The Portland Trail Blazers, sitting at 16-28 and 13th in the Western Conference, are set to take on the Charlotte Hornets, who hold an 11-29 record and rank 13th in the East. This game will mark the first meeting of the season between these two teams. The Trail Blazers are riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak, most recently dismantling the Orlando Magic on the road with a commanding 101-79 victory. Anfernee Simons led the charge in that game, contributing 21 points and three assists. Meanwhile, the Hornets are coming off a 132-120 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, where defensive lapses were evident as Memphis shot an impressive 50% from the field and 44.7% from three-point range.
Offensively, Portland has struggled, ranking 26th in the league with an average of 107.9 points per game. Despite these numbers, the team has managed to maintain some efficiency, shooting 44.9% from the field and 33.8% from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they convert at a respectable 76.7% and average 43.3 rebounds per game. Simons has been the team’s cornerstone on offense, averaging 18.2 points per game and stepping up as a leader for this developing roster. On the defensive end, Portland’s performance has been underwhelming, allowing 115.6 points per game while opponents shoot 47.5% from the floor and 37.5% from three. Despite their defensive struggles, the team’s recent form has been promising, limiting opponents to just 96 points per game over their last three outings—a significant improvement fueled by young players adapting and improving as the season progresses.
Charlotte’s season has been equally challenging. Their offense averages 107.4 points per game while shooting 43.1% from the field, 34.4% from deep, and 77.4% from the free-throw line. The team has leaned heavily on LaMelo Ball for scoring and playmaking, but offensive inconsistency has been a recurring issue. On the defensive side, Charlotte concedes 113.0 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.6% overall and 35.2% from three-point range. Recent struggles have highlighted vulnerabilities, with the Hornets surrendering an average of 118.4 points over their last five games.
Statistically, the two teams are closely matched, with Portland holding the 27th spot in net rating at -7.5, while Charlotte ranks 24th at -5.4. However, the recent trends in defensive performance suggest a significant gap. The Trail Blazers’ defensive resurgence has been a key factor in their three-game winning streak, while Charlotte continues to struggle on that end of the floor.
Injuries could also play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Hornets are dealing with several setbacks, including the absence of Brandon Miller and the uncertain status of key players like LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges. If Ball and Bridges are unable to suit up, it could severely impact Charlotte’s offensive capabilities, potentially shifting the balance of the game.
Recent history between the two teams also favors Portland, as they’ve won four of their last five matchups against Charlotte and have consistently performed well against the spread in these encounters. While the Hornets will benefit from their home-court advantage, their inconsistency, coupled with Portland’s recent surge in form, creates an intriguing dynamic.
The Blazers come into this game as 5-point underdogs, but their ability to cover the spread in their last six road games, combined with their renewed defensive tenacity, suggests they are well-positioned to keep this contest competitive. Their recent victory over Orlando, marked by a stellar defensive effort that held the Magic to 34.2% shooting, underscores their potential to rise to the occasion.
🏀The Portland Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS on the road vs Eastern Conference opponents when they went UNDER the total in their previous meeting and the spread is less than +12.0
❔This trend suggests that the Blazers tend to perform well on the road in these situations. Their ability to bounce back after low-scoring games (UNDER results) indicates strong defensive adjustments, especially when facing Eastern Conference teams. The spread being under +12.0 shows they aren’t heavily favored, meaning they have value as a strong underdog.
📊Away underdogs are 82-47-2 ATS (64%) since 2020 when their opponent si from the Eastern Conference, their previous game was on the road and went over the expected total and they allow more points per game than the league average.
❔Teams that have allowed more points than usual tend to adjust defensively after a high-scoring affair, making them more resilient in subsequent games, particularly when they’re underdogs. The OVER result in their previous game suggests they were involved in a fast-paced, high-scoring environment, and these teams often perform better when they go on the road in these types of situations.
🕢7:00 PM EST
📈Blazers are 5-2 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.
📈Portland has won 3 straight games as the underdog.
📈Portland has covered the spread in 6 straight road games.
📈Portland are 4-0 ATS (3-1 SU) in their last 4 games with no rest (B2B).
📉Hornets are 0-5 ATS as favorites.
📉Hornets are 0-4 ATS when their spread is between -3.5 & -6.5
🩹Grant Williams is OUT – Seth Curry, Cody Martin, Miles Bridges & LaMelo Ball are all QUESTIONABLE for Charlotte in tonight’s game.
🎯Jerami Grant has 15+ points in 5 straight games vs Charlotte.
🖥️Score prediction: 102-106 Charlotte Hornets
🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Blazers are currently 5-point underdogs. They are on a three-game winning streak, recently defeating the Orlando Magic 101-79, showcasing a strong defensive performance by holding the Magic to just 34.2% shooting. Anfernee Simons has been a key player, averaging 18.3 points per game, and he scored 21 points in their last game. Given their recent form and the fact that they have covered the spread in their last six road games, I believe they can keep this game close and potentially cover the spread.
