Yankees @ Braves [ Braves +110 / 9.5 ]

Yankees | 53-44 (54.6%) Will Warren (R) | 6-5 | WHIP: 1.42 | ERA: 4.63
Braves | 43-53 (44.8%) Joey Wentz (L) | 2-1 | WHIP: 1.70 | ERA: 6.32

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Yankees
Starting Pitcher:
4/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:5
Est. fair odds: -188 to -214
Implied win prob: 65.28% to 68.15%
Braves
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-5
Est. fair odds: +188 to +214
Implied win prob: 31.85% to 34.72%
Yankees Situational Notes

Braves Situational Notes

Yankees Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20ATL [ 0 ]Grant Holmes (R)NYY -
ATL -		-NYY [ 0 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
7/19ATL [ 0 ]Joey Wentz (L)NYY -130
ATL +110		9.5NYY [ 0 ]Will Warren (R)
7/18ATL [ 7 ]Spencer Strider (R)NYY -110
ATL -134		8.5NYY [ 3 ]Ian Hamilton (R)
7/13NYY [ 1 ]Will Warren (R)NYY -130
CHC +110		9CHC [ 4 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
7/12NYY [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)NYY -
CHC +132		-CHC [ 5 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
7/11NYY [ 11 ]Carlos Rodon (L)NYY -188
CHC +144		9CHC [ 0 ]Chris Flexen (R)
7/10NYY [ 6 ]Marcus Stroman (R)NYY -
SEA -118		-SEA [ 5 ]Bryan Woo (R)
7/9NYY [ 9 ]Cam Schlittler (R)NYY -162
SEA +130		9.5SEA [ 6 ]Logan Evans (R)
7/8NYY [ 10 ]Will Warren (R)NYY -132
SEA +110		9SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
7/6NYM [ 4 ]Chris Devenski (R)NYY -180
NYM +152		9NYY [ 6 ]Max Fried (L)
Braves Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20ATL [ 0 ]Grant Holmes (R)ATL -
NYY -		-NYY [ 0 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
7/19ATL [ 0 ]Joey Wentz (L)ATL +110
NYY -130		9.5NYY [ 0 ]Will Warren (R)
7/18ATL [ 7 ]Spencer Strider (R)ATL -106
NYY +116		8.5NYY [ 3 ]Ian Hamilton (R)
7/13STL [ 5 ]Sonny Gray (R)ATL -
STL -162		-ATL [ 4 ]Davis Daniel (R)
7/12STL [ 6 ]Erick Fedde (R)ATL -116
STL -102		9ATL [ 7 ]Aaron Bummer (R)
7/11STL [ 5 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)ATL -100
STL -118		8.5ATL [ 6 ]Grant Holmes (R)
7/10ATH [ 5 ]JP Sears (L)ATL -196
ATH +164		10.5ATL [ 4 ]Spencer Strider (R)
7/9ATH [ 2 ]Mitch Spence (R)ATL -124
ATH +106		10.5ATL [ 9 ]Bryce Elder (R)
7/8ATH [ 10 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)ATL -126
ATH -110		10.5ATL [ 1 ]Didier Fuentes (R)
7/6ATL [ 1 ]Grant Holmes (R)ATL -148
BAL +126		9BAL [ 2 ]Trevor Rogers (L)

Will Warren Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/13NYY [ 1 ]CHC [ 4 ]-13090000000Shota Imanaga (L)
7/8NYY [ 10 ]SEA [ 3 ]-13290000000Logan Gilbert (R)
7/2TOR [ 11 ]NYY [ 9 ]-126944410288Jose Berrios (R)
6/27NYY [ 3 ]ATH [ 0 ]-2608.55742000Mitch Spence (R)
6/22NYY [ 4 ]BAL [ 2 ]-1969.56.33626022Dean Kremer (R)
3.073.423.60.422
Joey Wentz Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
0000000
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Will Warren F59-8-3 (52.9%)5-3-1 (62.5%)2-5-1 (28.6%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)
Will Warren11-9 (55%)6-3 (66.7%)4-4 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)
Joey Wentz F50-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Joey Wentz0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Will Warren F58-10-1 (44.4%)2-5-1 (28.6%)4-4-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Will Warren9-10-1 (47.4%)4-5-0 (44.4%)4-4-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Joey Wentz F50-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Joey Wentz0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yankees vs. LHP F59-10-3 (47.4%)3-3-3 (50%)6-3-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Yankees vs. LHP11-11 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-3 (0%)
Braves vs. RHP F529-35-10 (45.3%)15-13-5 (53.6%)11-13-2 (45.8%)1-1-0 (50%)2-8-3 (20%)
Braves vs. RHP33-41 (44.6%)18-15 (54.5%)12-14 (46.2%)1-1 (50%)2-11 (15.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yankees vs. LHP F511-9-1 (55%)4-4-1 (50%)4-4-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Yankees vs. LHP10-11-1 (47.6%)3-5-1 (37.5%)6-3-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Braves vs. RHP F534-33-5 (50.7%)14-15-2 (48.3%)14-10-2 (58.3%)0-1-1 (0%)6-7-0 (46.2%)
Braves vs. RHP31-39-4 (44.3%)12-19-2 (38.7%)13-13-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)6-5-2 (54.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Will Warren8-11 (42.1%)6-3 (66.7%)1-7 (12.5%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Yankees45-51 (46.9%)24-22 (52.2%)15-25 (37.5%)1-1 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)
Joey Wentz0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves42-55 (43.3%)18-26 (40.9%)12-20 (37.5%)2-1 (66.7%)10-8 (55.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Will Warren10-10 (50%)4-5 (44.4%)4-4 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Yankees52-46 (53.1%)24-22 (52.2%)21-19 (52.5%)0-2 (0%)6-2 (75%)
Joey Wentz0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves53-44 (54.6%)25-19 (56.8%)16-16 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)10-8 (55.6%)


Batting Matchup
YankeesBraves
97TG96
5.2R/G4.1
151HR106
0.256AVG0.243
63SB44
24CS13
YankeesBraves
0.198ISO0.146
0.298BABIP0.292
0.336OBP0.315
0.454SLG0.39
0.34wOBA0.31
120wRC+98
YankeesBraves
10BB%8.9
22.8K%22.6
0.44BB/K0.39
11.5Barrel%9.2
45.9HardHit%41.5
21.6WAR11.6

Pitching Matchup
Will WarrenJoey Wentz
20G26
20GS0
95.1IP37
4.8IP/G1.4
6W2
5L1
69.1LOB%63.2
Will WarrenJoey Wentz
10.57K/98.27
4.15BB/95.11
16.2K/BB%7.5
44.6GB%37.1
32.2FB%42.2
0.85HR/91.22
10.8HR/FB%10.2
Will WarrenJoey Wentz
0.324BABIP0.327
4.63ERA6.32
4xERA4.64
3.41FIP4.79
3.48xFIP5
1.42WHIP1.7
3.79SIERA4.57
1.8WAR0

Bullpen Matchup
YankeesBraves
3.27BPU/G3.18
3.5IP/G3.4
15W17
20L19
25SV14
10BS14
72.1LOB%73.7
YankeesBraves
9.42K/99.26
3.86BB/93.55
14.5K/BB%15.4
45.3GB%42.7
37.4FB%38.5
1.14HR/90.97
12.5HR/FB%10.7
YankeesBraves
0.283BABIP0.273
4.1ERA3.6
4.05FIP3.72
3.92xFIP3.82
1.3WHIP1.2
3.64SIERA3.55
1.4WAR1.9