Author: Dominic Tremblay

The Portland Trail Blazers, sitting at 16-28 and 13th in the Western Conference, are set to take on the Charlotte Hornets, who hold an 11-29 record and rank 13th in the East. This game will mark the first meeting of the season between these two teams. The Trail Blazers are riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak, most recently dismantling the Orlando Magic on the road with a commanding 101-79 victory. Anfernee Simons led the charge in that game, contributing 21 points and three assists. Meanwhile, the Hornets are coming off a 132-120 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, where defensive lapses were evident as Memphis shot an impressive 50% from the field and 44.7% from three-point range.

Offensively, Portland has struggled, ranking 26th in the league with an average of 107.9 points per game. Despite these numbers, the team has managed to maintain some efficiency, shooting 44.9% from the field and 33.8% from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they convert at a respectable 76.7% and average 43.3 rebounds per game. Simons has been the team’s cornerstone on offense, averaging 18.2 points per game and stepping up as a leader for this developing roster. On the defensive end, Portland’s performance has been underwhelming, allowing 115.6 points per game while opponents shoot 47.5% from the floor and 37.5% from three. Despite their defensive struggles, the team’s recent form has been promising, limiting opponents to just 96 points per game over their last three outings—a significant improvement fueled by young players adapting and improving as the season progresses.

Charlotte’s season has been equally challenging. Their offense averages 107.4 points per game while shooting 43.1% from the field, 34.4% from deep, and 77.4% from the free-throw line. The team has leaned heavily on LaMelo Ball for scoring and playmaking, but offensive inconsistency has been a recurring issue. On the defensive side, Charlotte concedes 113.0 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.6% overall and 35.2% from three-point range. Recent struggles have highlighted vulnerabilities, with the Hornets surrendering an average of 118.4 points over their last five games.

Statistically, the two teams are closely matched, with Portland holding the 27th spot in net rating at -7.5, while Charlotte ranks 24th at -5.4. However, the recent trends in defensive performance suggest a significant gap. The Trail Blazers’ defensive resurgence has been a key factor in their three-game winning streak, while Charlotte continues to struggle on that end of the floor.

Injuries could also play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Hornets are dealing with several setbacks, including the absence of Brandon Miller and the uncertain status of key players like LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges. If Ball and Bridges are unable to suit up, it could severely impact Charlotte’s offensive capabilities, potentially shifting the balance of the game.

Recent history between the two teams also favors Portland, as they’ve won four of their last five matchups against Charlotte and have consistently performed well against the spread in these encounters. While the Hornets will benefit from their home-court advantage, their inconsistency, coupled with Portland’s recent surge in form, creates an intriguing dynamic.

The Blazers come into this game as 5-point underdogs, but their ability to cover the spread in their last six road games, combined with their renewed defensive tenacity, suggests they are well-positioned to keep this contest competitive. Their recent victory over Orlando, marked by a stellar defensive effort that held the Magic to 34.2% shooting, underscores their potential to rise to the occasion.

🏀The Portland Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS on the road vs Eastern Conference opponents when they went UNDER the total in their previous meeting and the spread is less than +12.0
❔This trend suggests that the Blazers tend to perform well on the road in these situations. Their ability to bounce back after low-scoring games (UNDER results) indicates strong defensive adjustments, especially when facing Eastern Conference teams. The spread being under +12.0 shows they aren’t heavily favored, meaning they have value as a strong underdog.

📊Away underdogs are 82-47-2 ATS (64%) since 2020 when their opponent si from the Eastern Conference, their previous game was on the road and went over the expected total and they allow more points per game than the league average.
❔Teams that have allowed more points than usual tend to adjust defensively after a high-scoring affair, making them more resilient in subsequent games, particularly when they’re underdogs. The OVER result in their previous game suggests they were involved in a fast-paced, high-scoring environment, and these teams often perform better when they go on the road in these types of situations.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Blazers are 5-2 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.

📈Portland has won 3 straight games as the underdog.

📈Portland has covered the spread in 6 straight road games.

📈Portland are 4-0 ATS (3-1 SU) in their last 4 games with no rest (B2B).

📉Hornets are 0-5 ATS as favorites.

📉Hornets are 0-4 ATS when their spread is between -3.5 & -6.5

🩹Grant Williams is OUT – Seth Curry, Cody Martin, Miles Bridges & LaMelo Ball are all QUESTIONABLE for Charlotte in tonight’s game.

🎯Jerami Grant has 15+ points in 5 straight games vs Charlotte.

🖥️Score prediction: 102-106 Charlotte Hornets

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Blazers are currently 5-point underdogs. They are on a three-game winning streak, recently defeating the Orlando Magic 101-79, showcasing a strong defensive performance by holding the Magic to just 34.2% shooting. Anfernee Simons has been a key player, averaging 18.3 points per game, and he scored 21 points in their last game. Given their recent form and the fact that they have covered the spread in their last six road games, I believe they can keep this game close and potentially cover the spread.

✅Active on Portland Trailblazers +5.5 (ATS)

The Purdue Boilermakers are navigating a strong season with a 15-5 record, positioning themselves in third place within the Big Ten. Despite a narrow 70-73 loss to Ohio State in their most recent outing, Purdue has showcased resilience throughout the year. With an 11-9 record against the spread and a 10-9-1 mark in totals, they’ve been relatively consistent for bettors. Their dominance at Mackey Arena is a significant factor, boasting a stellar 9-1 home record. On the offensive end, Purdue averages 76.9 points per game, ranking 126th nationally. They excel in efficiency, shooting 49% from the field (22nd) and 38.4% from beyond the arc (23rd). Defensively, the Boilermakers allow 67.7 points per game, placing them 75th in the nation, and their ability to limit opponents has been a cornerstone of their success. Though their free-throw shooting sits at a respectable 72.4% (158th), rebounding remains an area of concern, as their 33 boards per game rank 313th. Trey Kaufmann-Renn has emerged as the team’s leading scorer, averaging 18.3 points and a team-high 6.5 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Braden Smith complements him well, contributing 15 points and a team-best 8.9 assists per game. Their offensive leadership has been crucial to Purdue’s success.

Michigan, the 21st-ranked team in the nation, enters this matchup with a 14-4 record and plenty of momentum. The Wolverines have won four of their last five games, including a gritty overtime victory against Northwestern. Michigan has been potent offensively, averaging 84.6 points on 50.6% shooting from the field, while their defense allows 69.4 points per game. Vladislav Goldin leads the team with 16.4 points per game, supported by Tre Donaldson, who adds 12.6 points and 4.3 assists. Danny Wolf’s presence in the paint, averaging 12.5 points and 10.2 rebounds, gives Michigan an edge on the boards.

In their last outing, Purdue shot 48.1% from the floor to post 70 points against Ohio State, but defensive lapses proved costly. The Boilermakers allowed 73 points on 53.3% shooting and conceded 11 three-pointers, ultimately losing the rebounding battle and turning the ball over 10 times. Kaufmann-Renn shined despite the loss, scoring 26 points on 16 shots.

This matchup between two top-25 teams promises to be a competitive affair, but Purdue’s strengths on both ends of the court provide a clear path to victory. Their defensive prowess and home-court advantage should allow them to dictate the pace and control the game. While Michigan’s offense has been impressive, Purdue’s ability to execute at both ends will likely prove decisive in this contest. Expect the Boilermakers to rise to the occasion and capitalize on their advantages to secure the win.

🏀The Purdue Boilermakers are 10-0 ATS as a rested favorite vs teams who scored 80+ points in their last game. Purdue has won ALL 10 GAMES by an average of +20.9 points per game.
❔This trend highlights that Purdue excels in these specific situations. Being a rested favorite means they have extra preparation time, and they capitalize against high-scoring opponents, likely due to their defensive adjustments and strong overall efficiency. If you see this setup, it suggests Purdue is not just likely to win but to dominate.

📊The Michigan Wolverines are 0-11 ATS as an underdog following a game in which they shot less than 49% and when the total is below 159.0 facing teams that allow less than 45% shooting. Michigan lost ALL 11 GAMES by an average of +18.2 points per game.
❔Michigan struggles as an underdog against strong defensive teams, especially when they’re coming off a cold shooting performance. This indicates that their offense can’t overcome high-level defenses when they’re already out of rhythm. Fade Michigan as an underdog in this situation, especially when facing elite defensive teams and lower-scoring game environments.

