Hello Ballers – welcome to today’s top MLB Betting Trends! Another 1-0 yesterday – the model and ratings have been good to us this week! For the other trends we shared, WNBA went 1-0 and NFL went 1-1 (what a game!).
Our NFL Week 1 Newsletter, NFL Team Previews, and Matchup Pages are now live!
I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:
Featured MLB Betting Trends:
- Athletics: 0-6 ML and F5 ML as home underdogs when Mitch Spence starts.
- Tigers: 16-5-5 F5 ML when Tarik Skubal starts.
- We like Skubal and the Tigers to take care of business in the F5 innings – Tigers F5 RL -0.5 (-125, BetMGM).
- We like Skubal and the Tigers to take care of business in the F5 innings – Tigers F5 RL -0.5 (-125, BetMGM).
- Orioles: 30-14-5 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
- Orioles: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘5’.
- Orioles F5 ML (-135, DraftKings) is the play we like here.
Other Notes for Today’s Non-MLB:
- WNBA: The Dallas Wings have all sorts of situational angles and Baller Systems favoring them tonight.
- The Wings are much better in the 1H (15-17-1 1H ATS vs. 10-22-1 ATS full game) while the Dream are the opposite (12-18-3 1H ATS vs. 17-15-1 ATS full game). With these splits in mind, we like the Wings 1H +1.5.
- WNBA: The Connecticut Sun also have a few favorable spots tonight. Their splits also point to a 1H play. Sun are 14-19 ATS full game, while 16-17 1H ATS. On the other hand, Aces are only 11-20-2 1H ATS. We are targeting Sun 1H +1.
Check out our Matchup Pages with ALL MLB Betting Trends
Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
- Yankees: 15-5-4 F5 ML when Luis Gil starts.
Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers
- Brewers: 25-11 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
- Baller System active to fade Rockies: Fade team on the road, traveling from Eastern time zone to any other time zone.
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
- In L30 days, Pirates: 19-9 YRFI.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
- Orioles: 30-14-5 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
- Orioles: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘5’.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
- Marlins: 26-6-2 O/U as home underdogs vs. RHP.
Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets
- Mets: 19-8 ML when Sean Manaea starts.
- Reds: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
- White Sox: 11-42 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
- Red Sox: 14-33 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.
- Red Sox: 23-10-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves
- No interesting trends to note.
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers
- Rangers: 11-25 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
- Rangers: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
- Astros: 6-16-2 O/U when Framber Valdez starts.
- Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
- Royals: 21-6-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
- Royals: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’.
Seattle Mariners @ St. Louis Cardinals
- Mariners: 6-15-1 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics
- Athletics: 0-6 ML and F5 ML as home underdogs when Mitch Spence starts.
- Tigers: 16-5-5 F5 ML when Tarik Skubal starts.
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
- Padres: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘7’.
Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers
- Dodgers: 33-13 ML vs. LHP.
Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game bet)