White Sox @ Pirates [ Pirates -138 / 8 ]

White Sox | 32-65 (33%) Adrian Houser (R) | 5-2 | WHIP: 1.13 | ERA: 1.56
Pirates | 39-58 (40.2%) Mike Burrows (R) | 1-3 | WHIP: 1.46 | ERA: 4.83

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

White Sox
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-1
Est. fair odds: +111 to +124
Implied win prob: 44.64% to 47.39%
Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:1
Est. fair odds: -111 to -124
Implied win prob: 52.61% to 55.36%
White Sox Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes

White Sox Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20PIT [ 0 ]Andrew Heaney (L)CHW -
PIT -		-CHW [ 0 ]Aaron Civale (R)
7/19PIT [ 0 ]Mike Burrows (R)CHW +118
PIT -138		8CHW [ 0 ]Adrian Houser (R)
7/18PIT [ 1 ]Bailey Falter (L)CHW +138
PIT -158		8.5CHW [ 10 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)
7/13CHW [ 5 ]Aaron Civale (R)CHW -
CLE -142		-CLE [ 6 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
7/12CHW [ 2 ]Sean Burke (R)CHW +114
CLE -134		8.5CLE [ 6 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
7/11CHW [ 2 ]Shane Smith (R)CHW -104
CLE -112		8.5CLE [ 4 ]Logan Allen (R)
7/11CHW [ 5 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)CHW +118
CLE -138		8CLE [ 4 ]Gavin Williams (L)
7/11CHW [ 0 ]Shane Smith (R)CHW +122
CLE -144		8.5CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)
7/10CHW [ 0 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)CHW -
CLE -120		-CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)
7/9CHW [ 2 ]Adrian Houser (R)CHW +120
TOR -142		8TOR [ 1 ]Eric Lauer (L)
Pirates Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20PIT [ 0 ]Andrew Heaney (L)PIT -
CHW -		-CHW [ 0 ]Aaron Civale (R)
7/19PIT [ 0 ]Mike Burrows (R)PIT -138
CHW +118		8CHW [ 0 ]Adrian Houser (R)
7/18PIT [ 1 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT -164
CHW +134		8.5CHW [ 10 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)
7/13MIN [ 1 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)PIT -
MIN -162		-PIT [ 2 ]Mitch Keller (R)
7/12MIN [ 12 ]Cole Sands (R)PIT +116
MIN -136		9.5PIT [ 4 ]Mike Burrows (R)
7/11MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)PIT +122
MIN -144		7PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)
7/9KCR [ 4 ]Kris Bubic (L)PIT +164
KCR -196		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Bailey Falter (L)
7/8KCR [ 4 ]Seth Lugo (R)PIT +116
KCR -138		8PIT [ 3 ]Mitch Keller (R)
7/7KCR [ 9 ]Noah Cameron (L)PIT +126
KCR -152		9PIT [ 3 ]Andrew Heaney (L)
7/6SEA [ 1 ]George Kirby (R)PIT -102
SEA -116		6.5PIT [ 0 ]Paul Skenes (R)

