Angels @ Phillies [ Phillies -130 / 9.5 ]

Angels | 48-49 (49.5%) Yusei Kikuchi (L) | 4-6 | WHIP: 1.37 | ERA: 3.11
Phillies | 55-42 (56.7%) Taijuan Walker (R) | 3-5 | WHIP: 1.30 | ERA: 3.55

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Angels
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Angels Situational Notes

Phillies Situational Notes

Angels Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20PHI [ 0 ]Ranger Suarez (L)LAA -
PHI -		-LAA [ 0 ]Jose Soriano (R)
7/19PHI [ 0 ]Taijuan Walker (R)LAA +110
PHI -130		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
7/18PHI [ 5 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)LAA +164
PHI -210		8.5LAA [ 6 ]Ryan Zeferjahn (R)
7/13LAA [ 1 ]Jose Soriano (R)LAA -
ARI +108		-ARI [ 5 ]Merrill Kelly (R)
7/12LAA [ 10 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)LAA -124
ARI +106		8.5ARI [ 5 ]Zac Gallen (R)
7/11LAA [ 6 ]Tyler Anderson (L)LAA -104
ARI -112		9ARI [ 5 ]Ryne Nelson (R)
7/10LAA [ 4 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)LAA -112
TEX -104		10TEX [ 11 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
7/9LAA [ 11 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)LAA -104
TEX -112		9.5TEX [ 8 ]Kumar Rocker (R)
7/8LAA [ 1 ]Jose Soriano (R)LAA -102
TEX -106		8.5TEX [ 13 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)
7/7LAA [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)LAA +118
TEX -134		7.5TEX [ 5 ]Jacob deGrom (R)
Phillies Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20PHI [ 0 ]Ranger Suarez (L)PHI -
LAA -		-LAA [ 0 ]Jose Soriano (R)
7/19PHI [ 0 ]Taijuan Walker (R)PHI -130
LAA +110		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
7/18PHI [ 5 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)PHI -196
LAA +176		8.5LAA [ 6 ]Ryan Zeferjahn (R)
7/13SDP [ 1 ]Nick Pivetta (R)PHI -
SDP +110		-PHI [ 2 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
7/12SDP [ 5 ]Yu Darvish (R)PHI -172
SDP +144		7.5PHI [ 4 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
7/11SDP [ 4 ]Ryan Bergert (R)PHI -162
SDP +136		8PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
7/9SFG [ 0 ]Justin Verlander (R)PHI -136
SFG +116		8PHI [ 13 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
7/8SFG [ 4 ]Robbie Ray (L)PHI +130
SFG -154		8PHI [ 3 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
7/7SFG [ 3 ]Landen Roupp (R)PHI -134
SFG +114		7.5PHI [ 1 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
7/6PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (R)PHI -230
CIN +190		9CIN [ 1 ]Chase Burns (R)

