Astros @ Mariners [ Mariners -132 / 8 ]

Astros | 56-41 (57.7%) Lance McCullers (R) | First start of the season
Mariners | 52-45 (53.6%) Logan Evans (R) | 3-3 | WHIP: 1.35 | ERA: 3.75

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Astros
Starting Pitcher:
Bullpen:
Team Batting:
Matchup:
Mariners
Starting Pitcher:
Bullpen:
Team Batting:
Matchup:
Astros Situational Notes

Mariners Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Astros Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20SEA [ 0 ]TBD (-)HOU -
SEA -		-HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)
7/19SEA [ 0 ]Logan Evans (R)HOU +112
SEA -132		8HOU [ 0 ]Lance McCullers (R)
7/18SEA [ 6 ]Luis Castillo (R)HOU +120
SEA -142		7HOU [ 1 ]Brandon Walter (L)
7/13HOU [ 1 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -
TEX +116		-TEX [ 5 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)
7/12HOU [ 5 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -118
TEX -100		6.5TEX [ 4 ]Jacob deGrom (R)
7/11HOU [ 3 ]Lance McCullers (R)HOU -124
TEX +106		8.5TEX [ 7 ]Jack Leiter (R)
7/9HOU [ 2 ]Brandon Walter (L)HOU -154
CLE +130		7.5CLE [ 4 ]Slade Cecconi (R)
7/8HOU [ 6 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -200
CLE +168		7CLE [ 10 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
7/7HOU [ 5 ]Colton Gordon (L)HOU -136
CLE +108		7.5CLE [ 7 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
7/6LAD [ 1 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)HOU +160
LAD -190		9HOU [ 5 ]Ryan Gusto (R)
Mariners Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20SEA [ 0 ]TBD (-)SEA -
HOU -		-HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)
7/19SEA [ 0 ]Logan Evans (R)SEA -132
HOU +112		8HOU [ 0 ]Lance McCullers (R)
7/18SEA [ 6 ]Luis Castillo (R)SEA -142
HOU +120		7HOU [ 1 ]Brandon Walter (L)
7/13DET [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)SEA -
DET -112		-SEA [ 8 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
7/12DET [ 7 ]Casey Mize (R)SEA -
DET -106		-SEA [ 15 ]George Kirby (R)
7/11DET [ 3 ]Tarik Skubal (L)SEA +190
DET -290		7SEA [ 12 ]Luis Castillo (R)
7/10NYY [ 6 ]Marcus Stroman (R)SEA -
NYY -100		-SEA [ 5 ]Bryan Woo (R)
7/9NYY [ 9 ]Cam Schlittler (R)SEA +136
NYY -154		9.5SEA [ 6 ]Logan Evans (R)
7/8NYY [ 10 ]Will Warren (R)SEA +112
NYY -130		9SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
7/6SEA [ 1 ]George Kirby (R)SEA -116
PIT -102		6.5PIT [ 0 ]Paul Skenes (R)