📊The Michigan Wolverines are 1-5 SU in their last 5 games coming off a game that ended in overtime.
❔Playing overtime games takes a toll on teams, both physically and mentally, and Michigan hasn’t recovered well from those situations. This record shows they’re more prone to a letdown after high-effort games.

📊Purdue are 24-0 SU following a game in which they allowed over 45.5% shooting.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Purdue are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

📈Purdue are 5-1 ATS when their spread is between -2.5 & -6.5

📈Purdue has won 26 of their last 27 home games.

📉Michigan are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Purdue.

🧑🏼‍🤝‍🧑🏼Public: 65%

💰Money: 74%

🖥️Score prediction: 78-71 Purdue Boilermakers

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
Purdue is currently favored by 4.5 points. They have a solid home record of 9-1 and are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to Ohio State. The Boilermakers have been strong in Big Ten play, going 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games. Their defense has improved significantly, allowing just 61.3 points per game since January, which should help them contain Michigan’s offense.

✅Active on Purdue Boilermakers -4.0 (ATS)

The New York Islanders find themselves in a favorable position as they prepare to host the Philadelphia Flyers on Friday. Philadelphia is coming off a back-to-back stretch, having faced the New York Rangers on the road Thursday night. The demanding schedule hasn’t been kind to the Flyers, who have struggled in such scenarios, losing nine of their last ten night games on the second leg of a back-to-back. Fatigue and inconsistency often plague teams in these situations, and Philadelphia’s track record underscores that challenge.

While the Flyers have been competitive recently, winning five of their last six games, their performance in similar circumstances tells a different story. They’ve failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last ten games on the back end of consecutive nights, a concerning trend for a team trying to keep pace in the Metropolitan Division. Travis Konecny continues to lead the way offensively with 21 goals and 33 assists, but Philadelphia’s weaknesses in special teams, ranked 29th on the power play and 19th on the penalty kill, leave them vulnerable, particularly when fatigue sets in.

The Islanders, on the other hand, enter Friday’s matchup riding a wave of momentum. Following a solid 3-1 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets on Monday, they’ve had ample rest to prepare. Rested teams have a significant advantage late in the season, and New York has made the most of such opportunities, winning six of their last seven night games against the Flyers when coming off a home victory. Additionally, the Islanders have been dominant on Fridays, covering the puck line in seven of their last eight games on this day of the week. New York’s defense and goaltending provide another edge. Ilya Sorokin has shown flashes of brilliance, posting a .902 save percentage and a 2.81 goals-against average, helping the Islanders remain competitive even when their offense struggles. Bo Horvat has been a crucial contributor, recently notching two goals in the win over Columbus, while Anders Lee leads the team with 20 goals on the season. Although the Islanders sit last in the Metropolitan Division, they remain within striking distance of the second wild-card spot, just seven points off the pace.

The Islanders have also excelled in the early stages of home games, winning the first period in each of their last three matchups against the Flyers following a home win. This tendency to start strong, combined with Philadelphia’s struggles in back-to-back situations, tilts the scales in New York’s favor.

🏒Rested home favorites facing a same division team on a back-to-back are 26-1 SU since 2023. This system is on a HOT 17 wins streak.

📊The Philadelphia Flyers are 7-33 SU playing on no rest as away underdogs since 2021.

🕢7:30 PM EST

📉Flyers are 4-12 SU when their line is between +115 & +145.

📉Flyers are 1-7 SU in the 2nd game of a back-to-back this season.

🥅Ivan Fedotov (37) / Ilya Sorokin (62)

🎯Bo Horvat has a point in 5 straight divisional games as favorite.

🖥️Score prediction: 4-2 New York Islanders

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Islanders are currently favored at around -155 on the moneyline. They have been performing well lately, winning five of their last seven games, and they are coming off a victory against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Flyers, on the other hand, just suffered a heavy loss to the New York Rangers, which could impact their morale. Given the Islanders’ home advantage and their recent form, I believe they are likely to secure the win.

✅Active on New York Islanders ML

🏀The Cleveland Cavaliers are 11-3 ATS with 8 straight ATS win in a row (13-1 SU) as 3.0+ points road favorites this season. Cleveland outscored their opponents 125.1-112.8 in this spot with 9 of those games being won by more than +10.0 points per game.

🏀The Philadelphia 76ers are 1-9 ATS this season when playing with rest advantage and 0-4 ATS (0-4 SU) as an underdog in this spot. Philadelphia has lost the underdog games by an average of -13.5 points per game.

📊The 76ers are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

📊The 76ers are 0-5 ATS this season as home underdog with a total above 219.0

🩹Joel Embiid – Kyle Lowry – Andre Drummond – Caleb Martin – Kenyon Martin Jr. are all ruled OUT for Philadelphia in tonight’s game.

✅Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 (ATS)

🐶🏒Home underdogs of at least +100 on a 1+ day rest are 11-2 SU this season when they face an Atlantic Division opponent and the total is set at exactly 6.5

📊Blackhawks are 4-2 SU when their line is between +180 & +210 this season.
•5-3 win vs Vegas
•3-1 win vs Colorado
•4-3 loss vs Minnesota
•3-2 loss vs Minnesota
•6-2 win vs Dallas
•3-1 win vs Florida

✅Chicago Blackhawks ML (+195) or +1.5 (PL) if you want a safer option

🏒New York Islanders are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games vs Philadelphia Flyers at home.

🏒New York Islanders have gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 games.

🏒6 of the last 7 meetings between the Dallas Stars & the Vegas Golden Knights have gone UNDER the total.

🏒 Tampa Bay Lightning are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games vs Chicago Blackhawks and 5-0 SU in the last 5 games that took place in Chicago.

⭐️🏒The Chicago Blackhawks have gone over 1.5 goals in the 1st period in 10 straight games.

⭐️🏒Winnipeg Jets are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games vs Utah HC and 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

⭐️🏀Villanova are 0-7 SU & ATS in their last 7 games against Marquette.

🏀Toledo are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Bowling Green.

🏀Saint Joseph’s are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against Dayton.

🏀Michigan are 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games against Purdue.

🏀Penn State are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Iowa.

🏀St. Bonaventure are 6-1 SU & ATS in their last 7 games against VCU.

🏀UCLA are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against Washington.

🔪PHI 76ers +10.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪PHI/CLE u228.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪LIU +1.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪MIL/NKU o140.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪OTT SENATORS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪Ott/TOR u6.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

⏪🏒Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Vegas Golden Knights (Moneyline went from +136 to +122 despite Dallas receiving 68% of public bets and 55% of the money).

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The Chicago Bulls are poised for a strong showing against the Golden State Warriors, building on a recent history of success in similar situations. Chicago has thrived as road underdogs, particularly when facing opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back, winning each of their last six such games. Meanwhile, Golden State has faltered in comparable circumstances, losing their last three games as home favorites against Central Division teams and struggling to cover spreads when playing with a rest disadvantage, failing to do so in seven of their last eight attempts. The Bulls enter this matchup with momentum after snapping a six-game losing streak in a commanding 112-99 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. Zach LaVine led the way with an impressive 35-point performance, while Josh Giddey contributed across the board with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists. Chicago’s offense has been a bright spot this season, ranking fifth in the league by averaging 117.1 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc.

Golden State, on the other hand, continues to battle inconsistency. With a 21-21 record, they find themselves sitting eleventh in the Western Conference after losing three of their last five games, including a lopsided 125-85 defeat against the Boston Celtics. In that game, Steph Curry led the Warriors with just 18 points, while Moses Moody added 13 points and 5 assists. The Warriors have struggled offensively this season, managing 110.8 points per game on 44.6% shooting overall and 36.2% from deep. Defensively, they rank tenth in the league with a 112.9 rating, but their offense has been a consistent issue.

While both teams have experienced recent struggles, the Bulls’ offensive efficiency sets them apart. Zach LaVine’s scoring ability and Chicago’s balanced attack make them well-positioned to secure a victory on the road against a Golden State squad that has struggled to find its footing.

