Pelicans vs. Rockets | March 13, 2025
If you’re hunting for plus-money value on tonight’s slate, our +EV Props finder believes Derik Queen’s rebound prop deserves your attention.
The Pelicans rookie center is listed at over 4.5 rebounds at +115 on Fanatics — and the numbers suggest the book has this line priced well below where it should be. Our model projects Queen at 6.9 rebounds tonight, giving us a +7.3% edge with fair odds sitting around -117.
The Case For Queen
In 25 games without Bryce McGowens, Queen has averaged 7.4 rebounds per game — 6.8 over his last 10. He’s cleared 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games, averaging 5.8 in those opportunities.
This season, Rockets allows the least rebounds to centers. But, with Steven Adams sidelined, the Rockets have been more vulnerable on the glass all season and that number is 12th most rebounds allowed to Centers with no Adams.
The Caveat: Minutes Are the Variable
Queen’s playing time has been inconsistent, and that’s the real risk here. His minute-to-minute role can fluctuate, and a short night kills this prop before it starts. However, when he’s on the floor, the production has been legitimate and tonight’s matchup sets up beautifully if he gets run.
Play: Derik Queen O4.5 Rebounds +115 ✅