✅Active on Portland Trailblazers +5.5 (ATS)
The Purdue Boilermakers are navigating a strong season with a 15-5 record, positioning themselves in third place within the Big Ten. Despite a narrow 70-73 loss to Ohio State in their most recent outing, Purdue has showcased resilience throughout the year. With an 11-9 record against the spread and a 10-9-1 mark in totals, they’ve been relatively consistent for bettors. Their dominance at Mackey Arena is a significant factor, boasting a stellar 9-1 home record. On the offensive end, Purdue averages 76.9 points per game, ranking 126th nationally. They excel in efficiency, shooting 49% from the field (22nd) and 38.4% from beyond the arc (23rd). Defensively, the Boilermakers allow 67.7 points per game, placing them 75th in the nation, and their ability to limit opponents has been a cornerstone of their success. Though their free-throw shooting sits at a respectable 72.4% (158th), rebounding remains an area of concern, as their 33 boards per game rank 313th. Trey Kaufmann-Renn has emerged as the team’s leading scorer, averaging 18.3 points and a team-high 6.5 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Braden Smith complements him well, contributing 15 points and a team-best 8.9 assists per game. Their offensive leadership has been crucial to Purdue’s success.
Michigan, the 21st-ranked team in the nation, enters this matchup with a 14-4 record and plenty of momentum. The Wolverines have won four of their last five games, including a gritty overtime victory against Northwestern. Michigan has been potent offensively, averaging 84.6 points on 50.6% shooting from the field, while their defense allows 69.4 points per game. Vladislav Goldin leads the team with 16.4 points per game, supported by Tre Donaldson, who adds 12.6 points and 4.3 assists. Danny Wolf’s presence in the paint, averaging 12.5 points and 10.2 rebounds, gives Michigan an edge on the boards.
In their last outing, Purdue shot 48.1% from the floor to post 70 points against Ohio State, but defensive lapses proved costly. The Boilermakers allowed 73 points on 53.3% shooting and conceded 11 three-pointers, ultimately losing the rebounding battle and turning the ball over 10 times. Kaufmann-Renn shined despite the loss, scoring 26 points on 16 shots.
This matchup between two top-25 teams promises to be a competitive affair, but Purdue’s strengths on both ends of the court provide a clear path to victory. Their defensive prowess and home-court advantage should allow them to dictate the pace and control the game. While Michigan’s offense has been impressive, Purdue’s ability to execute at both ends will likely prove decisive in this contest. Expect the Boilermakers to rise to the occasion and capitalize on their advantages to secure the win.
🏀The Purdue Boilermakers are 10-0 ATS as a rested favorite vs teams who scored 80+ points in their last game. Purdue has won ALL 10 GAMES by an average of +20.9 points per game.
❔This trend highlights that Purdue excels in these specific situations. Being a rested favorite means they have extra preparation time, and they capitalize against high-scoring opponents, likely due to their defensive adjustments and strong overall efficiency. If you see this setup, it suggests Purdue is not just likely to win but to dominate.
📊The Michigan Wolverines are 0-11 ATS as an underdog following a game in which they shot less than 49% and when the total is below 159.0 facing teams that allow less than 45% shooting. Michigan lost ALL 11 GAMES by an average of +18.2 points per game.
❔Michigan struggles as an underdog against strong defensive teams, especially when they’re coming off a cold shooting performance. This indicates that their offense can’t overcome high-level defenses when they’re already out of rhythm. Fade Michigan as an underdog in this situation, especially when facing elite defensive teams and lower-scoring game environments.
📊The Michigan Wolverines are 1-5 SU in their last 5 games coming off a game that ended in overtime.
❔Playing overtime games takes a toll on teams, both physically and mentally, and Michigan hasn’t recovered well from those situations. This record shows they’re more prone to a letdown after high-effort games.
📊Purdue are 24-0 SU following a game in which they allowed over 45.5% shooting.
🕢8:00 PM EST
📈Purdue are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
📈Purdue are 5-1 ATS when their spread is between -2.5 & -6.5
📈Purdue has won 26 of their last 27 home games.
📉Michigan are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Purdue.
🧑🏼🤝🧑🏼Public: 65%
💰Money: 74%
🖥️Score prediction: 78-71 Purdue Boilermakers
🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
Purdue is currently favored by 4.5 points. They have a solid home record of 9-1 and are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to Ohio State. The Boilermakers have been strong in Big Ten play, going 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games. Their defense has improved significantly, allowing just 61.3 points per game since January, which should help them contain Michigan’s offense.
✅Active on Purdue Boilermakers -4.0 (ATS)
The New York Islanders find themselves in a favorable position as they prepare to host the Philadelphia Flyers on Friday. Philadelphia is coming off a back-to-back stretch, having faced the New York Rangers on the road Thursday night. The demanding schedule hasn’t been kind to the Flyers, who have struggled in such scenarios, losing nine of their last ten night games on the second leg of a back-to-back. Fatigue and inconsistency often plague teams in these situations, and Philadelphia’s track record underscores that challenge.
