📊Active Systems for February 10th

🏀The Washington Wizards are 0-8 ATS vs non-conference opponents following a game vs a conference opponent.

📊Favorites with a spread between -9.5 & -11.5 and the moneyline below -430 are 39-15 ATS when the total is above 224.0

🕢7:00 PM EST

⏪🏀”B+” Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the San Antonio Spurs -11.0
(Spread went from -9.5 to -11.5 despite Wizards +11.5 receiving 89% of public bets and 56% of the money).

✅Active on San Antonio Spurs ATS


🏀The Boston Celtics are 0-22 ATS with totals above 210.5 coming off an ATS win in which they shot above 70% from the free throw line.

📊The Boston Celtics are 1-1-18 ATS after they won and covered in their previous game.

🕢7:30 PM EST

⏪🏀”B-” Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Miami Heat +5.0
(Spread went from +5.5 to +5.0 despite Boston +5.0 receiving 81% of public bets and 64% of the money).
💲Smart Money detected coming in on Miami ATS

✅Active on Miami Heat ATS


🏀The Atlanta Hawks are 0-12 ATS as a road underdog against rested opponents following a road win. In this scenario, they are also 0-12 SU losing by an average of -14.2 points per game.

📊The Orlando Magic are 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 7 points after failing to cover the spread in back-to-back games. In this situation, they are also 7-0 SU winning by an average margin of +19.7 points per game.

🕢7:00 PM EST

✅Active on Orlando Magic ATS


🏀The Golden State Warriors are 11-0 ATS with a spread greater than -18.5 following a double-digit win in which they trailed by more than three points at halftime. In this spot, Golden State is also 11-0 SU winning by an average of +14.5 points per game.

📊The Milwaukee Bucks are 0-11 ATS as an underdog of fewer than 10.5 points when playing on less than seven days’ rest after a home game where they exceeded their expected points by more than 12 points.

🕢8:00 PM EST

✅Active on Golden State Warriors ATS


🏀Houston Christian are 8-0 ATS at home following a game in which they shot for less than 52% from three.

📊Houston Christian are the best ATS team this season at 17-4-1 ATS.

🕢8:00 PM EST

✅Active on Houston Christian Huskies ATS


🏀Houston is 10-0 ATS when the total is greater than 128.5, following a game against a conference opponent where they scored fewer than 70 points and committed fewer than 12 turnovers. In this scenario, Houston is also 10-0 SU winning by an average of +23.3 points per game.

📊Baylor is 0-13 ATS as an underdog against teams averaging less than 51% shooting, coming off a game as a favorite. In this spot, Baylor is also 0-13 SU losing by an average margin of -9.6 points per game.

🕢9:00 PM EST

⚠️Smart Money detected coming in on Baylor ATS

✅Active on Houston Cougars ATS


🏀The Minnesota Timberwolves are 14-0 ATS with rest in non-division regular-season road games when avenging a loss of fewer than eight points.

🏀The Charlotte Hornets are 10-0 ATS without rest when coming off a loss in which they shot better than 39%.

🏀The Denver Nuggets are 9-0 ATS as a home favorite with fewer than two days of rest against teams that scored fewer than 100 points in their previous game, winning by an average of 17.7 points per game.

🏀The Oklahoma City Thunder are 9-0 ATS at home against teams they previously shot better than 48% against and forced more than 13 turnovers.

🏀The Sacramento Kings are 0-8-1 ATS in road games with totals of 230 or higher. The Los Angeles Lakers are 7-0-1 to the over as a double-digit favorite against conference opponents.

🏀The Milwaukee Bucks are 7-0 to the OVER following a win as an underdog.


🏀Baylor is 0-13 ATS as an underdog against teams that average less than 51% shooting after playing a game as a favorite.

🏀Alcorn State is 11-0 ATS against teams allowing more than 43% shooting when playing on fewer than four days of rest.

🏀Howard is 11-0 to the OVER in games with totals greater than 143.5.

🏀Campbell is 10-0 to the UNDER at home when the spread is less than 4.5.

🏀North Carolina is 0-10 ATS as an underdog on fewer than seven days of rest after shooting better than 46% as a favorite in their previous game.

🏀Nevada is 10-0 ATS following a game in which they recorded fewer than nine turnovers and shot better than 45% from the field.

🏀Florida A&M is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games.

🏀Nicholls State is 8-0 ATS as a favorite when the total is below 142.5.


🔪SAC KINGS -1 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪MIN/CLE o230.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪CLEMSON -4.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.

🔪BETH./TXSO o142.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.


⏪🏀”A-” Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the OKC Thunder -17.0
(Spread went from -14.0 to -17.0 despite Pelicans +17.0 receiving 72% of public bets and 46% of the money).

⏪🏀”B” Grade Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Sacramento Kings ML
(Moneyline went from +106 to -105 despite Mavericks ML receiving 79% of public bets and 64% of the money).


IN SHORT⬇️

🏀 Miami Heat +5.0

  • System: Boston is 0-22 ATS with totals above 210.5 after an ATS win with 70%+ FT shooting.
  • RLM: “B-” Grade RLM favoring Miami, despite public bets heavily on Boston.
  • Smart Money: Detected on Miami.
  • Pick: Miami Heat +5.0

🏀 San Antonio Spurs -11.0

  • System: Favorites between -9.5 & -11.5 with ML below -430 are 39-15 ATS when the total is above 224.
  • RLM: “B+” Grade RLM favoring Spurs despite public bets on Wizards.
  • Pick: San Antonio Spurs -11.0

🏀 Orlando Magic -6.5

  • System: Orlando is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite <7 points after failing to cover twice.
  • System: Hawks are 0-12 ATS as a road underdog against rested teams after a road win.
  • Pick: Orlando Magic -6.5

🏀 Golden State Warriors –7.0

  • System: GSW is 11-0 ATS after a double-digit win where they trailed at halftime.
  • System: Bucks are 0-11 ATS in this scenario.
  • Pick: Golden State Warriors -7.0

🏀 Houston Christian -4.5

  • System: Houston Christian is 8-0 ATS at home after shooting <52% from three.
  • System: Best ATS team this season (17-4-1 ATS).
  • Pick: Houston Christian -4.5

🏀 Houston Cougars -7.5

  • System: Houston is 10-0 ATS in this spot, winning by +23.3 PPG.
  • System: Baylor is 0-13 ATS as an underdog in this scenario, losing by -9.6 PPG.
  • Pick: Houston Cougars -7.5

🏀Oklahoma City Thunder -17.0

  • RLM: “A-” Grade RLM favoring OKC, line moved from -14.0 to -17.0 despite public bets on Pelicans.
  • System: OKC is 9-0 ATS at home against teams they previously shot >48% against.
  • Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -17.0

🏀 Sacramento Kings ML

  • RLM: “B” Grade RLM favoring Kings ML, moving from +106 to -105 despite public bets on Mavs.
  • Sharp Action: Kings ML receiving the most respected bets.
  • System: Kings are 0-8-1 ATS in road games with totals of 230+, but the market suggests value in their ML.
  • Pick: Sacramento Kings ML

🏀 Minnesota/Cleveland Over 230.5

  • Sharp Action: Over receiving the most respected bets.
  • Pick: MIN/CLE Over 230.5
  • Signal: Positive signal on the OVER

Thanks for reading today’s insights!

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