The Money Baller team would like to introduce Giulio Lavini as a contributor to the team! Giulio has been engaging with us and providing awesome stats and insights and wanted to share that with the rest of you. Here’s a little bit about him:
My name is Giulio—a technical handicapper who leverages data, trends, and numbers to make informed betting decisions. I use SDQL to dive deep into analytics, but I also actively watch and follow the sports I bet on, including staying up-to-date with player and team news. By combining statistical insights with real-time information, I aim to stay ahead of the game.
Click here for the Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page
Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos
Date: September 15, 2024
Time: 4:25 PM ET
We have a notably low total for this game, and for good reason.
Trends (since 2018 unless noted):
• Low Totals Favor the Under: When the total is set at 36.5 or less, the under has hit in 30 out of 40 games (30-9-1 record).
• Home Underdogs in Specific Situations: The under is 22-6-1 when the home underdog is receiving 2.5 points or fewer, coming off a road loss, and the total is less than 43.
• Non-Divisional Games with Low Totals: In non-divisional games where the total is 36.5 or less and the home team is getting 2.5 points or fewer, the under has a 12-5 record.
• Steelers’ Recent Trends: Pittsburgh is 12-4 to the under as a road favorite (6-1-1 to the under after covering their previous game).
• Broncos as Home Underdogs: Denver is 14-8 to the under when playing as a home underdog. Given these strong defensive trends and the historical data supporting low-scoring outcomes in similar situations, the under appears to be the favorable play for this matchup.
• One Baller System active on the UNDER: For Baller Access members, you can see this active on the Steelers vs. Broncos Matchup Page.
Pick: Under 36.5