Adrian Houser Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/9CHW [ 2 ]TOR [ 1 ]12087227011Eric Lauer (L)
7/4COL [ 2 ]CHW [ 3 ]-120118624002Antonio Senzatela (R)
6/28CHW [ 1 ]SFG [ 0 ]1407.57514000Robbie Ray (L)
6/22TOR [ 2 ]CHW [ 4 ]18096.33437022Chris Bassitt (R)
6/13TEX [ 3 ]CHW [ 1 ]14485246133Shawn Armstrong (R)
6.673.82.45.60.21.21.6
Mike Burrows Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/12MIN [ 12 ]PIT [ 4 ]1169.51.33135166Cole Sands (R)
7/5SEA [ 1 ]PIT [ 0 ]14475643000Luis Castillo (R)
6/29PIT [ 12 ]NYM [ 1 ]1209.54.33514111Frankie Montas (R)
6/20PIT [ 2 ]TEX [ 6 ]1607.54.67417244Jacob deGrom (R)
6/14CHC [ 2 ]PIT [ 1 ]19475.33805011Matthew Boyd (L)
4.134.81.84.80.82.42.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Adrian Houser F54-2-3 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-1 (-)3-0-1 (100%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
Adrian Houser6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)4-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)
Mike Burrows F53-4-2 (42.9%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)0-2-2 (0%)
Mike Burrows4-5 (44.4%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)1-3 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Adrian Houser F50-7-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-3-1 (0%)0-3-0 (0%)
Adrian Houser0-9-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-4-0 (0%)0-4-0 (0%)
Mike Burrows F56-3-0 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)3-1-0 (75%)2-2-0 (50%)
Mike Burrows6-3-0 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)3-1-0 (75%)2-2-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
White Sox vs. RHP F526-30-20 (46.4%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)16-10-12 (61.5%)9-19-7 (32.1%)
White Sox vs. RHP24-52 (31.6%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)16-22 (42.1%)7-28 (20%)
Pirates vs. RHP F527-32-17 (45.8%)8-6-4 (57.1%)3-1-1 (75%)7-7-3 (50%)9-16-9 (36%)
Pirates vs. RHP31-45 (40.8%)9-9 (50%)2-3 (40%)10-7 (58.8%)10-24 (29.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
White Sox vs. RHP F528-42-4 (40%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)11-25-1 (30.6%)16-15-3 (51.6%)
White Sox vs. RHP31-43-2 (41.9%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)18-18-2 (50%)13-22-0 (37.1%)
Pirates vs. RHP F529-37-7 (43.9%)7-10-0 (41.2%)1-3-1 (25%)8-7-2 (53.3%)12-16-4 (42.9%)
Pirates vs. RHP30-45-1 (40%)7-11-0 (38.9%)2-3-0 (40%)10-7-0 (58.8%)11-22-1 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Adrian Houser7-2 (77.8%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)4-0 (100%)3-1 (75%)
White Sox55-44 (55.6%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)29-22 (56.9%)26-20 (56.5%)
Mike Burrows6-3 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)3-1 (75%)
Pirates48-48 (50%)6-15 (28.6%)2-5 (28.6%)17-9 (65.4%)23-19 (54.8%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Adrian Houser1-8 (11.1%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)0-4 (0%)1-3 (25%)
White Sox55-45 (55%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)26-25 (51%)27-19 (58.7%)
Mike Burrows5-4 (55.6%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)3-1 (75%)2-2 (50%)
Pirates40-58 (40.8%)7-14 (33.3%)1-6 (14.3%)13-13 (50%)18-24 (42.9%)


Batting Matchup
White SoxPirates
98TG98
3.5R/G3.3
78HR66
0.221AVG0.229
62SB81
18CS25
White SoxPirates
0.126ISO0.109
0.272BABIP0.288
0.296OBP0.299
0.347SLG0.338
0.285wOBA0.283
80wRC+77
White SoxPirates
9.1BB%8.5
23.3K%23.6
0.39BB/K0.36
7.6Barrel%8.3
40.4HardHit%40.7
0.1WAR1.7

Pitching Matchup
Adrian HouserMike Burrows
9G10
9GS9
57.2IP41
6.4IP/G4.1
5W1
2L3
85.2LOB%77.2
Adrian HouserMike Burrows
6.09K/99.22
2.81BB/93.73
9.3K/BB%13.7
47.6GB%36.7
31.5FB%40.8
0.31HR/91.76
3.8HR/FB%16.3
Adrian HouserMike Burrows
0.269BABIP0.31
1.56ERA4.83
3.68xERA4.55
3.12FIP5.03
4.04xFIP4.28
1.13WHIP1.46
4.46SIERA4.13
1.6WAR0.1

Bullpen Matchup
White SoxPirates
3.09BPU/G3.06
4IP/G3.5
15W20
30L20
12SV19
16BS14
74.6LOB%72.1
White SoxPirates
8K/97.84
4BB/93.41
10.3K/BB%11.7
39GB%43.4
40.9FB%38.3
0.97HR/90.9
9.1HR/FB%9.2
White SoxPirates
0.286BABIP0.27
3.98ERA3.86
4.24FIP3.94
4.6xFIP4.26
1.36WHIP1.23
4.19SIERA3.96
1.8WAR2.3