🏀Unrested favorites coming off a loss in which they had a double digit lead at halftime are 38-62-5 ATS (38%).

📊Bulls have won 6 of their last 7 road games when they are facing a team in their 2nd game of a back-to-back.

🕢10:00 PM EST

📉Warriors are 1-5 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.

📉Warriors has failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games on a back-to-back.

🎯Patrick Williams had over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists in 13 of the 17 games he played on the road this season averaging 6.5 per game. Golden State has allowed over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists to starting PFs in 37 of their 43 games this season.

🖥️Score prediction: 121-117 Chicago Bulls

⏪Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Chicago Bulls (Line went from +5.0 to +1.5 despite the Warriors receiving 64% of public bets and 47% of the money).

💯Grade “C+” RLM

✅Active on Chicago Bulls +1.5 (ATS)

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Manhattan’s offense has been productive this season, averaging 75.3 points per game. However, their defense has struggled, allowing 77 points per game. This combination has resulted in high-scoring contests, with their games averaging a total of 152.3 points. On the other side, Fairfield scores an average of 68.5 points per game while conceding 72.9. While Fairfield’s games tend to be slightly lower-scoring, averaging 141.4 total points, Manhattan’s defensive vulnerabilities could create opportunities for Fairfield’s offense to thrive.

Recent performances from both teams add to the case for a high-scoring outcome. Manhattan has consistently played in high-total games, with matchups frequently surpassing the 147.5-point mark. Fairfield, though less consistent, has shown a recent trend toward increased scoring, particularly when facing teams with similar defensive inefficiencies to Manhattan.

Head-to-head matchups between these teams further bolster the argument for a high total. Last season, their January matchup ended with a total of 157 points, while their February meeting produced 145 points. These precedents highlight a pattern of offensive success when these teams face each other, driven by fast-paced play and defensive lapses on both sides.

With Manhattan’s high-scoring offense, leaky defense, and Fairfield’s ability to capitalize on defensive weaknesses, all signs point toward a game that will likely exceed the 146.5 total points line. Bettors assessing the over/under should consider these dynamics, as the conditions are favorable for a high-scoring contest.

🏀Fairfield are 12-0 to the OVER when their spread is more than -4.0 following a loss as a favorite in which they attempted more field goals than their opponent.
This shows that after tough losses, Fairfield tends to play with a faster pace and a more aggressive offensive style, leading to higher-scoring games.

📊Manhattan are 9-0 to the OVER following an ATS win, in a game where they had multiple days of rest. They covered the over by an average of +18.4 points per game in those situations.

📊Manhattan are 7-0 to the OVER this season when they are facing a team with multiple days of rest and coming off a game in which they shot less than 50% from the field. They covered the over by an average of +18.8 points per game in those situations.
This could be attributed to their ability to adjust and exploit defensive lapses after rest.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Manhattan are 2-0 to the OVER with lines between 144.0 & 149.0

📈Manhattan are 4-1 to the OVER vs teams averaging 67.0 to 72.0 points per game.

📈Manhattan are 5-1 to the OVER vs teams allowing less than 72.0 points per game.

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Manhattan averaging 75.3 points per game, which is the best in the MAAC. Fairfield has also been able to score, averaging 68.5 points per game. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, betting on the total points to go over seems like a solid option.

✅Active on Fairfield @ Manhattan OVER 146.5

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Karel Vejmelka is set to return to the crease for Utah on Thursday night as they head to the Xcel Energy Center for a matchup against the Minnesota Wild. Vejmelka has struggled in his last two starts, allowing nine goals on 51 shots for an underwhelming .824 save percentage, leaving him with a 2.54 goals-against average and .910 save percentage across 28 appearances this season. Utah, sitting at 20-19-7, comes into the contest as road underdogs, facing a Minnesota squad that will welcome back two key pieces, Kirill Kaprizov and Jared Spurgeon, both returning from multi-game injury absences.

This marks Utah’s first road game since January 4, following a lengthy homestand where consistency proved elusive. Although they managed an impressive 5-2 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Monday, stringing together back-to-back wins has been an ongoing challenge. With top defenseman Mikhail Sergachev questionable after missing multiple games, Utah’s defensive depth faces another test as they embark on a back-to-back set. Clayton Keller remains the offensive catalyst, continuing to drive Utah’s attack with speed and playmaking, but the team’s defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency against stronger opponents remain concerns.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has been thriving as favorites in recent weeks, winning eight of their last nine matchups against Western Conference teams. Their 28-15-4 record is a testament to their resilience, even during Kaprizov’s absence. Matt Boldy has been instrumental in keeping the offense productive, stepping up alongside Mats Zuccarello and Marco Rossi. The Wild also boast a strong home-ice advantage and have been efficient in shutting down opposing offenses with disciplined defensive play and solid goaltending.

With Kaprizov, Minnesota’s leading scorer and a former Hart Trophy contender, rejoining the lineup alongside their captain and top defenseman Spurgeon, the Wild are poised to elevate their game further. Their ability to control the neutral zone and limit Utah’s chances, particularly from Keller, could be the deciding factor. Utah’s road form and defensive gaps present an uphill battle against a Wild team that has been profitable in their favorite role and efficient in closing out games.

Although Utah has the potential to make this competitive, the Wild’s combination of defensive structure, home-ice advantage, and the return of key players tilts the balance in their favor.

🏒Home favorites of -130 or less are 33-3 SU (92%) this season when playing a divisional opponent that scores less goals than the league average and the total is set at exactly 6.0

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Wild are 12-4 SU vs teams below .450

📉Utah HC are 3-11 SU when their line is set between +116 & +146

📉Utah HC are 1-3 SU vs teams allowing between 2.6 & 2.9 goals per game.

🥅Karel Vejmelka (36) / Filip Gustavsson (90)

🎯Mats Zuccarello has a point in 9 straight divisional games as favorite.

🖥️Score prediction: 4-3 Minnesota Wild

🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Wild are favored to win this game, and they have a solid home record of 17-5-3. Despite some recent inconsistency, they are coming off a strong 3-1 victory against the Colorado Avalanche. Minnesota’s depth and home-ice advantage should help them secure the win.

✅Active on Minnesota Wild ML

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⭐️🏀The Dallas Mavericks are 13-0 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back vs teams who shoot over 45%.

⭐️🏀The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-17 ATS with rest when the total is below 224.0 and they are coming off a win in which they scored less points than expected.

⭐️🏀The Washington Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings against the Clippers.

⭐️🏀The San Antonio Spurs are 10-0 to the OVER vs rested opponents following a road game in which they allowed 17+ threes.

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🔪MIA Heat +6.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪POR/ORL o212.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪CAL-BAPTIST -3.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪FAIR/MANH o146.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪OTT SENATORS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪MIN/UTA o5.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have put together an extraordinary season, finishing with a 14-1 record while compiling an even more impressive 13-2 mark against the spread. They’ve covered 11 consecutive games, including all three playoff matchups, showcasing their ability to outperform expectations on the biggest stages. Meanwhile, the Ohio State Buckeyes stand at 13-2 with a 9-6 ATS record, though their recent form has been transformative. Following their November 30th loss to Michigan, Ohio State has elevated its play, delivering three dominant playoff performances that justified their role as substantial favorites in this championship matchup. The game’s defining battle will pit Ohio State’s top-ranked defense, which allows just 251 yards per game, against Notre Dame’s potent ground attack, averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Ohio State also boasts the best scoring defense in the nation, surrendering only 12.2 points per game, while Notre Dame ranks just behind them, allowing 14.3. This clash of elite units will set the tone, though the Buckeyes’ defense has been particularly imposing during the postseason, racking up 16 sacks across their three playoff victories. Ohio State’s quarterback Will Howard and star receiver Jeremiah Smith have been especially lethal against man-to-man coverage this season. Howard has thrown nine touchdowns without an interception against man defenses, which spells trouble for a Notre Dame unit that employs man coverage on 57% of its snaps, more than any other team in the country. On the other side of the ball, the Irish will face a daunting challenge with their injury-depleted offensive line. Left tackle Anthonie Knapp is sidelined, and right guard Rocco Spindler is playing through an ankle issue, leaving Notre Dame’s offense vulnerable against Ohio State’s aggressive defensive front and versatile linebackers.