Yusei Kikuchi Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/12LAA [ 10 ]ARI [ 5 ]-1248.55.67516233Zac Gallen (R)
7/7LAA [ 6 ]TEX [ 5 ]1187.50000000Jacob deGrom (R)
7/2ATL [ 8 ]LAA [ 3 ]1109.55.67726022Didier Fuentes (R)
6/25LAA [ 5 ]BOS [ 2 ]-1308.571213002Richard Fitts (R)
6/20LAA [ 2 ]HOU [ 3 ]14087906222Hunter Brown (R)
5.076.60.84.20.81.41.8
Taijuan Walker Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/8SFG [ 4 ]PHI [ 3 ]13080000000Robbie Ray (L)
5/30PHI [ 2 ]MIL [ 6 ]-1449.54617044DL Hall (L)
5/21COL [ 5 ]PHI [ 9 ]-19811.50000000Carson Palmquist (L)
5/1PHI [ 2 ]WSN [ 4 ]-1669.55.67234014Brad Lord (R)
4/25CHC [ 4 ]PHI [ 0 ]1347.53426022Colin Rea (R)
2.532.41.23.401.42
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi F58-8-4 (50%)4-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-1 (25%)3-4-2 (42.9%)
Yusei Kikuchi10-10 (50%)5-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)2-3 (40%)3-6 (33.3%)
Taijuan Walker F54-4-1 (50%)3-2-0 (60%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-1 (0%)
Taijuan Walker4-5 (44.4%)2-3 (40%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi F58-11-1 (42.1%)2-3-0 (40%)0-1-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)4-4-1 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi13-6-1 (68.4%)3-1-1 (75%)1-0-0 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)6-3-0 (66.7%)
Taijuan Walker F54-4-0 (50%)3-2-0 (60%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Taijuan Walker3-6-0 (33.3%)2-3-0 (40%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Angels vs. RHP F532-30-17 (51.6%)5-4-4 (55.6%)0-1-2 (0%)11-8-4 (57.9%)15-17-7 (46.9%)
Angels vs. RHP40-39 (50.6%)8-5 (61.5%)2-1 (66.7%)13-10 (56.5%)17-22 (43.6%)
Phillies vs. LHP F510-10-7 (50%)7-4-2 (63.6%)2-5-4 (28.6%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-1 (50%)
Phillies vs. LHP12-15 (44.4%)7-6 (53.8%)5-6 (45.5%)0-0 (-)0-3 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Angels vs. RHP F536-36-3 (50%)6-6-0 (50%)0-3-0 (0%)12-10-1 (54.5%)17-17-2 (50%)
Angels vs. RHP41-36-2 (53.2%)6-6-1 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)13-9-1 (59.1%)20-19-0 (51.3%)
Phillies vs. LHP F58-16-1 (33.3%)5-7-0 (41.7%)2-7-1 (22.2%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Phillies vs. LHP12-15-0 (44.4%)6-7-0 (46.2%)5-6-0 (45.5%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi12-8 (60%)4-1 (80%)0-1 (0%)4-1 (80%)4-5 (44.4%)
Angels52-44 (54.2%)6-13 (31.6%)0-4 (0%)19-8 (70.4%)27-19 (58.7%)
Taijuan Walker4-5 (44.4%)1-4 (20%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Phillies48-47 (50.5%)18-20 (47.4%)17-19 (47.2%)3-4 (42.9%)10-4 (71.4%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi11-9 (55%)2-3 (40%)0-1 (0%)3-2 (60%)6-3 (66.7%)
Angels56-41 (57.7%)7-12 (36.8%)1-3 (25%)19-8 (70.4%)29-17 (63%)
Taijuan Walker3-6 (33.3%)2-3 (40%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-3 (0%)
Phillies42-55 (43.3%)19-19 (50%)14-22 (38.9%)3-4 (42.9%)5-9 (35.7%)


Batting Matchup
AngelsPhillies
97TG97
4.4R/G4.6
142HR105
0.233AVG0.255
44SB84
20CS18
AngelsPhillies
0.178ISO0.15
0.28BABIP0.301
0.302OBP0.328
0.411SLG0.405
0.31wOBA0.322
97wRC+104
AngelsPhillies
7.8BB%9
25.9K%20.8
0.3BB/K0.43
11.1Barrel%8.8
40.9HardHit%42.2
6.2WAR13.5

Pitching Matchup
Yusei KikuchiTaijuan Walker
20G20
20GS9
113IP58.1
5.7IP/G2.9
4W3
6L5
80.6LOB%71.8
Yusei KikuchiTaijuan Walker
9.16K/97.56
3.9BB/93.7
13.7K/BB%9.9
39.2GB%43.2
41.1FB%37.5
1.12HR/91.08
10.9HR/FB%10.6
Yusei KikuchiTaijuan Walker
0.304BABIP0.263
3.11ERA3.55
4.31xERA3.53
3.99FIP4.3
4.08xFIP4.43
1.37WHIP1.3
4.14SIERA4.44
1.9WAR0.6

Bullpen Matchup
AngelsPhillies
3.41BPU/G3.04
3.5IP/G3.2
28W18
15L16
23SV27
22BS16
70.5LOB%71.7
AngelsPhillies
8.68K/98.55
4.25BB/93.45
11.1K/BB%13
39.2GB%37.7
42.3FB%41
1.49HR/91.21
13.6HR/FB%11.3
AngelsPhillies
0.302BABIP0.298
5.01ERA4.38
4.83FIP4.18
4.48xFIP4.21
1.48WHIP1.37
4.09SIERA3.85
-0.9WAR1.9