While the Flyers have been competitive recently, winning five of their last six games, their performance in similar circumstances tells a different story. They’ve failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last ten games on the back end of consecutive nights, a concerning trend for a team trying to keep pace in the Metropolitan Division. Travis Konecny continues to lead the way offensively with 21 goals and 33 assists, but Philadelphia’s weaknesses in special teams, ranked 29th on the power play and 19th on the penalty kill, leave them vulnerable, particularly when fatigue sets in.
The Islanders, on the other hand, enter Friday’s matchup riding a wave of momentum. Following a solid 3-1 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets on Monday, they’ve had ample rest to prepare. Rested teams have a significant advantage late in the season, and New York has made the most of such opportunities, winning six of their last seven night games against the Flyers when coming off a home victory. Additionally, the Islanders have been dominant on Fridays, covering the puck line in seven of their last eight games on this day of the week. New York’s defense and goaltending provide another edge. Ilya Sorokin has shown flashes of brilliance, posting a .902 save percentage and a 2.81 goals-against average, helping the Islanders remain competitive even when their offense struggles. Bo Horvat has been a crucial contributor, recently notching two goals in the win over Columbus, while Anders Lee leads the team with 20 goals on the season. Although the Islanders sit last in the Metropolitan Division, they remain within striking distance of the second wild-card spot, just seven points off the pace.
The Islanders have also excelled in the early stages of home games, winning the first period in each of their last three matchups against the Flyers following a home win. This tendency to start strong, combined with Philadelphia’s struggles in back-to-back situations, tilts the scales in New York’s favor.
🏒Rested home favorites facing a same division team on a back-to-back are 26-1 SU since 2023. This system is on a HOT 17 wins streak.
📊The Philadelphia Flyers are 7-33 SU playing on no rest as away underdogs since 2021.
🕢7:30 PM EST
📉Flyers are 4-12 SU when their line is between +115 & +145.
📉Flyers are 1-7 SU in the 2nd game of a back-to-back this season.
🥅Ivan Fedotov (37) / Ilya Sorokin (62)
🎯Bo Horvat has a point in 5 straight divisional games as favorite.
🖥️Score prediction: 4-2 New York Islanders
🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Islanders are currently favored at around -155 on the moneyline. They have been performing well lately, winning five of their last seven games, and they are coming off a victory against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Flyers, on the other hand, just suffered a heavy loss to the New York Rangers, which could impact their morale. Given the Islanders’ home advantage and their recent form, I believe they are likely to secure the win.
✅Active on New York Islanders ML
🏀The Cleveland Cavaliers are 11-3 ATS with 8 straight ATS win in a row (13-1 SU) as 3.0+ points road favorites this season. Cleveland outscored their opponents 125.1-112.8 in this spot with 9 of those games being won by more than +10.0 points per game.
🏀The Philadelphia 76ers are 1-9 ATS this season when playing with rest advantage and 0-4 ATS (0-4 SU) as an underdog in this spot. Philadelphia has lost the underdog games by an average of -13.5 points per game.
📊The 76ers are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
📊The 76ers are 0-5 ATS this season as home underdog with a total above 219.0
🩹Joel Embiid – Kyle Lowry – Andre Drummond – Caleb Martin – Kenyon Martin Jr. are all ruled OUT for Philadelphia in tonight’s game.
✅Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 (ATS)
🐶🏒Home underdogs of at least +100 on a 1+ day rest are 11-2 SU this season when they face an Atlantic Division opponent and the total is set at exactly 6.5
📊Blackhawks are 4-2 SU when their line is between +180 & +210 this season.
•5-3 win vs Vegas
•3-1 win vs Colorado
•4-3 loss vs Minnesota
•3-2 loss vs Minnesota
•6-2 win vs Dallas
•3-1 win vs Florida
✅Chicago Blackhawks ML (+195) or +1.5 (PL) if you want a safer option
🏒New York Islanders are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games vs Philadelphia Flyers at home.
🏒New York Islanders have gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 games.
🏒6 of the last 7 meetings between the Dallas Stars & the Vegas Golden Knights have gone UNDER the total.
🏒 Tampa Bay Lightning are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games vs Chicago Blackhawks and 5-0 SU in the last 5 games that took place in Chicago.
⭐️🏒The Chicago Blackhawks have gone over 1.5 goals in the 1st period in 10 straight games.
⭐️🏒Winnipeg Jets are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games vs Utah HC and 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.
⭐️🏀Villanova are 0-7 SU & ATS in their last 7 games against Marquette.
🏀Toledo are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Bowling Green.
🏀Saint Joseph’s are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against Dayton.
🏀Michigan are 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games against Purdue.
🏀Penn State are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Iowa.
🏀St. Bonaventure are 6-1 SU & ATS in their last 7 games against VCU.
🏀UCLA are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against Washington.
🔪PHI 76ers +10.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪PHI/CLE u228.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪LIU +1.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪MIL/NKU o140.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪OTT SENATORS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪Ott/TOR u6.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
⏪🏒Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Vegas Golden Knights (Moneyline went from +136 to +122 despite Dallas receiving 68% of public bets and 55% of the money).
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