goode added 13 points. Before the Illinois loss, the Hoosiers were similarly outmatched by Iowa, falling 85-60, though they managed a strong win against USC with a final score of 82-69 in the game prior. Over their last seven games, Indiana has picked up five wins, including conference victories against Minnesota, Rutgers, and Penn State. On the season, they’ve averaged 77.5 points per game while allowing 72.3, coupled with 38.6 rebounds and 16.5 assists per contest. Ballo leads the team in production, averaging 14.1 points, 10.1 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game. Malik Reneau, also averaging 14.1 points but listed as questionable for this game, adds 5.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists when healthy. Indiana’s offense shoots 46.7% from the field, 31.4% from three-point range, and 72.6% at the free-throw line.

On the other side, the Ohio State Buckeyes sit at 10-7 with a 2-4 mark in conference play after a narrow 70-68 loss to Wisconsin in their last outing. The Buckeyes were in a deep hole early, trailing 37-20 at the break, but mounted a spirited second-half rally, outscoring Wisconsin 48-33. Ohio State shot 42.4% from the field and just 29.4% from beyond the arc but made up ground with solid free-throw shooting at 86.7%. Bruce Thornton led the charge with 21 points and three assists, while Devin Royal chipped in 12 points and six rebounds. Though they’ve dropped three of their last four games, the Buckeyes showed resilience in those losses, with close defeats to Wisconsin and Oregon (73-71). They also notched a high-scoring 89-88 win against Minnesota and carry earlier wins against Indiana State, Kentucky, and Valparaiso. Ohio State’s offensive profile shows them averaging 80.4 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field, including an impressive 37.4% from three. They allow 71.1 points per game while averaging 35.3 rebounds and 14.1 assists. Thornton leads the team with 17.4 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game, while Royal contributes 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 1.4 assists.

Ohio State has historically performed well at Value City Arena, winning 22 of their last 25 games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Indiana has consistently struggled in this venue, dropping the first half in six of their last seven visits. The Hoosiers come into this matchup reeling from consecutive 25-point losses and have looked disorganized defensively in those outings. The absence of Malik Reneau, who is tied as their leading scorer, compounds Indiana’s issues. On the other hand, Ohio State has shown flashes of promise, particularly in the second halves of their recent games, and their balanced scoring options should give them a significant edge at home.

🏀Home favorites between -3.0 & -7.0 who covered the spread as a road underdog in their previous game facing a conference opponent who lost their previous game at home are 10-1 ATS this season.

📝The Ohio State Buckeyes will receive the Indiana Hoosiers tonight being favored by -6.5 and having covered their +6.5 spread at Wisconsin 3 days ago. The Hoosiers dropped a 94-69 game at home vs Illinois on Tuesday.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Ohio State has won 8 of 9 home games when facing a non-AP ranked school at night.

📉Indiana are 1-4 ATS as underdogs.

📉Indiana are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State.

#️⃣The Buckeyes rank better in all categories except for FT% and offensive rebounds.

🎯Bruce Thornton OVER 17.5 points

🖥️Score prediction: 79-68 Ohio State

🤖jaXon AI approved

⏪The line is moving in Indiana’s favor despite Ohio receiving 78% of the money on the spread.

✅Active on Ohio State Buckeyes -7.5 (ATS)

The Carolina Hurricanes enter this matchup with a 26-16-3 record following a 4-2 loss to Buffalo in their most recent game. Despite falling behind 3-0 early in the third period, Carolina managed to cut the deficit to 3-2 before surrendering a late goal to seal the loss. The Hurricanes outshot Buffalo 37-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-for-1 on the power play. Martin Necas and Jaccob Slavin provided the goals, while goaltender Dustin Tokarski made 21 saves on 24 shots. Prior to their loss against Buffalo, the Hurricanes dropped a 3-2 contest to Anaheim but secured a 2-0 victory over Vancouver. They have lost three of their last five games, positioning them third in the Metropolitan Division standings with 55 points. On the season, Carolina has been productive offensively, averaging 3.31 goals per game, while defensively, they have allowed just 2.78 goals per game. Their special teams have been solid, with a power-play success rate of 22.3% and a penalty kill operating at an impressive 85.1%. Necas leads the team with 16 goals, 35 assists, and 104 shots on goal, while Sebastian Aho has added 13 goals, 31 assists, and 121 shots. Between the pipes, Pyotr Kochetkov has posted a 16-9-2 record with a 2.54 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage. Carolina’s recent history suggests a bounce-back performance is likely. The Hurricanes have won five of their last six games following a road loss and have also covered the puck line in four of their last five in similar scenarios. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have struggled in night games against Metropolitan Division opponents, failing to cover the puck line in six of their last seven and losing the first period in five of their last six.

The Golden Knights, though formidable at 11-6-3 on the road, have shown some cracks recently, allowing four or more goals in two of their last four outings. On the flip side, Carolina has been dominant at home with a 17-5-1 record, ranking as one of the NHL’s best home teams. While the Hurricanes have managed just two goals or fewer in three of their last four games, they have been generating chances, as evidenced by a significant shot advantage in recent matchups. In their last two losses, Carolina outshot their opponents 74-44 but struggled to capitalize on opportunities. Head coach Rod Brind’Amour has expressed frustration with the team’s defensive lapses and expects a sharper effort in this contest.

This is a pivotal game for both teams, and while the Golden Knights have been strong this season, their recent road inconsistencies and challenges against winning teams tilt the scales. Carolina’s resilience after losses, combined with their home-ice advantage, makes them a compelling choice in what could be a preview of a Stanley Cup Finals matchup. With Pyotr Kochetkov’s strong home record (10-3-1, 2.31 GAA) and a motivated roster, the Hurricanes are well-positioned to come out on top in this showdown.

