Brewers @ Dodgers [ Dodgers -138 / 8.5 ]

Brewers | 57-40 (58.8%) Freddy Peralta (R) | 11-4 | WHIP: 1.06 | ERA: 2.66
Dodgers | 56-40 (58.3%) Emmet Sheehan (R) | 1-0 | WHIP: 1.05 | ERA: 2.03

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Dodgers
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Brewers Situational Notes

Dodgers Situational Notes

Brewers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20LAD [ 0 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)MIL -
LAD -		-MIL [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)
7/19LAD [ 0 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)MIL +118
LAD -138		8.5MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
7/18LAD [ 0 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)MIL +158
LAD -196		8.5MIL [ 2 ]Quinn Priester (R)
7/13MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -
WSN +235		-WSN [ 1 ]Jake Irvin (R)
7/12MIL [ 6 ]Brandon Woodruff (R)MIL -270
WSN +220		9WSN [ 5 ]Shinnosuke Ogasawara (L)
7/11MIL [ 8 ]DL Hall (L)MIL -205
WSN +172		8.5WSN [ 3 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
7/9MIL [ 3 ]Jose Quintana (L)MIL +128
LAD -152		8.5LAD [ 2 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)
7/8MIL [ 3 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)MIL +108
LAD -110		8.5LAD [ 1 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
7/7MIL [ 9 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL +114
LAD -138		7.5LAD [ 1 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
7/6MIA [ 1 ]Edward Cabrera (R)MIL -100
MIA -118		7.5MIL [ 3 ]Brandon Woodruff (R)
Dodgers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20LAD [ 0 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)LAD -
MIL -		-MIL [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)
7/19LAD [ 0 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)LAD -138
MIL +118		8.5MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
7/18LAD [ 0 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)LAD -188
MIL +164		8.5MIL [ 2 ]Quinn Priester (R)
7/13SFG [ 2 ]Robbie Ray (L)LAD -
SFG +120		-LAD [ 5 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
7/12SFG [ 1 ]Landen Roupp (R)LAD -156
SFG +132		8.5LAD [ 2 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)
7/11SFG [ 8 ]Logan Webb (R)LAD +114
SFG -134		7.5LAD [ 7 ]Dustin May (R)
7/9MIL [ 3 ]Jose Quintana (L)LAD -152
MIL +128		8.5LAD [ 2 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)
7/8MIL [ 3 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)LAD -126
MIL -106		8.5LAD [ 1 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
7/7MIL [ 9 ]Freddy Peralta (R)LAD -134
MIL +118		7.5LAD [ 1 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
7/6LAD [ 1 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)LAD -190
HOU +160		9HOU [ 5 ]Ryan Gusto (R)

