Athletics @ Guardians [ Guardians -138 / 9 ]

Athletics | 41-54 (43.2%) Luis Severino (R) | 2-11 | WHIP: 1.41 | ERA: 5.16
Guardians | 47-48 (49.5%) Logan Allen (L) | 6-7 | WHIP: 1.37 | ERA: 4.00

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Athletics
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Athletics Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Athletics Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)ATH -
CLE -		-ATH [ 0 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)
7/19CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)ATH +118
CLE -138		9ATH [ 0 ]Luis Severino (R)
7/18CLE [ 8 ]Slade Cecconi (R)ATH +114
CLE -126		8.5ATH [ 6 ]JP Sears (L)
7/13ATH [ 6 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)ATH -
TOR -132		-TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)
7/12ATH [ 4 ]Jacob Lopez (L)ATH +120
TOR -142		10TOR [ 3 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
7/11ATH [ 6 ]Luis Severino (R)ATH +150
TOR -178		10.5TOR [ 7 ]Max Scherzer (R)
7/10ATH [ 5 ]JP Sears (L)ATH +164
ATL -196		10.5ATL [ 4 ]Spencer Strider (R)
7/9ATH [ 2 ]Mitch Spence (R)ATH +106
ATL -124		10.5ATL [ 9 ]Bryce Elder (R)
7/8ATH [ 10 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)ATH +108
ATL -106		10.5ATL [ 1 ]Didier Fuentes (R)
7/6ATH [ 2 ]Jacob Lopez (L)ATH -130
SFG +110		10SFG [ 6 ]Hayden Birdsong (R)
Guardians Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE -
ATH -		-ATH [ 0 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)
7/19CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)CLE -138
ATH +118		9ATH [ 0 ]Luis Severino (R)
7/18CLE [ 8 ]Slade Cecconi (R)CLE -134
ATH +108		8.5ATH [ 6 ]JP Sears (L)
7/13CHW [ 5 ]Aaron Civale (R)CLE -
CHW +120		-CLE [ 6 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
7/12CHW [ 2 ]Sean Burke (R)CLE -134
CHW +114		8.5CLE [ 6 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
7/11CHW [ 0 ]Shane Smith (R)CLE -144
CHW +122		8.5CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)
7/11CHW [ 5 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)CLE -138
CHW +118		8CLE [ 4 ]Gavin Williams (L)
7/11CHW [ 2 ]Shane Smith (R)CLE -112
CHW -104		8.5CLE [ 4 ]Logan Allen (R)
7/10CHW [ 0 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)CLE -
CHW +102		-CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)
7/9HOU [ 2 ]Brandon Walter (L)CLE +130
HOU -154		7.5CLE [ 4 ]Slade Cecconi (R)