🏒Home favorites on a 2+ games losing streak with a winning record below their non-conference opponent are 17-3 SU when the total is 6.0 or above. Those teams are outscoring their opponents by +2.5 goals in this situation.

📝The Carolina Hurricanes will receive the Vegas Golden Knights tonight having lost their last 2 games vs Buffalo and Anaheim.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Carolina are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.

📈Carolina are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.

📉Vegas are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against Carolina.

🥅Adin Hill (75) / Pyotr Kochetkov (100)

🎯Martin Necas has recorded 1+ point in 7 of the Hurricanes’ last 8 games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

🖥️Score prediction: 4-2 Carolina Hurricanes

✅Active on Carolina Hurricanes ML

⭐️🏀The Denver Nuggets are 10-0 ATS on the road when they have less than 4 days rest and they’re coming out of a home game in which they’re DPA was above 4 (expected points allowed).
🏀Western conference teams above .500 taking on the Miami Heat while being on the road are 29-8 ATS since 2021.
✅Active on Denver Nuggets -1.0 (ATS) (Not an official play)

⭐️🏀The Boston Celtics are 12-0 ATS in revenge games (playing an opponent they already lost to in the same season). They cover those games by an average of 23.4 points per game.
🏀The Boston Celtics are 17-4 ATS since 2013 coming out of a game on the road and playing an opponent who failed to cover in their previous game. The spread has to be between -15.5 & +2.5 and the total set between 202.0 & 247.0
✅Active on Boston Celtics -14.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)

⭐️🏀The Iowa Hawkeyes are 10-0 ATS following a game in which they allowed 92+ points.
✅Active on Iowa Hawkeyes +6.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)

📈NBA Most Bet Player Props Tonight

Points:

• Jayson Tatum: 25+ Points (-145)
• Anthony Edwards: 25+ Points (-185)
• Jalen Brunson: 25+ Points (-165)

1st Point Scorer:

• Kristaps Porzingis: +400
• Jaylen Brown: +450
• Mark Williams: +450

Rebounds:

• Josh Hart: 10+ Rebounds (-155)
• Bobby Portis: 8+ Rebounds (-105)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 12+ Rebounds (-245)

Threes:

• P.J. Washington: 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+750)
• P.J. Washington: 3+ Three-Pointers Made (+265)
• Anthony Edwards: 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+100)

Assists:

• Tristan da Silva: 2+ Assists (+100)
• Josh Hart: 10+ Assists (+950)
• Zion Williamson: 6+ Assists (+130)

Most Bet Player Props (Overall):

• Giannis Antetokounmpo: Triple-Double (+500)
• Nikola Jokic: Triple-Double (+125)
• Damian Lillard: Points O/U – Over 23.5 (-125)
• Giannis Antetokounmpo: Double-Double (-425)
• Jayson Tatum: Points O/U – Over 25.5 (-115)

💰Today’s Top NBA Player Prop Trends

100% Hit Rate:

• Collin Sexton: 20+ Points (-185)
• Damian Lillard: 20+ Points (-280)
• Dejounte Murray: 15+ Points (-190)
• Harrison Barnes: 10+ Points (-220)
• Kristaps Porzingis: 15+ Points (-240)
• Coby White: 4+ Assists (-235)
• LeBron James: 8+ Assists (-235)
• Nikola Jokic: 8+ Assists (-250)
• Austin Reaves: 2+ 3PM (-285)
• Bam Adebayo: 1+ 3PM (-110)
• Brandon Miller: 3+ 3PM (-280)
• Dejounte Murray: 2+ 3PM (-145)
• Desmond Bane: 2+ 3PM (-250)
• Josh Giddey: 1+ 3PM (-340)
• Tyler Herro: 3+ 3PM (-320)

80% Hit Rate:

• Cameron Johnson: 20+ Points (+100)
• Desmond Bane: 20+ Points (+100)
• Gradey Dick: 10+ Points (-275)
• Ja Morant: 20+ Points (-240)
• Jalen Brunson: 25+ Points (-150)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 25+ Points (-130)
• Miles Bridges: 15+ Points (-350)
• Miles Bridges: 20+ Points (-105)
• Tyler Herro: 20+ Points (-320)
• Jaylen Brown: 4+ Assists (-185)
• Trey Murphy III: 4+ Assists (+155)
• Anthony Edwards: 3+ 3PM (-250)
• Anthony Edwards: 4+ 3PM (+100)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 2+ 3PM (-160)
• Keyonte George: 3+ 3PM (-175)

🏀 NBA Props 100% ALT Line Hit Rates

• Desmond Bane: 15+ Points (13/L13 Games)
• Coby White: 15+ Points (10/L10 Games)
• Taurean Prince: 1+ 3 PTM (9/L9 Games)
• Julius Randle: 6+ Rebounds (9/L9 Games)
• Zach LaVine: 4+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Tyler Herro: 4+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Zion Williamson: 6+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Damian Lillard: 20+ Points (6/L6 Games) and 2+ Made Threes (20/L20 Games)
• Dejounte Murray: 15+ Points (6/L6 Games) and 1+ Made Threes (6/L6 Games)
• Devin Vassell: 4+ Rebounds (6/L6 Games)
• LeBron James: 8+ Assists (6/L6 Games)
• Austin Reaves: 2+ 3PTM (6/L6 Games)
• Trey Murphy III: 15+ Points (17/L17 Games)
• Paolo Banchero: 15+ Points (11/L11 Games)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+ Rebounds (9/L9 Games)
• Nikola Jokic: 8+ Assists (9/L9 Games)
• Josh Hart: 8+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Jakob Poeltl: 2+ Assists (5/L5 Games)
• Josh Giddey: 1+ Made Threes (6/L6 Games)

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