Lance McCullers Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11HOU [ 3 ]TEX [ 7 ]-1248.53526155Jack Leiter (R)
7/4LAD [ 1 ]HOU [ 18 ]15296444111Ben Casparius (R)
6/28HOU [ 3 ]CHC [ 12 ]-1128.53.33147388Colin Rea (R)
6/10HOU [ 2 ]CHW [ 4 ]-1747.55644144Shane Smith (R)
6/3PIT [ 0 ]HOU [ 3 ]1267.56712000Paul Skenes (R)
4.674.634.61.23.63.6
Logan Evans Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/9NYY [ 9 ]SEA [ 6 ]1369.54.67229266Cam Schlittler (R)
7/3SEA [ 2 ]KCR [ 3 ]-1207.55.67313000Seth Lugo (R)
6/10ARI [ 10 ]SEA [ 3 ]1189.55527144Brandon Pfaadt (R)
5/27SEA [ 9 ]WSN [ 1 ]-1648.58414111Mitchell Parker (L)
5/21CHW [ 5 ]SEA [ 6 ]-1488.50000000Shane Smith (R)
4.672.81.24.60.82.22.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Lance McCullers F53-6-2 (33.3%)0-5-0 (0%)1-0-1 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-1 (50%)
Lance McCullers5-6 (45.5%)1-4 (20%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)3-0 (100%)
Logan Evans F55-4-0 (55.6%)4-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-3-0 (25%)
Logan Evans4-5 (44.4%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Lance McCullers F58-2-0 (80%)5-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Lance McCullers7-4-0 (63.6%)3-2-0 (60%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Logan Evans F55-3-1 (62.5%)2-1-1 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)
Logan Evans7-2-0 (77.8%)3-1-0 (75%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)3-1-0 (75%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. RHP F532-39-13 (45.1%)15-19-2 (44.1%)7-7-4 (50%)4-3-1 (57.1%)5-8-6 (38.5%)
Astros vs. RHP47-37 (56%)20-16 (55.6%)8-10 (44.4%)7-1 (87.5%)10-9 (52.6%)
Mariners vs. RHP F528-36-11 (43.8%)14-11-5 (56%)8-9-2 (47.1%)2-3-0 (40%)4-12-3 (25%)
Mariners vs. RHP37-38 (49.3%)15-15 (50%)11-8 (57.9%)3-2 (60%)6-13 (31.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. RHP F537-35-6 (51.4%)19-14-2 (57.6%)7-6-2 (53.8%)4-3-1 (57.1%)6-11-1 (35.3%)
Astros vs. RHP35-46-3 (43.2%)17-19-0 (47.2%)10-8-0 (55.6%)2-6-0 (25%)5-11-3 (31.3%)
Mariners vs. RHP F540-27-5 (59.7%)16-11-0 (59.3%)11-7-1 (61.1%)2-1-2 (66.7%)9-8-2 (52.9%)
Mariners vs. RHP47-24-4 (66.2%)15-12-3 (55.6%)13-5-1 (72.2%)4-1-0 (80%)13-6-0 (68.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Lance McCullers5-6 (45.5%)1-4 (20%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)3-0 (100%)
Astros46-49 (48.4%)15-28 (34.9%)10-15 (40%)7-1 (87.5%)14-5 (73.7%)
Logan Evans2-7 (22.2%)1-3 (25%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)
Mariners43-56 (43.4%)14-27 (34.1%)9-15 (37.5%)6-2 (75%)14-12 (53.8%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Lance McCullers6-5 (54.5%)3-2 (60%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Astros41-58 (41.4%)16-27 (37.2%)11-14 (44%)5-3 (62.5%)7-12 (36.8%)
Logan Evans5-4 (55.6%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)
Mariners52-50 (51%)17-24 (41.5%)15-9 (62.5%)2-6 (25%)17-9 (65.4%)


Batting Matchup
AstrosMariners
97TG97
4.3R/G4.7
110HR138
0.257AVG0.25
49SB86
20CS25
AstrosMariners
0.151ISO0.168
0.301BABIP0.294
0.322OBP0.326
0.408SLG0.418
0.319wOBA0.325
105wRC+115
AstrosMariners
7.8BB%8.9
20.9K%22.7
0.37BB/K0.39
7.6Barrel%9.3
38.6HardHit%41.9
13.9WAR17

Pitching Matchup
Lance McCullersLogan Evans
-G9
-GS9
-IP50.1
-IP/G5.6
-W3
-L3
-LOB%76.7
Lance McCullersLogan Evans
-K/96.26
-BB/92.68
-K/BB%9.3
-GB%39.8
-FB%37.9
-HR/91.61
-HR/FB%14.8
Lance McCullersLogan Evans
-BABIP0.288
-ERA3.75
-xERA5.39
-FIP5.03
-xFIP4.51
-WHIP1.35
-SIERA4.65
-WAR-0.1

Bullpen Matchup
AstrosMariners
3.07BPU/G3.33
3.4IP/G3.6
20W23
12L16
30SV23
9BS18
76.2LOB%72
AstrosMariners
10.51K/98.25
3.22BB/93.63
19.6K/BB%12
32GB%43.9
47.2FB%37.9
1.04HR/91.08
9.8HR/FB%11
AstrosMariners
0.276BABIP0.281
3.41ERA3.75
3.45FIP4.2
3.71xFIP4.26
1.15WHIP1.31
3.17SIERA3.92
4.8WAR0.6