Luis Severino Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11ATH [ 6 ]TOR [ 7 ]15010.54.67827015Max Scherzer (R)
7/5ATH [ 2 ]SFG [ 7 ]15094.33225155Logan Webb (R)
6/29NYY [ 12 ]ATH [ 5 ]180103.67335257Marcus Stroman (R)
6/24DET [ 11 ]ATH [ 4 ]2357.55217277Tarik Skubal (L)
6/18ATH [ 4 ]HOU [ 11 ]1409.55519122Framber Valdez (L)
4.5341.86.61.245.2
Logan Allen Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11CHW [ 2 ]CLE [ 4 ]-1128.56521122Shane Smith (R)
7/10CHW [ 0 ]CLE [ 0 ]000000000Jonathan Cannon (R)
7/5CLE [ 0 ]DET [ 1 ]11896522111Casey Mize (R)
6/29CLE [ 0 ]STL [ 7 ]-1068.56626133Matthew Liberatore (L)
6/24CLE [ 6 ]TOR [ 10 ]-1008.55.67428034Eric Lauer (L)
4.7341.63.40.61.82
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Severino F54-9-7 (30.8%)1-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-7-3 (0%)3-2-3 (60%)
Luis Severino5-15 (25%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-9 (10%)3-5 (37.5%)
Logan Allen F56-10-1 (37.5%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)1-5-0 (16.7%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Logan Allen9-8 (52.9%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-5 (16.7%)4-3 (57.1%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Severino F512-7-0 (63.2%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)8-1-0 (88.9%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Luis Severino13-6-1 (68.4%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)8-1-1 (88.9%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Logan Allen F54-11-1 (26.7%)0-1-1 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-4-0 (33.3%)2-4-0 (33.3%)
Logan Allen6-11-0 (35.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)3-3-0 (50%)2-5-0 (28.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Athletics vs. LHP F55-9-4 (35.7%)1-2-2 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)3-3-2 (50%)0-4-0 (0%)
Athletics vs. LHP8-10 (44.4%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)4-4 (50%)1-3 (25%)
Guardians vs. RHP F526-27-13 (49.1%)7-5-3 (58.3%)3-4-5 (42.9%)4-9-2 (30.8%)12-8-3 (60%)
Guardians vs. RHP37-29 (56.1%)10-5 (66.7%)8-4 (66.7%)6-9 (40%)12-11 (52.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Athletics vs. LHP F57-9-0 (43.8%)3-2-0 (60%)0-0-0 (-)3-3-0 (50%)1-3-0 (25%)
Athletics vs. LHP11-7-0 (61.1%)4-1-0 (80%)0-0-0 (-)5-3-0 (62.5%)2-2-0 (50%)
Guardians vs. RHP F525-36-2 (41%)4-9-1 (30.8%)8-4-0 (66.7%)6-8-1 (42.9%)7-14-0 (33.3%)
Guardians vs. RHP30-34-2 (46.9%)6-9-0 (40%)8-4-0 (66.7%)7-8-0 (46.7%)8-13-2 (38.1%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Severino7-13 (35%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)3-7 (30%)4-4 (50%)
Athletics50-49 (50.5%)2-12 (14.3%)5-1 (83.3%)23-16 (59%)20-20 (50%)
Logan Allen8-8 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-4 (33.3%)4-3 (57.1%)
Guardians48-47 (50.5%)8-11 (42.1%)7-9 (43.8%)11-14 (44%)22-13 (62.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Severino8-12 (40%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)5-5 (50%)2-6 (25%)
Athletics47-54 (46.5%)9-5 (64.3%)3-3 (50%)21-18 (53.8%)14-26 (35%)
Logan Allen6-11 (35.3%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)3-3 (50%)1-6 (14.3%)
Guardians35-61 (36.5%)7-12 (36.8%)8-8 (50%)10-15 (40%)10-25 (28.6%)


Batting Matchup
AthleticsGuardians
99TG96
4.3R/G3.8
129HR100
0.249AVG0.223
55SB78
14CS24
AthleticsGuardians
0.17ISO0.146
0.293BABIP0.263
0.316OBP0.294
0.419SLG0.369
0.32wOBA0.291
101wRC+86
AthleticsGuardians
8.4BB%8.6
22.6K%22.5
0.37BB/K0.38
8.2Barrel%6.8
39HardHit%35.6
11.1WAR7.6

Pitching Matchup
Luis SeverinoLogan Allen
20G18
20GS17
113.1IP90
5.7IP/G5
2W6
11L7
62.9LOB%73.9
Luis SeverinoLogan Allen
6.43K/97
3.02BB/93.8
8.5K/BB%8.3
40.4GB%44.6
35.3FB%39.5
0.95HR/91.1
9.1HR/FB%10.3
Luis SeverinoLogan Allen
0.301BABIP0.281
5.16ERA4
4.67xERA4.46
4.33FIP4.45
4.69xFIP4.63
1.41WHIP1.37
4.72SIERA4.74
1.4WAR0.8

Bullpen Matchup
AthleticsGuardians
3.18BPU/G3.35
3.8IP/G3.5
16W21
14L13
23SV27
17BS12
66.1LOB%72.8
AthleticsGuardians
9.44K/99.04
4.61BB/93.62
11.8K/BB%14
39.7GB%36.8
40.3FB%40.3
1.18HR/90.77
11.4HR/FB%7.6
AthleticsGuardians
0.323BABIP0.308
5.47ERA3.7
4.44FIP3.55
4.45xFIP4.12
1.54WHIP1.33
4SIERA3.74
0.6WAR3.4