Tigers @ Rangers [ Rangers -120 / 8.5 ]

Tigers | 59-39 (60.2%) Keider Montero (R) | 4-1 | WHIP: 1.37 | ERA: 4.02
Rangers | 49-49 (50%) Kumar Rocker (R) | 3-4 | WHIP: 1.50 | ERA: 6.39

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Tigers
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
Rangers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
Tigers Situational Notes

Rangers Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Tigers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20TEX [ 0 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)DET -
TEX -		-DET [ 0 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
7/19TEX [ 0 ]Kumar Rocker (R)DET +102
TEX -120		8.5DET [ 0 ]Keider Montero (R)
7/18TEX [ 2 ]Patrick Corbin (L)DET -104
TEX -112		8.5DET [ 0 ]Reese Olson (R)
7/13DET [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)DET -
SEA -104		-SEA [ 8 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
7/12DET [ 7 ]Casey Mize (R)DET -
SEA -110		-SEA [ 15 ]George Kirby (R)
7/11DET [ 3 ]Tarik Skubal (L)DET -230
SEA +235		7SEA [ 12 ]Luis Castillo (R)
7/9DET [ 3 ]Reese Olson (R)DET -146
TBR +128		8TBR [ 7 ]Zack Littell (R)
7/8DET [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)DET -130
TBR +108		8TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
7/7DET [ 5 ]Keider Montero (R)DET +102
TBR -108		8.5TBR [ 1 ]Shane Baz (R)
7/6CLE [ 2 ]Gavin Williams (R)DET -220
CLE +184		7.5DET [ 7 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
Rangers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20TEX [ 0 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)TEX -
DET -		-DET [ 0 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
7/19TEX [ 0 ]Kumar Rocker (R)TEX -120
DET +102		8.5DET [ 0 ]Keider Montero (R)
7/18TEX [ 2 ]Patrick Corbin (L)TEX -112
DET -104		8.5DET [ 0 ]Reese Olson (R)
7/13HOU [ 1 ]Hunter Brown (R)TEX -
HOU -136		-TEX [ 5 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)
7/12HOU [ 5 ]Framber Valdez (L)TEX -100
HOU -118		6.5TEX [ 4 ]Jacob deGrom (R)
7/11HOU [ 3 ]Lance McCullers (R)TEX +106
HOU -124		8.5TEX [ 7 ]Jack Leiter (R)
7/10LAA [ 4 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)TEX -104
LAA -112		10TEX [ 11 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
7/9LAA [ 11 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)TEX -112
LAA -104		9.5TEX [ 8 ]Kumar Rocker (R)
7/8LAA [ 1 ]Jose Soriano (R)TEX -116
LAA -110		8.5TEX [ 13 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)
7/7LAA [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TEX -138
LAA +114		7.5TEX [ 5 ]Jacob deGrom (R)