Despite Notre Dame’s success this season, including their impressive streak of ATS covers, their playoff opponents have exposed a favorable path. Wins over Indiana, Georgia, and Penn State came against teams with glaring weaknesses, from Indiana’s inexperience to Georgia’s backup quarterback and Penn State’s lack of receiving threats. Ohio State, in contrast, has encountered and defeated tougher competition, shaking off any residual doubts following their loss to Michigan. Their postseason dominance has reaffirmed why they’re considered the most talented team in the nation.

While Notre Dame’s resilience has been admirable, this matchup appears to be a step too far. The Buckeyes have answered every challenge during the playoffs, and their talent, depth, and momentum should carry them to a decisive victory. It’s difficult to envision a scenario where the Irish keep it close beyond the third quarter. Ohio State’s quest for a third National Championship of the 2000s seems well within reach, with a multiple-score win likely to cement their place atop college football.

🏈Ranked matchups when the spread is between -7.0 & -17.0 in the playoffs are 19-2 ATS since 2015 when the opponent averages less than 45 points per game and the home team is above .670

📊Ohio State are 24-6-2 ATS when they are priced between +4.0 & -1.0 vs 4+ ranked opponent with a total below 64.0

🕢7:30 PM EST

📈Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs teams above .700

#️⃣Notre Dame has gained 2,912 yards on 272 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season – T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season – 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

#️⃣Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 2,915 passing yards in 15 games (just 194.3 YPG) this season – 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 161.1 passing yards per game this season – best among P5 defenses.

🖥️Score prediction: 27-21 Ohio State Buckeyes

✅Active on Ohio State Buckeyes -8.5 (ATS)

✋🏻My play is Ohio State ML + Q. Judkins TD + W. Howard 200+ passing yards (+140)

The Los Angeles Clippers are finding their stride at the right time, coming off wins against the Trail Blazers and Lakers and now gearing up for matchups against the Celtics, Wizards, and Bucks. This team has been efficient on both ends of the court, averaging 109.7 points per game on 47 percent shooting while holding opponents to 106.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Norman Powell has been a key offensive weapon, putting up 23.7 points per game, while James Harden is contributing 21.4 points and 5.8 rebounds. Ivica Zubac has provided consistent support as the third double-digit scorer, and the Clippers are also shooting a solid 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and converting 78.2 percent of their free throws. Defensively, they’ve been strong, allowing just 34 percent shooting from deep while pulling down 44.2 rebounds per contest.

Recent trends favor the Clippers in this matchup. They’ve dominated Central Division opponents with losing records, winning 21 of their last 22 such games. Meanwhile, the Bulls are struggling, dropping their last five games, including embarrassing losses as favorites against weaker teams like the Trail Blazers, Hornets, and Pelicans. The Bulls have also failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

The Clippers are in a rhythm, covering the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites. They’ll have the added advantage of playing at home without the travel fatigue their opponent is dealing with on the second leg of a back-to-back. On the other hand, Chicago has been dismal, ranking last in the league in opponent field goal attempts per game (95.5) and struggling offensively with a turnover percentage of 14.6, which ranks 29th in the NBA.

Despite missing Kawhi Leonard, the Clippers have shown resilience, notching four straight wins and covers. They are clicking at the right time, while the Bulls are sliding further into mediocrity. With momentum, home-court advantage, and a superior matchup on both ends of the floor, the Clippers are poised to take care of business against a team heading in the wrong direction.

🏀The Los Angeles Clippers are 10-0 ATS as home favorites vs teams with less than 2 days rest.

📊Road underdogs of less than 5 points who are coming off a 2+ games homestand are 20-48 ATS (29.4%) when facing teams they beat in a previous meeting in which they made more threes.

🕢10:30 PM EST

📈Clippers are 10-2 ATS as home favorites.

📈Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

📉Bulls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

📉Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against LA Clippers.

🎯James Harden has 6+ rebounds in 8 straight games vs CHI.

🎯James Harden has 10+ assists in 7 straight games vs CHI.

🖥️Score prediction: 121-111 Los Angeles Clippers

✅Active on Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 (ATS)

✋🏻My play is LA Clippers ML + J. Harden 7+ assists + J. Harden 3+ rebounds (-115)

The Jets have been on a roll as road favorites, showcasing their ability to perform consistently against Central Division opponents. Utah, meanwhile, has struggled to maintain momentum, particularly at the Delta Center, where they’ve faltered in seven of their last eight games following a win. Despite a recent victory over the Blues, Utah’s inconsistent play at home this season has been a glaring issue. Their inability to cover the puck line in four straight home games following a win underscores a pattern of underwhelming performances when expectations rise.

On the other hand, the Jets bring a decisive edge into this matchup. The last meeting between these two teams, a dominant 3-0 Winnipeg shutout back in early November, set the tone for what to expect. With the standings reinforcing Winnipeg’s position as a favorite, the road team appears poised to take care of business once again. Adding to their advantage is the stellar play of Connor Hellebuyck, who has been nothing short of exceptional this season, posting a 1.97 GAA and a .929 save percentage alongside 28 wins. Hellebuyck’s consistency in net provides a rock-solid foundation for Winnipeg’s success. Offensively, the Jets boast firepower that few teams can match. Kyle Connor, with 60 points on the season, and Mark Scheifele, leading the team with 27 goals, form a formidable duo. Winnipeg’s power play is a lethal weapon, converting at an elite 32.1% rate, complementing an overall offensive output of 3.51 goals per game, one of the best in the league. Even with injuries to key players like Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg’s depth continues to shine, allowing them to maintain a high level of play on both ends of the ice.

Utah’s struggles, particularly on offense, paint a stark contrast. With just 2.82 goals per game and an inconsistent supporting cast behind Clayton Keller, their scoring options are limited. The team’s 21.3% power play conversion rate further highlights the gap in offensive efficiency between these two teams. While Karel Vejmelka has been reliable in net with a 2.54 GAA and a .910 save percentage, the lack of consistent defensive support and the challenges of a backup goaltender like Connor Ingram put additional pressure on their efforts. Injuries to key contributors such as Dylan Guenther and Robert Bortuzzo only exacerbate their issues.

This matchup is one where the disparity in quality is evident. The Jets’ combination of offensive firepower, elite goaltending, and special teams proficiency should prove too much for Utah to handle. Winnipeg is well-positioned to control possession, capitalize on opportunities, and exploit the defensive vulnerabilities of their opponent. With their current form and the momentum they carry, Winnipeg appears primed for another strong performance on the road.

🏒Winning record teams having lost their last game facing a losing record team having won their last game are 16-2 SU since 2021 when they have more rest than the opponent and their line is set between -170 & +115

📊Away favorites of less than -110 holding a win record above .480 and having played their last 3+ games at home while losing the last one are 29-6 SU since 2020 when playing against a division opponent.

📊The Winnipeg Jets are 10-0 SU when they are priced between -129 & -159

🕢9:30 PM EST

📈Jets are 10-1 SU as road favorites.

📈Jets are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against Utah.

📉Utah are 2-8 SU as home underdogs.

📉Utah are 1-7 SU vs teams allowing less than 2.6 goals per game.

🥅Connor Hellebuyck (88) / Karel Vejmelka (55)

🎯Gabriel Vilardi has a point in 6 straight road games.

🖥️Score prediction: 3-2 Winnipeg Jets

✅Active on Winnipeg Jets ML

✋🏻My play is Winnipeg Jets +1.5 + G. Vilardi o0.5 points (-115)

🏈 Most Bet Player Props – Ohio State vs Notre Dame

1st TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+450)
• Jeremiyah Love (+900)
• Quinshon Judkins (+500)
• TreVeyon Henderson (+500)
• Emeka Egbuka (+650)

Anytime TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (-140)
• Jeremiyah Love (+130)
• TreVeyon Henderson (-140)
• Quinshon Judkins (-135)
• Riley Leonard (+120)

2+ TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+425)
• Jeremiyah Love (+950)
• TreVeyon Henderson (+425)
• Quinshon Judkins (+450)
• Riley Leonard (+850)

3+ TD Scorer

• Jeremiah Smith (+2000)
• Riley Leonard (+4000)
• Mitchell Evans (Notre Dame) (+16000)
• Emeka Egbuka (+3500)
• Jeremiyah Love (+4000)

Most Bet Player Props Overall

• Will Howard: Passing Yards 225+ (-205)
• Will Howard: Passing Yards 200+ (-450)
• Riley Leonard: Rushing Yards 25+ (-310)
• Will Howard: Passing Touchdowns 2+ (-170)
• TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards 40+ (-330)

🏈 100% Props ALT Lines – ND vs. Ohio St.