Freddy Peralta Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/13MIL [ 8 ]WSN [ 1 ]000000000Jake Irvin (R)
7/7MIL [ 9 ]LAD [ 1 ]1147.50000000Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
7/2NYM [ 2 ]MIL [ 7 ]1088.56612022Clay Holmes (R)
7/1NYM [ 0 ]MIL [ 0 ]1108.50000000Clay Holmes (R)
6/24MIL [ 9 ]PIT [ 3 ]-2107.55807133Andrew Heaney (L)
2.22.80.21.80.211
Emmet Sheehan Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/6LAD [ 1 ]HOU [ 5 ]-19095415011Ryan Gusto (R)
6/18LAD [ 4 ]SDP [ 3 ]-1749.50000000Stephen Kolek (R)
2.520.52.500.50.5
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Freddy Peralta F58-6-6 (57.1%)4-1-3 (80%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-1 (100%)2-3-2 (40%)
Freddy Peralta13-7 (65%)7-1 (87.5%)2-1 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)2-5 (28.6%)
Emmet Sheehan F51-0-1 (100%)1-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Emmet Sheehan1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Freddy Peralta F56-13-1 (31.6%)3-5-0 (37.5%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-5-1 (16.7%)
Freddy Peralta8-11-1 (42.1%)3-4-1 (42.9%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Emmet Sheehan F50-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Emmet Sheehan0-2-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F533-20-18 (62.3%)12-5-6 (70.6%)2-4-5 (33.3%)4-5-1 (44.4%)13-5-5 (72.2%)
Brewers vs. RHP40-31 (56.3%)16-7 (69.6%)5-6 (45.5%)5-5 (50%)12-11 (52.2%)
Dodgers vs. RHP F529-29-11 (50%)15-16-5 (48.4%)9-8-6 (52.9%)1-0-0 (100%)4-5-0 (44.4%)
Dodgers vs. RHP42-27 (60.9%)23-13 (63.9%)15-8 (65.2%)1-0 (100%)3-6 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F528-38-3 (42.4%)8-15-0 (34.8%)5-6-0 (45.5%)6-4-0 (60%)7-11-3 (38.9%)
Brewers vs. RHP27-42-2 (39.1%)7-15-1 (31.8%)6-5-0 (54.5%)4-6-0 (40%)9-13-1 (40.9%)
Dodgers vs. RHP F532-29-5 (52.5%)17-14-2 (54.8%)9-11-3 (45%)1-0-0 (100%)5-4-0 (55.6%)
Dodgers vs. RHP36-33-0 (52.2%)20-16-0 (55.6%)11-12-0 (47.8%)1-0-0 (100%)4-5-0 (44.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Freddy Peralta11-9 (55%)4-4 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)3-4 (42.9%)
Brewers53-44 (54.6%)14-19 (42.4%)5-8 (38.5%)8-8 (50%)26-9 (74.3%)
Emmet Sheehan0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers45-54 (45.5%)20-29 (40.8%)14-20 (41.2%)2-0 (100%)7-5 (58.3%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Freddy Peralta8-12 (40%)1-7 (12.5%)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)5-2 (71.4%)
Brewers43-58 (42.6%)8-25 (24.2%)8-5 (61.5%)8-8 (50%)18-17 (51.4%)
Emmet Sheehan0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers55-44 (55.6%)31-18 (63.3%)19-15 (55.9%)2-0 (100%)3-9 (25%)


Batting Matchup
BrewersDodgers
97TG98
4.7R/G5.3
94HR145
0.248AVG0.255
111SB57
34CS14
BrewersDodgers
0.135ISO0.187
0.295BABIP0.293
0.323OBP0.33
0.383SLG0.442
0.312wOBA0.334
100wRC+116
BrewersDodgers
9BB%9.4
20.9K%21.7
0.43BB/K0.43
6Barrel%10
37.6HardHit%42.6
14.6WAR18.8

Pitching Matchup
Freddy PeraltaEmmet Sheehan
20G3
20GS2
111.2IP13.1
5.6IP/G4.4
11W1
4L0
84.1LOB%78.6
Freddy PeraltaEmmet Sheehan
9.51K/98.78
2.98BB/92.7
17.8K/BB%16.7
36.9GB%27
46.9FB%48.6
0.97HR/90
8.8HR/FB%0
Freddy PeraltaEmmet Sheehan
0.245BABIP0.27
2.66ERA2.03
3.33xERA2.54
3.55FIP2.03
3.97xFIP4.04
1.06WHIP1.05
3.71SIERA3.87
2.3WAR0.5

Bullpen Matchup
BrewersDodgers
3.46BPU/G3.61
3.9IP/G4.4
20W33
15L16
26SV29
11BS12
70.3LOB%71.9
BrewersDodgers
8.72K/99.15
3.49BB/93.27
13.8K/BB%15.3
44.4GB%39.8
37.1FB%39.6
0.93HR/91.19
10HR/FB%11.9
BrewersDodgers
0.282BABIP0.308
3.97ERA4.37
3.77FIP4.03
3.96xFIP3.96
1.26WHIP1.33
3.7SIERA3.57
3WAR3.9