Keider Montero Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/7DET [ 5 ]TBR [ 1 ]1028.50000000Shane Baz (R)
6/1KCR [ 0 ]DET [ 1 ]1408.54.67217000Kris Bubic (L)
5/26DET [ 3 ]SFG [ 1 ]-1108.55321000Hayden Birdsong (R)
5/8COL [ 1 ]DET [ 11 ]-200118235011Tanner Gordon (L)
4/26DET [ 6 ]BAL [ 2 ]-1128.54.33224011Keegan Akin (R)
4.41.81.63.400.40.4
Kumar Rocker Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/9LAA [ 11 ]TEX [ 8 ]-1129.54.33216366Kyle Hendricks (R)
7/4SDP [ 3 ]TEX [ 2 ]-1108.55.33424122Randy Vasquez (R)
6/28TEX [ 3 ]SEA [ 2 ]1047.56614122Bryan Woo (R)
6/21PIT [ 2 ]TEX [ 3 ]-1088.55.33435022Mitch Keller (R)
6/15TEX [ 2 ]CHW [ 1 ]-16285614000Aaron Civale (R)
5.24.41.64.612.42.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Keider Montero F54-2-0 (66.7%)2-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Keider Montero4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)
Kumar Rocker F54-5-2 (44.4%)2-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-1 (100%)0-3-1 (0%)
Kumar Rocker5-6 (45.5%)2-0 (100%)0-3 (0%)2-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Keider Montero F52-3-0 (40%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Keider Montero2-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)
Kumar Rocker F56-5-0 (54.5%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)3-1-0 (75%)
Kumar Rocker4-7-0 (36.4%)0-2-0 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F536-27-9 (57.1%)17-9-4 (65.4%)7-7-3 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)8-8-1 (50%)
Tigers vs. RHP41-31 (56.9%)19-11 (63.3%)10-7 (58.8%)3-3 (50%)7-10 (41.2%)
Rangers vs. RHP F542-24-12 (63.6%)13-6-6 (68.4%)10-5-0 (66.7%)4-4-4 (50%)15-9-2 (62.5%)
Rangers vs. RHP45-33 (57.7%)19-6 (76%)7-8 (46.7%)5-7 (41.7%)14-12 (53.8%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F535-33-3 (51.5%)16-10-3 (61.5%)8-9-0 (47.1%)3-3-0 (50%)8-9-0 (47.1%)
Tigers vs. RHP41-29-2 (58.6%)14-14-2 (50%)11-6-0 (64.7%)3-3-0 (50%)12-5-0 (70.6%)
Rangers vs. RHP F534-40-1 (45.9%)8-15-0 (34.8%)9-5-0 (64.3%)2-9-1 (18.2%)15-11-0 (57.7%)
Rangers vs. RHP30-47-1 (39%)7-18-0 (28%)7-8-0 (46.7%)3-9-0 (25%)13-12-1 (52%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Keider Montero4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)
Tigers48-49 (49.5%)20-19 (51.3%)12-14 (46.2%)6-4 (60%)10-12 (45.5%)
Kumar Rocker5-6 (45.5%)1-1 (50%)0-3 (0%)2-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)
Rangers56-45 (55.4%)16-14 (53.3%)6-11 (35.3%)11-7 (61.1%)23-13 (63.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Keider Montero2-4 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)
Tigers46-53 (46.5%)16-23 (41%)12-14 (46.2%)6-4 (60%)12-10 (54.5%)
Kumar Rocker6-5 (54.5%)1-1 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)3-1 (75%)
Rangers44-58 (43.1%)12-18 (40%)10-7 (58.8%)6-12 (33.3%)16-20 (44.4%)


Batting Matchup
TigersRangers
98TG98
4.9R/G4
124HR103
0.251AVG0.232
42SB92
9CS21
TigersRangers
0.171ISO0.143
0.3BABIP0.274
0.323OBP0.3
0.422SLG0.375
0.325wOBA0.296
109wRC+89
TigersRangers
8.7BB%8
23.1K%22.2
0.37BB/K0.36
10Barrel%8.7
40.2HardHit%41.2
16.6WAR9.3

Pitching Matchup
Keider MonteroKumar Rocker
13G11
7GS11
65IP49.1
5IP/G4.5
4W3
1L4
82.2LOB%64.2
Keider MonteroKumar Rocker
6.23K/97.84
3.05BB/92.74
8.3K/BB%12.6
44.9GB%46.9
37.1FB%32.5
1.66HR/91.64
15.8HR/FB%17.3
Keider MonteroKumar Rocker
0.282BABIP0.329
4.02ERA6.39
4.37xERA5.98
5.21FIP4.87
4.55xFIP4.06
1.37WHIP1.5
4.55SIERA4.11
-0.3WAR0.2

Bullpen Matchup
TigersRangers
3.12BPU/G3.11
3.8IP/G3.6
23W13
14L23
27SV26
12BS17
69.3LOB%72.2
TigersRangers
7.55K/97.99
3.12BB/93.13
11.5K/BB%13
47.1GB%42.3
33.9FB%38.6
1.07HR/90.83
11.7HR/FB%8.3
TigersRangers
0.286BABIP0.28
4.15ERA3.34
4.16FIP3.64
4.12xFIP4.09
1.3WHIP1.23
3.89SIERA3.82
0.5WAR3.5