• R. Leonard (ND): 25+ Rush Yards (13/L13 Games)
• J. Love (ND): 5+ 1Q Rush Yards (8/L8 Games)
• E. Egbuka (OSU): 40+ Rec Yards (5/L5 Games)
• J. Faison (ND): 25+ Rec Yards (3/L3 Games)
• T. Henderson (OSU): 40+ Rush Yards (3/L3 Games)
• W. Howard (OSU): 200+ Pass Yards (3/L3 Games)
• Q. Judkins (OSU): 5+ 1Q Rush Yards (3/L3 Games)
• M. Evans (ND): 3+ Receptions (2/L2 Games)
• J. Greathouse (ND): 2+ Receptions (2/L2 Games)
• J. Price (ND): 25+ Rush Yards (6/L7 Games)
• J. Smith (OSU): 50+ Rec Yards (12/L15 Games)
• C. Tate (OSU): 25+ Rec Yards (10/L14 Games)

Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Championship Prop Bets Analysis

• We dive into the prop bets for the Notre Dame vs. Ohio State championship game. Here’s a quick rundown of some of the key prop bets:
• Riley Leonard is expected to throw over 0.5 passing touchdowns, with a strong historical performance of 100% over the last 5 games and 90% over the last 10.
• Will Howard has a high chance of throwing over 0.5 interceptions, with an 80% success rate over both the last 5 and 10 games.
• Jaden Greathouse is likely to have a reception longer than 14.5 yards, with an 80% and 40% success rate over the last 5 and 10 games respectively. However, he’s also expected to have under 25.5 receiving yards with an 80% and 60% success rate.
• Riley Leonard to attempt under 27.5 passes, with consistent performance at 80% over the last 5 games and 70% over the last 10.
• Aneyas Williams is expected to have under 21.5 receiving yards, with an 80% rate over both time frames.
• Emeka Egbuka: Over 4.5 receptions, with an 80% success rate over the last 5 games but drops to 50% over the last 10.
• Jadarian Price is likely to rush for over 24.5 yards, with an impressive 80% success rate over both periods.
• Jeremiyah Love and TreVeyon Henderson are both favored to score over 0.5 touchdowns, with Love at 80% over the last 5 and 90% over the last 10, and Henderson at 80% over both time frames.

🔪UTA/NOP u229.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

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The Akron Zips continued their impressive season with an 85-78 victory over Toledo in their most recent outing. Despite trailing 42-30 at halftime, Akron stormed back with a dominant second-half performance, outscoring Toledo 55-36 to secure the win. The Zips shot 46.7% from the field, hit 31% of their three-point attempts, and converted 66.7% of their free throws. Nate Johnson led the charge with a stellar performance, posting 28 points and nine rebounds, while Amani Lyles contributed 16 points and five boards to the effort. This victory extended Akron’s winning streak to four games, which also includes decisive wins over Eastern Michigan (105-81) and Central Michigan (87-71). Currently, the Zips sit as one of just three undefeated teams in conference play. Over the course of the season, Akron has averaged 82.3 points per game while allowing 73.6. The team has also demonstrated strength on the boards, averaging 40.6 rebounds per game alongside 17.9 assists. Key contributors like Nate Johnson, averaging 12.7 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game, and Tavari Johnson, with 11.8 points and 4.2 assists, have helped establish Akron’s rhythm on both ends of the floor. As a team, Akron is shooting 44.2% overall, 35.1% from beyond the arc, and 75.2% from the free-throw line. Akron’s ability to defend its home court is well-documented, having won 24 of its last 25 games at James A. Rhodes Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Ohio has struggled in this venue during night games, losing six of their last seven such matchups against non-AP-ranked teams. The Bobcats have also failed to secure the first-half lead in three of their last four games at this arena.

Both teams enter this contest undefeated in conference play, making it a crucial showdown near the top of the MAC standings. Ohio has been efficient offensively, shooting 48.2% from the field and scoring at least 86 points in four of their last five games. While the Bobcats are allowing 73.8 points per game, their potent offense has often been able to compensate. Akron, however, has shown balance on both sides of the ball. Though the Zips are shooting a modest 44.2% from the field, they have eclipsed 85 points in three consecutive games. Defensively, Akron has been slightly more consistent, holding opponents to 71 points or fewer in two of their last four contests.

This game promises to be a tightly contested battle between two high-caliber MAC programs, but the edge goes to Akron, especially with their dominance on the glass and home-court advantage.

🏀Road underdogs of less than 5.5 points who won 5 or more games in a row have gone 13-33 ATS since 2022 when facing teams that averages more points per game than them.

📊Akron are 7-0 ATS as a favorite of >-14.5 vs teams with less than 10 days of rest and who are on a better win streak than them.

📊Ohio are 0-6 ATS as an underdog following a game as a favorite. They lost ALL 9 GAMES by an average of 9.5 points.

🕢6:00 PM EST

📈Akron has won 24 of their last 25 home games.

📈Akron are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.

📉Ohio are 1-8 ATS on the road.

📉Ohio are 0-3 ATS as an underdog.

🎯Nate Johnson OVER 12.5 points

🖥️Score prediction: 82-74 Akron

🤖jaXon AI approved

✅Active on Akron Zips -3.5 (ATS)

The Indiana Hoosiers enter this game at 13-5 overall and 4-3 in conference play, coming off a humbling 94-69 defeat to Illinois. That game saw the Hoosiers fall behind 60-32 by halftime, though they managed a slight edge in the second half, outscoring the Illini 37-34. Shooting woes plagued Indiana, as they managed just 38.5% from the field and a dismal 22.2% from beyond the arc, despite hitting 83.3% of their free throws. Oumar Ballo stood out with a double-double, posting 16 points and 15 rebounds, while Luke Goode added 13 points. Before the Illinois loss, the Hoosiers were similarly outmatched by Iowa, falling 85-60, though they managed a strong win against USC with a final score of 82-69 in the game prior. Over their last seven games, Indiana has picked up five wins, including conference victories against Minnesota, Rutgers, and Penn State. On the season, they’ve averaged 77.5 points per game while allowing 72.3, coupled with 38.6 rebounds and 16.5 assists per contest. Ballo leads the team in production, averaging 14.1 points, 10.1 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game. Malik Reneau, also averaging 14.1 points but listed as questionable for this game, adds 5.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists when healthy. Indiana’s offense shoots 46.7% from the field, 31.4% from three-point range, and 72.6% at the free-throw line.

On the other side, the Ohio State Buckeyes sit at 10-7 with a 2-4 mark in conference play after a narrow 70-68 loss to Wisconsin in their last outing. The Buckeyes were in a deep hole early, trailing 37-20 at the break, but mounted a spirited second-half rally, outscoring Wisconsin 48-33. Ohio State shot 42.4% from the field and just 29.4% from beyond the arc but made up ground with solid free-throw shooting at 86.7%. Bruce Thornton led the charge with 21 points and three assists, while Devin Royal chipped in 12 points and six rebounds. Though they’ve dropped three of their last four games, the Buckeyes showed resilience in those losses, with close defeats to Wisconsin and Oregon (73-71). They also notched a high-scoring 89-88 win against Minnesota and carry earlier wins against Indiana State, Kentucky, and Valparaiso. Ohio State’s offensive profile shows them averaging 80.4 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field, including an impressive 37.4% from three. They allow 71.1 points per game while averaging 35.3 rebounds and 14.1 assists. Thornton leads the team with 17.4 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game, while Royal contributes 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 1.4 assists.

Ohio State has historically performed well at Value City Arena, winning 22 of their last 25 games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Indiana has consistently struggled in this venue, dropping the first half in six of their last seven visits. The Hoosiers come into this matchup reeling from consecutive 25-point losses and have looked disorganized defensively in those outings. The absence of Malik Reneau, who is tied as their leading scorer, compounds Indiana’s issues. On the other hand, Ohio State has shown flashes of promise, particularly in the second halves of their recent games, and their balanced scoring options should give them a significant edge at home.

🏀Home favorites between -3.0 & -7.0 who covered the spread as a road underdog in their previous game facing a conference opponent who lost their previous game at home are 10-1 ATS this season.

📝The Ohio State Buckeyes will receive the Indiana Hoosiers tonight being favored by -6.5 and having covered their +6.5 spread at Wisconsin 3 days ago. The Hoosiers dropped a 94-69 game at home vs Illinois on Tuesday.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Ohio State has won 8 of 9 home games when facing a non-AP ranked school at night.

📉Indiana are 1-4 ATS as underdogs.

📉Indiana are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State.

#️⃣The Buckeyes rank better in all categories except for FT% and offensive rebounds.

🎯Bruce Thornton OVER 17.5 points

🖥️Score prediction: 79-68 Ohio State

🤖jaXon AI approved

⏪The line is moving in Indiana’s favor despite Ohio receiving 78% of the money on the spread.

✅Active on Ohio State Buckeyes -7.5 (ATS)

The Carolina Hurricanes enter this matchup with a 26-16-3 record following a 4-2 loss to Buffalo in their most recent game. Despite falling behind 3-0 early in the third period, Carolina managed to cut the deficit to 3-2 before surrendering a late goal to seal the loss. The Hurricanes outshot Buffalo 37-24, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-for-1 on the power play. Martin Necas and Jaccob Slavin provided the goals, while goaltender Dustin Tokarski made 21 saves on 24 shots. Prior to their loss against Buffalo, the Hurricanes dropped a 3-2 contest to Anaheim but secured a 2-0 victory over Vancouver. They have lost three of their last five games, positioning them third in the Metropolitan Division standings with 55 points. On the season, Carolina has been productive offensively, averaging 3.31 goals per game, while defensively, they have allowed just 2.78 goals per game. Their special teams have been solid, with a power-play success rate of 22.3% and a penalty kill operating at an impressive 85.1%. Necas leads the team with 16 goals, 35 assists, and 104 shots on goal, while Sebastian Aho has added 13 goals, 31 assists, and 121 shots. Between the pipes, Pyotr Kochetkov has posted a 16-9-2 record with a 2.54 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage. Carolina’s recent history suggests a bounce-back performance is likely. The Hurricanes have won five of their last six games following a road loss and have also covered the puck line in four of their last five in similar scenarios. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have struggled in night games against Metropolitan Division opponents, failing to cover the puck line in six of their last seven and losing the first period in five of their last six.

The Golden Knights, though formidable at 11-6-3 on the road, have shown some cracks recently, allowing four or more goals in two of their last four outings. On the flip side, Carolina has been dominant at home with a 17-5-1 record, ranking as one of the NHL’s best home teams. While the Hurricanes have managed just two goals or fewer in three of their last four games, they have been generating chances, as evidenced by a significant shot advantage in recent matchups. In their last two losses, Carolina outshot their opponents 74-44 but struggled to capitalize on opportunities. Head coach Rod Brind’Amour has expressed frustration with the team’s defensive lapses and expects a sharper effort in this contest.

This is a pivotal game for both teams, and while the Golden Knights have been strong this season, their recent road inconsistencies and challenges against winning teams tilt the scales. Carolina’s resilience after losses, combined with their home-ice advantage, makes them a compelling choice in what could be a preview of a Stanley Cup Finals matchup. With Pyotr Kochetkov’s strong home record (10-3-1, 2.31 GAA) and a motivated roster, the Hurricanes are well-positioned to come out on top in this showdown.

🏒Home favorites on a 2+ games losing streak with a winning record below their non-conference opponent are 17-3 SU when the total is 6.0 or above. Those teams are outscoring their opponents by +2.5 goals in this situation.

📝The Carolina Hurricanes will receive the Vegas Golden Knights tonight having lost their last 2 games vs Buffalo and Anaheim.

🕢7:00 PM EST

📈Carolina are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.

📈Carolina are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.

📉Vegas are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against Carolina.

🥅Adin Hill (75) / Pyotr Kochetkov (100)

🎯Martin Necas has recorded 1+ point in 7 of the Hurricanes’ last 8 games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

🖥️Score prediction: 4-2 Carolina Hurricanes

✅Active on Carolina Hurricanes ML

⭐️🏀The Denver Nuggets are 10-0 ATS on the road when they have less than 4 days rest and they’re coming out of a home game in which they’re DPA was above 4 (expected points allowed).
🏀Western conference teams above .500 taking on the Miami Heat while being on the road are 29-8 ATS since 2021.
✅Active on Denver Nuggets -1.0 (ATS) (Not an official play)

⭐️🏀The Boston Celtics are 12-0 ATS in revenge games (playing an opponent they already lost to in the same season). They cover those games by an average of 23.4 points per game.
🏀The Boston Celtics are 17-4 ATS since 2013 coming out of a game on the road and playing an opponent who failed to cover in their previous game. The spread has to be between -15.5 & +2.5 and the total set between 202.0 & 247.0
✅Active on Boston Celtics -14.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)

⭐️🏀The Iowa Hawkeyes are 10-0 ATS following a game in which they allowed 92+ points.
✅Active on Iowa Hawkeyes +6.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)

📈NBA Most Bet Player Props Tonight

Points:

• Jayson Tatum: 25+ Points (-145)
• Anthony Edwards: 25+ Points (-185)
• Jalen Brunson: 25+ Points (-165)

1st Point Scorer:

• Kristaps Porzingis: +400
• Jaylen Brown: +450
• Mark Williams: +450

Rebounds:

• Josh Hart: 10+ Rebounds (-155)
• Bobby Portis: 8+ Rebounds (-105)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 12+ Rebounds (-245)

Threes:

• P.J. Washington: 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+750)
• P.J. Washington: 3+ Three-Pointers Made (+265)
• Anthony Edwards: 4+ Three-Pointers Made (+100)

Assists:

• Tristan da Silva: 2+ Assists (+100)
• Josh Hart: 10+ Assists (+950)
• Zion Williamson: 6+ Assists (+130)

Most Bet Player Props (Overall):

• Giannis Antetokounmpo: Triple-Double (+500)
• Nikola Jokic: Triple-Double (+125)
• Damian Lillard: Points O/U – Over 23.5 (-125)
• Giannis Antetokounmpo: Double-Double (-425)
• Jayson Tatum: Points O/U – Over 25.5 (-115)

💰Today’s Top NBA Player Prop Trends

100% Hit Rate:

• Collin Sexton: 20+ Points (-185)
• Damian Lillard: 20+ Points (-280)
• Dejounte Murray: 15+ Points (-190)
• Harrison Barnes: 10+ Points (-220)
• Kristaps Porzingis: 15+ Points (-240)
• Coby White: 4+ Assists (-235)
• LeBron James: 8+ Assists (-235)
• Nikola Jokic: 8+ Assists (-250)
• Austin Reaves: 2+ 3PM (-285)
• Bam Adebayo: 1+ 3PM (-110)
• Brandon Miller: 3+ 3PM (-280)
• Dejounte Murray: 2+ 3PM (-145)
• Desmond Bane: 2+ 3PM (-250)
• Josh Giddey: 1+ 3PM (-340)
• Tyler Herro: 3+ 3PM (-320)

80% Hit Rate:

• Cameron Johnson: 20+ Points (+100)
• Desmond Bane: 20+ Points (+100)
• Gradey Dick: 10+ Points (-275)
• Ja Morant: 20+ Points (-240)
• Jalen Brunson: 25+ Points (-150)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 25+ Points (-130)
• Miles Bridges: 15+ Points (-350)
• Miles Bridges: 20+ Points (-105)
• Tyler Herro: 20+ Points (-320)
• Jaylen Brown: 4+ Assists (-185)
• Trey Murphy III: 4+ Assists (+155)
• Anthony Edwards: 3+ 3PM (-250)
• Anthony Edwards: 4+ 3PM (+100)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 2+ 3PM (-160)
• Keyonte George: 3+ 3PM (-175)

🏀 NBA Props 100% ALT Line Hit Rates

• Desmond Bane: 15+ Points (13/L13 Games)
• Coby White: 15+ Points (10/L10 Games)
• Taurean Prince: 1+ 3 PTM (9/L9 Games)
• Julius Randle: 6+ Rebounds (9/L9 Games)
• Zach LaVine: 4+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Tyler Herro: 4+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Zion Williamson: 6+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Damian Lillard: 20+ Points (6/L6 Games) and 2+ Made Threes (20/L20 Games)
• Dejounte Murray: 15+ Points (6/L6 Games) and 1+ Made Threes (6/L6 Games)
• Devin Vassell: 4+ Rebounds (6/L6 Games)
• LeBron James: 8+ Assists (6/L6 Games)
• Austin Reaves: 2+ 3PTM (6/L6 Games)
• Trey Murphy III: 15+ Points (17/L17 Games)
• Paolo Banchero: 15+ Points (11/L11 Games)
• Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+ Rebounds (9/L9 Games)
• Nikola Jokic: 8+ Assists (9/L9 Games)
• Josh Hart: 8+ Rebounds (7/L7 Games)
• Jakob Poeltl: 2+ Assists (5/L5 Games)
• Josh Giddey: 1+ Made Threes (6/L6 Games)

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆

The Orlando Magic face the Milwaukee Buck, in what promises to be a tightly contested matchup. With the Magic currently at 23-18 and the Bucks at 21-17, this game presents an opportunity for Orlando to make a statement.

The Magic have been battling injuries to key players like Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, and Moritz Wagner, but the return of Paolo Banchero has been a game-changer. Banchero is putting up 28.4 points per game, anchoring the offense while the defense continues to shine. Orlando is allowing just 103.2 points per game, the best mark in the league, and ranks second in defensive rating (107.1). Their ability to disrupt opponents could be critical against a Bucks squad that averages 112.7 points per game but struggles for consistency.

Milwaukee enters the game after a win over Sacramento but faces a tough turnaround on the second night of a back-to-back. With Khris Middleton out and Giannis Antetokounmpo’s status uncertain, their offensive depth could be tested. The Bucks also haven’t been reliable against the spread, sitting at 17-21-1 on the season, while Orlando has covered in their last four meetings against Milwaukee.

The Magic’s slower pace, ranking last in the league in possessions per game, plays to their strengths, allowing them to control the tempo and limit scoring opportunities. This could frustrate a Bucks team accustomed to faster, high-scoring games. Historically, Orlando has defended power forwards well, ranking fifth in limiting points to the position, which could be key in containing Giannis if he plays.

While Milwaukee has star power, fatigue and injuries make this a tricky spot for them. The Magic’s disciplined defense and recent track record against the Bucks suggest they’ll keep this game close and competitive. With all signs pointing toward another solid defensive effort, Orlando looks well-positioned to cover the spread.

🏀The Milwaukee Bucks are 0-9 ATS vs conference opponents, following a game in which they covered the spread by more than 8 points.

📊Teams who enjoyed a win at home in their last game and now facing the Milwaukee Bucks who also won their last game at home are 20-2-1 ATS since 2020 when their spread is bigger than +3.0

📝The Orlando Magic who won 3 days ago vs the 76ers will now visit the Milwaukee Bucks who also won their last game yesterday night vs Sacramento by 15 points. The Magic are +5.5 underdogs at time of writing.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Magic have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.

📈Orlando are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.

📉Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.

📉Bucks are 3-8 ATS vs teams above .550

📉Milwaukee played twice vs Orlando this season and haven’t covered once. (3 & 6 pts wins)

🖥️Score prediction: 109-106 Orlando Magic

🤖Paolo Banchero OVER 6.5 rebounds

✅Active on Orlando Magic +5.5 (ATS)

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Indiana State has been lighting it up offensively this season, putting up 83.8 points per game, which ranks 24th in the nation. They’re efficient, too, shooting 48.6% from the field. Players like Samage Teel, averaging 17.6 points, and Jaden Daughtry, adding 13.8, are key drivers of their attack. On the other side, Bradley isn’t far behind, scoring 78.9 points per game while shooting an impressive 48.4% overall. Their three-point shooting is a major weapon, hitting 41.4% from deep, the 4th-best mark in the country.

Indiana State’s defense, however, has been a problem. They allow 78.4 points per game, ranking 330th nationally, and give up 44.3% shooting to opponents. In their last four losses, they’ve been shredded for an average of 93.75 points. While Bradley’s defense is better, allowing 67.6 points per game, they’ve struggled at times against faster-paced teams. Indiana State’s up-tempo style (7th in adjusted tempo) could push the pace and create more scoring chances for both sides.

Recent trends point to more offense, too. The total has gone over in 11 of Indiana State’s last 13 games, and they just put up 79 points against Belmont, even in a loss. With both teams capable of filling it up and Indiana State’s defensive issues, a high-scoring game feels likely. At 154.5, the over seems like the play here.

🏀Bradley are 11-0 to the OVER following a game in which they scored less than 70 points and shot for less than 44% from the field. These games are going over the total by an average of +11.0 points per game.

📊Bradley are 8-0-1 to the OVER when they are rested and the total is more than 147.5

📊Indiana State are 9-0 to the OVER when the total is less than 159.5 and they are coming off a game as a favorite. These games are going over the total by an average of +16.5 points per game.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Indiana St. are 9-1 to the OVER on the road.

📈Indiana St. are 8-1 to the OVER on the road vs teams allowing 67 to 72 points per game.

📈Indiana St. are 8-1 to the OVER after 4+ days off.

📈Bradley are 5-1 to the OVER when the line is over 145.0

📈Bradley are 2-0 to the OVER at home vs teams allowing more than 72 points per game.

📈The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley’s last 5 games against Indiana State.

🖥️Score prediction: 88-83 Bradley Braves

🤖Samari Curtis OVER 15.5 points

✅Active on Bradley @ Indiana State OVER 155.0

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Tennessee (15-1) comes into this matchup with momentum after a gritty 74-70 win over Texas, bouncing back from a rare off night against Florida where their offense stalled with just 43 points. Back on their home floor at Thompson-Boling Arena, where they’ve won nine straight, the Volunteers are tough to beat and bring plenty of confidence.

Georgia (14-2) has had a solid season but faces a tough test on the road. While recent wins over Oklahoma and Kentucky show their potential, their road performances tell a different story. They’ve played just two true road games, splitting those with a win over Georgia Tech and a loss at Ole Miss. That inconsistency away from home could be a major hurdle here.

Defensively, Tennessee excels, ranking 13th in effective field goal percentage defense and 7th in three-point defense. They thrive on forcing turnovers, generating them at a 20.4% clip, which could be a key factor against Georgia, a team that has struggled with giveaways, especially in road games. Offensively, Tennessee has shown flashes of vulnerability but still ranks 25th in efficiency. They’re dangerous from beyond the arc but heavily rely on Chaz Lanier, who’s been up and down recently. Meanwhile, Georgia’s offensive struggles on the road stand out, they’re near the bottom in turnover rate and haven’t shot better than 35% from three in any road game this season. In recent meetings, Tennessee has dominated, winning four straight and six of the last eight against Georgia. Their most recent win, an 85-79 victory, highlighted their ability to score effectively against the Bulldogs.

With Tennessee’s elite defense, home-court dominance, and Georgia’s road woes, the Volunteers look well-positioned to control this game. Their defensive pressure and Georgia’s turnover issues suggest Tennessee could cover the -12 spread with room to spare.

🏀The Tennessee Volunteers are 14-5 ATS in 2024 when the total is below 170.0 and they scored 81 or less points in their last game.

📝Tennessee will host the Georgia Bulldogs tonight with a total set at 133.5 having scored only 74 points in their last win vs Texas.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Volunteers are 2-0 ATS when their spread is between -9.5 & -13.5

📈Tennessee are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Wednesday when playing at home.

📉Bulldogs are 0-2 ATS vs teams allowing less than 67 points per game.

🖥️Score prediction: 55-75 Tennessee

✅Active on Tennessee Volunteers -12.0 (ATS)

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⭐️🏀The Memphis Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS following a game in which they recorded 17+ turnovers vs a conference opponent.

• The Spurs have lost each of their last 14 games at Frost Bank Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have won each of their last nine night games at Frost Bank Center.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games following a loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

✅Active on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)

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🔪CHI BULLS -1.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪ORL/MIL o211.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪DUQUESNE +3.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪INST/BRADLEY o154.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪EDM OILERS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors. 🧃

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If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

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The upcoming matchup between the Texans and Chargers has all the ingredients for a low-scoring, defensive battle. Both teams rely heavily on their defenses to dictate the pace of play, and this game projects to be a grind-it-out affair.

The Texans’ offense has struggled to find its rhythm this season. With just two primary weapons for C.J. Stroud—running back Joe Mixon and wide receiver Nico Collins—Houston’s attack has been far from efficient. The offensive line’s ongoing struggles in pass protection have led to a heavy reliance on the running game, which might be their best bet against a Chargers defense that has been weaker against the run. Houston’s shift toward a pass-heavy approach on early downs hasn’t yielded results, especially after losing key playmakers like Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell. Without those two, Collins’ explosiveness has diminished; he’s averaging under 10 yards per reception without them. This plays right into the Chargers’ defensive strategy of preventing big plays by sitting back in coverage. A run-heavy game plan could help Houston control possession and protect Stroud from the relentless pressure he’s faced all season.

The Chargers defense, while solid overall, has shown vulnerabilities against the run. Los Angeles tends to prioritize coverage over stacking the box, which could open the door for Houston’s ground game. However, the Chargers’ elite safety, Derwin James, has the ability to neutralize Collins, limiting Houston’s explosive potential.

Defensively, the Texans are among the best in the league, ranking second in DVOA and excelling against the run. They’ve allowed the third-fewest adjusted line yards and are in the top four for yards allowed per game to opposing running backs. This strength aligns well against a Chargers offense that relies on its ground game and time of possession to control the pace. Even without starting safeties Jimmie Ward and Jalen Pitre, Houston’s defense has shown resilience. The Texans are exceptional against play-action passes, which Justin Herbert frequently employs. Herbert has thrived with play-action, averaging 3.4 more yards per attempt in such situations, but Houston’s defense ranked first in success rate against play-action during the regular season. Additionally, the Texans’ ability to generate pressure without blitzing—boasting a 27.3% non-blitz pressure rate, seventh in the NFL—could disrupt Herbert’s rhythm.

The Chargers’ offense has been conservative throughout the season, focusing on ball control and minimizing mistakes. They led the league with the fewest points allowed per game (17.7) and turned the ball over just nine times all year. While they’ve had occasional high-scoring outings, their identity has leaned toward old-school football: strong defense, methodical drives, and a focus on time of possession.

Between these two teams, the under hit 19-14-1 during the season, and this matchup presents another strong case for a low-scoring game. Both offenses rank in the middle third of the league in scoring, and while they’ve had flashes of production, consistency has been lacking. The Chargers’ last six games have alternated between high and low-scoring affairs, while the Texans’ offense hasn’t surpassed 20 points in five of their last six games.

Houston’s red zone struggles and the Chargers’ disciplined approach further lean toward a defensive stalemate. With both teams fielding top-tier defenses and offenses prone to lengthy, grinding drives, this matchup sets up as a 20-17 type of game. Grab the under around the key number of 43 (I wouldn’t suggest going below), as the value lies in expecting a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.

🏈The Houston Texans are 15-0 to the UNDER when the total is set at less than 56.5 and coming off a game in which they recorded 7+ first downs. Those games have been under the total by an average of 6.0 points.

📊The Los Angeles Chargers are 9–0 to the UNDER in non-divisional road games i which they have less than 8 days of rest. Those games have been under the total by an average of 10.3 points.

📊Home teams facing a team they failed to cover the spread against in a previous meeting are 25-7 (78%) to the UNDER whe coming off a game as an underdog in which they allowed a 2 points conversion.

📝The Texans are coming off a game in which they recorded more than 7 1st downs and they are facing the Chargers who played 6 days ago. The total is currently set at 41.5

🕢4:30 PM EST

📈Texans are 1-7 to the UNDER at home.

📈Texans are 2-5 to the UNDER vs teams that allows less than 21 points per game.

📈The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games played on a Saturday when at home.

📈Chargers are 1-4 to the UNDER vs teams that allows between 21 & 25 points per game.

#️⃣Chargers have the best scoring defense and Texans have the 18th-best offense in the league.

🎯Justin Herbert has 281+ passing yards in 3 straight games.

🎯Joe Mixon has 19+ rushing attempts in 3 straight games vs LAC.

✅Active on Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans UNDER 43.5 (total is set @42.0)
⚠️(I’ll buy a couple points to make it safer – 43.5 might the total I buy)

The Ravens and Steelers have always had a storied rivalry, defined by intense matchups and razor-thin margins. But this game feels different. Baltimore enters with momentum and a fully operational offense, while Pittsburgh’s struggles on offense appear insurmountable. The question isn’t just whether the Steelers can win, but whether they can score enough to keep pace.

Lamar Jackson is in the midst of a season that feels reminiscent of his MVP campaign. His dynamic playmaking ability, paired with a Ravens ground game that has punished defenses with precision and power, makes Baltimore’s offense a formidable challenge. The Steelers, for all their defensive prowess under Mike Tomlin, are facing a daunting task. Baltimore’s pistol motion runs gave Pittsburgh fits in their last meeting, creating mismatches and exploiting gaps. The return of blocking tight end Charlie Kolar adds another layer to an already potent attack, and with third-down back Justice Hill back in the mix, the Ravens are poised to keep the chains moving.

It’s hard not to respect the job Tomlin has done keeping Pittsburgh competitive despite significant offensive limitations. However, those limitations loom large. The Steelers have struggled to generate consistent production, and in a game where Baltimore is likely to dominate field position, it’s difficult to see Pittsburgh sustaining enough drives to stay within striking distance. Even if the Steelers’ defense can limit Baltimore to under 30 points, it might not matter if their own offense can’t eclipse 14.

This matchup also highlights Baltimore’s post-bye dominance. Since their Week 14 bye, the Ravens have rattled off four straight wins, each by a margin of 17 points or more. That stretch includes a decisive victory over these same Steelers. Baltimore’s ability to impose its will on both sides of the ball has been on full display, and there’s little reason to think this game will buck the trend.

While divisional rivalries often produce unexpected results, the current trajectory of both teams suggests a clear edge for Baltimore. Pittsburgh’s defense may be good, but Baltimore’s offense is better, and the Steelers’ offensive struggles are too glaring to ignore. Expect the Ravens to control this game and secure a decisive victory.

🏈The Baltimore Ravens are 13-0-1 ATS at home when facing a team off a loss, coming off a game in which they score 32+ points.

📊Home teams favored by more than a touchdown in an NFL wildcard game, having won more than 8 regular season games are 15-2 ATS since 2002.

📝The Ravens are off to a 35-10 win vs the Browns and they will host the Steelers tonight who have lost their last game to the Bengals.

🕢8:00 PM EST

📈Baltimore are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

📈Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday.

📉Pittsburgh has lost 5 straight playoff games.

#️⃣Lamar Jackson has a 130.1 passer rating since Week 15 – best in NFL / The Steelers have allowed a passer rating of 114.0 since Week 15 – worst in NFL

🎯Lamar Jackson has 207+ passing yards in 6 straight home games.

🎯Lamar Jackson has 54+ rushing yards in 7 straight game as favorite in January.

🎯Derrick Henry has 138+ rushing yards in 3 straight games.

✅Active on Baltimore Ravens -9.0 (ATS)

⭐🏀The Memphis Grizzlies are a perfect 13-0 ATS following a game in which they committed over 18 turnovers.
⭐🏀The Minnesota Timberwolves are 0-12 ATS as home favorites of -7.0 or less. The Timberwolves have lost 8 straight games in a row in this spot.

⭐🏀The Minnesota Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS when rested and playing at home, following a road win.

✅Active on Memphis Grizzlies -2.0 (ATS) (Not an official play)

🔪LAC/HOU under 42.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

If you found value in this post, don’t forget to like and share my page with fellow sports enthusiasts. Let’s continue turning data into dollars, one game at a time.

See you tomorrow with more winning systems 🏆